Service Plays Monday 03/30/09

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL INVITATIONAL

UTEP (22-12, 19-11-1 ATS) at Oregon State (16-17, 14-14 ATS)

UTEP advanced to the best-of-3 championship round of the second-annual College Basketball Invitational with a trio of victories over Nevada (79-77), Northeastern (75-66) and Richmond (81-69). The Miners cashed in all three games and are now on a 5-1 SU and ATS run, all in March. In Wednesday’s victory at Richmond, UTEP raced out to a 42-33 halftime lead and cruised from there despite shooting just 41.9 percent from the field.

Oregon State has posted three narrow victories in this event, all of them at home. The Beavers rallied to beat Houston 49-45 as a one-point underdog in the opening round, then posted a pair of overtime victories over Vermont (71-70 as a one-point ‘dog) and Pac-10 rival Stanford (65-62 as a four-point pup). Oregon State’s three-game SU and ATS winning streak comes on the heels of an 0-4 SU and ATS slide.

Going back to the regular season, Oregon State has won five consecutive home games both SU and ATS, averaging just 63.2 points per game but giving up only 57 ppg. Meanwhile, UTEP has won and covered three straight on the highway, including two CBI victories, and the Miners are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven as a visitor. For the season, they average 75.8 ppg both overall and on the road while allowing 71.8 ppg overall and 72.5 ppg on foreign courts.

The SU winner is 7-0 ATS in UTEP’s last seven games overall and 7-0 ATS in its last seven on the highway, and the winner has cashed in 12 straight Oregon State contests, including six in a row in Corvallis.

The Miners come into this contest on ATS runs of 9-2 on the road, 7-0-1 in non-conference play, 6-1 on Monday, 4-1 as a road chalk and 5-2 against winning teams. Oregon State’s pointspread streaks include 5-1 at home, 4-1 in non-conference play, 5-1 as a home pup, 8-0 as a home underdog of less than seven points and 4-1 after a spread-cover.

UTEP is on “over” stretches of 5-0 overall, 30-12 on the road, 35-16-1 in non-conference play and 8-1 as a favorite of less than seven points. Conversely, the Beavers are on “under” streaks of 4-1 overall, 8-1 at home, 9-3 after a SU win and 7-1 as a home ‘dog.

Game two of this series is scheduled for Wednesday at UTEP.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


NBA

Orlando (54-18, 45-26-1 ATS) at Miami (39-34, 34-37-2 ATS)

The Heat look to inch closer to clinching a playoff berth when they host the Magic, who have already wrapped up the Southeast Division title and are gunning for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference.

Miami is coming off Saturday’s 102-85 rout of Milwaukee, easily covering as an 8½-point home favorite to end an 0-2 SU and ATS slide (both on the road). The Heat have defended their home court quite well recently, winning six straight (5-1 ATS) and nine of 10 (7-3 ATS) at American Airlines Arena. In their last 11 home games, the Heat are averaging 112 points per game, reaching triple digits nine times.

Orlando makes the short trek to South Beach riding a five-game winning streak and it is 12-2 SU going back to Feb. 28. Like Miami, the Magic’s most recent victory came at home against Milwaukee, a 110-94 triumph as a 12-point chalk on Friday, which ended an 0-3 ATS slump. Stan Van Gundy’s squad is on a 6-2 SU and ATS roll on the highway, and it has topped the century mark in scoring in six of its last nine roadies.

Orlando has won 11 of the last 12 meetings in this instate rivalry, going 9-2-1 ATS. The home team has won and covered all three clashes this season, with Miami’s 103-97 victory as a 7½-point home underdog on Jan. 24 ending a 10-game losing skid to the Magic. However, Orlando got revenge in a 122-99 drubbing as a nine-point favorite on Feb. 22, and the Magic’s average margin of victory in its last nine wins against Miami is more than 16 ppg, including four victories by more than 20 points.

Additionally in this rivalry, the host has cashed in four straight meetings and the favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight.

The Magic have failed to cover in four straight Monday contests, but otherwise they’re on positive pointspread streaks of 35-17 overall, 57-28-3 on the road, 5-2 against Southeast Division rivals, 10-3-1 when playing after two days off and 8-3-1 when laying less than five points. Meanwhile, other than its 5-1ATS run at home (4-0 last four) and a 14-6 ATS mark in its last 20 games played on one day of rest, Miami is in ATS funks of 3-7 as an underdog, 2-5 as a home pup, 3-8 on Monday, 18-40-3 after a SU win and 3-8 after a spread-cover.

The under is on runs of 4-0 for Miami overall, 4-1 for Miami against the Eastern Conference, 6-1 for Orlando overall, 6-1 for Orlando on Monday, 5-1 for Orlando against Eastern Conference foes and 13-4 for Orlando when playing on two days’ rest. Conversely, the over is on streaks of 8-2-1 for the Heat at home, 7-3 for the Heat when playing on one day of rest, 10-4 for the Magic as a road chalk and 6-1 for the Magic against division rivals.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO
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Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors - Monday March 30, 2009 10:35 pm
Pick: 2 units TOTAL: Over 219.5 (-110)



Ai Simulator 3* graded play OVER Golden State/Memphis slated to start at 10:35 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 512-350 mark for 59% victories and profits of 127 units since 1996. Take my word for it that is very RARE for any system over 10-years or more length to make over 100 units in profits. This one has made 127 units and also produces a lot of action as well. Plus, it has won the money by exceeding the posted total by 7 or more points in 45% of the games played. That high a percentage is also rare indeed. I highly recommend following this system now and in the seasons to come. AiS shows a 74% probability that 220 or more points will be scored in this game. take the OVER and make certain to get down on Ryan’s 10* NBA Titan play where he has posted a 13-4-1 ATS mark this season.
 

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C-Stars Sports

1000 Units - NHL Top Play - Phoenix over Dallas
50 Units - NHL - New Jersey/NY Rangers UNDER the total
50 Units Orlando/Miami OVER the total
50 Units New York/Utah OVER the total
 

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smooth44

KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY - NY-KNICKS +11 (NBA)

OTHER PICKS


(NBA) 7:35PM EST
MIAMI OVER 192 -120
 

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Johnnie's Picks

MLB

St. Louis -121
Philadelphia -121
LA Dodgers -122
Texas +114

CBB

UTEP = O/131.5

NBA

Utah = O/212.5
Miami = U/193.5
 

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NHL DUNKEL

Dallas at Phoenix
The Coyotes look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 0-4 in its last 4 road games. Phoenix is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 30

Game 51-52: New Jersey at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.254; NY Rangers 11.801
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-110); Under

Game 53-54: San Jose at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.280; Calgary 11.112
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+115); Under

Game 55-56: Dallas at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 9.938; Phoenix 11.053
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-120); Over
 

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Jason Johnson

Orlando at Miami
Play: Orlando -2.5

The Magic are rolling right now as they've won five straight and eight of the last nine games. Their 25-11 road record this season is certainly nothing to snooze at. They've also topped the Heat in nine of the last 10 meetings. Look for a big night from Dwight Howard since Miami doesn't have anyone in the paint to contain him.

Magic by seven.
 

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