STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAACB KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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Betting Notes - Friday
•VCU beat UMass twice LY, by 9-18 points in its first season in A-13; Rams lost last two road games by 7-2 points, scoring 62 points in both games, losing two of last three after an 11-1 run. The Minutemen won three of last four games but lost at home to George Mason. Average total in two series games LY was 143.5. A-13 home teams are 10-13 versus spread in games where number was 3 or less points.
•Detroit (-2) beat Wright State 58-53 at home Jan 4, outscoring Raiders 20-11 on line in game they trailed by 6 with 9:24 left. Titans won six of last eight series games, winning last three visits here by 10-16-7 points. Detroit won three of last four games, all of which were decided by six or less points, with two going OT. Horizon League home favorites of more than 5 points are 15-10 versus spread. Raiders lost four of their last six games.
•Dartmouth (+7.5) upset Princeton 78-69 at home Feb 1, ending 8-game series skid in game where Tigers took 30 3's, only 21 2's. Big Green lost last four visits here by 28-15-12-5 points. Ivy League double digit home favorites are 3-5 versus spread. Princeton is 2-5 in Ivy, splitting two home games. Dartmouth lost its last four games, three by 10+ points- they're 0-3 on conference road, losing by 16-3-10 points.
•Brown (+1) beat Columbia 64-56 at home Feb 1, its fourth win in row versus Lions; Bruins trailed by 5 with 10:13 left. Brown lost four of last five visits here, winning by 3 LY. Bruins are 5-3 in league play, 1-2 on road, losing at Harvard/Yale by 7 each, winning 13 at Dartmouth. Columbia lost four of last six games but is 2-1 at home, with only loss to Harvard in double OT. Ivy League home favorites of 7 or less points are 5-1 versus spread.
•Harvard made 12-20 from arc, hammered Penn 80-50 Feb 1, its 8th win in last ten series games; Crimson won four of last five visits here, with all four wins by 6 or less points. Ivy League home underdogs are 7-3 versus spread. Harvard is 3-0 on conference road, winning by 30-4-23 points- they're tied for lead in league with six games left. Quakers are 3-0 at home in conference play; home team won all seven of their conference games.
•Yale won last six games, is tied for Ivy League lead and doesn't play Saturday; they play at Columbia Sunday. Bulldogs (-17) beat Cornell 61-57 Feb 1, as Big Red took early 13-3 lead, but Yale had 18 offensive rebounds and held on. Ivy League home underdogs are 7-3 versus spread. Yale won three of last four series games, but hasn't swept Cornell since '04. Cornell lost two of three conference home games, with losses by 16-23 points.
•Last three Oakland games were decided by 3 or less points; four of their last seven were decided by exactly one point. Grizzlies (-10) beat UIC 76-75 at home Jan 25, forcing 22 turnovers (+15). Horizon League home teams are 6-23 versus spread in games where spread was 5 or less points. Oakland lost six of last nine games, with all three wins by a point UIC lost last 16 games, is 0-13 in Horizon but its last two losses were by 3-6 points.
•Iona won its last nine games, seven by 8+ points; Gaels won seven of last nine games with Rider, winning three of last four visits here, winning by 20-4-13 points. MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-10 versus spread. Rider lost three of last four games, losing last two at home to Marist/Manhattan by 7-17 points. Gaels won last five road games, four by 8+ points- they're making 41.2% of their 3's in MAAC play.
•Home teams won last seven Manhattan-Siena games; Jaspers lost last seven regular season visits to Albany, and also lost to Saints in five of last seven MAAC tourneys, but Manhattan won last six games overall, with five wins by 11+ points. Siena lost four of last five games, with a couple OT losses and a 1-point loss at Marist. MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-10 against the spread.
Hoop Trends - Friday
•OAKLAND is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OAKLAND 67.6, OPPONENT 73.6.
•HARVARD is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HARVARD 62.4, OPPONENT 62.6.
•FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 (+7.0 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was FLA GULF COAST 30.7, OPPONENT 30.7.
•YALE is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games since 1997.
The average score was YALE 29.4, OPPONENT 26.1.
•GREG KAMPE is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of OAKLAND.
The average score was KAMPE 80.1, OPPONENT 71.4.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (SIENA) - a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%) against a good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%), after one or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG).
(93-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.3%, +60.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -205.9
The average score in these games was: Team 75.1, Opponent 65.6 (Average point differential = +9.5)
The situation's record this season is: (25-4, +16.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (39-7, +24.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (189-57, +57.6 units).
-- Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MERCER) - excellent defensive team (<=40%) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record.
(35-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +25.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (28-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.8
The average score in these games was: Team 69.6, Opponent 65.7 (Average point differential = +3.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (31.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (68-49).
-- Play On - Road favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (MANHATTAN) - a good team (+3.5 to +8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half.
(75-34 since 1997.) (68.8%, +37.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.8, Opponent 30.2 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-11).
Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Friday’s (2/22/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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