Dave Malinsky
4* #920 TORONTO BLUE JAYS (Ray)-125 over Chicago White Sox (Colon)
We believe that the Blue Jays are being sold at less than what the home field advantage is worth in this one, creating a serious value situation for a team that the markets simply refuse to accept, and an ideal opponent for us to buck in this setting. The offensive and defensive gaps here are monsters. Toronto has out-scored Chicago by 82 runs, with major edges in batting average (#1 in the A.L. at .289 vs. #13 at .250), doubles (89, which is tied for #1, vs. 48, which is dead last), home runs (47 vs. 35) and walks (147 vs. 105). Defensively the Blue Jays are #1 in the A.L., and #2 in the Major Leagues, on our best set of ratings, while the White Sox are #13 in the league and #29 overall. And we believe that is magnified here on the faster playing surface of the Rogers Centre. So why the short price? Part of that is the lack of respect for Toronto despite that 24-14 opening to the season, and more comes from the fact that Bartolo Colon has a name and Robert Ray does not. But Colon?s 2-3/4.88 might be all that there is at this stage of his career, and his two wins came vs. a Minnesota team playing without Joe Mauer, and punchless Seattle. His three road outings have been an ugly 0-2/7.90, and a hot Blue Jay offense will get some good swings. Meanwhile Ray is a young guy with talent that needs some time on the mound, but we do not need anything all that special from him here ? just a couple of good passes through the lineup before turning it over to a deep bullpen that does not carry any significant fatigue ratings.
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4* phily / wash over
3* mets