Service Plays Friday 08/28/09

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The Degenerate Gambler
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MLB

1) New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs

Pick: Cubs -1.5


2) Oakland Athletics vs L.A. Angels

Pick: Under 10


NFL

New England Patriots vs Washington Redskins

Pick: Under 37.5
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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NFLX TOUT TALLY :drink:

NE-6
WASH-3
OVER
UNDER-6

GB-6
AZ-3
OVER-1
UNDER-2
 
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Gina

Friday, August 28th, 2009 10:15 p.m. est.

Colorado Rockies (72-56) at San Francisco Giants (69-59)
(R) Ubaldo Jimenez (12-9) vs. (R) Tim Lincecum (12-4)

Colorado’s Ubaldo Jimenez (12-9, 3.36 ERA) has won his last five starts and is 3-1 with a 2.09 ERA in his seven last starts versus San Francisco, 3-2 with a 2.41 ERA in eight career starts against them.
San Francisco’s Tim Lincecum (12-4, 2.43 ERA) is 4-0 with a 1.36 ERA in his last six starts at AT&T Park, but just 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA in his last four. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in his last three starts against Colorado, 3-3 with a 4.33 ERA in nine career starts against them.

The Rockies have beaten the Giants in five of the last six contests, four of the last six in San Francisco. Go with the Rockies with Ubaldo Jimenez on the hill to take another victory against the Giants. Jimenez beat the Giants and Lincecum, 4-2 last Sunday at Coors Field. The Rockies are 4-1 in Jimenez's last 5 starts versus the Giants, while the Giants are 1-4 in Lincecum's last 5 starts versus the Rockies.

Colorado Rockies +115
 

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Trace Adams
1500* - Philadelphia w/Martinez over Hanson Listen, I don't think Pedro Martinez is the better of the 2 pitchers on the mound tonight, but I do think that after watching the Braves lose 2 of 3 at home this week to the lowly San Diego Padres, Atlanta just is not going to be hanging around in the postseason talks much longer.

Sure, Philly has issues with their bullpen, and sure the Phils did lose 2 of 3 to the Pirates, but Philadelphia is back at home for this weekend series, and they have gone 19-7 their last 26 dates at the Bank.

Atlanta had won 5 straight, and 7 of 9 in the season series against the Phillies prior to dropping 2 of 3 in the middle of this month at home, and it is those losses coupled with the uninspired showing against San Diego this week that leads me to believe they will actually make Pedro look good for 6 innings this Friday night.

No knocking Tommy Hanson, as it looks like Atlanta has the makings of another quality starter, but Hanson's 4 game winning streak is about due to be busted.

With the Phils bats a little quiet last night, look for them to wake up in their own ball yard.

I am on Philadelphia to make it a perfect 2-for-2 with my 1500♦s this season!

1500♦ - Philadelphia w/Martinez over Hanson

♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Chris Jordan Friday night winners ...
100♦ OVER Padres/Marlins - With Kevin Correia and Chris Volstad toeing the slab, and this one being in Miami, I love this total to soar. Both teams have won two of three behind these pitchers’ last three starts, but Correia has a 4.08 ERA in his last trio of starts, while Volstad’s 7.24 ERA his last three trips to the hill is eye popping.

Florida is in after losing five of eight after winning nine of their previous 11. And since it trails Colorado by 4-1/2 games of the Wild Card race, I expect the Marlins to get this one started early. I won’t side with them though, given Volstad’s numbers.

Delving inside the numbers, the Over is on winning runs of 9-1 when the Friars are on the road and 8-3 when they play on Friday nights. With Florida, the high number is on upticks of 14-3 when it’s the favorite,13-3 when it’s at home and 7-2-1 when it plays on Friday nights. More importantly, the over has come in eight of the last times these two have met in Florida.

I know the first three meetings averaged 5 runs per game, but they were played in pitcher-friendly PETCO Park. This one is at Land Shark Stadium, and the Marlins will dictate the high-scoring affair.

100♦ PATRIOTS (buy the hook down to -3 if in fact your book has the line at 3-1/2) - If this the dress rehearsal for the real season, and this one is in Foxboro, it’s a no-brainer for me to take the Patriots tonight, albeit we’re playing it safe and buying the hook. Why is this line so low, you might be asking? Well there are still the uncertainties with Tom Brady, plus, there’s the changing face of one of the NFL’s better defenses, as coach Bill Belichick is changing from his 3-4 defense to a traditional 4-3 front.

Last season the Patriots ranked 14th in the NFL in sacks, so with this new scheme, there’s the opportunity for more chances at getting to opposing signal-callers. No better time like the present to make things happen and for this defense to prove to itself that it can dominate once again. And the greatest thing about the mentality of the Pats’ defensive members is they’re not as worried about the ‘sack’ as much as they are pressuring the quarterback.

So no matter how much Washington quarterback Jason Campbell says he’s ready, there’s never a good time to face a Belichick-coached stop unit. This is a significant adjustment, something that is never easy for opponents to prepare for. Quite frankly, I don’t think it’s about Brady at all tonight, I think it’s the Patriots defense, which could become even more perplexing than ever.

100♦ RANGERS - This is an awfully interesting organization, you have to admit. With Nolan Ryan running the front office and Mike Maddux handling the pitching responsibilities, this team has turned things around and poses a real threat in the Wild Card race. Think about it, the Yankees have the best record in baseball and most certainly have been playing their best baseball the past month or so. Yet the Rangers just won a road series at the new Yankee Stadium.

I didn’t see anything bothering the Rangers in the Bronx either, as they became the first visiting team to win a series there since mid-June. Much of their resurgent ways can be credited to Maddux’s effort with the pitching staff, that’s a given; but let’s be real, Ian Kinsler is killing the ball, Josh Hamilton looks alive after seeing his average fall to .220 this month, and then seeing him bat .429 with 10 RBI over the past 15 games. The good news is, Hamilton is a .389 career hitter against the Twins, and keep in mind this one is in the Homer Domer.

Texas is on winning runs of 7-2 as a favorite, 13-4 on Fridays and 5-1 when Tommy Hunter starts the first game in a series. Meanwhile, the Twins come in mired in losing streaks of 3-9 against the American League West, 3-7 against winning teams and 0-4 as the home pup. Value road play.
 
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Ben Burns' 2009 NFLX TOTAL OF THE YEAR!!

Play Selected Total: 37.5/102
I'm playing on New England and Washington to finish OVER the total. As most of you are aware, the third week of the preseason is almost always the week where the starters see the most playing time. That should certainly be the case in this evening's matchup. While that means that both the defensive and offensive starters will see extended time, I expect both teams to place a high priority on getting their offensive starters on track. The Redskins won for me last week, scoring 17 points in the process. However, 14 of those came in the second half and starter Jason Campbell was ineffective for the second straight start. Campbell is definitely hearing the negative reviews and despite saying that he's saying he's "not concerned," he should be highly motivated to deliver a stronger performance. He was quoted as saying: "...Everybody wants to talk about 1 for 7. C'mon, there have been games when I've been 20 for 23, almost. So 1 for 7 is definitely something I'm not concerned about..." As for Coach Zorn, he was quoted as saying: "I want to see a sustained drive. I want to see us push it in when we get down to the 3-yard line..." While Campbell and co. should get plenty of playing time, the Skins also have a battle at the backup QB position and a serious fight for the #3 spot with Todd Collins, Chase Daniel and Colt Brennan all in the mix. Naturally, all will be looking to make the most of whatever opportunity that they are given this evening. I successfully played against the Pats last week, so I was happy that they only managed six points. That should work in our favor here too, as they should also be a little extra motivated to score some points. Brady is still considered to be among the very best in the game and a big game here would go a long way to remind every one of that fact. Note that the Redskins gave up 47 points last in their Week 3 game last preseason. Note that this is the second of three games that the Pats will play against teams from the NFC East this preseason. The first saw 52 points scored, a 27-25 victory at Philadelphia. It's also interesting to point out that the Pats faced an NFC East team (Eagles) in Week 3 of last year's preseason. That game saw 44 combined points scored, which was New England's highest-scoring preseason game of 2008. Overall, dating back to a 41-0 victory over the Redskins in Week 3 of the 2006 preseason, the Pats have seen the OVER go 5-1 their last six preseason games against teams from the NFC East. Those games averaged 45.16 points with five of them producing a minimum of 41. I expect more of the same here with this evening's final combined score finding its way above the low number. *10 NFLX TOY
 
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Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
NFL Preseason
3 (***) Washington Over 37
3 (***) New England -3
3 (***) Green Bay +3.5

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
4 (****) San Francisco -125
3 (***) Philadelphia +110
 

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Bob Valentino
FRIDAY'S 25 DIME NFL PRESEASON WINNER ... 25 DIME -- REDSKINS plus the points over New England

NOTE: It is my belief that this number is going to continue to go up as the public bets on the Patriots. So my advice is to wait to make your play until about two hours prior to kickoff. At the very least, there's no excuse for grabbing less than 4 points with Washington.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------------GL GUYS:103631605
 
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Matt Fargo

**9** WNBA SUPREME ANNIHILATOR *85% ANGLE*

9* Minnesota Lynx

I correctly went against Sacramento in its last game and it paid off as the Monarchs lost by 20 points in Atlanta. That snapped a two-game winning steak as well as a four wins in five games run and personally I think that knocked them out of the playoffs. Sacramento is now 2.5 games out of the playoff picture and the team it is currently chasing happens to be Minnesota. The Lynx have been a disappointment of late as they have dropped six straight games as well as six of their last seven at home. That is a run that is no doubt disappointing but one that can be clearly blamed on the schedule. The last four games have come on the road while 11 of the last 13 games have come against teams that are currently in a playoff spot. The Monarchs are 0-6 ATS after allowing 90 points or more over the last two seasons and 1-10 after scoring 80 points or more this season. The Lynx also fall into a solid play against situation. Play on home teams with a losing record but with a winning percentage greater than .400 after failing to cover two of their last three games against the spread and now playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1997 with the average point differential being +10.4 ppg. 9* Minnesota Lynx
 
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Wunderdog

MLB | Aug 28

Oakland Athletics vs. LAA Angels LAA Angels -147

The Oakland A's have not done much on the road all season, and right now a bad offense is struggling as much as they have all season. The A's have scored three runs or less in 11 of their last 12 games. They are facing a team that is averaging close to six runs a game on the season that is not going to be an easy task, especially for a team that is just 16-43 in their last 59 on the road against a team with a winning record on the season. The A's inconsistency has also shown them to be in a difficult position after a win, where they are just 9-21 in their last 30 off a win. The Angels are 46-22 in their last 68, and 24-9 against a team with a losing record. Those are some tough numbers, so I'm going with the Angels in this one.
 
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Wunderdog Horse Selections

DEL MAR Race #4 at 7:30 PM Eastern

Top pick: #7 (TWEEBSTER) - $300,000 son of "Tapit" raced evenly in his debut sprinting on August 1. The Baffert barn sends him to the turf and around two-turns in start No. 2. Colt has a pair of sharp drills since and he's the horse to beat in a talented looking field.​
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2nd pick: #5 (Alfarabi) - Colt has raced well in both his starts and his sire ("Yes It's True") gets some good grass runners. Trainer Eoin Harty moves him to the turf and Gomez climbs aboard. Win candidate.​
3rd pick: #6 (Wings Of Sound) - Like the top pair, he's run well in his starts on the "Poly" and moves to the grass. He's by "Vindication" and many of his runners can turf. Player.​
4th pick: #2 (Exploration) - Nicely-bred colt ("Seeking the Gold") is working sharp and his trainer (Richard Mandella) has been hot at this meet (21-6-2-3). Presence of jockey Nakatani is duly noted.​
 
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C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Colorado/San Francisco over the total
1000 Units Boston Run Line -1.5 over Toronto
1000 Units Detroit over Tampa Bay
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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Lance's Lock

Overall record: 834-721-31

Current streak: 2 losses

Todays play: Tampa Bay Rays -125
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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Super Sports Group (SSG)

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees
2* White Sox runline -115


San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins
3* Padres moneyline +135


Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
7* Tigers moneyline +110


Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
7* Reds runline +100


Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles
8* Orioles moneyline -105


Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
9* Phillies moneyline +110
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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Theservicekings

5* New England Patriots


Bonus Play 3* Over Oakland As/LA Angels
 

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Goodfella

GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/28/09 - 8:05 PM ';
dime bet ml960 MIL (-125) SportBet vs 959 PIT





GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/28/09 - 7:05 PM ';
double-dime bet ml953 ATL (-110) SportBet vs 954 PHI
 

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SportsOddsAndPicks.com for Friday

2-0 last night and 4-1 this season in the NFL preseason

NFL Preseason
GREEN BAY +3.5 over Arizona 10 p.m. ET

Major League Baseball
SAN FRANCISCO -125 (with Lincecum) over Colorado 10:15 p.m. ET
 

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