GC: NBA Play
Friday card has the 17-0 American League Game of the Month from a 100% system that wins by over 3 runs per game, and an Undefeated Blowout system in early action. In The NBA we have a totals system that is Perfect since 1995 and a power system play that is 13-0. NBA Total below.
On Friday the NBA Totals Play is on the Over in the Golden St at LA. Lakers game. Rotation numbers 725/726 at 10:35 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has cashed over 80% for road favorites like the Warriors with no rest that were home favorites of 5 or more and are taking on an opponent that lost and failed to cover as a home dog. The Lakers managed to score 130 points and still not cover at home as they have quit playing defense and had 275 points scored here in their loss to Houston. Golden St has gone over in 3 of 4 this month. All home teams with no rest that played at home last night and are now playing on the road vs the Lakers have gone over 10 of the last 11 times. Looking through the database to see how home dogs do off a home dog straight up and ats home dog loss do if they scored 120 or more we see that its only happened 4 times since 1995 and all 4 times that team went over in the next game. For the reasons above we will back the Over. On Friday we start the weekend big with the 17-0 American League Game of the Month from a huge system that is winning by over 3 runs per game. There is also a a Blowout system on the card and 2 NBA Plays. One is Prefect totals system the other a 13-0 Dog system. Jump on now and put the Power of this cutting edge material on your side. For the Bonus Play. Take the over in the Golden St at LA. Lakers game. GC
Friday card has the 17-0 American League Game of the Month from a 100% system that wins by over 3 runs per game, and an Undefeated Blowout system in early action. In The NBA we have a totals system that is Perfect since 1995 and a power system play that is 13-0. NBA Total below.
On Friday the NBA Totals Play is on the Over in the Golden St at LA. Lakers game. Rotation numbers 725/726 at 10:35 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has cashed over 80% for road favorites like the Warriors with no rest that were home favorites of 5 or more and are taking on an opponent that lost and failed to cover as a home dog. The Lakers managed to score 130 points and still not cover at home as they have quit playing defense and had 275 points scored here in their loss to Houston. Golden St has gone over in 3 of 4 this month. All home teams with no rest that played at home last night and are now playing on the road vs the Lakers have gone over 10 of the last 11 times. Looking through the database to see how home dogs do off a home dog straight up and ats home dog loss do if they scored 120 or more we see that its only happened 4 times since 1995 and all 4 times that team went over in the next game. For the reasons above we will back the Over. On Friday we start the weekend big with the 17-0 American League Game of the Month from a huge system that is winning by over 3 runs per game. There is also a a Blowout system on the card and 2 NBA Plays. One is Prefect totals system the other a 13-0 Dog system. Jump on now and put the Power of this cutting edge material on your side. For the Bonus Play. Take the over in the Golden St at LA. Lakers game. GC
Kevin's Pick(s):
There we go - a winner with the Dbacks and Giants getting over the total early for us. One play here today...
2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES TO WIN (-143)
Listed Pitchers: McGowan vs Tillman
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.40 units)
The Blue Jays enter this game 5-5 after winning their series vs Houston. Baltimore won two straight in New York to take that series and have won 3 of their last 4 games to improve to 4-5 on the year after a 1-4 start. Baltimore enjoyed an off day yesterday to get ready for this weekend series with Toronto. Baltimore boosted their offense this off-season and so far, so good. The Orioles rank 5th in the MLB right now with a .274 team batting average. The Blue Jays are 26th sitting with a team batting average of just .223 and a .298 OBP. Tonight's pitching match up will feature Dustin McGowan and Chris Tillman. McGowan had a rough season debut lasting just 2.2 innings giving up 8 hits and 4 earned runs in Toronto's home opener. Dustin can be a good pitcher, but tonight will be a tough road start vs a good hitting Orioles line up. Tillman has two starts under his belt as he has started the season off 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA. Batters are hitting just .231 against him and he has a solid WHIP at 1.05. He has struck out 9 and walked just 2 through his two starts. Lifetime Tillman has a solid 3.86 ERA, .247 OBA and 1.17 WHIP vs the Blue Jays, and last season he made 5 starts vs them going 2-1 with a 3.31 ERA. Dating back to last season the Orioles are 10-3 in Tillman's last 13 home starts and 18-8 in his last 26 starts overall. The Blue Jays used to dominate the Orioles, but things have changed lately with Baltimore getting stronger. The Orioles have won 13 of their last 18 meetings with the Blue Jays in Baltimore. Tillman has looked great this season and faces a Toronto lineup that is struggling as a whole. I'll lay a bit of chalk here taking the Orioles at home.
Kyle's Pick(s):
2 UNIT = New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-107)
Listed Pitchers: Mejia vs. Hale
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87 units)
The Atlanta Braves may be on to something with this David Hale. He hasn't been around for long, and doesn't have all that much experience, but with the time he has gotten he has taken advantage of it. Taking full advantage that is. Dating back to last season, Hale has given up only 1 run in 16 innings pitched. He appeared in three games last season, started two and gave up just 1 run to the Philadephia Phillies. Against the Padres in his other start he was stellar again, that time giving up no runs and 4 hits. Success has seemed to carry over into 2014, where he pitched another scoreless 5 innings against the Nationals in his first start of the year. There are always a few pitchers that emerge out of nowhere every season, Hale may be one of them if this continues. Jenrry Mejia played the part of a solid starting option for the Mets as well. He started only 5 games, but like Hale, impressed everyone too. He allowed over 3 runs only once in those 5 starts and held a 2.30 ERA. Like Hale, there has been a carry over effect as well for Mejia. In his first start of the season he gave up just a run in 6 innings pitched. I like Hale to potentially have a breakout campaign, but Mejia should be fine in the Mets' rotation, too. I was expect a number of 7 here, so I am happy to see the 7.5. I'll take the UNDER 7.5. The math points to a low scoring game in Atlanta.
Cheers,
Kevin
There we go - a winner with the Dbacks and Giants getting over the total early for us. One play here today...
2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES TO WIN (-143)
Listed Pitchers: McGowan vs Tillman
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.40 units)
The Blue Jays enter this game 5-5 after winning their series vs Houston. Baltimore won two straight in New York to take that series and have won 3 of their last 4 games to improve to 4-5 on the year after a 1-4 start. Baltimore enjoyed an off day yesterday to get ready for this weekend series with Toronto. Baltimore boosted their offense this off-season and so far, so good. The Orioles rank 5th in the MLB right now with a .274 team batting average. The Blue Jays are 26th sitting with a team batting average of just .223 and a .298 OBP. Tonight's pitching match up will feature Dustin McGowan and Chris Tillman. McGowan had a rough season debut lasting just 2.2 innings giving up 8 hits and 4 earned runs in Toronto's home opener. Dustin can be a good pitcher, but tonight will be a tough road start vs a good hitting Orioles line up. Tillman has two starts under his belt as he has started the season off 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA. Batters are hitting just .231 against him and he has a solid WHIP at 1.05. He has struck out 9 and walked just 2 through his two starts. Lifetime Tillman has a solid 3.86 ERA, .247 OBA and 1.17 WHIP vs the Blue Jays, and last season he made 5 starts vs them going 2-1 with a 3.31 ERA. Dating back to last season the Orioles are 10-3 in Tillman's last 13 home starts and 18-8 in his last 26 starts overall. The Blue Jays used to dominate the Orioles, but things have changed lately with Baltimore getting stronger. The Orioles have won 13 of their last 18 meetings with the Blue Jays in Baltimore. Tillman has looked great this season and faces a Toronto lineup that is struggling as a whole. I'll lay a bit of chalk here taking the Orioles at home.
Kyle's Pick(s):
2 UNIT = New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-107)
Listed Pitchers: Mejia vs. Hale
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87 units)
The Atlanta Braves may be on to something with this David Hale. He hasn't been around for long, and doesn't have all that much experience, but with the time he has gotten he has taken advantage of it. Taking full advantage that is. Dating back to last season, Hale has given up only 1 run in 16 innings pitched. He appeared in three games last season, started two and gave up just 1 run to the Philadephia Phillies. Against the Padres in his other start he was stellar again, that time giving up no runs and 4 hits. Success has seemed to carry over into 2014, where he pitched another scoreless 5 innings against the Nationals in his first start of the year. There are always a few pitchers that emerge out of nowhere every season, Hale may be one of them if this continues. Jenrry Mejia played the part of a solid starting option for the Mets as well. He started only 5 games, but like Hale, impressed everyone too. He allowed over 3 runs only once in those 5 starts and held a 2.30 ERA. Like Hale, there has been a carry over effect as well for Mejia. In his first start of the season he gave up just a run in 6 innings pitched. I like Hale to potentially have a breakout campaign, but Mejia should be fine in the Mets' rotation, too. I was expect a number of 7 here, so I am happy to see the 7.5. I'll take the UNDER 7.5. The math points to a low scoring game in Atlanta.
Cheers,
Kevin
BONES BEST BET
MLB Thursday recap: 3-4, +0.2
DODGERS @ DIAMONDBACKS – OVER 8.5 -108 *5* BEST BET (9:40 PM ET)
Big play again with the Dbacks and an over guys. Several reasons why we love this play tonight. Brandon McCarthy in his 2 starts this year has allowed 6 earned runs and 5 earned runs in each. The Dodgers have 6 batters with a career batting average of .333 or better vs McCarthy. We’re giving the Dodgers at MINIMUM 4 runs here. Meanwhile, Arizona also hits Ryu very well including both Goldschmidt and Hill with .500 career averages, both with 10+ at bats. Four games played in Arizona (hitter friendly park) this season = 41 runs scored. Similar to last night, expect 10+ here again tonight.
ASTROS @ RANGERS – UNDER 8 -110 *3* (8:05 PM ET)
ASTROS @ RANGERS – F5 UNDER 4 -105 *2* (8:05 PM ET)
Feldman is red hot for the Astros owning a 0.65 WHIP and a 0.66 ERA over two starts this season. Additionally Darvish in his first start put zeros on the board. Both teams are not scoring a ton of runs (Astros 3.2, Rangers 4.22) and with the solid pitching matchup here, we don’t expect their offenses to break out today.
ANGELS -1 -119 *2* (10:05 PM ET)
The Angel bats have woken up lead by big man Pujols. They have won 4 of their last 6 games with their pitching staff only allowing one or fewer runs in three of their last five games. Stages takes the hill for the Angels and is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, as he went eight innings and allowed just four hits in a victory over the Houston Astros. Gee is a bit of a wild card for the Mets and we don’t think he will be able to handle the Angel bats on the road tonight.
RED SOX ML -120 *2* (7:05 PM ET)
The battle of 2 aces here tonight and we will gladly roll with Lester in this spot. Lester has posted a 2.51 ERA and 1.05 WHIP and looks to be in mid-season form. While Sabathia, hasn’t been sharp and coming off turned the worst season of his career in 2013, with an ugly 4.78 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. This year he has a 7.50 ERA and hasn’t pitched past the 6th inning. Sox have a better lineup and bullpen we love them here in this spot.
CUBS @ CARDINALS – O7 -115 *2* (8:15 PM ET)
The Cubs bats have been hot scoring 25 runs the last 4 games. The Cards have 7 players that have a career average of .333 or better against Samardjiza and 4 of those 7 have a career average over .500. The over is 8-1-1 in Kelly’s last 10 home starts as a favorite.
MARLINS ML -117 *3* (7:05 PM ET)
The Marlins have won 9 straight starts when Fernandez is a starter, they are also 19-7 in his last 26 starts. The Phillies are 3-6 on the year and have not won a home game this year. Fernandez has been amazing again this year with a WHIP and ERA both below 0.80 in 2 starts.
ROCKIES @ GIANTS – O6.5 -135 [buying 1/2 run] *2* (10:15 PM ET)
Both of these teams have been killing the overs this year (Rockies 6-2 o/u, Giants 9-1 o/u). The total is low because of the starting pitchers. However, both starters have a WHIP over 1.50 to start the year. 5 Rockies have a career average over .300 against Bumgarner. The over is 5-0-1 in De La Rosa’s last 6 starts. The Rockies have scored 8 or more runs in 4 of 6 games.
MLB Thursday recap: 3-4, +0.2
DODGERS @ DIAMONDBACKS – OVER 8.5 -108 *5* BEST BET (9:40 PM ET)
Big play again with the Dbacks and an over guys. Several reasons why we love this play tonight. Brandon McCarthy in his 2 starts this year has allowed 6 earned runs and 5 earned runs in each. The Dodgers have 6 batters with a career batting average of .333 or better vs McCarthy. We’re giving the Dodgers at MINIMUM 4 runs here. Meanwhile, Arizona also hits Ryu very well including both Goldschmidt and Hill with .500 career averages, both with 10+ at bats. Four games played in Arizona (hitter friendly park) this season = 41 runs scored. Similar to last night, expect 10+ here again tonight.
ASTROS @ RANGERS – UNDER 8 -110 *3* (8:05 PM ET)
ASTROS @ RANGERS – F5 UNDER 4 -105 *2* (8:05 PM ET)
Feldman is red hot for the Astros owning a 0.65 WHIP and a 0.66 ERA over two starts this season. Additionally Darvish in his first start put zeros on the board. Both teams are not scoring a ton of runs (Astros 3.2, Rangers 4.22) and with the solid pitching matchup here, we don’t expect their offenses to break out today.
ANGELS -1 -119 *2* (10:05 PM ET)
The Angel bats have woken up lead by big man Pujols. They have won 4 of their last 6 games with their pitching staff only allowing one or fewer runs in three of their last five games. Stages takes the hill for the Angels and is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, as he went eight innings and allowed just four hits in a victory over the Houston Astros. Gee is a bit of a wild card for the Mets and we don’t think he will be able to handle the Angel bats on the road tonight.
RED SOX ML -120 *2* (7:05 PM ET)
The battle of 2 aces here tonight and we will gladly roll with Lester in this spot. Lester has posted a 2.51 ERA and 1.05 WHIP and looks to be in mid-season form. While Sabathia, hasn’t been sharp and coming off turned the worst season of his career in 2013, with an ugly 4.78 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. This year he has a 7.50 ERA and hasn’t pitched past the 6th inning. Sox have a better lineup and bullpen we love them here in this spot.
CUBS @ CARDINALS – O7 -115 *2* (8:15 PM ET)
The Cubs bats have been hot scoring 25 runs the last 4 games. The Cards have 7 players that have a career average of .333 or better against Samardjiza and 4 of those 7 have a career average over .500. The over is 8-1-1 in Kelly’s last 10 home starts as a favorite.
MARLINS ML -117 *3* (7:05 PM ET)
The Marlins have won 9 straight starts when Fernandez is a starter, they are also 19-7 in his last 26 starts. The Phillies are 3-6 on the year and have not won a home game this year. Fernandez has been amazing again this year with a WHIP and ERA both below 0.80 in 2 starts.
ROCKIES @ GIANTS – O6.5 -135 [buying 1/2 run] *2* (10:15 PM ET)
Both of these teams have been killing the overs this year (Rockies 6-2 o/u, Giants 9-1 o/u). The total is low because of the starting pitchers. However, both starters have a WHIP over 1.50 to start the year. 5 Rockies have a career average over .300 against Bumgarner. The over is 5-0-1 in De La Rosa’s last 6 starts. The Rockies have scored 8 or more runs in 4 of 6 games.
