Kevin's Pick(s):
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS -1.5 (+139)
Listed Pitchers: Carrasco vs Hudson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.78 units)
The Giants ended a tough 2-4 road trip with a big 12-10 extra innings win in Colorado. The offensive out burst and a day off Thursday should have them set for a home stand where the welcome the Cleveland Indians. The Giants are 12-10 on the year and 5-4 at home, while the Indians are 11-1 and 4-5 on the road. The Indians will send Carlos Carrasco to the mound tonight and he is 0-2 with a 7.31 ERA, .302 OBA and 1.69 WHIP. He has given up 4 earned runs or more in each of his three starts, with the longest lasting 5.2 innings. He qill face off against Tim Hudson who goes for the Giants tonight. Hudson is 2-1 over 4 starts with a 2.40 ERA, .213 OBA and 0.77 WHIP. He has lasted 7+ innings in each start and he has given up 2 earned runs or less in 3 of the 4. He has also struck out 20 batters without issuing a single walk to date. Take note that the Indians are 16-40 in their last 56 interleague road games, 4-12 in their last 16 road games vs a team with a winning home record, and 2-8 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. They are also just 3-13 in Carrasco's last 16 starts. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games following an off day dating back to last season and 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs a right handed starter. San Fran is 3-1 in games that Hudson has started this season. Tonight we've got one starter who has been struggling, not only this year, but for the past two seasons and another starter who is off to a great start to the year. I like the run line price tonight on the Giants.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Colorado Rockies @ L.A. Dodgers - DODGERS -1.5 (+157)
Listed Pitchers: Lyles vs. Beckett
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.14 units)
Josh Beckett has definitely surprised a few people this year, including myself. It seemed like his career was almost over, but he has found somewhat of a resurgence here with the Dodgers. If he can hold up like this the Dodgers will reap the benefits down the road. He has three starts on the year, coming into tonight against the Rockies with a 2.57 ERA. His last two starts are worth a mention, as he didn't allow one run in either game against the Giants and Diamondbacks. In addition, there was only 3 hits surrendered in total. 2 against the Giants and 1 in his last start. His WHIP has stayed low as well at 1.14 and a 1.00 at home. Jordan Lyles ERA isn't too shabby at all with a 3.04. However, he has gotten touched up on both occasions on the road against the Marlins and Padres. Two below average offenses. His ERA against both was 6.30 and his WHIP hit 1.40. In his fourth year in the majors after spending time in Houston, Lyles looks to improve on a +5.00 ERA career. In each of the three seasons Lyles ERA eclipsed 5.00. I expect that to happen again this season. I also expect the Dodgers to hurt his cause at improving it. The Dodgers got pushed around against the Phillies in their last series, but I like them to come back strong at home against the Rockies. I'll play the -1.5 for +157.