STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 16TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#901 MILWAUKEE @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Brewers RH Kyle Lohse (4-1, 2.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.127) - Milwaukee has won six of the last seven games started by Lohse, who allowed two earned runs in six innings in a no-decision against the New York Yankees on Saturday. He has walked just two batters in 25 1/3 innings over his last four starts but has given up a home run in each of his last three outings after going four appearances without serving one up. Lohse is 5-6 with a 5.15 ERA in 20 career starts versus Chicago.
--KEY STAT: LOHSE is 30-9 (+21.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.3, OPPONENT 2.5.
--LOHSE is 39-19 (+19.6 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2.
--LOHSE is 22-5 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.8, OPPONENT 3.1.
•Cubs RH Jeff Samardzija (0-3, 1.45 ERA, WHIP: 1.054) - Samardzija remains without a win despite a sparkling ERA that ranks second in the National League. He did not factor in the decision after limiting Atlanta to just two hits and a walk in six scoreless innings on Saturday, extending his streak of innings without an earned run to 15. The 29-year-old, who has a 2.48 ERA in 26 career games (13 starts) in May, has limited the Brewers to 42 hits in 55 1/3 innings over 20 appearances.
--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 7-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.1, OPPONENT 4.8.
--SAMARDZIJA is 1-13 (-12.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 1.9, OPPONENT 4.9.
#903 NY METS @ #904 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Mets RH Jonathon Niese (2-2, 2.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.073) - Niese recorded his sixth straight quality start, but did not factor into the decision during Sunday’s 5-4 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies. The 27-year-old Ohio native, who has yet to allow more than three runs in any of his seven turns after battling shoulder and elbow issues during spring training, yielded three runs on eight hits and struck out six over six frames. Niese is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three road outings this season and 3-0 with a 2.47 ERA in seven career starts against the Nationals.
--KEY STAT: NIESE is 14-5 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.1, OPPONENT 2.9.
--NIESE is 13-4 (+15.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.2, OPPONENT 3.8.
--NIESE is 21-8 OVER (+12.4 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 4.9, OPPONENT 5.0.
•Nationals RH Tanner Roark (2-1, 3.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.083) - Rebounding from his worst outing of the season on May 3, Roark settled for a no-decision in his second dominant start in three tries during Saturday’s 4-3 loss to the Oakland Athletics. The former 25th-round selection held Oakland to one run on two hits over 7 2/3 innings and was in line for the victory before closer Rafael Soriano blew his first save of the season. Roark has enjoyed similar success in three career appearances (two starts) against the Mets, compiling a 2-0 record and 2.93 ERA.
#905 CINCINNATI @ #906 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (4-2, 2.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.076) - Simon had pitched well before giving up season highs in runs (five), hits (eight) and homers (three) in three innings while losing to Colorado on Saturday. He gave up five or fewer hits in each of his six outings prior to the poor performance against the Rockies. Simon is 0-1 with a 2.08 ERA in three career relief appearances against the Phillies.
•Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (0-3, 3.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.372) - Kendrick is winless in all seven starts this season and 14 straight overall since recording a victory over the Chicago Cubs last Aug. 6. He gave up four runs and four hits in 5 1/3 innings while taking a no-decision against the New York Mets in his last turn. Kendrick is 3-3 with a 4.41 ERA in nine career appearances (eight starts) against Cincinnati.
--KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 9-1 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.2, OPPONENT 5.3.
--KENDRICK is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.1, OPPONENT 5.7.
#907 ATLANTA @ #908 ST LOUIS - 8:15 PM
•Braves RH Ervin Santana (4-0, 1.99 ERA, WHIP: 1.008) - Santana blanked Chicago on five hits over seven innings while winning his last outing. He has given up one run or fewer in four of his six starts and has 43 strikeouts against nine walks in 40 2/3 innings. Santana is 1-1 with a 4.73 ERA in two career starts against the Cardinals.
•Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (4-2, 3.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.319) - Lynn is 0-2 over his last four starts after opening the season with four consecutive victories. The 27-year-old lost to Pittsburgh in his last turn when he gave up four runs and nine hits in six innings. Lynn is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career starts against the Braves.
--KEY STAT: LYNN is 16-1 (+14.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 6.9, OPPONENT 2.5.
--LYNN is 45-22 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3.
#909 SAN DIEGO @ #910 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Padres LH Eric Stults (2-3, 5.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.652) - Stults defeated Miami in his last outing when he gave up two runs and six hits in six innings. He hasn't issued a walk in four of his last five starts and has given out seven in 39 1/3 innings for the season. Stults is 3-0 with a 4.14 ERA in 12 career appearances (eight starts) against the Rockies after receiving a no-decision on April 14 when he gave up four runs (three earned) and nine hits in five innings.
--KEY STAT: STULTS is 24-13 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 4.1, OPPONENT 3.6.
--STULTS is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 2.6, OPPONENT 4.1.
•Rockies LH Jorge De La Rosa (4-3, 4.81 ERA, WHIP: 1.349) - De La Rosa was pushed back three days due to back spasms but has been cleared to pitch against the Padres. He lost to San Diego on April 16 when he gave up three runs (two earned) and seven hits in six innings to drop to 7-3 with a 4.80 ERA in 20 career appearances (16 starts) against the Padres. De La Rosa has won four consecutive starts, the last against Texas when he gave up two runs and three hits in six innings.
--KEY STAT: DE LA ROSA is 16-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 4.8, OPPONENT 3.5.
--DE LA ROSA is 15-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.8, OPPONENT 3.9.
--DE LA ROSA is 34-10 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.3.
--DE LA ROSA is 13-1 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.8, OPPONENT 2.9.
--DE LA ROSA is 16-0 (+17.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 6.3, OPPONENT 3.4.
--DE LA ROSA is 31-12 OVER (+18.3 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.3.
#911 LA DODGERS @ #912 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (6-1, 2.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.147) - Greinke rebounded from a rain-shortened loss to yield two runs on six hits over seven innings in a 6-2 victory versus San Francisco on Saturday. The 30-year-old struck out eight batters -- his fifth outing of eight or more this season with two such performances coming in back-to-back starts against Arizona. Greinke permitted one run in each of those two outings, picking up the win on April 12 while settling for a no-decision six days later.
--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 16-2 (+13.8 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.1, OPPONENT 2.3.
--GREINKE is 17-3 (+13.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.2, OPPONENT 2.6.
--GREINKE is 15-2 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.8, OPPONENT 2.5.
•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-3, 4.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.214) - Miley recorded his first win since April 6 after tossing seven strong frames in a 4-3 triumph over the Chicago White Sox on Saturday. The only damage the 27-year-old allowed was a two-run homer, but he did not walk a batter for the first time this season. Miley suffered the loss in each of his first two meetings with the Dodgers before settling for a no-decision against Los Angeles after yielding just a solo homer and matching a season high with eight strikeouts on April 18.
#913 MIAMI @ #914 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:15 PM
•Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (2-3, 3.33 ERA, WHIP: 1.397) - Alvarez followed up his complete-game shutout against the Mets with a dismal outing against San Diego last Sunday, when he yielded five runs in four innings. “He didn't have a good feel for his sinker and that is his bread and butter,” catcher Jeff Mathis told reporters. The 24-year-old, who is 0-2 with a 4.57 ERA in four road starts this season, allowed four runs over seven innings in a 6-4 loss to San Francisco last Aug. 17.
•Giants RH Yusmeiro Petit (2-1, 4.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.310) - Petit has experience as a last-minute starter after taking Cain’s spot on April 29 and throwing six shutout innings against San Diego. The 29-year-old went 1-0 with a 6.97 ERA in two starts for Cain, who landed on the disabled list with a cut right index finger. Petit, who is facing Miami for the first time since 2009, owns a 0.61 ERA in seven home games (one start) while posting a 10.32 ERA in four road contests (one start).
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FRIDAY, MAY 16TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
#901 MILWAUKEE @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Brewers RH Kyle Lohse (4-1, 2.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.127) - Milwaukee has won six of the last seven games started by Lohse, who allowed two earned runs in six innings in a no-decision against the New York Yankees on Saturday. He has walked just two batters in 25 1/3 innings over his last four starts but has given up a home run in each of his last three outings after going four appearances without serving one up. Lohse is 5-6 with a 5.15 ERA in 20 career starts versus Chicago.
--KEY STAT: LOHSE is 30-9 (+21.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.3, OPPONENT 2.5.
--LOHSE is 39-19 (+19.6 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2.
--LOHSE is 22-5 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.8, OPPONENT 3.1.
•Cubs RH Jeff Samardzija (0-3, 1.45 ERA, WHIP: 1.054) - Samardzija remains without a win despite a sparkling ERA that ranks second in the National League. He did not factor in the decision after limiting Atlanta to just two hits and a walk in six scoreless innings on Saturday, extending his streak of innings without an earned run to 15. The 29-year-old, who has a 2.48 ERA in 26 career games (13 starts) in May, has limited the Brewers to 42 hits in 55 1/3 innings over 20 appearances.
--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 7-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.1, OPPONENT 4.8.
--SAMARDZIJA is 1-13 (-12.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 1.9, OPPONENT 4.9.
#903 NY METS @ #904 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Mets RH Jonathon Niese (2-2, 2.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.073) - Niese recorded his sixth straight quality start, but did not factor into the decision during Sunday’s 5-4 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies. The 27-year-old Ohio native, who has yet to allow more than three runs in any of his seven turns after battling shoulder and elbow issues during spring training, yielded three runs on eight hits and struck out six over six frames. Niese is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three road outings this season and 3-0 with a 2.47 ERA in seven career starts against the Nationals.
--KEY STAT: NIESE is 14-5 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.1, OPPONENT 2.9.
--NIESE is 13-4 (+15.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.2, OPPONENT 3.8.
--NIESE is 21-8 OVER (+12.4 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 4.9, OPPONENT 5.0.
•Nationals RH Tanner Roark (2-1, 3.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.083) - Rebounding from his worst outing of the season on May 3, Roark settled for a no-decision in his second dominant start in three tries during Saturday’s 4-3 loss to the Oakland Athletics. The former 25th-round selection held Oakland to one run on two hits over 7 2/3 innings and was in line for the victory before closer Rafael Soriano blew his first save of the season. Roark has enjoyed similar success in three career appearances (two starts) against the Mets, compiling a 2-0 record and 2.93 ERA.
#905 CINCINNATI @ #906 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (4-2, 2.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.076) - Simon had pitched well before giving up season highs in runs (five), hits (eight) and homers (three) in three innings while losing to Colorado on Saturday. He gave up five or fewer hits in each of his six outings prior to the poor performance against the Rockies. Simon is 0-1 with a 2.08 ERA in three career relief appearances against the Phillies.
•Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (0-3, 3.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.372) - Kendrick is winless in all seven starts this season and 14 straight overall since recording a victory over the Chicago Cubs last Aug. 6. He gave up four runs and four hits in 5 1/3 innings while taking a no-decision against the New York Mets in his last turn. Kendrick is 3-3 with a 4.41 ERA in nine career appearances (eight starts) against Cincinnati.
--KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 9-1 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.2, OPPONENT 5.3.
--KENDRICK is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.1, OPPONENT 5.7.
#907 ATLANTA @ #908 ST LOUIS - 8:15 PM
•Braves RH Ervin Santana (4-0, 1.99 ERA, WHIP: 1.008) - Santana blanked Chicago on five hits over seven innings while winning his last outing. He has given up one run or fewer in four of his six starts and has 43 strikeouts against nine walks in 40 2/3 innings. Santana is 1-1 with a 4.73 ERA in two career starts against the Cardinals.
•Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (4-2, 3.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.319) - Lynn is 0-2 over his last four starts after opening the season with four consecutive victories. The 27-year-old lost to Pittsburgh in his last turn when he gave up four runs and nine hits in six innings. Lynn is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career starts against the Braves.
--KEY STAT: LYNN is 16-1 (+14.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 6.9, OPPONENT 2.5.
--LYNN is 45-22 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3.
#909 SAN DIEGO @ #910 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Padres LH Eric Stults (2-3, 5.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.652) - Stults defeated Miami in his last outing when he gave up two runs and six hits in six innings. He hasn't issued a walk in four of his last five starts and has given out seven in 39 1/3 innings for the season. Stults is 3-0 with a 4.14 ERA in 12 career appearances (eight starts) against the Rockies after receiving a no-decision on April 14 when he gave up four runs (three earned) and nine hits in five innings.
--KEY STAT: STULTS is 24-13 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 4.1, OPPONENT 3.6.
--STULTS is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 2.6, OPPONENT 4.1.
•Rockies LH Jorge De La Rosa (4-3, 4.81 ERA, WHIP: 1.349) - De La Rosa was pushed back three days due to back spasms but has been cleared to pitch against the Padres. He lost to San Diego on April 16 when he gave up three runs (two earned) and seven hits in six innings to drop to 7-3 with a 4.80 ERA in 20 career appearances (16 starts) against the Padres. De La Rosa has won four consecutive starts, the last against Texas when he gave up two runs and three hits in six innings.
--KEY STAT: DE LA ROSA is 16-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 4.8, OPPONENT 3.5.
--DE LA ROSA is 15-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.8, OPPONENT 3.9.
--DE LA ROSA is 34-10 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.3.
--DE LA ROSA is 13-1 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.8, OPPONENT 2.9.
--DE LA ROSA is 16-0 (+17.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 6.3, OPPONENT 3.4.
--DE LA ROSA is 31-12 OVER (+18.3 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.3.
#911 LA DODGERS @ #912 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (6-1, 2.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.147) - Greinke rebounded from a rain-shortened loss to yield two runs on six hits over seven innings in a 6-2 victory versus San Francisco on Saturday. The 30-year-old struck out eight batters -- his fifth outing of eight or more this season with two such performances coming in back-to-back starts against Arizona. Greinke permitted one run in each of those two outings, picking up the win on April 12 while settling for a no-decision six days later.
--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 16-2 (+13.8 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.1, OPPONENT 2.3.
--GREINKE is 17-3 (+13.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.2, OPPONENT 2.6.
--GREINKE is 15-2 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.8, OPPONENT 2.5.
•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-3, 4.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.214) - Miley recorded his first win since April 6 after tossing seven strong frames in a 4-3 triumph over the Chicago White Sox on Saturday. The only damage the 27-year-old allowed was a two-run homer, but he did not walk a batter for the first time this season. Miley suffered the loss in each of his first two meetings with the Dodgers before settling for a no-decision against Los Angeles after yielding just a solo homer and matching a season high with eight strikeouts on April 18.
#913 MIAMI @ #914 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:15 PM
•Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (2-3, 3.33 ERA, WHIP: 1.397) - Alvarez followed up his complete-game shutout against the Mets with a dismal outing against San Diego last Sunday, when he yielded five runs in four innings. “He didn't have a good feel for his sinker and that is his bread and butter,” catcher Jeff Mathis told reporters. The 24-year-old, who is 0-2 with a 4.57 ERA in four road starts this season, allowed four runs over seven innings in a 6-4 loss to San Francisco last Aug. 17.
•Giants RH Yusmeiro Petit (2-1, 4.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.310) - Petit has experience as a last-minute starter after taking Cain’s spot on April 29 and throwing six shutout innings against San Diego. The 29-year-old went 1-0 with a 6.97 ERA in two starts for Cain, who landed on the disabled list with a cut right index finger. Petit, who is facing Miami for the first time since 2009, owns a 0.61 ERA in seven home games (one start) while posting a 10.32 ERA in four road contests (one start).
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