Service Plays Friday 3/4/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

COLLEGE FUNDS

Friday’s Best NCAAB Bet

Pennsylvania at Harvard (-10.5)

There’s no denying Harvard is one of the top teams in the Ivy League this year. But the Crimson aren’t that great as a large favorite.

When listed as double-digit chalk this season, Harvard is a less-than-impressive 3-4 ATS, including late home rallies against Yale and Dartmouth just to pull out the wins. And the Quakers love being big underdogs.

Penn is a staggering 3-1 ATS this season when getting more than 10 points and actually trailed Kentucky by just a point at halftime in a game at Rupp Arena earlier this season. The Quakers may be just 4-9 SU on the road, but the squad is a very solid 7-5 ATS in lined games away from Philadelphia this season.

"We always talk about some days the ball is going in the basket, and some days it's not," said Penn coach Jerome Allen floor. "But if you're consistent in your defensive effort, you always give yourself a chance to win."

In the teams’ earlier meeting, Harvard left the Palestra with a one-point overtime win. But the officiating in that game was so poor that league officials were forced to comment on it the following day.

Plus, it’s not like the Crimson are in rare form. Harvard is coming off a disappointing 70-69 loss at Yale that saw the team favored by six points. Overall, the Crimson are just 2-4 ATS in their past six as favorites.

PICK: Penn

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Friday’s Best NBA Bet

Cavaliers at Knicks (-12, 217.5)

The Knicks are poised for some serious revenge to start the weekend.

The Cavaliers stunned the Knicks 115-109 last week in Ohio, taking away all the momentum New York had gained since upsetting the Heat in the prior game. Cleveland won the game by controlling the paint and playing physical. The Cavaliers made a whopping 31-of-44 free throws and held a 62-42 edge on rebounds.

But this time will be a little different.

The Cavaliers will be missing Antawn Jamison (finger), the team’s leading scorer who went off for 28 points and 13 boards with no turnovers in the victory. Cleveland also is expected to give some burn to the recently acquired Baron Davis for the first time in this game. For a player known to stop trying on bad teams, this isn’t necessarily a good thing.

The Knicks, meanwhile, are coming off a 107-88 beatdown of the Hornets and are playing more consistently. The team may miss lead guard Chauncey Billups (thigh), but Toney Douglas has been serviceable as his replacement in small doses, finishing with 24 points, five assists and four rebounds in the win over New Orleans.

"I talked to him this morning," Billups said of Douglas. "I told him, 'Try not to defer so much to the guys. When you call a plan, just run it no matter what people say or what you might feel. Be in command out there.’

"And I know it's probably tough for him as a young player playing with those studs like that, guys that are alpha males. So I know it's a difficult position for him, but I told him, 'Be confident in what you do.'"

PICK: Knicks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ICE PICKS

Friday's Best NHL Bets

Carolina at Chicago (N/A)

The Blackhawks are scoring lots and lots of goals. As it just so happens, that is translating to lots and lots of wins.

Chicago is averaging just a hair under four goals per game over its past eight, scoring at least three goals in each of those games. Not surprisingly, the team is 7-1 during that span and has reasserted itself as a threat to defend its Stanley Cup championship.

Over this hot streak, the team has been led by standout forwards Jonathan Toews (6 goals, 7 assists), Patrick Kane (5 goals, 5 assists) and Patrick Sharp (2 goals, 7 assists).

"We're not doing it as a streak my any means," Toews said. "We've been doing a great job of taking one game at a time, especially coming back from the All-Star break. It's been since then that we've gradually gotten better every night."

His coach agrees. "Johnny's got it going," Chicago coach Joel Quenneville said. "He's finishing well. He's a horse out there."

And don’t expect Carolina to be able to put him in the stable. The Hurricanes are just 4-6 in their past 10 games. In the losses, the team has given up 20 goals, including at least three on five occasions.

PICK: Chicago


Dallas at Anaheim (N/A)

Dan Ellis isn’t regarded as one of the better goalies in the NHL, but it’s hard to imagine him being any more valuable for the Ducks the past two games.

Due to issues with Jonas Hiller and the abysmal play of backup Curtis McElhinney, the team shipped its No. 2 keeper to Tampa Bay for Ellis. The move has paid huge dividends for the Ducks, who were falling apart at the seams with their disaster between the pipes. Before acquiring Ellis, the team had lost five straight games with McElhinney in goal after Hiller was put on IR with chronic fatigue.

In those games, the team coughed up a whopping 27 total goals.

Since Ellis took over last week, the team has won two straight over the Red Wings and Avalanche. In those victories, Ellis stopped 50 of 53 shots he faced.

“Here, you just try to figure out the same tendencies,” Ellis said. “It’ll take a few more games to figure it out for sure, but overall, this D corps is one of the best D corps I’ve ever played with - and they communicate better than anyone I’ve ever played with.”

And with stud center Brad Richards still on the shelf for Dallas, don’t like for the Stars to get many chances to prove Ellis wrong.

PICK: Anaheim

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Friday's Wagering Tips

Who's Hot

NHL: The Blackhawks are 6-0 in their last six overall.

NCAAB: UNC-Greensboro is 9-2-3 ATS in its last 14 overall and 9-1-3 ATS in its last 13 against the Southern Conference.

NBA: The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight overall.

NBA: The under is 4-0 in the Nets’ last four overall and 10-1 in the Spurs’ last 11 home games.

Who’s Not

NHL: The Penguins are 1-5 in their last six overall and 1-6 in their last seven against the Eastern Conference.

NCAAB: Siena is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 overall.

NBA: The under is 4-0 in the Bulls’ last four overall and 9-2 in the Magic’s last 11 overall.

NBA: The Hornets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 overall and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.

Key Stat

20, 10, 2 – Averages that Orlando Magic big man Dwight Howard is eclipsing in points, rebounds, and blocks, respectively; the only NBA player to do so. Howard is going for 23.3 points, 13.9 points, and 2.2 blocks per game as of Thursday afternoon. Orlando is following up Thursday night’s showdown at Miami with another huge one on Friday at home against the Bulls. It also could be a crucial stretch in the MVP race for Howard (whose team just launched a website to campaign for him), LeBron James, and Derrick Rose.

Injuries That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Atlanta’s Josh Smith has a strained right MCL and he missed Wednesday night’s home win over Chicago, in which the Hawks stormed back from a 17-point deficit to prevail 83-80. Smith is listed as questionable for Friday’s home date against Oklahoma City.

However, the news is even worse for the guy Smith likely would have guarded. Kevin Durant suffered a sprained ankle late in Wednesday’s 113-89 blowout of Indiana and he is listed as doubtful after missing practice on Thursday. James Harden will get the start if Durant cannot go against Atlanta.

“But you never know,” head coach Scott Brooks told NewsOK.com. “We'll see how he feels overnight and we'll go from there. He's a competitive guy like we all are. He doesn't like to miss games, but we're going to do what's best for Kevin.”

Biggest Game On The Slate

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs

Notable Quotable

“We're anticipating sometime him getting better. That may be a month, we don't know. It could be this summer. He's been doing a lot better. We hope that means he will return to 100 percent health sometime this spring. I can't give you any kind of date on it.” – Pittsburgh Penguins coach Dan Bylsma on Sidney Crosby, who has been out since suffering a concussion on January 5. The Penguins have lost five of their last six and nine of their last 12 heading into a Friday night game at New Jersey.

Tips And Notes

Georgia State will be playing its first game without head coach Rod Barnes when it takes the court against UNC-Wilmington in the opening round of the Colonial Athletic Association Tournament. "The win-loss record simply does not reflect where we want to be for Georgia State men’s basketball," athletic director Cheryl Levick said in a statement. "We felt it was in the best interest of the program to make this change now and begin moving forward immediately." Assistant coach Paul Graham, formerly a head at Washington State, has been named the interim. The Panthers and Seahawks split a pair of close regular-season contests, with the home team winning both. Saturday’s line is at even.

The Columbus Blue Jackets could be fighting fatigue when they take the ice against Calgary on Friday. They are in the midst of a five-game road trip and will have no day’s rest following a Thursday night trip to Edmonton. Columbus lost its first two games of the trek (3-2 to Nashville and 2-1 to Vancouver after a shootout), but that does not necessarily mean the team is playing bad hockey. “It would have been nice to finish that off with both points, but I thought we played a heck of a hockey game against a really good team and a tough goalie (Roberto Luongo),” head coach Scott Arniel said after his team’s loss to the Canucks.

Just when you thought it could not get any worse for the Miami Heat against good teams, Thursday happened. Playing at home against the Magic, Miami built a 24-point lead in the third quarter. Instead of putting the hammer down, the Heat let Orlando go on a shocking 40-9 run and eventually pull out a hard-to-believe 99-96 win. "We need to keep on pushing through," head coach Erik Spoelstra told the Miami Herald afterward. "There's no other way to say it. I think our guys are very anxious right now and they want it so bad. This will eventually help us. None of us want to talk about it right now, but we will eventually get over this hump." Both Miami and Orlando are back in action on Friday, and it does not get any easier for the Heat. They have to travel to San Antonio, which is 50-11 overall and 28-2 at home.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 3547-1206 (.746)
ATS: 1594-1618 (.496)
ATS Vary Units: 4521-4609 (.495)
Over/Under: 1573-1593 (.497)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2049-2206 (.482)

Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament
Semifinals at University Center, Macon, GA
Belmont 73, MERCER 64
East Tennessee State 71, North Florida 63
Colonial Athletic Association Tournament
1st Round at Richmond Coliseum, Richmond, VA
Drexel 71, Towson 58
Georgia State vs. UNC Wilmington: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
James Madison 73, William & Mary 64
Northeastern 68, Delaware 67
Horizon League Tournament
2nd Round at U.S. Cellular Arena, Milwaukee, WI
Valparaiso 77, Detroit 75
Wright State vs. Cleveland State: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament
1st Round at Webster Bank Arena at Harbor Yard, Bridgeport, CT
Niagara 65, Marist 59
Siena 67, Manhattan 64
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at Scottrade Center, St. Louis, MO
Creighton 62, Northern Iowa 61
Indiana State 67, Evansville 64
Missouri State 68, Bradley 62
Wichita State 68, Southern Illinois 55
Ohio Valley Conference Tournament
Semifinals at Nashville Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, TN
Morehead State 69, Austin Peay 65
Murray State 71, Tennessee Tech 65
Southern Conference Tournament
1st Round at McKenzie Arena, Chattanooga, TN
Appalachian State 80, Georgia Southern 65
Davidson 81, UNC Greensboro 72
Elon 74, The Citadel 69
Furman 70, Samford 57
West Coast Conference Tournament
1st Round at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Pepperdine 69, San Diego 63
Portland 79, Loyola Marymount 69
Ivy League
COLUMBIA 66, Yale 64
CORNELL 78, Brown 71
HARVARD 74, Penn 61
Princeton 71, DARTMOUTH 53

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 595-263 (.693)
ATS: 439-449 (.494)
ATS Vary Units: 1070-1099 (.493)
Over/Under: 463-441 (.512)
Over/Under Vary Units: 560-556 (.502)

NEW JERSEY 101, Toronto 97
ORLANDO 95, Chicago 90
PHILADELPHIA 108, Minnesota 94
ATLANTA 98, Oklahoma City 96
BOSTON 106, Golden State 94
NEW YORK 113, Cleveland 100
MEMPHIS 99, New Orleans 90
DALLAS 107, Indiana 94
Phoenix vs. MILWAUKEE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN ANTONIO 99, Miami 94
L.A. LAKERS 99, Charlotte 87

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 287-227 (.558)

Pittsburgh vs. NEW JERSEY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. Rangers 3, OTTAWA 2
CHICAGO 4, Carolina 2
Columbus vs. CALGARY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Dallas vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Friday

KC Royals -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Georgia Tech (-5) Thursday night.

Friday it's Ohio U. The deficit is 465 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

SAN LORENZO +ALL BOYS UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Calgary + Columbus UNDER 5.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Philadelphia + Minnesota UNDER 206.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Philadelphia + Minnesota UNDER 206.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Nets
Bulls
Kent st

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Dunkel


Toronto at New Jersey
The Nets are coming off a 104-103 loss to Phoenix and look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games after scoring 100 or more points in the previous game. New Jersey is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nets by 5. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MARCH 4

Game 801-802: Toronto at New Jersey (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.896; New Jersey 115.091
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 5; 196
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 2 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-2 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Chicago at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 124.029; Orlando 124.748
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 1; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2); Over

Game 805-806: Minnesota at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 112.441; Philadelphia 120.532
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 8; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 9 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+9 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Golden State at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 111.601; Boston 127.562
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 16; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-9 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Cleveland at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 109.634; New York 123.577
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 14; 222
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 12; 217 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-12); Over

Game 811-812: Oklahoma City at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 122.188; Atlanta 116.441
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: New Orleans at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 116.166; Memphis 118.954
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 3; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 815-816: Indiana at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.099; Dallas 127.977
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 14; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 8 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-8 1/2); Over

Game 817-818: Phoenix at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.311; Milwaukee 117.161
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2 1/2); Over

Game 819-820: Miami at San Antonio (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.187; San Antonio 124.458
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 187
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2); Under

Game 821-822: Charlotte at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.588; LA Lakers 129.607
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 14; 188
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-12 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Write-Up


Friday, March 4

Hot Teams
-- Bulls won/covered seven of their last nine games. Magic won six of last seven games (5-2 vs spread).
-- Minnesota covered four of its last five road games. 76ers won four of their last five games.
-- Celtics won six of their last seven games.
-- Cavaliers covered five of their last six road games. Knicks won five of last seven games (6-1 vs spread).
-- Hawks won three of their last four games.
-- Memphis won five of its last seven games (6-1 vs spread).
-- Mavericks won their last seven games (6-1 vs spread).
-- Suns won four of their last five games.
-- Spurs won four of their last five games, but Parker is hurt.
-- Lakers won/covered their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Toronto lost its last 11 road games (0-7 vs spread in last seven). Nets lost their last six games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Warriors lost four of their last five games.
-- Thunder is 0-3 vs spread in its last three road games.
-- Hornets lost 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Pacers lost three of their last four games.
-- Bucks lost 10 of last 14 games, covered one of last five.
-- Miami lost three of its last four games.
-- Bobcats lost last three road games, by 12-14-40 points.

Totals
-- Last three New Jersey games went over the total.
-- Last four Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in Minnesota's last nine games.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last 14 Golden State games. Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3 in Cleveland's last dozen games.
-- Eight of last nine Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Memphis games. Four of Hornets' last five games stayed under.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Dallas games.
-- Under is 10-3 in Milwaukee's last thirteen games.
-- Five of Spurs' last six games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2 in Charlotte's last eight road games.

Back-to-Back
-- Orlando is 5-8 if it played night before, but 5-4 if it won.
-- Miami is 4-1 SU if it lost the night before.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB Dunkel


Wright State vs. Cleveland State
The Vikings look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in the last 5 meetings between the two teams. Cleveland State is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Vikings favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-3). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MARCH 4

Game 823-824: Ohio at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 54.755; Miami (OH) 57.424
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH)

Game 825-826: Akron at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 56.752; Kent State 62.807
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 6
Vegas Line: Kent State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-3)

Game 827-828: Yale at Columbia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 50.842; Columbia 51.043
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Columbia by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+2 1/2)

Game 829-830: Brown at Cornell (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 48.793; Cornell 56.217
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cornell by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (-6 1/2)

Game 831-832: Princeton at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 57.450; Dartmouth 42.948
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 12
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-12)

Game 833-834: Pennsylvania at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 51.327; Harvard 60.531
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 9
Vegas Line: Harvard by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (+10 1/2)

Game 835-836: Georgia State vs. NC-Wilmington (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 49.302; NC-Wilmington 51.053
Dunkel Line: NC-Wilmington by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington

Game 837-838: Towson vs. Drexel (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 46.205; Drexel 54.607
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+10 1/2)

Game 839-840: Northeastern vs. Delaware (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 54.456; Delaware 50.633
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 4
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 2
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (-2)

Game 841-842: William & Mary vs. James Madison (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 53.034; James Madison 57.156
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 4
Vegas Line: James Madison by 7
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+7)

Game 843-844: Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 49.908; Missouri State 61.515
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 845-846: Creighton vs. Northern Iowa (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 59.200; Northern Iowa 59.046
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Creighton by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+1 1/2)

Game 849-850: Evansville vs. Indiana State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 54.508; Indiana State 55.573
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 1
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+4 1/2)

Game 851-852: Wright State vs. Cleveland State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 56.296; Cleveland State 61.709
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-3)

Game 853-854: Detroit vs. Valparaiso (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 54.820; Valparaiso 59.245
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-2)

Game 855-856: Loyola-Marymount vs. Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 52.653; Portland 57.544
Dunkel Line: Portland by 5
Vegas Line: Portland by 7
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (+7)

Game 857-858: San Diego vs. Pepperdine (11:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 51.233; Pepperdine 52.609
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+4 1/2)

Game 859-860: NC-Greensboro vs. Davidson (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 44.185; Davidson 57.056
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 13
Vegas Line: Davidson by 10
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-10)

Game 861-862: Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 40.579; Appalachian State 54.339
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 14
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-11)

Game 863-864: Samford vs. Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 42.760; Furman 50.032
Dunkel Line: Furman by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Furman by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+9 1/2)

Game 865-866: The Citadel vs. Elon (9:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 42.042; Elon 47.767
Dunkel Line: Elon by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Elon by 4
Dunkel Pick: Elon (-4)

Game 867-868: Marist vs. Niagara (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 40.795; Niagara 43.189
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Niagara by 4
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+4)

Game 869-870: Manhattan vs. Siena (9:55 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 40.535; Siena 45.964
Dunkel Line: Siena by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Siena by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+8 1/2)

Game 871-872: Tennessee Tech vs. Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 51.217; Murray State 58.919
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 873-874: Austin Peay vs. Morehead State (10:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 55.106; Morehead State 57.430
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 883-884: North Florida vs. East Tennessee State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 48.485; East Tennessee State 58.709
Dunkel Line: East Tennessee State by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Friday, March 4

Colonial tournament (Richmond)
Home side won both Georgia State-NC-Wilmington games; Panthers got 63-58 OT win Feb 2 (led by 13 at half) after losing first meeting 59-56. State fired its coach already- they lost last four games, scoring 52.8 ppg. Seahawks are 1-3 in this event last four years, after 20-6 run from 1997-2006. NC-Wilmington lost four of its last six games overall.

Towson State is 0-18 in CAA this year, 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games. Drexel struggled to beat Tigers twice this year, 65-59 at home on Feb 2, then 66-63 on road six days ago; Towson shot under 39% in both games, but did make 13-25 from arc. Dragons are 7-2 in last nine games overall, but covered just two of their last seven as a CAA favorite.

Delaware beat Northeastern twice this year, 54-52 at home Jan 19, then 72-66 on road Feb 15; Hens were 37-47 on foul line in two games, while Huskies were 19-27. Delaware lost seven of its last nine games; they're 1-4 in this event last four years, losing by 10-23-13-17 points. Huskies are 7-4 in last 11 games, after starting out 0-8 in conference play.

James Madison (-6) won 84-79 at Wm&Mary Jan 8, then got upset at home by Tribe 73-67 Feb 2, as 14-point favorite- W&M shot over 50% from floor in both games. Dukes are 5-6 as CAA favorite- they're 2-7 in this event last seven years, splitting pair of games with Tribe. W&M is 3-9 in last 12 games, but they covered four of their last five.

Missouri Valley tournament (St Louis)
Missouri State won last six games, covering three of last four; they beat Southern Illinois twice this season, winning by 13-18 points. Salukis lost nine of last eleven games; they had only two guys play 30+ minutes in last night's 57-54 win, as four subs played 13+ minutes. Since '97, Bears are 17-13 in this event, but with no tourney wins. Is this the year?

Creighton is 7-3 vs spread as MVC favorite; Bluejay coach McDermott used to coach Northern Iowa; home teams won both series meetings this year. UNI lost six of last seven games after glue guy O'Rear broke ankle; Panthers won this tournament last two years. Creightom won this event four of last nine years- they're 9-3 in first tourney game last 12 years.

Wichita State waxed Bradley twice this season, by 16-20 points; they're 3-3 in last six games, with all three losses by 5 or less points. Shockers are 12-5 vs spread as MVC favorite. Braves are 6-3 in last nine games after starting Valley play 0-11; they're 5-1 in last six games as underdog. Wichita hasn't won this event in last 14 years, losing in final LY.

Since '97, Evansville is 4-14 in MVC tourney, 1-6 since '05, Aces lost four of last five games overall, with three of four losses by 14+ points. Indiana State won five of last six games, covering three of last four when favored, but Sycamores lost twice to Evansville this year, 64-59 on road, 66-63 at home (led by 12 at half). Aces are 5-7-1 as an MVC dog.

Horizon tournament (Milwaukee)
Cleveland State beat Wright State twice this year, 65-46 at home, 74-72 in Dayton; Raiders lost rematch despite shooting 51% from floor, 10-20 from arc. Vikings covered just one of last seven as favorite- they're 4-3 in this event last three years, after being 1-10 from '98-'07. Wright lost four of last six games- they're 5-1-1 in last seven games as underdog.

Valparaiso beat Detroit twice this year, 78-68 on road Jan 16, 82-74 at home Feb 10, shooting 50%+ in both games; Crusaders had +16 turnover ratio vs Detroit- Titans were just 7-23 from arc. Valpo lost three of last four games away from home. Detroit is 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine as an underdog- their last four losses were all by 8+ points.

MAAC tournament (Bridgeport, CT- Fairfield)Niagara/Marist traded home wins this season; Red Foxes won 80-72 at home Dec 3, then lost 77-60 at Niagara Feb 6, with Eagles making 13-25 from arc. Marist lost last 13 MAAC games, but covered four of last five overall; they're 4-7 in this event since '03, splitting pair vs Purple Eagles. Niagara is 14-7 in this event since 2002, 3-3 the last three years.

Siena is 0-11 vs spread as MAAC favorite this year- they've won this tourney last three years- they're 17-4 in MAAC tourney since '03, but its usually played on their home court (not this year). Teams split series this year, with home side winning both. Manhattan is 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten games, but they've lost nine of last 12 games SU.

OVC semi-finals (Nashville)
Tennessee Tech won its last six games and 10 of last 12- they're 7-3 vs spread as OVC underdog, but got swept by Murray State this season-- 92-85 at home Jan 15, 55-44 in Murray Feb 10. Racers won 11 of their last 12 games- they're 11-4 in this event since 2003, but last two times they won OVC title, they got beat in first game next year (won in '10).

Morehead State is 5-1 in this event last two years because they've got Faried, best player in OVC; Eagles won nine of last ten games, with only loss at Murray by 8. Austin Peay is 15-7 in this event since '02, but lost in first round LY. Home side won both series games this year; Eagles got 69-56 win Jan 29, after getting beat 86-85 in OT in Clarksville Jan 21.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FYI, there is 1 NBA game being played today in London which starts at 3:00 pm

Raptors (17-44, 5-24 away)

Nets (17-43, 13-16 home)

* NBA TV
* 3:00 PM ET