Service Plays Saturday 07/25/09

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Drew Gordon
Today's Games... 1. 100,000♦ Diamondbacks
2. 50,000♦ Brewers

1. Diamondbacks- Couple things I like about this match up for Arizona, but let's start with the fact they're seeing the ball well, recording 10 or more hits in 5 of their L7 games, despite going 3-4 over that span. True, the Pirates dropped 10 runs on the D-Backs yesterday, but don't be fooled, you don't trade away so many pieces without feeling an effect sooner or later. True, the emergence of Garrett Jones has helped soften the blow, but rest-assured, the Bucs will have their work cut out for them tonight.

Why you ask? Because I believe this is the spot where veteran southpaw Doug Davis bounces back. I know full well he's gotten stomped the last two times out, but before you putting him on your "fade list," consider he got touched up by to teams that happen to be solid against lefties (Florida 10-6 away vs lefties AND we all know Colorado kills lefties at Coors). Its only makes sense that he should settle down tonight at home (where he posts a solid 3.33 ERA) against a less potent Pirates offense.

Surprisingly the Diamondbacks offensive surge has taken place on the road for the most part, where they've been below average this season. Now in their first two games of this series back at Chase Field, we've seen a total of 14 runs on 23 hits! We know the D-Backs can hit at home, and that's bad news for the Pirates Ross Ohlendorf. Not only has the Pirates righty been atrocious on the road, going 2-5 with a 5.91 ERA this season, but we've seen a marked decrease in stamina over his last 3 starts. In other words, in his first full season as a starter, Ohlendorf is starting to fatigue. Look for the D-Backs suddenly surging offense to take full advantage tonight.

Finally, I leave you with one key stat... Did you know the Pirates are just 4-11 vs left-handed starters on the road this season?! They average a meager 4.3 runs per game in that spot, and are batting just .243 in the process. In the end, don't give up on Davis just yet, as the Pirates Ohlendorf gets into big trouble tonight on the road, giving Davis the support he so desperately needs.

Take the Diamondbacks behind Davis over the Pirates and Ohlendorf as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Brewers- Tommy Hanson at plus money? This is a "gift" from Vegas right? Of course NOT! Guys, how many times do I have to tell you: Vegas is not in the habit of giving away "gifts," and that remains true in this match up. So why take the struggling Brewers in this match up? Two words: Yovani Gallardo.

You see, bettors who are so enamored with Tommy Hanson seem to forget how well Gallardo pitched against Atlanta his last time out, he tossed 8 scoreless, allowing only 2 hits in one of his best starts of the season June 5th... And that was at Turner Field! In fact, the Brewers righty is 1-0 with a 1.20 ERA in 2 career starts versus Atlanta! Coming off a nice quality effort at Cincinnati, I'm looking for Gallardo to get his first win in almost a month tonight.

I'm not going to sit here and bad mouth Hanson, who is one of the more electric rookie pitchers out there. However, let's not get carried away, as the young gun still has a lot to learn, and just because he dominated a piss-poor Giants offense in his last start, doesn't mean he's going to do the same to the Brewers tonight. In fact, the only team to give Hanson trouble was the Brewers in his Major League debut, touching him up for 6 runs over 6 innings June 7th.

Bottom line, its never easy to go against a team that's surging like the Braves are right now, but if there's any pitcher who can throw a cold bucket of water on their offense, its Gallardo. On the flip side, I like Hanson as much as the next guy, but the Brewers have proven a tough match up for the young righty, and I suspect that'll continue tonight. In the end, the Brewers AND Gallardo are desperate for a W, and I say they get it tonight at Miller Park.

Take the Brewers behind Gallardo over the Braves and Hanson in this MLB match up





BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME--------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Royals last night. Today it's the Royals. The surplus is 900 sirignanos.
 

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Wunder MLB 2009/07/25

Game: St. Louis at Philadelphia (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Louis +120 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)

Game: St. Louis at Philadelphia (4:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on St. Louis +1.5 runs -170 (runline) (risk 5 to win 2.9)

Game: Minnesota at Los Angeles Angels (4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 runs +170 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.1)

Game: San Diego at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Washington -110 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 1.8)
 
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Scott Ferrall

MLB PAY PICKS FOR SATURDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Baltimore (Guthrie)

BOSTON (LESTER) -220 (1)



Oakland (Gonzalez)

YANKEES (PETTITTE) -320 (2)



Cincinnati (Cueto)

CHICAGO (HART) -135 (3)
 

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Jake Timlin

Saturday's Action
400♦ Philadelphia Phillies



List both Lopez & Lohse as starting pitchers or this play is void



Take the Phillies as they bounce back from last night’s home loss to the Cardinals.



Still winners of 15 of their last 18 games overall and 12 of their last 15 games at home I fully expect for the Phillies to rebound for a huge victory today. Now to help guide the Phillies to the win today will be Lopez who has been short of amazing since joining the staff going 2-0 with an ERA of 2.60 in three starts in which Philadelphia has won all three games, including his last start resulting in a 10-1 win over the Cubs just five days ago.



Countering for the Cardinal will be Lohse who is an awful 1-6 with an ERA of 6.19 over his last 7 starts. Even worst news for St. Louis is they don’t stand much of a shot at winning with Lohse today as the Cardinals have lost 10 of the last 11 road games when Lohse starts.



Well given that Philadelphia is still playing lights out and backed by the better pitcher I look for the Phillies to blast Lohse and the Cardinals today at home.



All Philadelphia


PAID AND CONFIRMED BY MYSELF AND CORK @):):103631605
 

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<TABLE id=Table_01 height=29 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=banner3 width="100%">Stu's 1000 Dime Baseball </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=Table_01 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=DNNAlignleft id=dnn_ctr754_ContentPane align=left width="100%"><!-- Start_Module_754 -->

WHITE SOX @ TIGERS 4:05 ET
IT WILL NOT BE EASY BUT FLOYD WILL GET THE ROAD W THIS AFTERNOON. HE OWNS THE TIGERS. 1-0 THIS YEAR AND 5-0 LIFETIME AGAINST DETROIT. HE HAS WON 2 OF HIS LAST 3 STARTS AND HIS TEAM HAS WON 11 OF HIS 19 STARTS. JACKSON NEVER GETS RUN SUPPORT AND HIS TEAM HAS ONLY WON 10 OF HIS 19 STARTS EVEN THOUGH HIS ERA 2.52 FOR THE YEAR. HE IS 1-2 LIFETIME AGAINST CHICAGO AND WILL GET BEAT IN THIS SPOT TODAY.
WHITE SOX +135 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION





BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME------GL GUYS:103631605


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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BIG AL's SATURDAY MAJOR LEAGUE ROADKILL WINNER!
At 10:10pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Florida Marlins
 

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Scott Spreitzer's MLB MAJOR MISMATCH GAME OF THE MONTH! *30-8 Run!!
I'm laying the price on Saturday with the Astros
 

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Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #974 Seattle (-170) over Cleveland (4 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take #974 Seattle (-1.5, +120) over Cleveland (4 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

3.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Houston (-135) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #964 Colorado (-160) over San Francisco (8 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take #964 Colorado (-1.5, +125) over San Francisco (8 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take #966 L.A. Dodgers (-170) over Florida (10 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take #966 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, +120) over Florida (10 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take #969 Tampa Bay (+100) over Toronto (1 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take #968 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, -120) over Oakland (1 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take #978 Boston (-1.5, +100) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Saturday, July 25)



Today's Totals
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 Tampa Bay at Toronto (1 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Chicago White Sox at Detroit (4 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Cleveland at Seattle (4 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Baltimore at Boston (7 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 San Francisco at Colorado (8 p.m., Saturday, July 25)

That's it for today. Good luck.
 

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Scott Delaney
Scott Delaney Saturday night ... 10-DIME SEATTLE MARINERS -1' RUNS (Action) - Not falling for this mini-streak the Tribe seems to be on, it’s simply not that good. Cleveland stunned Seattle last night, so what. Although it’s an auto-list of pitchers in a run-line situation, I am not concentrating on whom to go with specifically. Nonetheless, the M’s should get it back tonight with Erik Bedard making his second start against the Indians in seven days. The southpaw allowed just two earned runs and four hits while striking out six over 4-2/3 innings of a 5-3 win at Cleveland last Sunday. He’s allowed six earned runs in 14-1/3 innings over his last three outings, and should be psyched against Cleveland, as he is 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA in eight starts against it.

Despite winning its last two games, Cleveland is mired in losing streaks of 3-10 on Saturdays, 2-6 the last eight meetings with the M’s and 10-22 overall. And when Jeremy Sowers is on the hill, the Tribe is on losing streaks of 2-16 when he’s a road pup, 1-10 when he’s visiting a winning team and 2-9 overall.

All Seattle tonight.

5-DIME COLORADO ROCKIES -1' RUNS (WITH De La Rosa over Sanchez) - It’s short and sweet in this NL West showdown, as Jorge De La Rosa comes in on a personal five-game winning streak, while the Rockies are 8-1 in his last nine trips to the hill (including one relief appearance). Colorado is 5-0 in his last five outings (four starts) at home, including last Monday, when he limited the D’Backs to one run on four hits over seven innings of a 10-6 road win. He has a 1.98 ERA in his last four starts and should be fired up with a showdown with Jonathan Sanchez, who threw the first no-hitter of the 2009 season. This is a showdown for the National League Wild Card lead, and the Rockies will be out for revenge after last night’s 3-1 setback to Frisco, which is mired in a 3-6 slide. Lay the run line tonight with Colorado.





FROM CORK
 

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KBHoops

Another winning night Friday as I went 2-1 +5 units and won my POD on the Tigers/Whitesoxs Under! Now 13-6 68.42% +35 units on the week. Your winning card for Saturday is below

5* LA Dodgers UNDER 9 **POD**
5* NY Yankees UNDER 10.5
5* LA Angels UNDER 9.5 +116
5* Philadelphia UNDER 10 +105
5* Arizona UNDER 9 +105

GL, KB :toast:
 
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Ben lee Eck lost on Friday with the Dodgers -$160/Marlins.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" is juiced up even more with the R Sox -$220/Orioles.

"Mr Chalk" is 1-1 -$60 for the week and 58-38 -$60 for the MLB season.
 

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SAFEST WAGERS - Belmont, 7/25/09
Doubles, Pick 3, Pick 4:
Race 7) 1/5/10 (add # 11, if a scratch)
Race 8) 1/7 (add # 6, if a scratch)
Race 9) 1/2/7 (add # 6, if a scratch)
Race 10) 1/2/6/10 (If a scratch, condense)

Race 10) 7 Furlongs Md 35000 Selection: 10

# 10 - Dont Quit Your Day Job*
Made a very strong move in last against runaway leader (Judge Well), before tying up a little. Connections think this lightly raced gelding will be much tighter today. There are some slow ones, so he should be able to get some early position. Can't pass with morning line of 8-1.

Safer Bet:
a) # 10 to Win, Place or Show

Exotics:
c) Tri Box: 1/2/6/10 (add # 5 if a scratch)
d) Super Box: 1/2/6/10 (add # 5 if a scratch)
 

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The Duke's Sports

Complimentary MLB Premium for Saturday:
LA Angels (-110) [Palmer over Blackburn] for 1.5 Units *'
Twins/Angels 4:10: The Angels are knocking the cover off the ball now and should lend
continued high run support to converted reliever Matt Palmer. Palmer, who benefited
from 7+ rpg support in his starts early in the year, should turn in some quality innings vs
a Minnesota team batting just .246 vs righties this month. And the Angels' bullpen has
been getting it done (2.81 ERA last 10). We'll look for the hot Angels' lineup to get the
best of Nick Blackburn, who hasn't fared well on the road; as a matter of fact, the Twins
are 0-11 with Blackburn on the road against teams above .500. And Blackburn got
hammered for 6 ER in 4 2/3 innings the last time he faced Anaheim (8/23/08). The
Angels are a sweet 22-5 following a win and 22-8 in this series in Anaheim. Angels the
call.
 

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