Service Plays Friday 6/27/08

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Yankee Capper Comps:

He lost the last two days but prior to that was HOT. Anyone see his full card?

3 Units - Cubs/White Sox Over 9
2 Units - Giants/Athletics Over 8

This guy seem to get really good record from his site but no one get them strange??? Maybe he just post fake record up there?
 
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WUNDERDOG

Game: Baltimore at Washington (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington +121 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)

The Orioles inexplicably won two of three vs. the Cubs for a series win. The O's are playing well but well enough to be favored here on the road? Yes, the Nats have problems but they are at home and we like the pitching matchup. Odalis Perez has a respectable 4.09 overall ERA which is 2.56 at home! Facing him is Daniel Cabrera who not only has a higher overall ERA but he owns a sky-high 6.88 ERA over his last three starts. He is 3-12 the past decade in inter-league play. The Orioles are just 44-73 vs. LHP the past three seasons. We'll fade the Orioles here at a nice price.

Game: St. Louis at Kansas City (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Kansas City -124 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.4)

We might sound like a broken record here but the Royals are a young team with a fragile ego. They have already proven that with losing streaks of seven and 12 games on the season. The flip side of that is what is currently happening as they have won five straight and 11 of 12. They now have won five straight for the third time this season. The ego is healthy now, and that's when they win games. Gil Meche closed April with nearly an 8 ERA, and he has since gotten it below 5 with some good outings and has his confidence restored. Joel Piniero has given the Cards more than we thought they were getting. Even with that said they have still dropped his last five starts due in part to a bullpen that has allowed three additional runs a game in those starts. Kansas City is playing with energy and Meche has been the $11 million pitcher they signed, so we take the Royals here.


Game: Milwaukee at Minnesota (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Minnesota -119 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.4)

This game has our attention. We have a team that has run off nine-straight wins, playing at home and could move into first place in the AL Central with a win at less than 6-5 favorites? The Twins have won these nine games by a tally of 54-19 or four runs a game. No team has produced more than three runs a game against them, and Nick Blackburn has allowed one run or less in five of his seven starts at the Dome. Another footnote here is the Twins have been dominating the NL to the tune of 40-12 over their last 52 games, and they are 40-15 in their last 55 as a favorite in interleague play. The Brewers have struggled to a 5-12 mark in their last 17 against RHP. The Twins have yet to lose at home this year in interleague play, and have put 20 of their last 24 in the win column against the NL at home. Hot Twins sizzle to their 10th straight win.


Game: Seattle at San Diego (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +128 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.
cool.gif


The Padres continue to swoon. They did make a 13-6 run, but have since given it all back and then some going 1-9 over their last 10. The problem continues to be their inability to score, as they reached 33 games on the season scoring three or less last night and have done so now for four straight games. The Mariners haven't given much to be excited about except for the fact they have now gone 6-6 in their last 12 on the road, which sure shows a lot of growth for a team that took 27 games to win their first seven on the road. These are two bad teams, but with one playing better than the other. With the Padres favored off a 1-9 run, and 19-42 outside of their 13-6 streak, the value is all over the Mariners here.


Game: Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 8 +100 (risk 3 to win 3)

The Angels? Joe Saunders looks to become the first 12-game winner of the '08 season. Saunders has shown to be a quick starter as he was out of the gate last year with an ERA under three in late June that ended in the 4's. In '06 he posted an ERA of three over the first half of his 12 starts, but finished in the 4's. This year the ERA that was once a solid two, has risen to over three. Are we seeing the same career long trend? We think so. The Dodgers have established one thing that covers over 80 games. They have played OVER to the tune of 49-24-3 as a home dog. We like the value set from both sides here, and see this one going OVER the total.

WUNDERDOG (wnba)


Game: Atlanta at Connecticut (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Atlanta +15.5 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 159.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Rumor has it the Atlanta Dream is considering a nickname change to the Atlanta Nightmares. The Dream has yet to earn a WNBA win this season through 13 games. To their credit they have been trying to make changes as only two players have started in 10 or more games, but nothing seems to matter. What can be said however is that this team still has lost in blowouts only twice on the road this season. For the Connecticut Sun, what is left to be had here? They beat this team by 32 points in the season opener, and are coming off their two biggest games of the season against Detroit back-to-back with a third coming soon. Those games were split, and lots of emotional energy discharged, so what kind of energy is put into a game like this? Sometimes value isn't determined by X's and O's, but by emotional game factors, and this is a favorable spot for the Dream to stay within this huge number. That also means if the intensity is down, the points are usually up. As it is the Dream allow 85 points per game, and if the Sun is napping as we expect the Dream has proven they can get in the 70s under normal circumstances as they have in eight of the 13 on the season and could be good for more here. We?ll take the Dream and the OVER in this one.
 
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JOHN RYAN ( afl )

Friday, June 27, 2008
New York Dragons vs. Dallas Desperados (Arena) - 7:30 PM EDT Premium Pick
Play: Point Spread: 7/-104 New York Dragons Play Title: New York
Click Here to View Play Analysis
Ai Simulator 10* graded play on New York ? AiS shows an 86% probability that New York will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 43-17 for 72% ATS since 2002. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with an average offensive team averaging 5.9 to 6.6 YPP and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing 5.9 to 6.6 YPP. Here is a second system that has gone 33-11 ATS for 75% since 2002. Play on road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 17 points or less in the first half last game. Dallas is terrible roles for this game noting that they are just 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games versus poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons; 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse after 8 or more games over the last 2 seasons. Dallas HC McClay is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games off a non-conference game as the coach of Dallas. Take New York.
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">STAN SHARP INTERLEAGUE ODDSMAKER ERROR

PHI -120 vs TEX

Stan notes that Philadelphia pounds Lefties scoring almost 6 runs a game against them. Also this line is way too low based on Philadelphia's recent slump. This line should be 20-30 cents higher. Note that Myers threw a good game last time out and should repeat that performance here.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA as STAN'S INTERLEAGUE ODDSMAKER ERROR BIG BET OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext id=modified_213694 vAlign=bottom></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
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From a friend of the forum, if it was posted already too bad:

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Tom Stryker</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Friday, June 27, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: Big Total Alert! Tom likes to pick his spots when it comes to MLB total plays and on Friday night he has a beauty. This awesome over/under selection comes with two starting pitchers that will help the cause and a couple of team trends that cash on a consistent basis. Grab Tom's Total Investment of the Month guaranteed to win!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>6/27/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>OVER 10.5 (-113) Philadelphia vs Texas at 8:05 PM EST
Yes, I am well aware of the fact that the Phillies have scored a grand total of 15 runs in their last eight games. However, Philadelphia stars Jimmy Rollins, Chase Utley and Ryan Howard are champing at the bit right now to get their bats on track and they'll find success at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington.

Phillies right-hander Brett Myers will help this total selection too. A veteran out of Jacksonville, Florida, Myers has struggled in his last three starts. Facing the Angels, Cardinals and Marlins, Brett has been ripped for 15 earned runs and 21 hits in 19.0 innings of work. That breaks down to a dismal 0-2 record and a lofty 7.11 ERA. Foreign soil has been trouble for Mr. Myers too. As a guest, No. 39 has been smacked for 38 earned runs and 67 hits in 45.1 frames. That adds up to a shocking 0-6 record and an escalated 7.54 ERA!

Texas southpaw Kason Gabbard will certainly assist in this over investment as well. In his last three trips to the bump against Washington, New York (Mets) and Tampa Bay, Gabbard was tagged for 11 earned runs and 19 hits in 15.1 innings. That adds up to a nasty 1-2 record and an ugly 6.46 ERA!

Coming off a straight up loss, Texas has gone over the total in 21 of its last 29 tries (1 tie). Meanwhile, Philadelphia has soared over the mark in five of its last six on the Interleague road battling a lefty. There will be plenty of offense in this contest. Take the OVER. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
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same as the last one:


<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Golden Contender</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Friday, June 27, 2008
$34.99 Guaranteed: ON FRIDAY NIGHT ITS THE RELEASE OF A SUPER STRONG TOTALS MOVE IN INTERLEAGUE ACTION. THIS BOMB HAS 5 TOTALS ANGLES THAT ADD UP TO 34-3. BEST OF ALL THIS TOTALS PLAY IS ABSOLUTELY GUARANTEED OR YOU DONT PAY. START THE WEEKEND OFF IN GRAND FASHION WITH THIS SUPER BOMB. THURSDAYS BIG BANGER ON HOUSTON CASHED AND THIS WILL TOO.
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>6/26/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>ON FRIDAY NIGHT THE BIG INTERLEAGUE TOTALS PLAY IS ON THE UNDER IN THE ATLANTA-TORONTO-GAME. ROTATION NUMBERS 909/10 AT 7:05 EASTERN.THE BRAVES TAKE TO THE ROAD HERE AND GO UP TO TORONTO TO TAKE ON THE BLUEJAYS. THE BRAVES ARE 2-10 TO THE UNDER IN GAME 1 OF A ROAD SERIES,1-5 UNDER ON ART.TURF THE LAST 3 YEARS,1-8 AS ROAD DOGS PRICED FROM +100/125, 9-28 UNDER ON THE ROAD, 8-25 UNDER VS TEAMS WHO ARE SUB 500,ANS 11-25 UNDER OFF A WIN.LOOKING AT THE PITCHING MATCHUP SHOWS SOLID UNDER ANGLES AS WELL. THE BRAVES SEND OUT JURJENS WHO HAS BEEN A PLEASANT SURPRISE THIS YEAR. IN HIS ROAD TEAM STARTS HE HAS GONE UNDER 6 OF 7 TIMES AND OPPONENTS ARE HITTING JUST .225 AGAINST HIM. FOR THE JAYS ITS DUSTIN MCGOWAN AND HE IS LIGHTS OUT AT HOME WITH A 1.73 ERA. OPPONENTS ARE HITTING JUST .243 AGAINST HIM THIS YEAR,AND IN HIS HOME STARTS THE UNDER HAS CASHED 5 STRAIGHT TIMES. BACK THE UNDER IN THIS GAME. THE CURRENT LINE IS 8.5 BOL GOLDEN CONTENDER</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
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and this one too!

<DT class=dtPgTop>King Creole | MLB Money Line <DT>double-dime bet929 ANA (-122)Sportsbetting.com vs 930 LOS <DD>Analysis: 10:40pm ET / Los Angeles Angels with Saunders @ Los Angeles Dodgers with Park

2** BEST BET on: LOS ANGELES ANGELS
*BOX (specify) both starting pitchers
</DD>
 
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Ethan Law


Fri, 06/27/08 - 7:35 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
916 WAS (+115) Bookmaker vs 915 BAL
Analysis:

Baltimore Orioles BAL: RHP Daniel Cabrera (5-3, 4.46 ERA)

at

Washington Nationals WSH: LHP Odalis Perez (2-5, 4.09 ERA)

PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON WASHINGON +$115

Fri, 06/27/08 - 7:05 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
908 DET (-125) Sportsbetting.com vs 907 COL
Analysis: NOTE: THIS SELECTION IS BROKEN DOWN INTO TWO 1/2 UNIT PLAYS. SINCE INTERLEAGE HAS NOT GONE MY WAY ARE CONTINUING THE (1%) WAGERS UNTIL THIS WEEKEND FINSIHES.
--------------
Colorado Rockies COL: RHP Ubaldo Jimenez (2-7, 4.52 ERA)

at

Detroit Tigers DET: RHP Eddie Bonine (1-0, 5.84 ERA)

PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON DETROIT -$125;
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON DETROIT (-1.5) +$155
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Greg Shaker

MLB: Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers - Rangers (Myers/Gabbard) 105 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 6/27/2008


MLB: Anaheim Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers - Dodgers (Saunders/Park) 106 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 6/27/2008
Note:

MLB: Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins - Twins (McClung/Blackburn) -120 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 6/27/2008
Note:

MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins - Marlins (Owings/Nolasco) -127 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 6/27/2008
Note: This is a high line for me to bet, and I considered 1/2 on the Runline. I will play it as is though.
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THE VEGAS BEARD

volume card: all 2**

Braves +20
Pirates +55
Mets over 9 1/2
Cards +10
Brewers +20
Dodgers +15

We have someone here spelling "meant" as "met"--well, I guess that is a typo. He probably meant "ment."

Check out the main photo for the #1 NBA draft choice on the receiving stand. This is an amateur athlete (until that moment). He CANNOT have accepted money from ANYONE previous to that time. Well, that watch is a little suspicious (but it could be fake), and the earring might be fake (so it is all good--fake jewelry).

At least the guy has GOOD TASTE---that watch is probably the most obnoxious thing in the history of fashion jewelry design. Just wait until he gets some neckwear. Even Donald Trump would not wear that watch. That says something.
<!-- / message -->
 
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Jeff Bonds


Friday Selections by 1 PM PST

Fri, 06/27/08 - 10:40 PMJeff Bonds | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
929 ANA (-118) Bookmaker vs 930 LOS
Analysis: Angels (Saunders) v. Dodgers (Park)

Fri, 06/27/08 - 10:05 PMJeff Bonds | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
926 OAK (-165) Bodog vs 925 SFG
Analysis: SF (Correia) v. Oakland (Eveland)
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vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
923 MIL (+112) Bodog vs 924 MIN
Analysis: *** 3* MLB BEST DOG of the DAY ***
Fri, 06/27/08 - 10:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
928 SDP (-134) SportBet vs 927 SEA
Analysis: *** 3* MLB BEST FAV BET of the DAY ***
Fri, 06/27/08 - 7:35 PMvegas-runner | MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
915 BAL (-136) SportBet vs 916 WAS
Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER **
 

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JEFFERSONSPORTS--no plays yesterday

15-6 run (71%) 4 dog wins

OVERALL RECORDS

mlb +2721 (playing 1 unit on every game, 100.00 per game) +27.21 units

ncaa foots (27-11) bowl games (10-4)
nhl (51-37)
ncaa hoops (161-120)
nba (153-116)
wnba (6-8-1)

MLB FRIDAY RELEASES
FLORIDA-128
SEATTLE+130
 

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vegas-runner | MLB Total Double-Dime Bet
918 HOU / 917 BOS Over 9.5 SportBet
Analysis:
** 2* TOTAL WAGER ** (OVER -115)





2* WNBA TOTAL for FRIDAY :



1.) OVER 159 ATL/CONN (2*)
 

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Experts</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Friday, June 27, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: The Boys are Back in Town and kicking some Bookie Ass! We have the FIVE BEST HANDICAPPERS in the Nation making up our team! Don't ask who they are because they will remain anonymous! Today The Boys have isolated another ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL WINNER! Get this winner right now for ONLY $25 and you PAY ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 28-9 Baseball run this year!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>6/27/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL WINNER
Detroit w/Bonine -130 7:05 EST

There is 2 for you guys today. If crusher comes up could someone get that one. Thanks! Cash it!

</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

there is 2 for you guys today? I bought steam and posted long before you put it up there...
 

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