Service Plays Friday 1/29/10

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Thank you, wilheim.......

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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Los Angeles Lakers at Philadelphia 76ers (+6.5, 202.5)

The progression of Lakers center Andrew Bynum has been on public display since Los Angeles selected the 7-foot man-child out of high school in the 2005 NBA Draft.

Bynum has been growing leaps and bounds in the past two seasons and showed just how far he has come during the Lakers’ current eight-game road trip. Against the Indiana Pacers Wednesday, Bynum scored 27 points and grabbed 12 rebounds, helping L.A. to a 118-96 win as a 5.5-point road favorite.

Bynum, who is averaging almost 16 points and more than eight rebounds, was holding out hope that he would be among the players selected as reserves for the Western Conference All-Star Team. However, coaches have submitted their ballots and Bynum didn’t make the cut.

"Hopefully I did, but [Thursday] we all find out," Bynum told the Los Angeles Times before the reserves were announced. "I think if I didn't make it, I think it would be political more so than anything and that's just something I'll have to deal with."

Hopefully the All-Star snub doesn’t discourage the 22-year-old. He was able to beat up on a shorter Pacers frontcourt but now takes on the Sixers, who have beefy forwards in Elton Brand, Samuel Dalembert and Marreese Speights.

Bynum missed the Lakers’ most recent meeting with Philadelphia but scored 18 points against the Sixers in a 114-102 win back in December 2008.

Pick: Los Angeles


Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves (N/A)

Speaking of All-Star snubs, perhaps the biggest slap in the face Thursday was delivered to Clippers center Chris Kaman.

Los Angeles’ pasty big man, who is scoring 20 points and grabbing nine rebounds per game, was left of the Western Conference All-Stars reserve list and he’s not happy about it. Not one bit.

"I don’t think Gasol should be in it at all," Kaman told reporters last week. "He’s only played, like, 20 games. I think you should have to play, like, 80 percent of the games.

"It shouldn’t be 50 percent [of games played] over a guy who plays 90 percent and who has better numbers. Not just me. Zach Randolph, a power forward, he has better numbers [than Gasol]. But he’s not on the Lakers."

The T-Wolves have the unfortunate task of facing the Clippers and their pissed off big Friday. Kaman is averaging 19 points and over seven rebounds since returning from a back injury that held him out four games. Los Angeles is 3-3 since his return and has covered in four of those six contests.

Pick: Los Angeles
 
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Game of the day: Grizzlies at Spurs

Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs (-4, 199)

New Grizzlies

The Grizzlies were an afterthought to begin the season. They started 1-8 and didn’t show much promise.

But with their win at Detroit Wednesday, they snapped a three-game road losing streak and have now surpassed their road win total from a year ago (eight). They are arguably the hottest team in the NBA right now, winning 15 of their last 19 games (14-4-1 ATS).

They have a young, talented mix of players in their starting line-up. All five players average double digits with “veteran” 29-year-old Zach Randolph leading the way with 21 ppg.

They have a chance to make a big statement on the road Friday. They are just a game behind the Spurs for playoff positioning and, although the postseason is months away, this would be a huge win for the youthful Grizzlies.

Sputtering Spurs

San Antonio ended its mini-losing streak against the Hawks Wednesday. The Spurs had lost five of their previous six including three straight home games.

The Spurs’ offense has sputtered lately and they can’t afford to get into a shootout against the high-octane Grizzlies. They have made less than 43.5 percent of their field goals in each of the past seven games and average 94.8 points in those seven games.

More bad news for the Spurs

Point guard Tony Parker left in the third quarter Wednesday with an ankle injury. Parker is listed as day-to-day but don’t expect him to play on Friday.

“Tony said it wasn't so bad, but he will probably miss a couple of games,” said Manu Ginobili, one of three Spurs who will be asked to fill in at the point until the All-NBA guard returns.

X-rays taken at the arena were negative, but a timetable for Parker's return won't be established until he is re-examined by the team's medical staff.

Previous meeting

These two met in Memphis just 13 days ago. Memphis was a slight favorite at home (-1.5) and it played well enough to get a slim six-point victory. The defenses dominated as San Antonio shot just 41.4 percent and Memphis finished slightly better at 43.4 percent from the field.

Memphis’ main edge was that it made 10 more free throws and had a plus-7 rebounding edge. Memphis has had recent troubles visiting the Spurs, where it is 0-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

Trends

The Grizzlies are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now and their ATS record confirms that. Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last eight road games and 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 games overall.

San Antonio has struggled lately and its ATS record confirms that as well. The Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and also 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.

In head-to-head meetings, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six games and the home team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils (-215, 5.5)

Martin Brodeur is a savvy veteran who has been through some tough times in his NHL career. But with the Devils’ lack of goal support in recent losses, Brodeur is probably close to boiling over and giving his teammates a good tongue lashing.

Brodeur stuffed 30 shots in a 2-1 shootout loss to the Buffalo Sabres Wednesday night, marking the seventh time in the past 10 games the final score has fallen under the total. New Jersey is 17-32 over/under this year – the most profitable under play in hockey.

“We got a point. The way we’ve been playing, to score one goal and get a point, we’ll take it,” a dejected Brodeur told the New Jersey Star-Ledger following Wednesday’s loss.

New Jersey has dropped seven of its last 10 games, scoring an average of just 1.5 goals during this slump including getting shutout twice. Brodeur has done his best to keep the Devils competitive in recent starts. He’s allowed just over two goals per game in this span and posted two clean sheets of his own.

New Jersey faces Toronto Friday night. The Maple Leafs boast an even 26-26 over/under count but have also struggled to light the lamp in recent games. They have scored just eight total goals in their last four games – all of which were losses and three of those played under the number.

Pick: Under


Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-150, 5.5)

These aren’t your father’s Detroit Red Wings. Hell, they’re not even your Detroit Red Wings.

The perennial powerhouse Wings are stumbling in 2010, losing three straight games and posting just eight wins in 13 contests since the New Year. Detroit’s most recent defeat was at the hands of the Minnesota Wild, who took a 5-2 victory at home Wednesday night.

"You know, we were right there," captain Nick Lidstrom told the Detroit News. "But lately we are finding ways to lose instead of finding ways to win."

Detroit has hemorrhaged goals during this three game funk, giving up a total of 13. Veteran goaltender Chris Osgood made just his second start in five games Wednesday, allowing five goals on 25 shots. Jimmy Howard hasn’t fared much better, allowing five goals in his most recent trip between the pipes.

Adding to the defensive woes is an injury to defenseman Brad Stuart, who sprained his shoulder in the first period but played through the pain until early in the third when the Wild put the game out of reach. His status for Friday’s game is still up in the air.

Nashville lost 3-2 in overtime against Detroit back in December but has won four of the last five meetings with the Red Wings, outscoring them 21-10 in that span.

Pick: Nashville
 

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From axiumsports.com

January 29th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$3,890.66

Pick #12-NBA-Cleveland/Indiana OVER 205.5 +101

Pick #13-NBA-Charlotte -1.5 OVER Golden State -103
 
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DCI

Season: 267-182 (.595)

NEW JERSEY 3, Toronto 1
WASHINGTON 4, Florida 2
BUFFALO 3, Boston 2
Anaheim vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DETROIT 3, Nashville 2
DALLAS 3, Colorado 2
 
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DCI

Season
Straight Up: 2444-761 (.763)
ATS: 991-994 (.499)
ATS Vary Units: 2922-3001 (.493)
Over/Under: 825-823 (.501)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1247-1235 (.502)

Atlantic Sun Conference
Jacksonville 64, NORTH FLORIDA 60
Big Sky Conference
WEBER STATE 82, Sacramento State 63
Horizon League
Butler 68, GREEN BAY 60
WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE 72, Valparaiso 65
Ivy League
CORNELL 76, Dartmouth 49
Harvard 72, COLUMBIA 58
Princeton 61, BROWN 56
YALE 75, Penn 65
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
CANISIUS 72, Niagara 65
 
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DCI

Season
Straight Up: 447-194 (.697)
ATS: 365-302 (.547)
ATS Vary Units: 900-739 (.549)
Over/Under: 334-332 (.502)
Over/Under Vary Units: 483-493 (.495)

Cleveland 105, INDIANA 96
L.A. Lakers 103, PHILADELPHIA 96
ATLANTA 98, Boston 93
Miami 94, DETROIT 91
L.A. Clippers 101, MINNESOTA 100
Washington 99, NEW JERSEY 98
NEW ORLEANS 100, Chicago 97
Denver vs. OKLAHOMA CITY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
HOUSTON 97, Portland 95
SAN ANTONIO 101, Memphis 96
UTAH 112, Sacramento 97
Charlotte 106, GOLDEN STATE 104
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Purdue (-8-1/2) and Buffalo (-10-1/2) Thursday night.

Today it's Butler. The deficit is 495 sirignanos.
 
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SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, JANUARY 29

NBA

Boston (29-14, 18-25 ATS) at Atlanta (29-15 SU and ATS)

The Hawks will try to make it a season sweep of the Celtics when these Eastern Conference foes meet inside Philips Arena.

The Hawks have won and covered in all three meetings with Boston this season, including both matchups this month. These two met in Atlanta on Jan. 8 with the Hawks scoring a 93-85 win as 3½-point favorites, then three days later they went to Boston and upset the Celtics 102-96 as 3½-point underdogs. The home team is on a 10-4 ATS run in this series, with Atlanta riding a 5-1 ATS streak in Georgia.

Boston took a modest two-game winning streak (0-2 ATS) into Orlando on Thursday and blew a 16-point fourth-quarter lead, losing 96-94 but cashing as a 3½-point underdog to halt an 0-5 ATS slide. The Celtics have failed to reach triple digits in six straight games and have averaged just 91 points per game during this stretch.

Atlanta’s three-game SU and ATS winning streak came to an end on Wednesday when they fell 105-90 in San Antonio as a three-point underdog. The Hawks put up 107 ppg on their home court, where they are 18-5 SU and 16-7 ATS this season.

The Celtics are on ATS slides of 1-5 overall and 1-6 on the second night of a back-to-back, but they are on positive ATS streaks of 39-17-1 as an underdog and 17-7-1 on the road against teams with winning home records. Atlanta is on a plethora of positive pointspread runs, including 35-17-1 as a favorite, 5-2 at home, 9-3 after a day off, 10-2 against Atlantic Division teams and 5-1 against the Eastern Conference.

Boston has topped the total in nine of its last 14 Friday games, but it is on “under” runs of 4-2 overall and 10-5 against Southeast Division teams. The Hawks have topped the total in four of five against Atlantic Division foes, but they’ve stayed below the number in four straight at home against teams with winning road marks and five of six as a favorite of less than five points. In this rivalry, the over has been the play in 13 of the last 19 played in Atlanta.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA


Denver (31-14, 21-22-2 ATS) at Oklahoma City (24-21, 27-18 ATS)

The Nuggets take their eight-game winning streak into the Ford Center in Oklahoma City for a matchup with the struggling Thunder.

Denver went to Houston on Wednesday and scored a 97-92 win as a 2½-point underdog, with Chauncey Billups leading the way with 21 points as All-Star forward Carmelo Anthony (injury) missed his second straight game. Despite that victory, the Nuggets are just 10-11 on the road this season, going 8-12-1 at the betting window as a visitor. They give up 101.2 ppg on the highway and allow the opposition to shoot 45.4 percent from the floor.

Oklahoma City has dropped three straight games (2-1 ATS), including Wednesday’s 96-86 home loss to the Bulls as a six-point favorite. The Thunder got 28 points and 11 rebounds from Kevin Durant and 62 points from their top three players of Durant, Jeff Green and Russell Westbrook but still fell short, as they’ve now dropped three in a row following a three-game winning streak. Prior to Wednesday’s contest, Oklahoma City had played four straight games decided by a total of eight points. It is just 12-10 SU and 11-11 ATS at home this season.

Denver has won five straight against the Thunder, but failed to cover in any of the last six (including four games as a double-digit favorite). The Nuggets scored a 102-93 home win back on Dec. 14, coming up just short as a 10-point favorite. Denver has won nine of the last 10 meetings (4-6 ATS), with the winner scoring a minimum of 112 points in the first nine clashes prior to last month’s contest.

The Nuggets are on ATS slides of 2-7-1 on the road, 3-9-2 against Western Conference teams, 4-10 after getting one day off and 1-4 on Friday. Oklahoma City is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games, but otherwise is on positive ATS runs of 4-0 on Friday, 5-0 against teams with a winning record and 39-17 after a straight-up loss.

For Denver, the over is 5-2 in its last seven overall, but the under is 4-1 in its last five roadies. The Thunder have topped the total in 16 of 23 after a non-cover and six of eight on Friday, but they’re also on “under” streaks of 5-1 overall, 6-2 at home, 6-2 after a day off and 10-4 against the Western Conference. Finally, in this series, the “over” is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings, with the last six in Oklahoma City hurdling the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OKLAHOMA CITY


Portland (27-20, 24-22-1 ATS) at Houston (24-21, 22-23 ATS)

The Rockets will be looking to snap a three-game slide when they welcome the Trail Blazers into the Toyota Center in a matchup of struggling teams.

Portland has dropped two in a row (SU and ATS) and four of six overall (3-3 ATS), most recently falling to the Jazz 106-95 as a 2½-point home ‘dog Wednesday. The Blazers are finding the going tough without star point guard Brandon Roy, who is out with a hamstring injury. Portland hasn’t hit the century mark in six straight contests, averaging just 95.7 ppg.

The Rockets have dropped three straight and gone just 1-7 at the betting window in their last eight. On Wednesday they lost 97-92 to the Nuggets as a 2½-point home favorite. Houston has lost three straight overall (all at home), and is just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in its last five at the Toyota Center.

The home team has won eight straight meetings in this rivalry (4-4 ATS), including all three this season. Portland won 96-87 as an 8½-point favorite on Oct. 27, but Houston has cashed in the last two (111-107 win as a 2½-point home underdog on Oct. 31 and 90-89 loss as a 5½-point road pup on Dec. 5).

The Blazers have failed to cash in four of five against Western Conference teams, but they are on ATS runs of 13-3 on Friday, 6-2 on the road and 7-3 against teams with a winning record. On the opposite side, Houston’s 7-3 ATS streak against Northwest Division squads is offset by negative pointspread trend of 1-7 overall, 0-6 at home, 1-5 against the Western Conference, 1-5 after a non-cover and 0-4 after getting a day off.

It’s been all “overs” for Portland lately, including 4-0 overall, 5-0 against the Western Conference, 5-1 on Friday, 7-2 after a day off and 7-2 as an underdog. The Rockets have stayed below the total in five of seven against Northwestern Division teams, but otherwise they’re on “over” streaks of 6-2 overall and 7-2 on Fridays. Conversely, in this rivalry, the under is 6-1 in the last seven clashes overall and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Houston.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PORTLAND
 

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CURRENT PLAYS

2010

SYSTEMPLAYS CURRENT PLAYS:

Fri 1/29

CBB

Cans +1 ov Niag



YTD: 21 W 20 L -1.05 UNITS
 

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St. Bernadine Sports

Andrew Bucciarelli "Mr Hockey"
MTD 57-38 +33.52*
WTD 10-6 +3.38*
Thursday 1-4 -9.52*

2* Nashville Predators (+140) over Detroit Red Wings
2* New Jersey Devils (-190) over Toronto Maple Leafs
2* Buffalo Sabres (-150) over Boston Bruins
1*Anaheim Ducks (+105) over Tampa Bay Lightning
 

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Randle the Handle

Toronto +2.08 over NEW JERSEY (REG) Pinnacle
Play: Toronto +2.08 (Risking 2 units).

Boston +1.46 over BUFFALO (REG) Pinnacle
Play: Boston +1.46 (Risking 2 units).

Anaheim +1.05 over TAMPA BAY (REG) Pinnacle
Play: Anaheim +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
 

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Brandon Lang

20 dime - Wisconsin Milwaukee panthers
free selection - Boston Celtics
 

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Mreast ncaab friday play of the day

#829 princeton tigers @ #830 brown bears 7pm est

play on #830 brown bears +3 -110 for 3 units
 

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