********
SSG
Minnesota v. Texas 8pm
PICK: Twins ML ev (8*)
Here is one of the plays from PremierCappers who were 4-0 yesterday and on a 5-0 run since the All Star break
Dodgers RL +110 for 4 units-
Well the Dodgers have lost their first two games of the series and I believe that is going to provide some motivation for them to win and win big today. The Pitching matchup in this game is Kershaw (7-5 3.16 ERA) vs. Hampton (5-6 4.52 ERA). Kershaw has been lights out this season and has had 10 quality starts his last 10 games and in his last 6 games he has given up 3 ER in 35.2 innings. Hampton has been hot and cold all season long and pretty much when he does not start against Pittsburgh he has been terrible. He gave up 5 runs to Washington his last game and I believe he has faced a lot of easy competition. Kershaw did struggle his last game against Houston having his worst outing this season. But that was in Houston in April and Kershaw will be looking to pitch a gem today. The Dodgers are still 13 games over .500 at home this season and I think that they will show up today.
SSG
Minnesota v. Texas 8pm
PICK: Twins ML ev (8*)
Here is one of the plays from PremierCappers who were 4-0 yesterday and on a 5-0 run since the All Star break
Dodgers RL +110 for 4 units-
Well the Dodgers have lost their first two games of the series and I believe that is going to provide some motivation for them to win and win big today. The Pitching matchup in this game is Kershaw (7-5 3.16 ERA) vs. Hampton (5-6 4.52 ERA). Kershaw has been lights out this season and has had 10 quality starts his last 10 games and in his last 6 games he has given up 3 ER in 35.2 innings. Hampton has been hot and cold all season long and pretty much when he does not start against Pittsburgh he has been terrible. He gave up 5 runs to Washington his last game and I believe he has faced a lot of easy competition. Kershaw did struggle his last game against Houston having his worst outing this season. But that was in Houston in April and Kershaw will be looking to pitch a gem today. The Dodgers are still 13 games over .500 at home this season and I think that they will show up today.
Randall the Handle
Colorado –1.09 over SAN DIEGO PINNACLE
The Rockies have come in here and have beaten the Padres both games while outscoring them 15-4 and it sure doesn’t look like this one will be any different. Jason Hammel has outstanding credentials when he’s not pitching at Coors. He’s started seven games on the road, covering 50 innings, and has posted a 1.97 ERA in those starts. In those 50 frames the league is hitting just .227 off him and he’s allowed just two bombs. Hammel also has excellent control, as his 21 walks in 89 innings this season will attest to. The Rockies are hot and the Padres are the Padres. Kevin Correia has a 4.68 ERA at Petco and that’s equivalent to having about an ERA of 6.50 anywhere else. In three July starts his BAA is .324 and his ERA is 5.94. Lastly, the Rocks are 15-4 in its last 19 road games while the pathetic Padres have won eight of its last 31 games. This is a very cheap lay on the far superior team in a good spot. Play: Colorado –1.09 (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).
CFL
SASKATCHEWAN +4½ over Montreal
It’s very tempting to play the Riders straight up, as every dog that’s covered this year has not needed the points. The Riders may not either as they come in 2-0 and have looked very impressive thus far. It’s also worth noting that Darian Durant has never lost a game as a starter in his career and as it turns out, the Als blowout win over the Eskies last week has a lot less weight after Edmonton got blown out by the Lions on Thursday. Anyway, you don’t need me to tell you that the Alouettes are a damn good football team with an explosive offense and a ton of weapons. However, the Riders are good too and this venue is as tough as any for the opposition to win at. The Roughrider defense is one that puts a ton of pressure on the QB and so far in two games that defense has caused 13 turnovers. That’s a staggering number and a significant one. Lastly, the Riders have won four of the last five meetings between the two teams and that includes all three games at Mosaic Stadium, which is just more proof of how difficult it is to win here. Play: Saskatchewan +4½ (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).
Colorado –1.09 over SAN DIEGO PINNACLE
The Rockies have come in here and have beaten the Padres both games while outscoring them 15-4 and it sure doesn’t look like this one will be any different. Jason Hammel has outstanding credentials when he’s not pitching at Coors. He’s started seven games on the road, covering 50 innings, and has posted a 1.97 ERA in those starts. In those 50 frames the league is hitting just .227 off him and he’s allowed just two bombs. Hammel also has excellent control, as his 21 walks in 89 innings this season will attest to. The Rockies are hot and the Padres are the Padres. Kevin Correia has a 4.68 ERA at Petco and that’s equivalent to having about an ERA of 6.50 anywhere else. In three July starts his BAA is .324 and his ERA is 5.94. Lastly, the Rocks are 15-4 in its last 19 road games while the pathetic Padres have won eight of its last 31 games. This is a very cheap lay on the far superior team in a good spot. Play: Colorado –1.09 (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).
CFL
SASKATCHEWAN +4½ over Montreal
It’s very tempting to play the Riders straight up, as every dog that’s covered this year has not needed the points. The Riders may not either as they come in 2-0 and have looked very impressive thus far. It’s also worth noting that Darian Durant has never lost a game as a starter in his career and as it turns out, the Als blowout win over the Eskies last week has a lot less weight after Edmonton got blown out by the Lions on Thursday. Anyway, you don’t need me to tell you that the Alouettes are a damn good football team with an explosive offense and a ton of weapons. However, the Riders are good too and this venue is as tough as any for the opposition to win at. The Roughrider defense is one that puts a ton of pressure on the QB and so far in two games that defense has caused 13 turnovers. That’s a staggering number and a significant one. Lastly, the Riders have won four of the last five meetings between the two teams and that includes all three games at Mosaic Stadium, which is just more proof of how difficult it is to win here. Play: Saskatchewan +4½ (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).
Fantasy Sports Gametime
Saturday Plays (100* 3-Team MLB Parlay)
100* Play Kansas City (-125) over Tampa Bay (TOP MLB PARLAY)
Tampa Bay has lost 21 of the last 29 road games when the line posted is +125 to
-125 and they have also lost 13 of the last 17 road games when playing in the
month of July. Tampa Bay has lost 18 of the last 26 road games vs. AL Central
Division Opponents and Scott Kazmir has an ERA of 7.11 this season. Kansas City
has won 7 of the last 9 games as a home favorite of -125 to -150 and Zack
Greinke is 6-2 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.88.
100* Play Florida (-120) over Philadelphia (TOP MLB PARLAY)
Florida has won 15 of the last 21 home games when the total posted is between 7
and 8.5 runs and they have also won 17 of the last 28 games as a favorite of
-125 to -175. Josh Johnson has won 15 of the last 17 games vs. division
opponents and he is also 4-1 at home this season with an ERA of 1.98.
100* Play Pittsburgh (-115) over San Francisco (TOP MLB PARLAY)
San Francisco has lost 15 of the last 21 games as a road underdog of +100 to
+150 and they have also lost 8 of the last 11 road games when the total posted
is between 9 and 9.5 runs. Barry Zito has lost 11 consecutive games vs. NL
Central Division Opponents and he is also 1-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA
of 7.42
CFL Football
50* Play Montreal (-5) over Saskatchewan (CFL TOP PLAY)
Montreal has won 3 of the last 4 games as a road favorite of 7 points or less
and they have also won 3 of the last 4 games coming off two or more consecutive
OVER the totals. Saskatchewan has lost 14 of the last 19 games against the
spread coming off a game with a turnover margin of +3 and they are allowing an
average of 30 points a game on defense this season.
Saturday Plays (100* 3-Team MLB Parlay)
100* Play Kansas City (-125) over Tampa Bay (TOP MLB PARLAY)
Tampa Bay has lost 21 of the last 29 road games when the line posted is +125 to
-125 and they have also lost 13 of the last 17 road games when playing in the
month of July. Tampa Bay has lost 18 of the last 26 road games vs. AL Central
Division Opponents and Scott Kazmir has an ERA of 7.11 this season. Kansas City
has won 7 of the last 9 games as a home favorite of -125 to -150 and Zack
Greinke is 6-2 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.88.
100* Play Florida (-120) over Philadelphia (TOP MLB PARLAY)
Florida has won 15 of the last 21 home games when the total posted is between 7
and 8.5 runs and they have also won 17 of the last 28 games as a favorite of
-125 to -175. Josh Johnson has won 15 of the last 17 games vs. division
opponents and he is also 4-1 at home this season with an ERA of 1.98.
100* Play Pittsburgh (-115) over San Francisco (TOP MLB PARLAY)
San Francisco has lost 15 of the last 21 games as a road underdog of +100 to
+150 and they have also lost 8 of the last 11 road games when the total posted
is between 9 and 9.5 runs. Barry Zito has lost 11 consecutive games vs. NL
Central Division Opponents and he is also 1-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA
of 7.42
CFL Football
50* Play Montreal (-5) over Saskatchewan (CFL TOP PLAY)
Montreal has won 3 of the last 4 games as a road favorite of 7 points or less
and they have also won 3 of the last 4 games coming off two or more consecutive
OVER the totals. Saskatchewan has lost 14 of the last 19 games against the
spread coming off a game with a turnover margin of +3 and they are allowing an
average of 30 points a game on defense this season.
KEVIN ROGERS
Brewers at Reds
Pick: Brewers +115
The Brewers look for a rebound effort tonight after getting shut out by Bronson Arroyo and the Reds on Friday, 4-0. Milwaukee is 4-1 this season after scoring zero runs in its last game, facing Aaron Harang tonight. Harang's record is just 5-9 this season, coming off a loss at the Mets in which he allowed eight hits and 5 ER in just 3 IP to a very mediocre offense. The Reds righty was racked in his earlier meeting with the Brewers this season at Miller Park, giving up 12 hits and 8 ER in 4.1 IP of a 9-5 loss. Manny Parra, meanwhile, has not been successful this season at 3-8. However, Parra spent time on the DL, then in the minors to find his control. Parra had a solid outing against the Cardinals before the All-Star Break, going seven scoreless innings, allowing three hits. The Brewers bullpen blew the game for Parra, but it seems like the lefty is regaining his confidence. The Reds are just 4-12 L16 after a win since June 1, and this team has failed to find consistency for nearly two months following a nice start.
I'll take Milwaukee in this role as a road dog to beat Cincinnati.
Brewers at Reds
Pick: Brewers +115
The Brewers look for a rebound effort tonight after getting shut out by Bronson Arroyo and the Reds on Friday, 4-0. Milwaukee is 4-1 this season after scoring zero runs in its last game, facing Aaron Harang tonight. Harang's record is just 5-9 this season, coming off a loss at the Mets in which he allowed eight hits and 5 ER in just 3 IP to a very mediocre offense. The Reds righty was racked in his earlier meeting with the Brewers this season at Miller Park, giving up 12 hits and 8 ER in 4.1 IP of a 9-5 loss. Manny Parra, meanwhile, has not been successful this season at 3-8. However, Parra spent time on the DL, then in the minors to find his control. Parra had a solid outing against the Cardinals before the All-Star Break, going seven scoreless innings, allowing three hits. The Brewers bullpen blew the game for Parra, but it seems like the lefty is regaining his confidence. The Reds are just 4-12 L16 after a win since June 1, and this team has failed to find consistency for nearly two months following a nice start.
I'll take Milwaukee in this role as a road dog to beat Cincinnati.
IC
4 Unit Play.
* Take the Cincinatti Reds -120 over the Milwaukee Brewers (Saturday @ 7pm est).
Harang comes off one of his worst starts of the year where he gave up 5 runs in 3 innings in his last start to the Mets and the Reds still nearly won 7-9.* Prior to that he gave up 5 runs in 13 innings which helped the Reds win both contests 3-2 and 4-3. Harang did face the Brewers earlier this year and got rocked as he gave up 8 runs in just over 4 innings in Milwaukee.* The Brewers will send Parra to the mound as he comes off one of his best starts of the year. Manny gave up 0 runs in 7 innings in his last start and I expect him to have a bit of a let down today.* Bear in mind that Manny faced the Reds earlier this year in Cincy and despite giving up 8 hits in 6 innings, the Brewers ended up winning easily 15-3.* I believe that Harang will look to bounce-back both from his last start and his terrible start against the Brew Crew in his last effort.* The Brewers are 0-6 in Parra's last 6 starts when the total is set at this range and the Reds are 7-1 when Harang starts when a total is set at this range.
*4 Unit Play.*
Take Under 142.5 between the New York Liberty @ Washington Mystics (Saturday @ 7pm est).* Let's revert back to totals which was helping us be successful last week.* These two teams have not met this year as the 4-7*Liberty hit the road to face the 6-6 Mystics. Something that has to catch our eye is the fact that Washington is only a small favorite today by -4.5 and the line actually has come down from an opening line of -5 down to -4.5 despite 66% of the public riding Washington at home here.* This leads me to beleive that this total is likely to go under today because this is more than likely going to be*a defensive game.* When the Liberty played the Fever for example, the ended up losing 54-63, and when they played the Silver Stars, they ended up losing 60-63 on the road.* I have a Washington as a prototype in pace as these two teams and I am led to believe that if New York plays Washington, this total is likely to go into the low 130's and the total coming down adds evidence to that.* Washington comes off giving up 79 points to the Silver Stars in their last home game and i expect to focus a bit more defensively today as this game likely dips under.* The Under is 5-1 when the Liberty play on three days rest and the Under is 5-2 in the Mystics last 7 contests against the Eastern Conference.
4 Unit Play.
* Take the Cincinatti Reds -120 over the Milwaukee Brewers (Saturday @ 7pm est).
Harang comes off one of his worst starts of the year where he gave up 5 runs in 3 innings in his last start to the Mets and the Reds still nearly won 7-9.* Prior to that he gave up 5 runs in 13 innings which helped the Reds win both contests 3-2 and 4-3. Harang did face the Brewers earlier this year and got rocked as he gave up 8 runs in just over 4 innings in Milwaukee.* The Brewers will send Parra to the mound as he comes off one of his best starts of the year. Manny gave up 0 runs in 7 innings in his last start and I expect him to have a bit of a let down today.* Bear in mind that Manny faced the Reds earlier this year in Cincy and despite giving up 8 hits in 6 innings, the Brewers ended up winning easily 15-3.* I believe that Harang will look to bounce-back both from his last start and his terrible start against the Brew Crew in his last effort.* The Brewers are 0-6 in Parra's last 6 starts when the total is set at this range and the Reds are 7-1 when Harang starts when a total is set at this range.
*4 Unit Play.*
Take Under 142.5 between the New York Liberty @ Washington Mystics (Saturday @ 7pm est).* Let's revert back to totals which was helping us be successful last week.* These two teams have not met this year as the 4-7*Liberty hit the road to face the 6-6 Mystics. Something that has to catch our eye is the fact that Washington is only a small favorite today by -4.5 and the line actually has come down from an opening line of -5 down to -4.5 despite 66% of the public riding Washington at home here.* This leads me to beleive that this total is likely to go under today because this is more than likely going to be*a defensive game.* When the Liberty played the Fever for example, the ended up losing 54-63, and when they played the Silver Stars, they ended up losing 60-63 on the road.* I have a Washington as a prototype in pace as these two teams and I am led to believe that if New York plays Washington, this total is likely to go into the low 130's and the total coming down adds evidence to that.* Washington comes off giving up 79 points to the Silver Stars in their last home game and i expect to focus a bit more defensively today as this game likely dips under.* The Under is 5-1 when the Liberty play on three days rest and the Under is 5-2 in the Mystics last 7 contests against the Eastern Conference.
Tony Salinas Baseball
Saturday, July 18, 2009
24*
Redsox {B.Penny} (-115) over Bluejays {M.Rzepczynski}
1:07 PM -- Rogers Centre
Cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from left to right field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.
25*
Whitesox {M.Buehrle} (-155) over Orioles {B.Bergesen}
4:10 PM -- U.S. Cellular Field
Cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to left field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
26*
Braves {K.Kawakami} (+100) over Ny Mets {J.Santana}
4:10 PM -- Turner Field
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
Saturday, July 18, 2009
24*
Redsox {B.Penny} (-115) over Bluejays {M.Rzepczynski}
1:07 PM -- Rogers Centre
Cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from left to right field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.
25*
Whitesox {M.Buehrle} (-155) over Orioles {B.Bergesen}
4:10 PM -- U.S. Cellular Field
Cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to left field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
26*
Braves {K.Kawakami} (+100) over Ny Mets {J.Santana}
4:10 PM -- Turner Field
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
The Duke's Sports
Complimentary MLB Premium for Saturday:
Detroit (+150) [Verlander over Sabathia] for 1.5 Units
Detroit/NYY 1:05: We like the pitching matchup here; after all, Verlander has consistently thrown well this year (11-5 in 16 starts), controls 1.96 ERA in 46 innings of daytime work, and the Tigers are 5-1 vs NYY with Verlander. On the other hand, Sabathia has had momentary lapses of concentration recently, resulting in a bloated 5.59 ERA over his last 3 starts. And he is just 3-6 with a 5.16 ERA over his last 10 starts vs Detroit, and 0-3 with a 5.67 ERA in 7 daytimes starts this season. The Tigers are 18-8 vs lefty starters and we'll side with the road team.
Complimentary MLB Premium for Saturday:
Detroit (+150) [Verlander over Sabathia] for 1.5 Units
Detroit/NYY 1:05: We like the pitching matchup here; after all, Verlander has consistently thrown well this year (11-5 in 16 starts), controls 1.96 ERA in 46 innings of daytime work, and the Tigers are 5-1 vs NYY with Verlander. On the other hand, Sabathia has had momentary lapses of concentration recently, resulting in a bloated 5.59 ERA over his last 3 starts. And he is just 3-6 with a 5.16 ERA over his last 10 starts vs Detroit, and 0-3 with a 5.67 ERA in 7 daytimes starts this season. The Tigers are 18-8 vs lefty starters and we'll side with the road team.
Thanks for all your posts Cork!! :toast: I'm just starting out so this may be considered a dumb question...Are we suppose to stay with Jake Timlin's Boston pick even though Tallet's not pitching for Toronto like it says in his write up or is considered 'no action' due to Rzepczynski pitching...
