VegasButcher (NBA)
Denver Nuggets -6.5
Kings are on a b2b and playing their 3rd game in 4 nights here. They are coming off a big home win against Portland and followed that up with an emotional win @ LAC, as Collison faced his former team. Collison and Gay played 39 minutes, Thompson 37, and Cousins 34. The bench didn’t do much yesterday and I’m wondering if ‘fatigue’ could be an issue for the Kings tonight, especially playing in Denver. Nuggets rank 5th in pace so far as this team always looks to push the tempo, especially at home. They haven’t played well just yet, but do have better depth than the Kings, are more rested, and of course they’re at home.
Utah Jazz +9
Yesterday, the Clips got embarrassed as a 9.5 home favorite, losing to the Kings. Today, this team is on a b2b and playing their 4th game in 5 nights, a very tough spot to be in. They also have games against GSW, POR, and SAS on the horizon, potential ‘look ahead’ spots, though I doubt that would be the case after a loss. Clippers played Utah in the pre-season twice, losing by 13 on the road and winning by 4 at home. It seemed like the Jazz matched up pretty well against the Clips in those 2 games, especially the on in Staples Center where LA’s starters all played ‘regular season’ type of minutes. With the way Clippers are playing right now, there’s no reason to expect another close game tonight.
NFL
New York Giants +3.5
I've sent out NYG +3.5 (-120) yesterday as a play for today, but I would play the Giants at +3 also.
Analysis:
In the last 8 years with Coughlin in charge, the Giants are 7-1 SU after a BYE week. The Giants are also 6-3 ATS after 2+ consecutive losses in their last 9 games. Today, they are in such a scenario while at the same time being listed as a 3-point underdog at home. The Colts rank 31st defensively on the road this year and their 13.2 YPPT (Yards Per Point) allowed on the road is one of the worst marks in the league. This team has been able to compensate offensively of course, but even there they're been fairly turnover-prone lately. In their last 4 games they've had 4, 2, 2, 2 TO's in each. NY by comparison has only registered 7 TO's in their last 5 games. Giants under-performed @ PHI and @ DAL in their last two games but they've put up 30, 45, 30 points in the 3 games prior, against defenses that closely resembled Colts' mediocre unit. I think we'll see a very good game today with both teams scoring some points, but catching 3 points on a home team provides solid value here. My model has this one at 26-25 Giants, and I'll grab the FG tonight.
Denver Nuggets -6.5
Kings are on a b2b and playing their 3rd game in 4 nights here. They are coming off a big home win against Portland and followed that up with an emotional win @ LAC, as Collison faced his former team. Collison and Gay played 39 minutes, Thompson 37, and Cousins 34. The bench didn’t do much yesterday and I’m wondering if ‘fatigue’ could be an issue for the Kings tonight, especially playing in Denver. Nuggets rank 5th in pace so far as this team always looks to push the tempo, especially at home. They haven’t played well just yet, but do have better depth than the Kings, are more rested, and of course they’re at home.
Utah Jazz +9
Yesterday, the Clips got embarrassed as a 9.5 home favorite, losing to the Kings. Today, this team is on a b2b and playing their 4th game in 5 nights, a very tough spot to be in. They also have games against GSW, POR, and SAS on the horizon, potential ‘look ahead’ spots, though I doubt that would be the case after a loss. Clippers played Utah in the pre-season twice, losing by 13 on the road and winning by 4 at home. It seemed like the Jazz matched up pretty well against the Clips in those 2 games, especially the on in Staples Center where LA’s starters all played ‘regular season’ type of minutes. With the way Clippers are playing right now, there’s no reason to expect another close game tonight.
NFL
New York Giants +3.5
I've sent out NYG +3.5 (-120) yesterday as a play for today, but I would play the Giants at +3 also.
Analysis:
In the last 8 years with Coughlin in charge, the Giants are 7-1 SU after a BYE week. The Giants are also 6-3 ATS after 2+ consecutive losses in their last 9 games. Today, they are in such a scenario while at the same time being listed as a 3-point underdog at home. The Colts rank 31st defensively on the road this year and their 13.2 YPPT (Yards Per Point) allowed on the road is one of the worst marks in the league. This team has been able to compensate offensively of course, but even there they're been fairly turnover-prone lately. In their last 4 games they've had 4, 2, 2, 2 TO's in each. NY by comparison has only registered 7 TO's in their last 5 games. Giants under-performed @ PHI and @ DAL in their last two games but they've put up 30, 45, 30 points in the 3 games prior, against defenses that closely resembled Colts' mediocre unit. I think we'll see a very good game today with both teams scoring some points, but catching 3 points on a home team provides solid value here. My model has this one at 26-25 Giants, and I'll grab the FG tonight.
NonStopSportsPicks
NBA
2* Pelicans/Grizzlies Under
Plain and simple...after Tony Allen yelled at the team for lack of defensive effort, look for a low-paced, UNDER scoring game between two teams that are definitely defensive minded. Add to that the fact we LOVE UNDERs early in the season as teams learn, acclimate, and adjust...we'll take a stab here!
NBA
2* Pelicans/Grizzlies Under
Plain and simple...after Tony Allen yelled at the team for lack of defensive effort, look for a low-paced, UNDER scoring game between two teams that are definitely defensive minded. Add to that the fact we LOVE UNDERs early in the season as teams learn, acclimate, and adjust...we'll take a stab here!
