1 OF WUNDERDOG MLB RUN LINE PLAYS
Game: Minnesota at St. Louis (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: St. Louis +1.5 runs -160 (runline)
The Minnesota Twins will go with Kevin Slowey this afternoon against the Cardinals’ Todd Wellemeyer. Solwey has a deck full of aces so far as he is 10-2 on the season despite an average ERA of 4.04. It is because the Twins have scored 5+ runs in 70% of his starts, which is considerably above what this team has done on the season. Slowey has not been good on the road, where despite the run support, the Twins are 1-3 in his last four road starts - pitching to a 5.06 ERA. The Twins have struggled to a 14-22 mark on the road this season, and when favored, are just 2-9. The Cards have struck big in interleague play against right-hand pitching where they stand 37-15 over their last 52 in this situation. Getting a run and a half against a team that has struggled on the road and a pitcher with misleading numbers, against a team cashing big in this spot has a ton of value. That puts me on the runline with the Cards.
Game: Minnesota at St. Louis (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: St. Louis +1.5 runs -160 (runline)
The Minnesota Twins will go with Kevin Slowey this afternoon against the Cardinals’ Todd Wellemeyer. Solwey has a deck full of aces so far as he is 10-2 on the season despite an average ERA of 4.04. It is because the Twins have scored 5+ runs in 70% of his starts, which is considerably above what this team has done on the season. Slowey has not been good on the road, where despite the run support, the Twins are 1-3 in his last four road starts - pitching to a 5.06 ERA. The Twins have struggled to a 14-22 mark on the road this season, and when favored, are just 2-9. The Cards have struck big in interleague play against right-hand pitching where they stand 37-15 over their last 52 in this situation. Getting a run and a half against a team that has struggled on the road and a pitcher with misleading numbers, against a team cashing big in this spot has a ton of value. That puts me on the runline with the Cards.
IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Saturday June 27, 2009 4:10 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 9.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)
4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 between LA Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Saturday @ 4:10pm est). I love riding John Lackey when he comes to play after a loss and today is no different. Lackey lost to the Dodgers in his last start which was also a non-quality start as he gave up 4 runs in 8 innings and he looks to get back on track against the Dbacks. He has yet to hav back to back nonquality starts this year and consequently riding him on the road here makes sense. Davis pitched extremely well in his last outing as he gave up just 1 run in 7 inning at Seattle. But, despite pitching well, Davis is 0-1-2 in his last 3 starts as he looks for the "W" which has alluded him overall this year as he is 3-8 but with a solid 3.34 era. I look for both Davis and Lackey to pitch well today as each looks for a win and are on the bounce-back as the line of 9.5 is a bit high in my opinion for this contest.
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Saturday June 27, 2009 4:10 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 9.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)
4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 between LA Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Saturday @ 4:10pm est). I love riding John Lackey when he comes to play after a loss and today is no different. Lackey lost to the Dodgers in his last start which was also a non-quality start as he gave up 4 runs in 8 innings and he looks to get back on track against the Dbacks. He has yet to hav back to back nonquality starts this year and consequently riding him on the road here makes sense. Davis pitched extremely well in his last outing as he gave up just 1 run in 7 inning at Seattle. But, despite pitching well, Davis is 0-1-2 in his last 3 starts as he looks for the "W" which has alluded him overall this year as he is 3-8 but with a solid 3.34 era. I look for both Davis and Lackey to pitch well today as each looks for a win and are on the bounce-back as the line of 9.5 is a bit high in my opinion for this contest.
Craig Davis
Saturday's Lineup
50 Dime ---- PHILLIES (With Happ and Mills as listed pitchers)
PHILLIES --- A complete pitching mismatch and I'm all over it. This game is really the only game on the board today worth playing, and it starts early so don't get cheated. The Phillies are so overdue for a win it's not even funny, and with their dominant road record this season I have no problem asking you to step out a little bit this afternoon. Folks, these guys aren't the defending World Series champs for nothing, and every losing streak must come to an end. If you compare how well they've played on the road to what they've done at home, it's no contest. This team is still the best in baseball on the road, and facing a guy like Brad Mills today, this win is going to be all too easy.
Brad Mills is 5-11, 185 soaking wet and is making his second start of the season against a lineup like Philly... you know they are asking for trouble. What's more, the only start of his career came last week vs. this same Philly team and it was disastrous. Though he didn't earn a loss, he did surrender six hits and four earned runs (four walks) in just three and two-thirds innings. The Blue Jays did eventually end up winning the game (8-7) but it definitely had nothing to do with Mills' performance. You honestly can't expect a rookie pitcher like Mills to battle the defending champs for the second straight time and come out on top. It didn't happen the first time around and it's not going to happen today.
As for Philadelphia, they definitely left their bats in Philly as evidenced by one run in 9 innings vs. Toronto Friday night. Cole Hamels clearly didn't have his best outing, yet the Blue Jays didn't really take advantage of it until later in the game. Today, the Jays get to face J.A. Happ and his 3.47 ERA. Though he's never faced the Jays in his career, Happ has done rather well in Interleague games so far this year, holding both the Yankees and Orioles to two earned runs in at least six innings of work. He's not the ace of the staff, but he sure has filled in nicely when the other starters struggle. Happ's biggest problem this year has been control, walking 10 in the last two games, but according to reports there has been a minor tweak to his pitching mechanics that is supposed to help him improve his overall control.
Toronto has won six straight vs. Philly, dating back to last year, and you know how hard it is to keep a team down for long. The Phillies simply won't allow the Jays to continue this streak... not with as much pride as they have. The Phils are 20-7 in their last 27 games as a road favorite and 7-3 in Happ's last ten starts. The Jays are 1-5 in their last six Saturday games and 1-4 in games following another game in which they allowed 2 or fewer runs. Too many factors here in our favor and that's why I'm all over the Phillies to dominate from start to finish.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------GL GUYS
Saturday's Lineup
50 Dime ---- PHILLIES (With Happ and Mills as listed pitchers)
PHILLIES --- A complete pitching mismatch and I'm all over it. This game is really the only game on the board today worth playing, and it starts early so don't get cheated. The Phillies are so overdue for a win it's not even funny, and with their dominant road record this season I have no problem asking you to step out a little bit this afternoon. Folks, these guys aren't the defending World Series champs for nothing, and every losing streak must come to an end. If you compare how well they've played on the road to what they've done at home, it's no contest. This team is still the best in baseball on the road, and facing a guy like Brad Mills today, this win is going to be all too easy.
Brad Mills is 5-11, 185 soaking wet and is making his second start of the season against a lineup like Philly... you know they are asking for trouble. What's more, the only start of his career came last week vs. this same Philly team and it was disastrous. Though he didn't earn a loss, he did surrender six hits and four earned runs (four walks) in just three and two-thirds innings. The Blue Jays did eventually end up winning the game (8-7) but it definitely had nothing to do with Mills' performance. You honestly can't expect a rookie pitcher like Mills to battle the defending champs for the second straight time and come out on top. It didn't happen the first time around and it's not going to happen today.
As for Philadelphia, they definitely left their bats in Philly as evidenced by one run in 9 innings vs. Toronto Friday night. Cole Hamels clearly didn't have his best outing, yet the Blue Jays didn't really take advantage of it until later in the game. Today, the Jays get to face J.A. Happ and his 3.47 ERA. Though he's never faced the Jays in his career, Happ has done rather well in Interleague games so far this year, holding both the Yankees and Orioles to two earned runs in at least six innings of work. He's not the ace of the staff, but he sure has filled in nicely when the other starters struggle. Happ's biggest problem this year has been control, walking 10 in the last two games, but according to reports there has been a minor tweak to his pitching mechanics that is supposed to help him improve his overall control.
Toronto has won six straight vs. Philly, dating back to last year, and you know how hard it is to keep a team down for long. The Phillies simply won't allow the Jays to continue this streak... not with as much pride as they have. The Phils are 20-7 in their last 27 games as a road favorite and 7-3 in Happ's last ten starts. The Jays are 1-5 in their last six Saturday games and 1-4 in games following another game in which they allowed 2 or fewer runs. Too many factors here in our favor and that's why I'm all over the Phillies to dominate from start to finish.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------GL GUYS
Chris Jordan
Saturday's Winner ...
800♦ RANGERS RUN LINE - 1. The starting pitchers do not matter in this game. 2. The reference to "First Half" is in regards to the first half of the regular season - not the first half (first 5 innings) of the game.
Yes, I am coming right back with the Rangers for the second straight night, as the value is with this rejuvenated bunch. After finishing its series in the desert with the Diamondbacks by securing a 9-8 thriller Thursday night, last night’s blowout went exactly as I described it would.
So with the Padres playing their fifth straight road game in as many nights, and the fact they’ve now lost 18 of their last 25, this should be another beatdown for what is potentially one of the most explosive lineups in the league.
I knew damn well the Rangers found their offense in the desert and sure enough you saw how dialed in that lineup was last night, putting double digits up for us. As I told you last night, we’re dealing with one of the worst teams in the league – both offensively and defensively – so laying the run line in Arlington again shouldn’t be an issue, as I the Rangers blowing things out again.
Last night we pummeled Walter Silva, tonight we’re going to attack Kevin Correia, who is due to get shelled. I know he’s pitched well since June 6, but these Rangers are playing far too good to ignore when they’re swinging sticks.
Correia is 4-5 with a 4.26 ERA this season, and will continue his road woes. The right-hander is 1-3 on the road this season, and has an ERA of 4.56 with a suitcase in hand. I know he looked good against the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine on June 10, but that was during a time L.A. was struggling to put runs on the board. Again, we’re talking about one of the most lethal lineups in the league.
As I said yesterday, Texas led the majors with 901 runs last season, and this year’s team came into this series ranking 15th in the league before putting 12 on the board last night. It has a better record this season, it’s clearly frustrated with the fact it is scoring less than nearly a full run per game and the outbursts the last two nights tell me we’re about to see a nice little run by this team right up to the All-Star Break.
Once the lead is in hand, we’ll be banking on Derek Holland to shut this team down. And while I know the southpaw has struggled tremendously, and is now 0-3 with a 5.60 ERA in his last five starts, remember that he’s going up against a Padres team that has a league-worst batting average of .234.
I told you last night I was picking my spots, and tonight is a perfect time for back-to-back blowouts in Arlington. Take the Rangers on the run line as they drill the visiting Padres once again, with no problem whatsoever.
NOTE: - Don't forget to subscribe to my Tweets on twitter.com, as I tweet along with you during some of the biggest sporting events live, or during certain times of the week. I'll answer your questions or simply chat along with you as we watch the games this summer.
Then, in no time at all it'll be time for preseason of the NFL and eventually, on game days, we'll talk football!!! Get the link to my Twitter page on MY HOMPAGE of this website.
Also - Listen to me live on the Men's Dugout Show on Sundays by visiting www.mensdugout.com and clicking in the lower lefthand corner. Hosted by Tara Grace, Men's Dugout is the ultimate destination for men getting the most out of life
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS
Saturday's Winner ...
800♦ RANGERS RUN LINE - 1. The starting pitchers do not matter in this game. 2. The reference to "First Half" is in regards to the first half of the regular season - not the first half (first 5 innings) of the game.
Yes, I am coming right back with the Rangers for the second straight night, as the value is with this rejuvenated bunch. After finishing its series in the desert with the Diamondbacks by securing a 9-8 thriller Thursday night, last night’s blowout went exactly as I described it would.
So with the Padres playing their fifth straight road game in as many nights, and the fact they’ve now lost 18 of their last 25, this should be another beatdown for what is potentially one of the most explosive lineups in the league.
I knew damn well the Rangers found their offense in the desert and sure enough you saw how dialed in that lineup was last night, putting double digits up for us. As I told you last night, we’re dealing with one of the worst teams in the league – both offensively and defensively – so laying the run line in Arlington again shouldn’t be an issue, as I the Rangers blowing things out again.
Last night we pummeled Walter Silva, tonight we’re going to attack Kevin Correia, who is due to get shelled. I know he’s pitched well since June 6, but these Rangers are playing far too good to ignore when they’re swinging sticks.
Correia is 4-5 with a 4.26 ERA this season, and will continue his road woes. The right-hander is 1-3 on the road this season, and has an ERA of 4.56 with a suitcase in hand. I know he looked good against the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine on June 10, but that was during a time L.A. was struggling to put runs on the board. Again, we’re talking about one of the most lethal lineups in the league.
As I said yesterday, Texas led the majors with 901 runs last season, and this year’s team came into this series ranking 15th in the league before putting 12 on the board last night. It has a better record this season, it’s clearly frustrated with the fact it is scoring less than nearly a full run per game and the outbursts the last two nights tell me we’re about to see a nice little run by this team right up to the All-Star Break.
Once the lead is in hand, we’ll be banking on Derek Holland to shut this team down. And while I know the southpaw has struggled tremendously, and is now 0-3 with a 5.60 ERA in his last five starts, remember that he’s going up against a Padres team that has a league-worst batting average of .234.
I told you last night I was picking my spots, and tonight is a perfect time for back-to-back blowouts in Arlington. Take the Rangers on the run line as they drill the visiting Padres once again, with no problem whatsoever.
NOTE: - Don't forget to subscribe to my Tweets on twitter.com, as I tweet along with you during some of the biggest sporting events live, or during certain times of the week. I'll answer your questions or simply chat along with you as we watch the games this summer.
Then, in no time at all it'll be time for preseason of the NFL and eventually, on game days, we'll talk football!!! Get the link to my Twitter page on MY HOMPAGE of this website.
Also - Listen to me live on the Men's Dugout Show on Sundays by visiting www.mensdugout.com and clicking in the lower lefthand corner. Hosted by Tara Grace, Men's Dugout is the ultimate destination for men getting the most out of life
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS
