Service Plays Monday 2/16/15

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VIRGINIA -12 vs Pittsburgh
VIRGINIA -12 -109 over Pittsburgh

The “too good to be true” angle comes into play in this one. Saturday was a day filled with big upsets and surprise winners. A large majority of bettors couldn’t help but fade Pittsburgh as a 3½-point dog at home to North Carolina. All those Tar Heels' backers watched in horror as Pittsburgh went nuts from the field and buried 89 points on North Carolina in a rather easy 13-point victory. Now those same folks see the Panthers getting 12 points at Virginia and they are going to scoop up those points in a hurry. With the NBA off, bettors who don’t bet NHL now have a small college card to choose from and this is the opening game of ESPN’s “Big Monday”. When a featured game has an enticing line, the prudent play is to side with the books. Folks are going to back Pitt here based on Saturday’s performance and that’s probably a mistake. Not only is this a huge letdown spot for the Panthers but this very average team has one road cover in their last 11 tries. Pitt has played just six road games all year and they have one victory to show for it. That lone win occurred in OT by a single point over Boston College. On the road, Pitt lost to Hawaii by 4 points, to Indiana by 12, to N.C. State by 18, to Duke by 14 to Va Tech by 3 and finally to Louisville by 13. This is Pitt’s third straight game against a ranked opponent in five days and they are just not good enough to compete with the #2 ranked team after a hugely emotional win on Saturday.

Not only does Pitt have appeal based on Saturday’s result, but Virginia has little appeal based on their Saturday result as well. As an 18-point favorite over Wake, Virginia got the scare of the season when they won by a single point. Wake has four conference wins in 13 games. One can never put too much emphasis on one game. Virginia took the Deacs lightly and nearly paid the price. To think that this juggernaut of a team is going to come up lame twice in three days is not reasonable. Virginia can and have held opponents to under 50 points with regularity. They are capable of blowing away a much lesser team like Pitt when said team is not in a favorable spot. Pitt is an extremely weak traveler and the price here says they’re not going to have a very good game. We’re on board with that.

Our Pick
VIRGINIA -12 -109 (Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)



NCAA Hoops Season To Date:
RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday100.00+2.00
Last 30 Days1890.00+18.38
Season to Date32190.00+24.98
 

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Welcome to Ecks & Bacon for Monday, February 16, 2015 (aka Chalk or benjamin lee Eckstein)

Pittsburgh +13-

If you have not walked the Virginia campus at Charlottesville, you NEED to. It was designed by Thomas Jefferson, who lived a few dribbles up the hill in Monticello, and it is spectacular! Speaking of dribbling, we're gonna rock the visiting Pittsburgh Panthers +13.5 points over UVA. We have one reason, Justin Anderson. The Cavaliers lost Anderson, their LEADING SCORER, back on February 7 (fractured finger) in a game against Louisville. The Cavs wound up winning that game 52-47, by ONLY five points. Then they beat NC State, 51-47, ONLY four points, and Wake Forest, 61-60, ONLY one point. To say that Virginia is struggling on offense without an All-American type player like Anderson would be a huge understatement. Okay, put me down for a HUGE understatement. And it's not only his offense that is missed. He is a great defender, maybe the best individual stopper on the team. UVA has covered only one of the last six, while Pitt has covered three of the last four. Gimme half a Benjamin on Pittsburgh.
 

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Falcon Sports (39-23 run: NHL 23-9 and NBA 16-14

2 units Montreal Canadiens +115
 
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NY SPORTS GENIUS

5 units

(NHL) Rangers moneyline (+120)
(NHL) Wild moneyline (-120)

3 units

(NCAAB) Creighton +2.5 (-110)
(NHL) Red Wings moneyline (-135)
(NHL) Jets/Oilers – Over 5.5 (+105)
 
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Scott Spreitzer | NHL Money Line

dime bet – 62 COL (-179) vs 61 ARI
Analysis: I’m laying a rare big money line price on Monday with Colorado, my Slap Shot side. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer
 
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PREDICTION MACHINE

AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc
709 9:15 PM BUTLER @CREIGHTON -2.5 5.5 57.0% $48

STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
709 9:15 PM Butler @Creighton 67.0 61.4 66.6%

OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc
710 9:15 PM BUTLER @ CREIGHTON 129.5 128.4 Under 51.4% $0
 
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VEGAS SHARP
3 Units
707 Kansas -1.5 over West Virginia

2 Units
706 Georgia Tech -2.5 over Clemson

3 Units
709 Butler -2.5 over Creighton

2 Units
703 Pittsburgh +12 over Virginia
+12.5
 
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10 Game of the Month Total Play · Under [53] Carolina Hurricanes vs. [54] Ottawa Senators
The Professional Mon Feb 16th, 2015 7:35pm EST
 

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