Diamond Trends - Friday
May 30, 2014
By Vince Akins
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Cubs are 0-11 since May 16, 2011 as a road 140+ dog after being shutout for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.
PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
-- When Travis Wood starts the Cubs are 0-10 since August 17, 2012 as a road dog after a quality start for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
-- The Phillies are 0-10 (+$1,105) since 2005 after a game where they struck out at least 15 times but did not lose by five or more.
CHOICE TREND:
-- The Blue Jays are 11-0 since May 04, 2004 as a home favorite of less than 200 after an extra inning loss for a net profit of $1100.
ACTIVE TRENDS:
-- When Colby Lewis starts the Rangers are 0-9 since April 20, 2010 vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1125 when playing against.
May 30, 2014
By Vince Akins
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Cubs are 0-11 since May 16, 2011 as a road 140+ dog after being shutout for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.
PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
-- When Travis Wood starts the Cubs are 0-10 since August 17, 2012 as a road dog after a quality start for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
-- The Phillies are 0-10 (+$1,105) since 2005 after a game where they struck out at least 15 times but did not lose by five or more.
CHOICE TREND:
-- The Blue Jays are 11-0 since May 04, 2004 as a home favorite of less than 200 after an extra inning loss for a net profit of $1100.
ACTIVE TRENDS:
-- When Colby Lewis starts the Rangers are 0-9 since April 20, 2010 vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1125 when playing against.
WUNDERDOG SPORTS FREE PICK
MLB Game: San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox
Time: Friday 05/30 8:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Chicago +113 (moneyline)
The odds makers seem to be left in a time warp, and reflecting on the White Sox miserable 99 loss season from a year ago. This is a much better team, that has impreoved significantly at the plate, and the rotation has been a lot more steady as well. Chicago is off a sweep and playing well, and after struggling most of the season, John Danks is off his best game of the year allowing 0 runs over 8 innings his last time out. Ian Kennedy is just 3-6 as San Diego far too often just doesn’t score enough runs to win. San Diego has struggled in interleague play vs lefthanded pitching where they are a woeful 6-23 in their last 29. Sox are on an 8-1 run in their last 9 games after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. Play on Chicago
MLB Game: San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox
Time: Friday 05/30 8:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Chicago +113 (moneyline)
The odds makers seem to be left in a time warp, and reflecting on the White Sox miserable 99 loss season from a year ago. This is a much better team, that has impreoved significantly at the plate, and the rotation has been a lot more steady as well. Chicago is off a sweep and playing well, and after struggling most of the season, John Danks is off his best game of the year allowing 0 runs over 8 innings his last time out. Ian Kennedy is just 3-6 as San Diego far too often just doesn’t score enough runs to win. San Diego has struggled in interleague play vs lefthanded pitching where they are a woeful 6-23 in their last 29. Sox are on an 8-1 run in their last 9 games after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. Play on Chicago
Andre Gomes
NBA - 521 Indiana Pacers @ 522 Miami Heat
Play #1
I expect Miami to close the deal tonight and win the series 4-2 without much trouble…
I’ve made a mini-recap about G5 that is the blueprint for tonight’s game:
“I’ve just watched yesterday’s NBA game between MIA & IND and some weird stuff happened: Lebron James w/ foul trouble with just 24 minutes of action; the occasional Paul George’s random offensive explosive game w/ 37 points scored, he had one +30 pts game vs. WAS and another one vs. WAS, so I guess this type of game was due to happen in this series”
IND was able to score 93 points for a nice Off. Rtg = 114.4! However, they didn’t show anything new or surprised the Heat… They had only 13 assists and Roy Hibbert isn’t an offensive threat for them. They scored 93 points primarily because Paul George went off and scored 37 points while hitting 11-19 FG (58%) in CONTESTED SHOTS according to NBA.com! Finally, the Pacers dominated the boards (as usual) w/ 55% reb/rate.
Why I don’t think IND will be competitive tonight:
1) Obviously, LeBron James! James played only 24 minutes and scored just 7 points – career low’s for him! I don’t need to say that he will bounce back tonight b/c this is just common sense… However, note that Paul George is coming from a monumental effort in the last game in which he logged a game high 45 minutes!! He is due for a natural shooting regression and the fact that he will face a “fresh” LeBron James won’t help him either.
Also, without Chris Andersen & James in foul trouble, MIA was really undersized in the last game. After all, James was averaging 8 rebounds per game in the first 4 games of the series and so, IND had a nice spot to dominate down low! The fact that they scored a series high 42 points in the paint in G5 wasn’t a “coincidence”!
2) Effort Levels! I’ve mentioned last night that SAS would want to play w/ nice tempo in order to explore their superior depth over OKC, and once the second quarter started, they put an extra gear w/ their second unit. I expect a similar scenario for tonight’s game… In the last game, 3 IND’s starters logged at least 41 minutes of action in G5 with Hibbert and George Hill playing 38 minutes each! (IND’s bench scored only 6 points)! With them relying so heavily in their starters, I expect a natural physical letdown from IND in here, especially w/ a “fresh” LeBron James on the court, and w/ MIA having more depth right now (Lewis, Allen, Cole and Birdman if he plays are all playing quite well in this series).
3) Referees! I expect MIA to get some natural “home calls” after what happened in the last game @IND w/ LeBron James. I really don’t think that MIA will get only 8 FT’s tonight as I expect them to be super aggressive in here, particularly James.
My fair line for this contest is Miami having a classic blowout line of 10/12 points and so, I’m taking the Heat as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 522 Miami Heat (-8) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 521 Indiana Pacers @ 522 Miami Heat
Play #1
I expect Miami to close the deal tonight and win the series 4-2 without much trouble…
I’ve made a mini-recap about G5 that is the blueprint for tonight’s game:
“I’ve just watched yesterday’s NBA game between MIA & IND and some weird stuff happened: Lebron James w/ foul trouble with just 24 minutes of action; the occasional Paul George’s random offensive explosive game w/ 37 points scored, he had one +30 pts game vs. WAS and another one vs. WAS, so I guess this type of game was due to happen in this series”
IND was able to score 93 points for a nice Off. Rtg = 114.4! However, they didn’t show anything new or surprised the Heat… They had only 13 assists and Roy Hibbert isn’t an offensive threat for them. They scored 93 points primarily because Paul George went off and scored 37 points while hitting 11-19 FG (58%) in CONTESTED SHOTS according to NBA.com! Finally, the Pacers dominated the boards (as usual) w/ 55% reb/rate.
Why I don’t think IND will be competitive tonight:
1) Obviously, LeBron James! James played only 24 minutes and scored just 7 points – career low’s for him! I don’t need to say that he will bounce back tonight b/c this is just common sense… However, note that Paul George is coming from a monumental effort in the last game in which he logged a game high 45 minutes!! He is due for a natural shooting regression and the fact that he will face a “fresh” LeBron James won’t help him either.
Also, without Chris Andersen & James in foul trouble, MIA was really undersized in the last game. After all, James was averaging 8 rebounds per game in the first 4 games of the series and so, IND had a nice spot to dominate down low! The fact that they scored a series high 42 points in the paint in G5 wasn’t a “coincidence”!
2) Effort Levels! I’ve mentioned last night that SAS would want to play w/ nice tempo in order to explore their superior depth over OKC, and once the second quarter started, they put an extra gear w/ their second unit. I expect a similar scenario for tonight’s game… In the last game, 3 IND’s starters logged at least 41 minutes of action in G5 with Hibbert and George Hill playing 38 minutes each! (IND’s bench scored only 6 points)! With them relying so heavily in their starters, I expect a natural physical letdown from IND in here, especially w/ a “fresh” LeBron James on the court, and w/ MIA having more depth right now (Lewis, Allen, Cole and Birdman if he plays are all playing quite well in this series).
3) Referees! I expect MIA to get some natural “home calls” after what happened in the last game @IND w/ LeBron James. I really don’t think that MIA will get only 8 FT’s tonight as I expect them to be super aggressive in here, particularly James.
My fair line for this contest is Miami having a classic blowout line of 10/12 points and so, I’m taking the Heat as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 522 Miami Heat (-8) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
