STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NBA REPORT
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 23rd 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 2/23/15 National Basketball Association Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational and Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystemsSports.net. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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Betting News & Notes – Week #18
A New Playoff Format For The NBA Might Add Excitement: The Brooklyn Nets are on pace to finish 34-48 this season. The Nets are also on pace to make the NBA playoffs. By now it's not exactly a major news flash that the Eastern Conference isn't anywhere near as deep as the Western Conference... or, perhaps, most wading pools. The Nets and Miami Heat, who would both be in the playoffs if they started today with records way below .500, wouldn't be the worst teams in NBA history to make the postseason.
Chicago, San Antonio and Boston have all had teams that, when combining regular-season and postseason records, have had teams make the playoffs with winning percentages of .419 or less twice. And the Bulls, Spurs and Celtics franchises are basketball royalty. But even they're not immune to down times. One of the ideas that has been floated - and will likely one day happen, somehow - is for the best 16 teams to make the playoffs, regardless of conference. So here's a look at what that playoff bracket would look like, if this season ended Sunday:
#1 Golden State vs. #16 New Orleans
#2 Atlanta vs. #15 Phoenix
#3 Memphis vs. #14 Oklahoma City
#4 Houston vs. #13 Milwaukee
#5 Toronto vs. #12 Washington
#6 L.A. Clippers vs. #11 Cleveland
#7 Dallas vs. #10 San Antonio
#8 Portland vs. #9 Chicago
Seriously, who wouldn't take that right now (except Miami and Brooklyn, who would fall off the postseason bracket in this system)? Anthony Davis vs. the Splash Brothers in a first-round series. Chris Paul matching wits with LeBron James to open the playoffs (and everyone who follows college basketball's postseason knows an 11 seed has to beat a 6 seed every year). Bulls vs. Blazers, a rematch of NBA Finals past in an opening-round matchup. It's not like the playoffs need to get more exciting. Last year's postseason might have been the most scintillating in league history. But if the NBA wanted to make a change, this one seems like it would work.
Here's some of what to watch for around the NBA this week:
•KNICKS WATCH: On their way to the worst season in franchise history, the Knicks will continue their attempt to win a game without Carmelo Anthony. New York is 0-15 without Anthony this season, and visits the Celtics on Wednesday, visits the Pistons on Friday and plays host to the Raptors on Saturday.
•WARRIORS-CAVS: It's not too early for an NBA Finals preview. Golden State travels to Cleveland on Thursday night, a nationally televised game that will surely get tons of attention. Golden State won the season's first meeting last month by 18, though that was with LeBron James sitting out.
•THUNDER WITHOUT KD: Oklahoma City has climbed back onto the Western Conference playoff bracket after its disastrous start, and now tries to stay there with Kevin Durant set to miss at least a week because of pain in his surgically repaired foot. The Thunder play four games this week, including a trip to Phoenix - also jostling for that No. 8 spot out West - on Thursday.
•KORVER CHASING HISTORY: Atlanta sharpshooter Kyle Korver's chase of history continues. Only one player in NBA history has finished a full season shooting 50 percent from the field, 50 percent from 3-point range and 90 percent from the foul line, and that was Steve Kerr for the Bulls in 1995-96. Korver is currently at 50 percent from the field, 51 percent from 3-point range and 90 percent from the line.
•WELCOME BACK, KG:Kevin Garnett puts a Minnesota uniform on again Wednesday, when the Timberwolves play host to Washington. Wind chills in Minneapolis on Wednesday night are expected to be below zero, and be assured that no one lucky enough to have tickets to this one will be deterred.
•STAT LINE OF THE WEEK: Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City: There were two 30-point, 10-assist games in the NBA this past week, and Westbrook had them both. He scored 34 points and had 10 assists against Dallas on Feb. 19, then had a 33-point, 10-assist effort against Charlotte two days later. Combined, he was also 23 for 23 from the line in those two games.
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Inside the Paint – Monday
•Hot Teams
-- Raptors won four of last five games (4-7 last 11 A).
-- Bucks won four of last five games (12-3-1 last 16 AU). Chicago won six of its last seven games (1-5 last six HF).
-- Minnesota won four of last six games (10-2 last 12 AU).
-- Jazz won three of their last four games (3-1 last four HU).
-- Memphis won 11 of its last 13 games (2-6-1 last nine AU). Clippers won/covered their last four games (7-4 last 11 HF).
•Cold Teams
-- Miami lost seven of last ten games (2-9-1 last 12 HF). 76ers lost four of last five games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Pelicans lost four of last five games; now Davis is hurt (0-4 last four H)
-- Rockets lost three of their last five games (7-2-1 last ten HF).
-- Spurs lost three of their last five games (1-4 last five AF).
-- Phoenix lost seven of last eight games (8-4 last 12 HF). Celtics lost three of their last four (10-2 last 12 AU).
-- Nets lost three of their last four games (3-1 AF). Nuggets lost eight of their last nine games (4-5 HU).
•Totals
-- Five of last seven Philly road games stayed under; Miami's last five games all went over.
-- Five of last six New Orleans home games went over; Houston's last four games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Last three Houston games stayed under total; three of Minnesota's last four games went over.
-- Seven of Spurs' last eight road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix home games stayed under.
-- Six of last nine Brooklyn road games went over.
-- Five of last six Memphis road games stayed under.
•Series Records
-- 76ers won three of last five games with Miami.
-- Raptors won six of last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Bulls won their last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Rockets won six of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Spurs won six of last seven games with Utah.
-- Suns won their last three games with Boston; they just traded Thomas to Celtics- he got thrown out of his first game with Boston last night.
-- Nets lost five of their last six visits to Denver.
-- Clippers lost seven of their last eight games with Memphis.
•Back-To-Backs
-- 76ers are 9-5 vs. spread if they played night before.
-- Milwaukee is 4-2 vs. spread if they played night before.
-- Denver is 0-4 vs. spread at home if they played night before.
-- Memphis is 5-5 vs. spread if they played night before.
•East vs. West
-- SU: West 175-120 ATS: West 149-143-3
-- East teams HF vs. West: 40-40
-- East teams HU vs. West: 34-38
-- West teams HF vs. East: 58-59-3
-- West teams HU vs. East: 13-12
Hoop Trends - Monday
•MILWAUKEE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 100.7, OPPONENT 95.7.
•CHICAGO is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 107.2, OPPONENT 105.2.
•DENVER is 1-15 (-20.3 Units) against the money line after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 96.3, OPPONENT 104.6.
•PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 (-11.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 40.7, OPPONENT 52.9.
•MINNESOTA is 22-6 UNDER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 45.8, OPPONENT 52.5.
•JEFF HORNACEK is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of PHOENIX.
The average score was HORNACEK 108.4, OPPONENT 100.3.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (LA CLIPPERS) - an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.
(38-10 since 1996.) (79.2%, +27.0 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 104.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.7, Opponent 48.3 (Total first half points scored = 99)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
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