Service Plays Saturday 04/18/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Ryan 10*

Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan

Game: Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers Apr 18 2009 10:30PM
Prediction: Houston Rockets
Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Houston as the travel to face Portland slated to start at 10:35 EST. AiS shows an 86% probability that Houston will lose this game by 4 or fewer points and also has a 63% probability of winning the game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 40-19 ATS mark for 68% winners since 1996. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two good offensive teams scoring 98-102 PPG after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games. AiS also shows a 93% probability that Houston will hit between 32 adn 36% of their 3-point shots. Note that Houston is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Houston is a strong 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. Portland is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. Houston is a solid Rockets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest; 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus NBA Northwest division. I strongly beleive the biggest advantage for Houston is their physicality. Specifically, the fact that Ron Artest ad Battier will be able to contain Roy. Houston will force Portland’s other players to hit shots from the perimeter and not allow Roy to have a big scoring game and minimize his abilities to penetrate and then dish off to an open team mate on the perimeter. Plus, I see a huge advantage of Houston’s top scorer Ming in the paint. Take Houston.<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Asian Executive 200% Guaranteed MLB Detroit

Jim Hurley pay after Arizona & San Antonio
Premium Portland

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext id=modified_141995 vAlign=bottom></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Johnny Guild

Saturday, April 18, 2009 3:00 PM EST.
(8) Detroit Pistons (0-0) at (1) Cleveland Cavaliers (0-0)
Detroit has played poorly away from home, just 18-23 on the road this season, going 13-28 ATS. A very difficult undertaking going against LeBron James and crew at home, 39-2 this year, 28-13 ATS. Take the top seeded Cleveland Cavaliers to grab their fifth straight playoff win against the Pistons in a hard fought defensive battle.
Cleveland Cavaliers -12

Saturday, April 18, 2009 10:30 PM EST.
No. 4 Portland Trail Blazers (54-28) vs. No. 5 Houston Rockets (53-29)
The Rockets have won seven of of the last eight clashes versus the Trail Blazers, but will have a big assignment tonight at the Rose Garden without Tracy McGrady and Rafter Alston. Houston is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and 2-4 ATS in its last 6 at the Garden. Take the Blazers at home in a close battle.
Portland Trail Blazers -4.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

any Nover?

so you know...

Stephen Nover

Detroit at Cleveland
Play: Detroit +12

The Cavaliers are going to find themselves with a battle on their hands in this first game.This is a different Detroit team than the Cavaliers have seen all season. The Cavaliers game-planned for Allen Iverson in their four meetings versus Detroit this season.The Pistons aren't using Iverson and they are a better team because of it. For the first time since the beginning of the season, the Pistons are healthy with starters Rasheed Wallace, Antonio McDyess, Richard Hamilton and Rodney Stuckey rested and ready.The Pistons also have a secret weapon - guard Will Bynum. The Cavaliers haven't faced him yet.The Cavaliers may come out rusty since it has been five days since LeBron James, Mo Williams and Zydrunas Ilgauskas last saw action.This figures to be a defensive war. The extremely low total indicates that. So taking this many points is really big.The Cavaliers certainly figure to win this Game 1 matchup, but it won't come as easy as many think.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VR

2* Blackhawks
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[tommywashington]

DGB Sports (Best Bets are 17-2L19) They have 2 NBA best bets for today. Only was able to get the first one ($75)

Cleveland Cavs -12

They have another one in the Dallas/SA game if anyone wants to get it.

They win again. Anyone have the later game? I picked up the earlier game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

From a good friend of the forum- Thanks!

Indian Cowboy

6 Unit Series Wager.

PARLAY DENVER -220 & ORLANDO -1000 for the Series.

A 6 Unit Wager will yield you 3.6 Units here. Given that each of our plays are 4 Units, this is a standard wager for us and we are riding two teams that both have home court advantages and have a nice set of advantages in this series. I talk about each series in the daily page on the Research, so I will have more thoughts on these two teams tomorrow. But, bear in mind that the Nuggets closed the year very strong. They have won 8 of their last 10 and I love the fact they come off a 76-104 loss at Portland. That's great. In fact, Karl probably wanted his team to come off that loss so they remain focused and fired up for this game. These two teams have met four times so far this year and have actually split. Each team has won home once and each team has won on the road once. Denver won 101-88 last time out on the road, New Orleans won 94-81 at home prior to that, Denver won 105-100 at home and New Orleans won 101-105 on the road. But, the difference to this series and frankly, the difference in how these two teams finished the regular season is the fact that Denver has a bench that is stepping up with JR Smith and has a General this year as compared to last year. Billups has stabilized this team to 54 wins on the year, plus New Orleans has just not been clicking well to close the year out. This team has lost 6 of their last 8 and finished 1-3 on the road this year. Again, I love the fact that Denver comes off an ugly loss to Portland the road, they win at home on Sunday, and I expect them to pick up right where they left off winning 7 of their last 9 as compared to New Orleans who simply won 2 of their last 8. I got nothing against New Orleans, this team is solid, plays strong defense and has a great general of their own in Chris Paul. But, bear in mind the way New Orleans struggled on the road at San Antonio, at Dallas, losing 66-86 at Houston, the home court advantage of Denver, I suspect Denver wins this series in 6 games as they pluck off a road win in the process. As per Orlando, not much needs to be said outside the fact Orlando has covered and won all 3 times these two teams have met, the Magic are well rested, and Philadelphia comes into this game 1-6 over their last 7 games and even the win at Cleveland in OT was a failed cover as they were laying 3 as Lebron was out in that game. Denver in 6 and Orlando in 5.
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[brady1983]

Ness Final Night Play

Larry's Saturday Night Delight

The Tigers went 95-67 in 2006, making it all the way to the World Series, where they were upset by the Cardinals. They fell to 88-74 in 2007 and then last year, went just 74-88. At minus-$2,917, they finished as MLB's third-worst team vs the moneyline. The Mariners were MLB's second-worst moneyline team in 2008 (minus-$3,598), going 61-101, just a year after being the majors' second-best moneyline team in 2007, at plus-$1,9124 (88-74). The Mariners opened a three-game home series with the Tigers last night, winning 6-3. While the Tigers are now 5-5 in the early part of 2009, Seattle (despite Ichiro missing the first seven games) is an AL-best 8-3 and plus-$627 vs the moneyline. The Tigers went 34-47 on the road last year and have opened 1-4 this year (outscored 3.8-to-6.0 RPG). Detroit will send Edwin Jackson to the mound. Jackson began his career in Southern California (with both the Angels and Dodgers) but then wound up in Tampa. He was a terrible 5-15 with a 5.76 ERA in 2007 (team went 8-23 in his starts) but pitched pretty well for the AL champs last year, going 14-11 with a 4.42 ERA (team was 17-14). He signed with the Tigers for this season and while he's yet to get a decision in two starts, he's had two solid outings (3.38 ERA). However, I like the way the Mariners have opened this season and will take them again tonight (had a Bonus Play winner on them, Friday). Seattle traded five prospects to Baltimore for Bedard prior to last season but hip and back problems plagued him early on in 2008 and a shoulder injury ended his season after going 6-4 with a 3.67 ERA in 15 starts (team was 8-7). He had gone 28-16 (3.47) with Baltimore the previous two seasons (Orioles were 36-25) and the Mariners were counting on him to anchor their staff. Then again, as already stated, not much went right ofr Seattle in 2008. The Mariners have to be happy with the way Bedard has opened the 2009 season. He's 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA and should be 2-0. He allowed three runs in five innings at Minnesota on April 7 but with the Mariners up 5-3 in the ninth, Seattle's closer allowed three runs, after getting the first two batters out! Bedard then came within two outs of recording his second career shutout in a 1-0 win at Oakland this past Sunday. He's struck out 15 batters this year, while walking just one! The Tigers were great vs lefties in 2006 and 07 but last year fell to just 26-22 against them. Bedard leads a pitching staff which tops the AL in ERA at 3.01 (3rd-best in MLB) and that includes a bullpen which owns a 2.56 ERA (also No. 1 in the AL and third-best in the majors). Seattle's won seven of eight and the team's 8-3 mark ties the franchise record for the best 11-game start in team history. The winning continues tonight.

Saturday Night Delight on the Sea Mariners

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

best sports picks nba

houston
dallas
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[SteveMcQueen]

Allsportspicks

Caps -190
Blackhawks -150

 

[bcizzle20]

why always the prop bets on totals? why dont they just pick a side

He picks the o/u's cuz the juice is usually even or close, the moneyline for outright winners is usually heavy juice for the favorite.

 

[SteveMcQueen]

best sports picks nba

houston
dallas
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I just logged in to their site and for me it says Portland and Spurs :think2: They giving out both sides?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

I just logged in to their site and for me it says Portland and Spurs :think2: They giving out both sides?

Good question Steve, I got these somewhere else so I would go with your plays unless they're trying to catch posters.

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Good question Steve, I got these somewhere else so I would go with your plays unless they're trying to catch posters.

Maybe. They aren't any good anyway just wondering what they are pulling here. No biggie.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Do you know what is his website?,

Thanks Can'tPickaWinner

I don't think he has one and I'm not sure he actually is real, but I see it so I post it and hope that anyone that sees it uses their heads. sorry, if I find a website I will certainly post it for you. Thanks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maybe. They aren't any good anyway just wondering what they are pulling here. No biggie.

I agree, not on my list to tail or fade but thanks for the heads up!:toast:

 

[SteveMcQueen]

I agree, not on my list to tail or fade but thanks for the heads up!:toast:

No problem buddy :toast: <><>

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Eddie Mush

6* Bulls +8.5
6* Portland -4.5
10* Cavs -12

Sorry it's late.

 

[LocksRus]

Ness Final Night Play

Larry's Saturday Night Delight

The Tigers went 95-67 in 2006, making it all the way to the World Series, where they were upset by the Cardinals. They fell to 88-74 in 2007 and then last year, went just 74-88. At minus-$2,917, they finished as MLB's third-worst team vs the moneyline. The Mariners were MLB's second-worst moneyline team in 2008 (minus-$3,598), going 61-101, just a year after being the majors' second-best moneyline team in 2007, at plus-$1,9124 (88-74). The Mariners opened a three-game home series with the Tigers last night, winning 6-3. While the Tigers are now 5-5 in the early part of 2009, Seattle (despite Ichiro missing the first seven games) is an AL-best 8-3 and plus-$627 vs the moneyline. The Tigers went 34-47 on the road last year and have opened 1-4 this year (outscored 3.8-to-6.0 RPG). Detroit will send Edwin Jackson to the mound. Jackson began his career in Southern California (with both the Angels and Dodgers) but then wound up in Tampa. He was a terrible 5-15 with a 5.76 ERA in 2007 (team went 8-23 in his starts) but pitched pretty well for the AL champs last year, going 14-11 with a 4.42 ERA (team was 17-14). He signed with the Tigers for this season and while he's yet to get a decision in two starts, he's had two solid outings (3.38 ERA). However, I like the way the Mariners have opened this season and will take them again tonight (had a Bonus Play winner on them, Friday). Seattle traded five prospects to Baltimore for Bedard prior to last season but hip and back problems plagued him early on in 2008 and a shoulder injury ended his season after going 6-4 with a 3.67 ERA in 15 starts (team was 8-7). He had gone 28-16 (3.47) with Baltimore the previous two seasons (Orioles were 36-25) and the Mariners were counting on him to anchor their staff. Then again, as already stated, not much went right ofr Seattle in 2008. The Mariners have to be happy with the way Bedard has opened the 2009 season. He's 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA and should be 2-0. He allowed three runs in five innings at Minnesota on April 7 but with the Mariners up 5-3 in the ninth, Seattle's closer allowed three runs, after getting the first two batters out! Bedard then came within two outs of recording his second career shutout in a 1-0 win at Oakland this past Sunday. He's struck out 15 batters this year, while walking just one! The Tigers were great vs lefties in 2006 and 07 but last year fell to just 26-22 against them. Bedard leads a pitching staff which tops the AL in ERA at 3.01 (3rd-best in MLB) and that includes a bullpen which owns a 2.56 ERA (also No. 1 in the AL and third-best in the majors). Seattle's won seven of eight and the team's 8-3 mark ties the franchise record for the best 11-game start in team history. The winning continues tonight.

Saturday Night Delight on the Sea Mariners

Brady, do you have his MLB Insider play as well?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brady, do you have his MLB Insider play as well?

post #31

Larry's Las Vegas Insider - MLB

Las Vegas Insider Min Twins <!-- / message --><!-- edit note -->