Service Plays Friday 5/16/14

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 16TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#901 MILWAUKEE @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Brewers RH Kyle Lohse (4-1, 2.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.127) - Milwaukee has won six of the last seven games started by Lohse, who allowed two earned runs in six innings in a no-decision against the New York Yankees on Saturday. He has walked just two batters in 25 1/3 innings over his last four starts but has given up a home run in each of his last three outings after going four appearances without serving one up. Lohse is 5-6 with a 5.15 ERA in 20 career starts versus Chicago.

--KEY STAT: LOHSE is 30-9 (+21.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.3, OPPONENT 2.5.

--LOHSE is 39-19 (+19.6 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

--LOHSE is 22-5 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.8, OPPONENT 3.1.

•Cubs RH Jeff Samardzija (0-3, 1.45 ERA, WHIP: 1.054) - Samardzija remains without a win despite a sparkling ERA that ranks second in the National League. He did not factor in the decision after limiting Atlanta to just two hits and a walk in six scoreless innings on Saturday, extending his streak of innings without an earned run to 15. The 29-year-old, who has a 2.48 ERA in 26 career games (13 starts) in May, has limited the Brewers to 42 hits in 55 1/3 innings over 20 appearances.

--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 7-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.1, OPPONENT 4.8.

--SAMARDZIJA is 1-13 (-12.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 1.9, OPPONENT 4.9.

#903 NY METS @ #904 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Mets RH Jonathon Niese (2-2, 2.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.073) - Niese recorded his sixth straight quality start, but did not factor into the decision during Sunday’s 5-4 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies. The 27-year-old Ohio native, who has yet to allow more than three runs in any of his seven turns after battling shoulder and elbow issues during spring training, yielded three runs on eight hits and struck out six over six frames. Niese is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three road outings this season and 3-0 with a 2.47 ERA in seven career starts against the Nationals.

--KEY STAT: NIESE is 14-5 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.1, OPPONENT 2.9.

--NIESE is 13-4 (+15.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.2, OPPONENT 3.8.

--NIESE is 21-8 OVER (+12.4 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 4.9, OPPONENT 5.0.

•Nationals RH Tanner Roark (2-1, 3.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.083) - Rebounding from his worst outing of the season on May 3, Roark settled for a no-decision in his second dominant start in three tries during Saturday’s 4-3 loss to the Oakland Athletics. The former 25th-round selection held Oakland to one run on two hits over 7 2/3 innings and was in line for the victory before closer Rafael Soriano blew his first save of the season. Roark has enjoyed similar success in three career appearances (two starts) against the Mets, compiling a 2-0 record and 2.93 ERA.

#905 CINCINNATI @ #906 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (4-2, 2.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.076) - Simon had pitched well before giving up season highs in runs (five), hits (eight) and homers (three) in three innings while losing to Colorado on Saturday. He gave up five or fewer hits in each of his six outings prior to the poor performance against the Rockies. Simon is 0-1 with a 2.08 ERA in three career relief appearances against the Phillies.

•Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (0-3, 3.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.372) - Kendrick is winless in all seven starts this season and 14 straight overall since recording a victory over the Chicago Cubs last Aug. 6. He gave up four runs and four hits in 5 1/3 innings while taking a no-decision against the New York Mets in his last turn. Kendrick is 3-3 with a 4.41 ERA in nine career appearances (eight starts) against Cincinnati.

--KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 9-1 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.2, OPPONENT 5.3.

--KENDRICK is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.1, OPPONENT 5.7.

#907 ATLANTA @ #908 ST LOUIS - 8:15 PM
•Braves RH Ervin Santana (4-0, 1.99 ERA, WHIP: 1.008) - Santana blanked Chicago on five hits over seven innings while winning his last outing. He has given up one run or fewer in four of his six starts and has 43 strikeouts against nine walks in 40 2/3 innings. Santana is 1-1 with a 4.73 ERA in two career starts against the Cardinals.

•Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (4-2, 3.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.319) - Lynn is 0-2 over his last four starts after opening the season with four consecutive victories. The 27-year-old lost to Pittsburgh in his last turn when he gave up four runs and nine hits in six innings. Lynn is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career starts against the Braves.

--KEY STAT: LYNN is 16-1 (+14.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 6.9, OPPONENT 2.5.

--LYNN is 45-22 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LYNN 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3.

#909 SAN DIEGO @ #910 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Padres LH Eric Stults (2-3, 5.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.652) - Stults defeated Miami in his last outing when he gave up two runs and six hits in six innings. He hasn't issued a walk in four of his last five starts and has given out seven in 39 1/3 innings for the season. Stults is 3-0 with a 4.14 ERA in 12 career appearances (eight starts) against the Rockies after receiving a no-decision on April 14 when he gave up four runs (three earned) and nine hits in five innings.

--KEY STAT: STULTS is 24-13 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 4.1, OPPONENT 3.6.

--STULTS is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 2.6, OPPONENT 4.1.

•Rockies LH Jorge De La Rosa (4-3, 4.81 ERA, WHIP: 1.349) - De La Rosa was pushed back three days due to back spasms but has been cleared to pitch against the Padres. He lost to San Diego on April 16 when he gave up three runs (two earned) and seven hits in six innings to drop to 7-3 with a 4.80 ERA in 20 career appearances (16 starts) against the Padres. De La Rosa has won four consecutive starts, the last against Texas when he gave up two runs and three hits in six innings.

--KEY STAT: DE LA ROSA is 16-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 4.8, OPPONENT 3.5.

--DE LA ROSA is 15-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.8, OPPONENT 3.9.

--DE LA ROSA is 34-10 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.3.

--DE LA ROSA is 13-1 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.8, OPPONENT 2.9.

--DE LA ROSA is 16-0 (+17.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 6.3, OPPONENT 3.4.

--DE LA ROSA is 31-12 OVER (+18.3 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.3.

#911 LA DODGERS @ #912 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (6-1, 2.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.147) - Greinke rebounded from a rain-shortened loss to yield two runs on six hits over seven innings in a 6-2 victory versus San Francisco on Saturday. The 30-year-old struck out eight batters -- his fifth outing of eight or more this season with two such performances coming in back-to-back starts against Arizona. Greinke permitted one run in each of those two outings, picking up the win on April 12 while settling for a no-decision six days later.

--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 16-2 (+13.8 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.1, OPPONENT 2.3.

--GREINKE is 17-3 (+13.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.2, OPPONENT 2.6.

--GREINKE is 15-2 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-3, 4.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.214) - Miley recorded his first win since April 6 after tossing seven strong frames in a 4-3 triumph over the Chicago White Sox on Saturday. The only damage the 27-year-old allowed was a two-run homer, but he did not walk a batter for the first time this season. Miley suffered the loss in each of his first two meetings with the Dodgers before settling for a no-decision against Los Angeles after yielding just a solo homer and matching a season high with eight strikeouts on April 18.

#913 MIAMI @ #914 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:15 PM
•Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (2-3, 3.33 ERA, WHIP: 1.397) - Alvarez followed up his complete-game shutout against the Mets with a dismal outing against San Diego last Sunday, when he yielded five runs in four innings. “He didn't have a good feel for his sinker and that is his bread and butter,” catcher Jeff Mathis told reporters. The 24-year-old, who is 0-2 with a 4.57 ERA in four road starts this season, allowed four runs over seven innings in a 6-4 loss to San Francisco last Aug. 17.

•Giants RH Yusmeiro Petit (2-1, 4.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.310) - Petit has experience as a last-minute starter after taking Cain’s spot on April 29 and throwing six shutout innings against San Diego. The 29-year-old went 1-0 with a 6.97 ERA in two starts for Cain, who landed on the disabled list with a cut right index finger. Petit, who is facing Miami for the first time since 2009, owns a 0.61 ERA in seven home games (one start) while posting a 10.32 ERA in four road contests (one start).
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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 16TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#915 OAKLAND @ #916 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•Athletics RH Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.167) - Gray has allowed three runs or fewer and pitched at least six innings in all eight starts, including six scoreless frames against the Indians in the season opener. The native of Nashville, Tenn., has surrendered 44 hits in 54 innings and struck out 43 while walking 18. Gray has not been involved in the decision the last two games, yielding five runs and 12 hits over 13 innings against Washington and Boston.

--KEY STAT: GRAY is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GRAY 5.9, OPPONENT 1.7.

•Indians RH Zach McAllister (3-3, 3.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.295) - McAllister is 0-3 over his last four starts, giving up 13 earned runs in 20 1/3 innings, after opening the season with three wins in his first four turns. The 6-6 Illinois native’s only no decision in his first four games came against Oakland on April 2 when he allowed three runs in four innings. Josh Donaldson is 5-for-11 against McAllister, who is 1-1 in four career starts versus the Athletics with a 4.91 ERA.

#917 DETROIT @ #918 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
•Tigers RH Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.019) - Scherzer took a no-hitter into the sixth inning against Boston in Game 2 of the ALCS before Ortiz’s grand slam off Joaquin Benoit made the Red Sox winners, and he took the loss in the clinching game when Shane Victorino belted a grand slam off Jose Veras. The reigning Cy Young winner has had little trouble shaking off that disappointment in 2014 and has gotten the win in five straight starts while posting a 1.64 ERA in that span. Scherzer is 2-4 with a 7.02 ERA in eight career regular-season starts against Boston.

--KEY STAT: SCHERZER is 23-4 (+14.8 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.4, OPPONENT 2.9.

--SCHERZER is 14-5 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 4.2, OPPONENT 2.9.

•Red Sox LH Jon Lester (4-4, 2.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.078) - Lester was on the tough side of a 1-0 shutout in Game 1 of the ALCS but earned a win with 5 1/3 strong innings in Game 5 before enjoying a dominant World Series. The 30-year-old struck out a career-high 15 while allowing one hit in a win over Oakland on May 3 and followed that up with seven solid innings in a win at Texas last weekend. Lester is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA in seven career regular-season starts against Detroit.

--KEY STAT: LESTER is 14-4 against the run line (+13.2 Units) in home games in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LESTER 6.4, OPPONENT 3.6.

#919 TORONTO @ #920 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Blue Jays RH Drew Hutchison (1-3, 4.37 ERA, WHIP: 1.302) - Hutchison has gone seven straight starts without gaining a victory after beating Tampa Bay in his season debut with 5 1/3 shutout innings. The 23-year-old gave up three or fewer runs in four of those seven outings while striking out 49 in 45 1/3 innings overall. Hutchison yielded five earned runs over six innings in his only start against Texas on May 1, 2012.

•Rangers RH Yu Darvish (3-1, 2.33 ERA, WHIP: 1.079) - Darvish flirted with a perfect game in his last start against Boston before allowing two hits in 8 2/3 innings for his second straight win. The Japan native has struck out 54 in 46 1/3 innings overall while holding teams scoreless in three of his seven outings. Encarnacion is 5-for-12 with a pair of homers against Darvish, who is 2-1 in five career starts versus Toronto with a 2.73 ERA.

--KEY STAT: DARVISH is 12-3 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.4, OPPONENT 2.6.

--DARVISH is 14-4 UNDER (+10.0 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

--DARVISH is 12-2 UNDER (+10.2 Units) at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.7, OPPONENT 2.1.

--DARVISH is 5-19 against the run line (-17.1 Units) versus an American League team with they batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

#921 BALTIMORE @ #922 KANSAS CITY - 8:10 PM
•Orioles RH Chris Tillman (3-2, 3.97 ERA, WHIP: 1.364) - Tillman started the season strong with a total of two earned runs allowed in his first three starts but has since surrendered at least three runs in five straight turns, posting a 6.49 ERA over that span. The 26-year-old completed six innings only once in that stretch and issued five walks in as many innings in a loss to Houston on Sunday. Tillman is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA in four career starts against Kansas City.

--KEY STAT: TILLMAN is 16-7 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 4.9, OPPONENT 3.3.

--TILLMAN is 15-6 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 6.0, OPPONENT 4.4.

--TILLMAN is 15-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 5.7, OPPONENT 3.5.

--TILLMAN is 19-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 5.3, OPPONENT 3.5.

--TILLMAN is 22-8 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 4.9, OPPONENT 3.4.

•Jeremy Guthrie (2-2, 4.80 ERA, WHIP: 1.263) - Guthrie is struggling to find consistency and was lit up for seven runs on eight hits - three home runs - in 4 2/3 innings at Seattle on Sunday. The former Oriole posted his best start in his previous turn, allowing one run in eight innings at San Diego on May 6. Guthrie has yet to lose to his former team and owns a 2-0 record with a 1.89 ERA in three career starts against Baltimore.

--KEY STAT: GUTHRIE is 22-38 (-19.6 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GUTHRIE 3.8, OPPONENT 4.7.

--GUTHRIE is 11-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GUTHRIE 5.8, OPPONENT 3.0.

--GUTHRIE is 13-33 (-21.7 Units) against the money line after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GUTHRIE 3.4, OPPONENT 4.8.

--GUTHRIE is 16-4 (+12.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GUTHRIE 5.8, OPPONENT 3.5.

#923 CHI WHITE SOX @ #924 HOUSTON - 8:10 PM
•White Sox LH Jose Quintana (1-3, 3.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.224) - Quintana has recorded quality starts in seven of his eight outings this season but is winless in his last six. He was tagged with a tough-luck loss last time out, giving up three runs over six innings in a 4-3 loss to Arizona. The 25-year-old Colombian has a 3.65 ERA in two starts against Houston but did not factor in the decision in either.

--KEY STAT: QUINTANA is 15-2 UNDER (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.2, OPPONENT 3.2.

--QUINTANA is 20-7 UNDER (+11.9 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.5, OPPONENT 3.8.

--QUINTANA is 23-9 UNDER (+12.9 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.7, OPPONENT 3.6.

--QUINTANA is 13-3 UNDER (+9.8 Units) when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 2.8, OPPONENT 3.9.

•Astros RH Collin McHugh (2-1, 2.81 ERA, WHIP: 1.013) - After brief and unsuccessful stints in the majors the past two seasons, McHugh has been a pleasant surprise for the Astros. He had one rocky outing against Seattle but rebounded last time out, holding Baltimore to two runs over 6 1/3 innings in a no-decision. The 26-year-old has never faced the White Sox.

#925 SEATTLE @ #926 MINNESOTA - 8:10 PM
•Mariners RH Chris Young (3-0, 2.63 ERA, WHIP: 1.061) - Sidelined for all of last season while recovering from surgery to correct his thoracic outlet syndrome, Young’s feel-good start to the 2014 campaign continued in Saturday’s 3-1 victory over the Kansas City Royals. The 34-year-old Princeton alum, who has won each of his last three turns while compiling a 1.83 ERA, allowed one run on three hits over eight frames during a 93-pitch outing. However, Young has yet to record a victory in four all-time starts against Minnesota despite a 2.41 ERA.

•Twins RH Kyle Gibson (3-3, 4.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.526) - Gibson endured the worst outing of his 17-start major-league career in Saturday’s 9-3 setback against the Detroit Tigers, exiting after a career-low two innings after getting pounded for six runs and seven hits. The No. 22 overall pick of the 2009 draft also yielded his first homer of the season, becoming the last full-time starter in the majors to do so. Gibson was also roughed up in his only other turn versus the Mariners last season, giving up five runs over five innings.

--KEY STAT: GIBSON is 9-1 OVER (+8.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GIBSON 5.8, OPPONENT 5.9.

#927 TAMPA BAY @ #928 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM
•Rays RH Chris Archer (2-2, 5.16 ERA, WHIP: 1.478) - Archer has struggled in his last four starts since moving to the No. 2 spot in the rotation with Alex Cobb and Matt Moore injured, allowing 16 runs in 20 2/3 innings. The 25-year-old gave up four runs over five frames in a loss to Cleveland in his last outing. Trout is 4-for-6 in his career against Archer, who is 1-1 in two starts while yielding six runs in 10 2/3 innings versus the Angels.

•Angels RH Jered Weaver (4-2, 3.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.133) - Weaver got off to a slow start in his first three outings, but has limited opponents to two or fewer runs in the last five while going 4-0. The three-time All Star, who gave up 13 runs combined in his first three outings, has permitted 42 hits in 50 1/3 frames overall. Wil Myers homered in two of his three at-bats against Weaver, who is 4-3 with a 3.92 ERA in nine lifetime starts versus Tampa Bay.

--KEY STAT: WEAVER is 24-9 UNDER (+14.0 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 3.9, OPPONENT 2.6.

--WEAVER is 22-7 UNDER (+13.6 Units) in home games versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.0, OPPONENT 2.9.

--WEAVER is 19-9 against the run line (+16.8 Units) when the run line is (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 5.3, OPPONENT 3.3.

#929 PITTSBURGH @ #930 NY YANKEES - 7:05 PM
•Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (1-3, 4.36 ERA, WHIP: 1.201) - Volquez saw his winless streak extended to four games in Saturday’s 4-3 triumph over the St. Louis Cardinals after giving up three runs on four hits and four walks over 4 2/3 innings. The 2008 All-Star, who is 0-3 with an 8.81 ERA since notching his only win of the season on April 17, is averaging 0.58 strikeouts per inning in 2014 – down significantly from his 0.94 career mark entering the season. Volquez won his only career start against the Yankees in 2008, allowing two runs over seven frames.

--KEY STAT: VOLQUEZ is 48-33 (+17.2 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 4.4, OPPONENT 4.1.

•Yankees RH David Phelps (0-0, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.455) - With Ivan Nova and CC Sabathia out of the rotation due to injuries, Phelps will draw his third straight start after settling for a no-decision in Sunday’s 6-5 loss against the Brewers. The 27-year-old, who has already made nine relief appearances this season, yielded four runs on eight hits with three walks over five innings. Phelps will face the Pirates for the first time in his career and attempt to halt his struggles in interleague play, where he is 0-2 with a 7.02 ERA in six appearances (three starts).
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FRIDAY

NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Anaheim -115 over Los Angeles (NHL TOP PLAY)

 

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MLB Baseball

1000* Play San Francisco -160 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)

Henderson Alvarez has lost 4 consecutive games vs. NL West Division Opponents and he has lost 16 of the last 24 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season. Henderson Alvarez has lost 12 of the last 15 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has lost 30 of the last 46 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher.

=====================================================



50* Play Texas -160 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Colorado -145 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 
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Friday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Fireworks expected for Padres-Rockies

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Friday's major league games:

Lowest of the Low

Unders dominated the Thursday sked, with teams combining to go 3-7 O/U. Only three clubs managed to score more than five runs: the Angels, who beat Tampa Bay 6-5; San Francisco, which prevailed 6-4 over Miami; and San Diego, which routed Cincinnati 6-1.

One-Run Wonders

The Baltimore Orioles (+127) are at it again, improving to 10-3 in one-run games with a 2-1 triumph over the Kansas City Royals. Baltimore, which put together a 29-9 mark in one-run games en route to a playoff berth in 2012, are +103 underdogs Friday in Kansas City.

Total Surprise

It's not often the San Diego Padres find themselves as part of the day's highest total - but that's the case Friday as they visit Colorado. The Rockies (-154, 10.5) have been unstoppable at Coors Field this season, batting .353 and averaging 7.7 runs over their first 18 games.

Pitching Notes

* Detroit ace Max Scherzer has had issues pitching in Boston; the hard-throwing right-hander has lost his last three games as an underdog, all at Fenway Park. Scherzer returns as a -102 underdog Friday against Jon Lester and the Red Sox (-106, 7.5).

* Chicago Cubs righty Jeff Samardzija can make a solid grievance against his teammates this season, racking up the fifth-worst money line among starters ($-609) despite a minuscule 1.45 ERA. Samardzija looks for his first win as the Cubs (-111) host Milwaukee.

Batting Notes

* Toronto first baseman Edwin Encarnacion belted a pair of homers in Thursday's 4-2 win over Cleveland. The Blue Jays, who are 5-1 against the moneyline and 5-1 O/U when Encarnacion hits at least one home run in 2014, open a series Friday in Texas (-170, 8.5)

* Minnesota Twins first baseman Chris Colabello went 0-for-5 with two strikeouts Thursday against Boston and is hitting just 7-for-52 with 23 strikeouts in May. The Twins are 4-10 O/U in that stretch as they prepare to host Seattle (+100, 8).

Totals Streak

St. Louis Cardinals (5-1-1 O/U): The offense has come alive of late, scoring four or more runs in six of the past seven games. The Cardinals carry an 18-19-4 O/U record for the season into Friday's date with visiting Atlanta (-101, 7).

Prop of the Day

Bettors could fare handsomely if the Padres somehow find a way to tame the Rockies at Coors Field. Oddsmakers are offering +550 for a total of 5 or lower and +500 for a total of 6 or 7, but be wary: the teams combined for double-digit runs five times in seven meetings at Colorado last season.

Injury Notes

* New York Yankees outfielder Carlos Beltran may miss up to 12 weeks if he decides to undergo elbow surgery. New York is 2-2 against the moneyline, 2-2 O/U and +44 units on the season with Beltran out of the lineup.

* Chicago White Sox lefty Chris Sale will make a minor-league rehab start Friday with an eye toward a late-May return. The White Sox are 3-1 against the moneyline in Sale's four starts in 2014, after going just 14-16 a season ago.

Weather Watch

* High totals could be on the docket at Citizens Bank Park, with wind expected to blow out to right field for the game between the Phillies (+100, 8) and the visiting Cincinnati Reds. Philadelphia went 6-1 while teams averaged 2.71 homers under similar conditions last season.

Umpire of the Day

Under is 8-1 in umpire Doug Eddings' last nine games behind home plate. Eddings will call the balls and strikes at Kauffman Stadium as the Royals resume their series with the Orioles.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:05 a.m. ET Friday.
 
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Dominic Brando's Inner Circle

NHL play released last night.
LA Kings +110 to Risk 0.5U and +1.5 Goals/-290 to Win 0.5U

Twitter Comp Early Friday MLB Inner Circle Side: CHICAGO CUBS (ACTION/SAMARDZIJA) -105 over Milwaukee Brewers (2:20ET)
 

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XpertPicks

FRIDAY BASEBALL



  • Play Detroit +100 over Boston----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
    7:10 PM EST

Max Scherzer has won 29 of the last 43 games coming off a team win and he has won 35 of the last 50 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Max Scherzer has won 28 of the last 40 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season and he is 3-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.35.



  • Play Baltimore +100 over Kansas City----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
    8:10 PM EST

Chris Tillman has won 19 of the last 25 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season and he has won 15 of the last 20 road games. Chris Tillman has won 22 of the last 30 night games and he has won 9 of the last 10 games when pitching on a Friday.
 

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BeatYourBookie


FRIDAY

NHL Hockey

10* Play Anaheim -115 over Los Angeles (NHL TOP PLAY)
 

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BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Detroit +100 over Boston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Detroit is 33-24 when playing on a Friday the last three seasons
Detroit is 86-62 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
Detroit is 49-38 vs. AL East Division Opponents the last three seasons



10* Play Baltimore +100 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)

Baltimore is 35-25 when playing on a Friday the last three seasons
Baltimore is 83-68 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
Baltimore is 72-53 with an on base percentage of .300 or worse the last ten games


=============================================

5* Play Seattle +110 over Minnesota (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
5* Play Chicago White Sox +110 over Houston (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
 

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[h=3]AAA’s 10* *Kings/Ducks* GAME 7 BLOCKBUSTER! HUGE! > Art Aronson[/h]Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks May 16 2014 9:05PMThis is a 10* “BLOCKBUSTER” on the LA Kings. What a series. I took the Kings in Game 6. There’s no question this is an evenly matched series, but for this selection, I’m basing it entirely on the men between the pipes. I think we’re getting great value on Jonathan Quick and the LA Kings. LA is 5-0 in elimination games this year and has more experience in these types of situations and that simply can’t be overlooked in this selection either: “When you have our trust and experience with each other, it puts games like this in perspective," Kings captain Dustin Brown said. "We've been through a lot worse. We know what has to be done." "We just have the mentality that nothing is going to stop us," LA defenseman Drew Doughty echoed. "We're just a close-knit team that wants nothing more than to be another Stanley Cup champion." Note that Ducks’ coach Bruce Boudreau is 1-4 in Game 7’s with Washington and Anaheim, losing four in front of the home town crowd. But as stated above, who would you take in a game of this magnitude if you had one choice: LA’s wily veteran Quick or 20-year old John Gibson for the Ducks? Now imagine getting Quick as the underdog? That’s exactly the situation here. In what will likely be another nail-biter, I think this value is simply too good to turn down; play on the Kings. AAA Sports
Prediction: Los Angeles Kings
 

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
2* Reds/Phillies over 8 (1150/1000)
1* Padres/Rockies over 10 (525/500)
 

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Hondo resumed his losing ways Thursday night when the O’s beat the Royals by the hair of their Chen-y Chen Chen, causing the filthy figure to grow to 910 campanerises.
Friday night: The A’s-Tribe game looks like a black-and-white issue, so Mr. Aitch will go with Gray — 10 units on Oakland.
 
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GC: MLB Play

Friday card has the National League 100% Blowout Game of the Month and a Pair of 5* Totals that are Both from Undefeated totals system that have lost in over 10 years. Thursday sweeps 4-0 in Bases and baskets. MLB System Play

On Friday theMLB System Play is on the Colorado Rockies. Game 910 at 8:40 eastern. Colorado is a perfect 10-0 on this field the last 10 times the total is 10 to 10.5 and they are 4-0 at home off a road loss. They have won their last 3 here vs leftys and fit a solid system that has won 13 of the last 15 times when playing on certain home favorites that are off a 1 run road loss and scored 2 or less runs and are playing an opponent off a road win that scored 5 or more, like the Padres in this one San Diego took the night cap last night to split their double header with the Reds. However, they are scoring just 2.4 runs per game on the road compared to Colorado who scored over 7 runs here at home. The Padres are also a dismal 2-9 on the road when the total is 10 or higher. The Pitching also favors the Rockies here as J. Delarosa is 3-0 at home and has a 12-4 record vs San Diego. E. Stults for the Padres allowed 5 runs in 4+ inning here and has a 6.62 road era. Based on all the data above we will recommend Colorado tonight. Start the weekend big. Jump on as we have a Powerful MLB Card that is led by the National League Game of the Month from a Huge Never lost blowout system and a Pair of 5* Totals,both are perfect one average 12 runs per game. MLB Has been solid again this year. Thursday we were 4-0 Sweeping the board again. Put the power of our unprecedented data on your side tonight as we flatten your book like a short stack at Ihop. For the Bonus Play take Colorado. GC
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Mets on Thursday and likes the A’s on Friday.

The deficit is 437 sirignanos.
 

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