Larry Ness' 10* Oddsmaker's Error G.O.M. (38-17 all 10*s s/May 1)
My 10* Oddsmaker's Error Game of the Month (IL) is on the Chi White Sox at 8:10 ET.
The White Sox open a three-game IL series with the Padres Friday night, sporting a modest 28-27 record. However, that's a VAST improvement from last year, when Chicago stumbled to a 63-99 record and finished the 2013 season with MLB's worst moneyline mark (minus-$3,218). A current check of the moneyline standings reveals that the White Sox rank third-best in all of MLB at plus-$763.
The Padres come to town 24-30, including 10-15 on the road. San Diego owns MLB's worst team BA (.226) and no team has scored fewer runs (175). That's an average of 3.24 per game and the average dips to 3.04 on the road. In comparison, the White Sox rank 7th in team batting (.261) and are MLB's third-highest scoring team at 4.69 RPG.
Ian Kennedy knows all about the Padres NOT scoring, as he has has watched as the Padres have struggled to score time after time when he's taken the mound, His ERA is 3.59 on the season (not bad) but he's just 3-6 after 11 starts (team is 4-7). A MAJOR reason stems from the fact that he's received just 2.79 runs of support per nine innings, ranking 98th out of 101 qualified pitchers! He'll face a strong Chicago lineup (4.75 RPG at home) which has been excellent at home vs right-handed starters in night games in 2014. The White Sox check in at 9-3 while averaging 5.5 RPG in that situation.
Taking the mound for Chicago will be lefty John Danks, who has had an odd season so far. He has turned in a quality start in SEVEN of his 10 outings but he's also allowed eight runs TWICE. He allowed just three hits over eight scoreless innings of Chicago's 4-3, 10-inning loss to the New York Yankees on Saturday in his last outing.
That's the pitcher the White Sox hope to see here and why not, up against the light-hitting Padres? Danks must realize he's had more good starts than bad this season, which is why the Chicago White Sox hurler doesn't get down on himself when having to battle through an occasional tough outing. "I'm feeling really good about where I was. From a personal standpoint, I needed it," Danks said. "I had a couple of rough ones, but if you take a couple of starts out of my year, I've had a pretty darn good year. I'm not looking at overall numbers. I never have in my career. Just worried about beating the Padres Friday."
I expect him to do just that tonight and I see no reason for the light-hitting Padres (who almost never seem to score when Kennedy's on the mound), to actually be a slight favorite over a Chicago team which has hit well all season, especially here at home in night games vs right-handers (see above stats).
My 10* Oddsmaker's Error Game of the Month (IL) is on the Chi White Sox at 8:10 ET.
The White Sox open a three-game IL series with the Padres Friday night, sporting a modest 28-27 record. However, that's a VAST improvement from last year, when Chicago stumbled to a 63-99 record and finished the 2013 season with MLB's worst moneyline mark (minus-$3,218). A current check of the moneyline standings reveals that the White Sox rank third-best in all of MLB at plus-$763.
The Padres come to town 24-30, including 10-15 on the road. San Diego owns MLB's worst team BA (.226) and no team has scored fewer runs (175). That's an average of 3.24 per game and the average dips to 3.04 on the road. In comparison, the White Sox rank 7th in team batting (.261) and are MLB's third-highest scoring team at 4.69 RPG.
Ian Kennedy knows all about the Padres NOT scoring, as he has has watched as the Padres have struggled to score time after time when he's taken the mound, His ERA is 3.59 on the season (not bad) but he's just 3-6 after 11 starts (team is 4-7). A MAJOR reason stems from the fact that he's received just 2.79 runs of support per nine innings, ranking 98th out of 101 qualified pitchers! He'll face a strong Chicago lineup (4.75 RPG at home) which has been excellent at home vs right-handed starters in night games in 2014. The White Sox check in at 9-3 while averaging 5.5 RPG in that situation.
Taking the mound for Chicago will be lefty John Danks, who has had an odd season so far. He has turned in a quality start in SEVEN of his 10 outings but he's also allowed eight runs TWICE. He allowed just three hits over eight scoreless innings of Chicago's 4-3, 10-inning loss to the New York Yankees on Saturday in his last outing.
That's the pitcher the White Sox hope to see here and why not, up against the light-hitting Padres? Danks must realize he's had more good starts than bad this season, which is why the Chicago White Sox hurler doesn't get down on himself when having to battle through an occasional tough outing. "I'm feeling really good about where I was. From a personal standpoint, I needed it," Danks said. "I had a couple of rough ones, but if you take a couple of starts out of my year, I've had a pretty darn good year. I'm not looking at overall numbers. I never have in my career. Just worried about beating the Padres Friday."
I expect him to do just that tonight and I see no reason for the light-hitting Padres (who almost never seem to score when Kennedy's on the mound), to actually be a slight favorite over a Chicago team which has hit well all season, especially here at home in night games vs right-handers (see above stats).
SHEEP
From across the street...
1911 Over 4 (-120) Tb-Bos (1st 5) $1000
1921 Over 4 (-115) Laa-Oak (1st 5) $1000
1917 Tampa Bay -150 (1st 5) $1000
1915 Kansas City +1/2 (-135) 1st 5 $1000
915 Kansas City +120 $1000
903 Atlanta -130 $1000
1905 Over 4 (-120) Chc-Mil (1st 5) $1000
905 Over 7 (-120) Chc-Mil $1000
Sat Boxing - Carl Froch -165 $1000
652 Over 148 Ny-Wash wnba $1000
24 Under 5 Chi/Lak nhl $1000
From across the street...
1911 Over 4 (-120) Tb-Bos (1st 5) $1000
1921 Over 4 (-115) Laa-Oak (1st 5) $1000
1917 Tampa Bay -150 (1st 5) $1000
1915 Kansas City +1/2 (-135) 1st 5 $1000
915 Kansas City +120 $1000
903 Atlanta -130 $1000
1905 Over 4 (-120) Chc-Mil (1st 5) $1000
905 Over 7 (-120) Chc-Mil $1000
Sat Boxing - Carl Froch -165 $1000
652 Over 148 Ny-Wash wnba $1000
24 Under 5 Chi/Lak nhl $1000
