Dave Cokin
Pirates +120
A rare scheduling dynamics baseball play. Lots of these in football and buckets, but generally not on the diamond. I think I'll take a chance here though, This Mets/Cubs series was big in terms of coverage, and the games the last couple days were really tense, with the Cubbies rallying to win both times. I think there's some potential for a bit of a letdown here. The downside is the Cubs have done damage to lefties thus far, and it's not like Jeff Locke is a shutdown guy for the Bucs. But I don't see any advantage on the home team's side with Kyle Hendricks, and in fact on the overall metrics, Locke actually qualifies as a value dog. Wind forecast is out to left so this could turn into a bullpen game, in which case Pittsburgh would own an advantage. I think there's enough here to go ahead with the Pirates.
Yankees -122 (Pineda/Young)
I made this Yankees -140, so no beefs with the number. Rare game where the Royals don't have the blowaway bullpen edge as the Yankees late combo is every bit as good as KC's. A little concerned that the Yankees offense getting shut down last three nights, but Pineda is pitching at an exceptional level right now. Young has been legit this season to some extent, but there's still that .105 BABIP, which is crazy. Pineda go with all the way now, so I'll give the Yankees a play.
Red Sox +102
Team data favors Mariners here, as the Red Sox have not hit lefties at all well. But I'm giving Buchholz an edge over Happ. Never can be sure about Buchholz and Happ could legitimately be pitching the best ball of his career right now. But numbers still say Buchholz a little better. Boston could have a decent bullpen edge here. Uehara worked each of the last two nights, but both were very easy ninth innings and he should be available. Rodney threw a ton of pitches in his inning last night, and Carson Smith has worked back to back. The rest of that Seattle bullpen, save for maybe Joe Beimel, is not good. This is actually priced about right, but Red Sox have shown some life with a 4-1 last 5, and I'll give them a shot here.