Service Plays Monday 11/24/08

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Johnny Guild

Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Bobcats

Philadelphia is 2-6 both straight-up and against the spread on the road, 1-6 ATS in its last 7 clashes in Charlotte. The home team in this series has been lucrative, 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. However, Charlotte has cave in, dropping six of their last 7 games, just 2-8 in its last 10. Take the 76ers. Look for Philadelphia and forward Elton Brand to outscore the tumbling Bobcats in Charlotte. The Bobcats have lost five of their last 6 games at home, the worst offensive team in the league averaging 86.7 points per game.

Philadelphia 76ers -4


Indiana Hoosiers +13.5
Florida Gators -3.5
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Green Bay (5-5, 7-3 ATS) at New Orleans (5-5, 6-4 ATS)

Drew Brees and the explosive Saints welcome the Packers to the Superdome in New Orleans for a crucial NFC showdown between teams in the midst of the playoff hunt.

Brees has thrown for 3,251 yards, 18 TDs and 11 INTs this season, but New Orleans has alternated wins and losses in its last eight games (5-3 ATS). The Saints went to Kansas City last week and rolled 30-20 as six-point road favorites as Brees threw for 266 yards, one TD and an INT, with Lance Moore doing the bulk of the damage with eight catches for 102 yards and a TD.

Green Bay has cashed in five straight games, including last week when the Packers crushed the Bears 37-3 as a 3½-point home favorite. The defense got yet another touchdown, its NFL-leading seventh this season, as the Packers held Chicago to 234 total yards and a season-low in points. QB Aaron Rodgers threw for 227 yards and two TDs against the Bears, and he’s averaging 235.1 yards per contest in his first season as a starter.

Green Bay is in a three-way tie atop the NFC North with the Bears and Vikings.

The Packers and Saints have only met three times this decade, with New Orleans holding a 2-1 SU and ATS advantage. In 2006, the Saints went to Green Bay and won 34-27 win as a one-point road chalk.

The Packers are 26-25-1 SU (28-23-1 ATS) on Mondays, including 1-0 SU and ATS this year, while the Saints are 9-16 SU and ATS under the Monday night spotlight (0-1 SU and ATS this season).

Underdogs are on a 6-2 ATS run on Monday nights, with the pup winning four of those six outright.

Green Bay is riding ATS streaks of 21-7-1 overall, 13-3-1 on the road, 7-1 in November, 19-8-2 against NFC competition, 6-2-1 in Week 12 games, 14-5 after a straight-up win and 14-6-1 on Mondays. New Orleans is on ATS slides of 1-4 against the NFC, 2-5 on Mondays, 1-5 after a spread-cover and 0-5 after a straight-up win, but the Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games and 4-0 ATS in their last four Week 12 outings.

The Packers carry a bunch of “over” trends, including 20-6-1 overall, 8-1-1 on the road, 16-5-1 against NFC competition, 16-5 after an ATS win and 9-2 coming off a straight-up victory. The Saints have been an over machine, too, including 11-3-1 overall, 20-8-1 against NFC teams, 8-1-1 at home, 8-1-1 after a spread-cover and 9-1 after a straight-up win. Also, the over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams.

Finally, the over is 10-2 on Monday nights this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


NBA

Chicago (6-8, 8-6 ATS) at Utah (9-5, 7-7 ATS)

The Jazz will try to stay perfect at home when they welcome the Bulls to EnergySolutions Arena in Salt Lake City.

Utah is 6-0 (4-2 ATS) in front of the home fans, outscoring visitors by an average of 10 points per contest (103-93) and outshooting them by five percentage points (49.4 to 44.4). The Jazz come into this contest having won and covered three of their last four, including Saturday’s 103-94 victory in Memphis, cashing as 3½-point favorites.

Chicago comes in on the second night of back-to-back games after falling in Denver on Sunday 114-101, failing to cash as an 8½-point underdog. The Bulls have lost three of four (2-2 ATS) on their current seven-game road trip that will make stops in San Antonio and Philadelphia after tonight. Chicago is 1-5 (3-3 ATS) on the road this season, as defense has gotten torched for 106.8 ppg and 46.3 percent shooting.

The SU winner has cashed in each of Utah’s last nine contests, and the winner is 12-2 ATS in Chicago’s 14 games this year.

The home team has won six of the last seven meetings between these two (3-4 ATS) including both games last season. The Bulls cashed in both outings, though, including as 12-point ‘dogs in last February’s 97-87 setback in Salt Lake City. The Bulls are 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings and the road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10.

Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against the Western Conference and 4-1 ATS in its last five Monday games, but they are on ATS slides of 2-5 on the second night of a back-to-back and 1-5 on the road against teams with a winning home record. The Jazz are on ATS runs of 43-18-2 at home and 16-5-1 on Mondays.

For the Bulls, the over is on stretches of 16-8-2 on the road, 7-3-1 on the second night of a back-to-back and 6-2-2 on Mondays. Utah is on over streaks of 6-0 overall, 4-0 at home, 4-1 against the Central Division and 4-0 when the Jazz get a day of rest.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH and OVER
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Glad I didnt post this...he lost again...dropping off bigtime...
Randers FC vs. FC Midtjylland
November 24th, 2008 / 19:00
Soccer - Danish Superligaen
5th place Randers host 4th place Midtjylland, in what is expected to be a very close encounter. Still undefeated at home, Randers has been in fine form so far this season, and will try to take advantage of their opponents poor run to try and take the three points: Midtjylland has 3 defeats in their last 4 games, and have a 1-2-3 away record, which demonstrates that they are a very powerful team at home (6-1-1) but lack the strenght out of their stadium.
VictoriousPlay: Randers FC (+0)
 
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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Bowling Green Falcons @ Ohio State Buckeyes - Monday November 24, 2008 8:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Bowling Green Falcons +12.5 (-110) (Normal)

Well, we don't take the "easy" plays and they always have to be the "homer" selections such as the call with Missouri beating USC Outright, or Niagara over Villanova, TCU over Clemson, Long Beach State over Wisconsin or Utah Outright over Ole Miss. We go based on my spreadsheets numbers and my simple philosophy of taking dogs that can win outright. Now, is Bowling Green going to win outright, probably not. But, here is what you need to know about Bowling Green. Folks, this team is good and they are very much under the radar. Trust me, the Gophers of Minnesota found out when this team took them to the wire and easily covered as 15 point chalks. Why do you think they are not a 15 point chalk here agianst Ohio State? Look at this team's early stats as they are averaging 75 points a game in the early season as they have no problem putting up points: This team is led by seniors Brian Moten and Nate Miller as this team returns 10 lettermen and plenty of experience. In fact, the five guys who essentially play the most minutes for this team all have balanced scoring and average in the double-digits with Moten at 15.3 points per game down to Erik Marschall who averages 11 points per game. This team is balanced, well coached and remember, Ohio State had a cupcake game in their first game and BG comes in this game having faced the likes of Minnesota and are more in sync. Roll on with BG to lose by 7 according to my spreadsheets here. Cheers to us starting the season 9-4 in College Ball.


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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Chicago Bulls @ Utah Jazz - Monday November 24, 2008 9:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 202.5 (-105) (Play of the Day)

Lord, how bad do I want to take Utah here. The Jazz come off an ugly, ugly loss to the Spurs on the road, they return home to play the Bulls. They were just -4.5 favorites and the line quickly jumped to -6.5 and rightfully so as the Jazz are on a bounce-back here. But, if you take a look at Chicago's numbers, they are not a team that has back to back losses of covers typically and they come off an ATS loss to Denver. I will force myself to stay away as well because 65% are on Utah. I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go over the posted total btw. The bottom line here for me is that I think Utah bounces-back from their loss at Phoenix and puts up a ton of points at home and who is to say that the Bulls aren't going to come out fired up from their loss at Denver? I expect both teams to shoot well and put up a ton of points here as the over is 4-0 for the Bulls when facing teams with a winning percentage of 60% or more meaning they show up against the better teams in the league and the Jazz are 4-0 to the over at home of late as well.


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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: New Orleans Hornets @ Los Angeles Clippers - Monday November 24, 2008 10:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 (-110) (Normal)

Trust in thy handicapper. I know it seems scary to take the lowly 2-9 Clippers. But, hey, I've taken you on a ride when we took the likes of Long Beach State over Wisconsin, or the Twolves +10 over Detroit yesterday and they won outright at the Palace. Have faith. Look, New Orleans is not that good this year. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. This team is just not the team from last year. People have figured them out. Remember, this is the same New Orleans team that is just 7-5. This is the same New Orleans team that has 2 of those 7 wins against the Oklahoma City Thunder, the same team that lost Outright to the Kings at home by 9 points when they were favored by 13.5 points, the same team that lost to the Bobcats on the road by 7 points as 7 point favorites and the same team that lost to Houston and was down as much as 22 to the Lakers at home. The Clippers are a team that are getting better. Yea, I know they got drilled at New Jersey but there is a reason for that, it was the last game of the road trip and they were on a back to back. Before that, they nearly beat the Sixers on the road losing by just a point and beat the Thunder by 20. They likely get Randolph back for this game, have the likes of Baron Davis, Al Thronton, Chris Kaman and Marcus Camby who went 8/12 against the Nets for 18 points and their home crowd. I think the Clippers actually have a great shot at winning this game outright today and it goes with my principle, taking Dogs that can win outright. The Hornets are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games and 0-4 ATS when coming off a straight up win.
 
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BOB AKMENS FULL CARD
Results for:
Over All:

Capper Bob Akmens
W-L-P 81-90-0

Playing All
W/L %: 47.37%

Bet Type All
Total: -104.30

Length Of Time 30
Type: units




CBB

10* FLORIDA INTER. UNDER 128.5

10* FLORIDA -4

10* KANSAS -6

NFL

10* GREENBAY PICK

NBA

10* BULLS UNDER 202

NHL

10* ANAHEIM -160
 

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Ten Dimes Play - Guaranteed Winner
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RAS
Maryland +2.5

Joe, the terps played Fri and don't play until Thur (Mich St, in Fla on espn2)

RAS

Alabama -3..........9 pm

Idaho+10............7pm

Hes been cold on sides, but money on totals.

In my experience this goes beyond this year. Totals are his strength

 

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Joe, the terps played Fri and don't play until Thur (Mich St, in Fla on espn2)

RAS

Alabama -3..........9 pm

Idaho+10............7pm

Hes been cold on sides, but money on totals.

In my experience this goes beyond this year. Totals are his strength


It's actually Loyola, Mary. He just sent out Maryland in his e-mail.
 
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Joe, the terps played Fri and don't play until Thur (Mich St, in Fla on espn2)

RAS

Alabama -3..........9 pm

Idaho+10............7pm

Hes been cold on sides, but money on totals.

In my experience this goes beyond this year. Totals are his strength

Its loy maryland.My Bad
sorry about the confusion
755 loyola maryland
my friend emailed me back
 

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People are puzzled as to why the over is being pounded 3 or 4 to 1 :think2:

These teams have played 10 games each has 3 unders

Green Bay:
Over is 8-1-1 in GB last 10 road games.
GB are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
GB are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games.

New Orleans:
Over is 10-1-1 in NO last 12 games on field turf.
Over is 8-1-1 in NO last 10 home games.
Over is 11-3-1 in NO last 15 games overall.


NO (covered last game) and hasn't covered b 2 b games since Sep, and GB has covered 5 straight.

Then theres a little thing known as "line off" (thanks Ace) and by my calculations NO is +7.5 while GB is +60.

I'm leaning towards teasing GB and the over. Unless something else comes to mind. I think this is too close to merit much risk.

bol 2 all
 

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Robert Ferringo NCAA hoops:

4.5 Unit JMU -2
4.5 UConn -5
2 UTEP +2
2 Notre Dame -14
2 Toledo +3
2 Alabama -2.5
1.5 Bowling Green +13
1.5 Teaser Miami OH 6.5, Texas -5
1.5 Wash +6
1.5 Syr +3.5
1 LaSalle -2
 

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Scott Ferrall

<TABLE id=ctl00_MainContent_SportsPickListing1_gvwProducts style="BORDER-RIGHT: #565656 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #565656 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #565656 1px solid; WIDTH: 99%; COLOR: black; BORDER-BOTTOM: #565656 1px solid" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 border=0><TBODY><TR style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fae5c3"><TD style="WIDTH: 20%">
FREE COLLEGE HOOPS FOR MONDAY
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E.WASHINGTON -9 to Idaho

BOISE ST -7 to Montana St

UMASS -16 to Jacksonville St

KANSAS -6 to Washington

FLORIDA -3.5 to Syracuse

DAVIDSON -21 to FAU

JAMES MADISON -2.5 to Loyola Maryland

SANTA CLARA +5.5 from Georgia

EASTERN MICHIGAN +10 from St.Johns

ARIZONA -22 to Mississippi Valley St​
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Hap

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Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
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746 Connecticut -5 8:30 EST
 

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Tokay Sports Picks NFL
11/24/2008 NEW ORLEANS -1

Tokay Sports Picks NBA
11/24/2008 PHILADELPHIA at
CHARLOTTE Under 176

TonyDiamond.com NBA
11/24/2008 MIAMI 3.5

Tokay Sports Picks NBA
11/24/2008 HOUSTON at
MIAMI Over 186.5

Tokay Sports Picks NBA
11/24/2008 CHICAGO at
UTAH Over 202

TonyDiamond.com CBB
11/24/2008 OREGON 4

Who2beton - Jim Kruger CBB
11/24/2008 ALABAMA -4.5

USA Sports Consulting - Earl Morgan CBB
11/24/2008 CORNELL 1.5

The Fall Miracle CBB
11/24/2008 SANTA CLARA 6
 

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