STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
FRIDAY, APRIL 25th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Friday, 4/25/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Friday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Alvarez is 1-0, 1.80 in his last two starts.
-- Santana is 2-0, 0.86 in three starts for Atlanta.
-- Miller is 1-0, 0.79 in his last couple starts. Cole is 2-1, 4.00 in his four starts this month.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts. Beckett is 0-0, 0.00 (10 IP) in his last two starts.
-- Wilson is 2-1, 3.15 in his last three starts. Kuroda is 2-1, 4.07 in four starts this season.
-- Ventura is 1-1, 3.18 in three starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 4-0, 0.64 in four '14 starts. Peavy is 0-0, 3.33 in his four starts.
-- Archer is 2-1, 3.65 in four starts this season. Johnson is 1-0, 2.31 in his last couple starts.
-- Oakland is 4-0 when Chavez starts (1-0, 2.08).
-- Porcello is 2-1, 3.05 in three starts this season.
-- Hudson is 2-1, 2.70 in four starts for the Giants.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-2, 6.33 in five starts. Erlin is 0-2, 5.91 in his last two starts.
-- Wheeler is 1-2, 5.40 in four starts this season.
-- Bailey is 1-1, 5.76 in four starts this season.
-- Garza is 0-1, 7.00 in his last three starts. Villanueva is 0-2, 16.43 in his last two starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-0, 7.20 in his last three starts. Collmenter is 0-2, 6.30 in two starts this season.
-- Jiminez is 0-3, 6.75 in four starts this season.
-- Peacock allowed two runs in five IP in losing his first '14 start.
-- Correia is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Ross is 1-1, 4.24 in four starts. Elias is 1-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.
-- Carrasco is 0-2, 7.88 in three starts this month.
•Totals
-- Last six San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Last five Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games stayed under.
-- All twelve games at Miller Park stayed under.
-- Four of last five Pirate games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Arizona home games.
-- Last three Colorado road games stayed under.
-- 14 of 20 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Baltimore games went over.
-- Five of last seven Boston games went over.
-- Seven of ten White Sox home games went over.
-- Last three Oakland road games went over total.
-- 11 of 15 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Texas road games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine San Francisco games.
•Hot Teams
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Braves won five of their last six home games. Cincinnati won four of its last five games overall.
-- Brewers won five of their last six games.
-- Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven games.
-- Yankees won eight of last 11 games. Angels are 7-5 away from home.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six road games.
-- Twins won eight of last 12 games. Detroit won four of their last six.
-- Rangers won eight of their last nine games.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
•Cold Teams
-- Padres are 3-7 in game following a win. Washington is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
-- Marlins lost eight of their nine road games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last seven games. St Louis lost four of last five.
-- Arizona lost its last eight home games.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last four games.
-- Kansas City lost four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox are 8-12 in their last twenty games. Toronto lost three of last four.
-- White Sox lost six of their last nine games. Rays lost three of last four.
-- Astros lost eight of their last nine home games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.
Diamond Trends - Friday
•ARIZONA is 5-15 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.5, OPPONENT 4.8.
•MILWAUKEE is 9-0 UNDER (+9.1 Units) in home games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 3.0, OPPONENT 2.6.
•ARIZONA is 1-10 (-13.1 Units) against the run line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 2.9, OPPONENT 6.7.
•UBALDO JIMENEZ is 13-2 (+12.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JIMENEZ 4.9, OPPONENT 3.3.
•MARK BUEHRLE is 16-3 UNDER (+12.4 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.1, OPPONENT 3.1.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (LA DODGERS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games.
(38-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.4%, +29.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (28-16 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -139
The average score in these games was: Team 4, Opponent 3 (Average run differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 28 (63.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3, +9.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (142-80, +15 units).
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