THIS GUY IS DOMINATING IN ALL SPORTS!!!
BetThisPick
SpOrTs-JuNkiE's 09-15-14 ($500 Play of the Day!!)
125-93-7 L/225 plays +$12,970!!
201-154-9 L/364 plays +$17,015!!
233-178-11 L/422 plays +$20,570!!
263-205-12 L/480 plays +$22,190!!
2014 Record:131-103-7 / +$10,370 (56% WINNERS)
January:15-15-1 / -$875
February: 18-10-1 / +$3,400
March: 21-12-2 / +$3,875
April: 16-15-0 / +$60
May:17-11-1 / +$2,960
June: 16-12-1 / +$1,660
July:10-15-1 / +$-2,970
August:12-10-0 /+$825
September:6-3-0 / +$1,435
2014 Season Records By Sport
MLB: 66-52-3 / +$6,020
NCAAF:3-1-0 / +$975
NFL: 2-0-0 / +$1,000
NBA: 0-0-0 / +$0.00
NCAAB: 0-0-0 / +$0.00
OVERALL: 71-53-3 / +$7,995
09-15-14 Play of the Day
$500 MLB Play : Seattle ML +100
(Pending)
BetThisPick
SpOrTs-JuNkiE's 09-15-14 ($500 Play of the Day!!)
125-93-7 L/225 plays +$12,970!!
201-154-9 L/364 plays +$17,015!!
233-178-11 L/422 plays +$20,570!!
263-205-12 L/480 plays +$22,190!!
2014 Record:131-103-7 / +$10,370 (56% WINNERS)
January:15-15-1 / -$875
February: 18-10-1 / +$3,400
March: 21-12-2 / +$3,875
April: 16-15-0 / +$60
May:17-11-1 / +$2,960
June: 16-12-1 / +$1,660
July:10-15-1 / +$-2,970
August:12-10-0 /+$825
September:6-3-0 / +$1,435
2014 Season Records By Sport
MLB: 66-52-3 / +$6,020
NCAAF:3-1-0 / +$975
NFL: 2-0-0 / +$1,000
NBA: 0-0-0 / +$0.00
NCAAB: 0-0-0 / +$0.00
OVERALL: 71-53-3 / +$7,995
09-15-14 Play of the Day
$500 MLB Play : Seattle ML +100
(Pending)
From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER
PHILADELPHIA (279) AT INDIANAPOLIS (280)
Latest Line: Colts -3; Total: 54.5
The Eagles erased a 17-0 halftime deficit with 34 unanswered points in a 34-17 win over the Jaguars. QB Nick Foles threw for 322 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while WR Jeremy Maclin hauled in four passes for 97 yards and the game-winning score for Philadelphia. The Colts trailed the Broncos 31-10 early in the fourth quarter before losing 31-24. QB Andrew Luck threw for 370 yards with two touchdowns in the game but was not able to bring his team back to tie it. Since 1992, the Colts are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS head-to-head against the Eagles.
STATFOX SIX PACK:
• INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the L3 seasons.
• INDIANAPOLIS is 14-5 ATS in dome games over the L3 seasons.
• INDIANAPOLIS is 10-1 ATS at home after playing their last game on the road over the L3 seasons.
• PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS away after playing a game where 50+ total points were scored since 1992.
• PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 under the 1H total after 1 or more consecutive wins over the L2 seasons.
• PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 under the 1H total in all lined games over the L2 seasons.
STATFOX FORECASTER
PHILADELPHIA (279) AT INDIANAPOLIS (280)
Latest Line: Colts -3; Total: 54.5
The Eagles erased a 17-0 halftime deficit with 34 unanswered points in a 34-17 win over the Jaguars. QB Nick Foles threw for 322 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while WR Jeremy Maclin hauled in four passes for 97 yards and the game-winning score for Philadelphia. The Colts trailed the Broncos 31-10 early in the fourth quarter before losing 31-24. QB Andrew Luck threw for 370 yards with two touchdowns in the game but was not able to bring his team back to tie it. Since 1992, the Colts are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS head-to-head against the Eagles.
STATFOX SIX PACK:
• INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the L3 seasons.
• INDIANAPOLIS is 14-5 ATS in dome games over the L3 seasons.
• INDIANAPOLIS is 10-1 ATS at home after playing their last game on the road over the L3 seasons.
• PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS away after playing a game where 50+ total points were scored since 1992.
• PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 under the 1H total after 1 or more consecutive wins over the L2 seasons.
• PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 under the 1H total in all lined games over the L2 seasons.
BOB BALFE
CHICAGO CUBS +105
(Wood/Simon)
The Reds are not going to make the postseason this year mainly because of their bullpen and road play. The Cubs are awful on the road which is why their record is so bad, but at home they are a decent team for the talent they lack. Neither starter has been pitching well at all so the bullpen edge does go to the Cubs. It’s tough for the Reds to play out the rest of this month knowing there is no playoff push for them this season. For the Cubs it’s just another Monday at Wrigley. Take Chicago
CHICAGO CUBS +105
(Wood/Simon)
The Reds are not going to make the postseason this year mainly because of their bullpen and road play. The Cubs are awful on the road which is why their record is so bad, but at home they are a decent team for the talent they lack. Neither starter has been pitching well at all so the bullpen edge does go to the Cubs. It’s tough for the Reds to play out the rest of this month knowing there is no playoff push for them this season. For the Cubs it’s just another Monday at Wrigley. Take Chicago
MLB early-week betting cheat sheet: Stroman a strong Under play
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the early-week major-league games:
Away Faves Dominate
Sunday was a strong day for away favorites, which went 4-1 SU; The L.A. Dodgers (-173), Washington (-164), Oakland (-154) and Miami (-110) all prevailed. That continues a strong stretch for road faves, which are 17-11 SU over the past seven days overall.
Push Party
The New York Mets (-137, 6.5) host the Miami Marlins on Monday in the opener of a three-game set. The Mets lead the majors with 18 pushes on the season, while the Marlins finished with a league-best 17 a season ago and ranks fifth in the league with 11 so far this season.
Big Over vs. Big Under
The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies represent a contract in totals as they do battle Tuesday night at Petco Park. The Padres enter the week as the league’s strongest Under play at 55-88-5, while the Phillies are tied with the Marlins for the most Overs in the NL at 77.
Pitching Notes
* Look for another strong outing from Toronto Blue Jays rookie Marcus Stroman as he prepares to face the host Baltimore Orioles (-120, 7.5). Stroman is 2-7-1 O/U over his last 10 starts - thanks to a 3.23 ERA over that span - and has allowed just six home runs in 114 2/3 innings.
* San Francisco right-hander Jake Peavy will attempt to keep his hot streak going Tuesday as he faces off against the host Arizona Diamondbacks. Peavy is 5-1 SU and 2-4 O/U over his last six starts while surrendering just five total runs over that span.
Hitting Notes
* Miami outfielder Marcell Ozuna has picked up the slack in the absence of major-league home-run leader Giancarlo Stanton. Ozuna enters Monday’s showdown with the Mets batting .370 with four home runs, six RBIs and an .815 slugging percentage over the past seven days.
* Washington outfielder Jayson Werth may have his hands full Tuesday as he and the Nationals square off against right-hander Aaron Harang and the Atlanta Braves. Werth has just three hits in 25 career at-bats versus Harang while striking out 11 times.
Totals Streak
Boston Red Sox (4-1 O/U): It’s rare for an AL East team to find itself on an Over streak - three of the five clubs have fewer than 65 Overs for the year - but the Red Sox are on a run thanks to an offense that has averaged five runs over a five-game span. Boston is 64-82-4 O/U for the year.
Prop of the Day
Bettors should take a look at a first-inning run being scored Monday between the Giants and visiting Diamondbacks (-110). San Francisco leads the majors with a .293 first-inning batting average, while the Diamondbacks are close behind in fourth (.275).
Injury Notes
* Oakland Athletics catcher Stephen Vogt likely won’t return from ankle injury until later this week at the earliest. The Athletics have struggled during Vogt’s absence, going 4-6 SU, 2-8 O/U and -503 units over that span.
* New York Yankees outfielder Carlos Beltran took batting practice without issue Sunday and may return to the lineup Monday. Beltran has missed the last five games with bone spurs in his right elbow; in 38 games missed this season, the Yankees are 18-20 Su, 14-24 O/U and -394 units.
Weather Watch
* Wind at Wrigley Field will blow in from left field at 12 mph for Monday’s encounter between the host Cubs (+104, 7) and the Cincinnati Reds. Teams combined to hit a paltry 0.88 home runs in eight games under similar conditions a season ago - well below the stadium average of 2.16.
** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 11:45 a.m. ET Monday.
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the early-week major-league games:
Away Faves Dominate
Sunday was a strong day for away favorites, which went 4-1 SU; The L.A. Dodgers (-173), Washington (-164), Oakland (-154) and Miami (-110) all prevailed. That continues a strong stretch for road faves, which are 17-11 SU over the past seven days overall.
Push Party
The New York Mets (-137, 6.5) host the Miami Marlins on Monday in the opener of a three-game set. The Mets lead the majors with 18 pushes on the season, while the Marlins finished with a league-best 17 a season ago and ranks fifth in the league with 11 so far this season.
Big Over vs. Big Under
The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies represent a contract in totals as they do battle Tuesday night at Petco Park. The Padres enter the week as the league’s strongest Under play at 55-88-5, while the Phillies are tied with the Marlins for the most Overs in the NL at 77.
Pitching Notes
* Look for another strong outing from Toronto Blue Jays rookie Marcus Stroman as he prepares to face the host Baltimore Orioles (-120, 7.5). Stroman is 2-7-1 O/U over his last 10 starts - thanks to a 3.23 ERA over that span - and has allowed just six home runs in 114 2/3 innings.
* San Francisco right-hander Jake Peavy will attempt to keep his hot streak going Tuesday as he faces off against the host Arizona Diamondbacks. Peavy is 5-1 SU and 2-4 O/U over his last six starts while surrendering just five total runs over that span.
Hitting Notes
* Miami outfielder Marcell Ozuna has picked up the slack in the absence of major-league home-run leader Giancarlo Stanton. Ozuna enters Monday’s showdown with the Mets batting .370 with four home runs, six RBIs and an .815 slugging percentage over the past seven days.
* Washington outfielder Jayson Werth may have his hands full Tuesday as he and the Nationals square off against right-hander Aaron Harang and the Atlanta Braves. Werth has just three hits in 25 career at-bats versus Harang while striking out 11 times.
Totals Streak
Boston Red Sox (4-1 O/U): It’s rare for an AL East team to find itself on an Over streak - three of the five clubs have fewer than 65 Overs for the year - but the Red Sox are on a run thanks to an offense that has averaged five runs over a five-game span. Boston is 64-82-4 O/U for the year.
Prop of the Day
Bettors should take a look at a first-inning run being scored Monday between the Giants and visiting Diamondbacks (-110). San Francisco leads the majors with a .293 first-inning batting average, while the Diamondbacks are close behind in fourth (.275).
Injury Notes
* Oakland Athletics catcher Stephen Vogt likely won’t return from ankle injury until later this week at the earliest. The Athletics have struggled during Vogt’s absence, going 4-6 SU, 2-8 O/U and -503 units over that span.
* New York Yankees outfielder Carlos Beltran took batting practice without issue Sunday and may return to the lineup Monday. Beltran has missed the last five games with bone spurs in his right elbow; in 38 games missed this season, the Yankees are 18-20 Su, 14-24 O/U and -394 units.
Weather Watch
* Wind at Wrigley Field will blow in from left field at 12 mph for Monday’s encounter between the host Cubs (+104, 7) and the Cincinnati Reds. Teams combined to hit a paltry 0.88 home runs in eight games under similar conditions a season ago - well below the stadium average of 2.16.
** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 11:45 a.m. ET Monday.
VegasButcher - Washington Nationals -135
The Braves are coming off a 2-7 road trip and their chances for the playoffs are becoming slimmer and slimmer by the day. Today they’ll take on a Washington team that is 6-2 in their last 8 games and will have their stud Strasburg on the mound. Let’s ignore the actual stats and take a look at SIERA’s of both Strasburg and Santana against their respective opponent tonight:
Strasburg: 4.0 (04/05) / 2.0 (06/20) / 2.2 (08/08) / 1.6 (09/10)
Santana: 1.6 (06/22) / 4.6 (08/08) / 5.1 (09/09)
Based on SIERA, Strasburg didn’t pitch well against the Braves early in the year (04/05) but he’s been spectacular since, holding this 24th ranked lineup to an average SIERA of 1.9 in the last 3 starts. By comparison, Santana was stellar in his first meeting with Washington (06/22) but has been horrible in the other two later in the year, averaging a SIERA of 4.9. It’s not a surprise as the ‘unfamiliarity’ wore off as the season went on and the Nats have been excellent against both the fastball and slider, which are Santana’s two primary pitches. I’ll back the better team in this one with a strong advantage in starting pitching tonight.
The Braves are coming off a 2-7 road trip and their chances for the playoffs are becoming slimmer and slimmer by the day. Today they’ll take on a Washington team that is 6-2 in their last 8 games and will have their stud Strasburg on the mound. Let’s ignore the actual stats and take a look at SIERA’s of both Strasburg and Santana against their respective opponent tonight:
Strasburg: 4.0 (04/05) / 2.0 (06/20) / 2.2 (08/08) / 1.6 (09/10)
Santana: 1.6 (06/22) / 4.6 (08/08) / 5.1 (09/09)
Based on SIERA, Strasburg didn’t pitch well against the Braves early in the year (04/05) but he’s been spectacular since, holding this 24th ranked lineup to an average SIERA of 1.9 in the last 3 starts. By comparison, Santana was stellar in his first meeting with Washington (06/22) but has been horrible in the other two later in the year, averaging a SIERA of 4.9. It’s not a surprise as the ‘unfamiliarity’ wore off as the season went on and the Nats have been excellent against both the fastball and slider, which are Santana’s two primary pitches. I’ll back the better team in this one with a strong advantage in starting pitching tonight.
