from IC's email list. Paid and confirmed
Cavs +3.5 (POD)
Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.