Service Plays Friday 07/31/09

[DBogey]

GoodFella | MLB RunLine Fri, 07/31/09 - 7:35 PM ';
double-dime bet 972 TAM -1.5 (-120) Bodog vs 971 KAN
Analysis:

-Price and Ponson both must start or no action guys-



-Price has been very solid at home, and this will be KC's 1st time seeing the you?ng left-hander tonight, advantage Price & the Rays there-



-Price is 3-1 with a 2.96 ERA in six career appearances at Tropicana Field-



-Kansas City has lost 12 of the 13 starts by Ponson, who is 1-6 with a 6.79 ERA for the season-



-Ponson is a dreadful 0-2 on the road this season with a ERA of 15.27 and a WHIP of 2.872-



-Price is 3-1 in 5 starts at home this season, and has a very solid 3.04 ERA in those 5 home starts-

-KC has a PITIFUL bullpen & Tampa Bay has a clear cut bullpen advantage tonight-



-KC has a team Bullpen ERA of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.523, while the Rays have a team bullpen ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.292-



-KC averages just 3.5 runs per game on the road and just 3.7 runs per game vs left-handed starters-



-Rays are 6-0 vs KC this season & KC is 1-8 their L/9 games vs left-handed starters-



-Here are the Rays (with 6 AB's or more) career #'s vs Ponson: Upton (7-12, .583 AVG, 2B) Crawford (8-36, .222 AVG, HR) Pena (5-12, .417 AVG, 2 2B's, HR) Zobrist (2-6, .333 AVG, HR) Navarro (3-11, .273 AVG) Gross (4-7, .571 AVG, 2B) Burrell (2-9, .222 AVG, HR) Kapler (5-16, .313 AVG, 2B)







-




GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/31/09 - 7:05 PM ';
dime bet ml969 DET (-140) SportBet vs 970 CLE
Analysis:

-Jackson and Carmona both must start or no action-



-Carmona will be making his 1st big league start since June 4th at Minnesota....and Carmona for the season at home has these #'s: 5 starts, 0-3 record, 6.20 ERA, and a 1.946 WHIP-



-Jackson has been outstanding on the road this season: 11 starts, 3-4 record, 2.35 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.087-



-Jackson's 2 starts vs Cleveland this season: 2 starts, 2-0 record, 0.64 ERA, 14 IP, 1 ER, 9 hits, 3 BB, 11 K's-



-Detroit is just 1-7 their L/8 road games, but they are 7-2 vs Cleveland on the season, including 3-0 at Jacobs Field-



-Detroit holds clear cut advantage in the bullpen for the season & in both teams L/5 games: Cleveland team bullpen L/5 games: 6.00 ERA, 1.500 WHIP, 12 IP, 8 ER, 12 hits.....Detroit team bullpen L/5 games: 2.13 ERA, 1.230 WHIP, 12 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 hits, 8 BB-



-Detroit players career #'s vs Carmona: M.Cabrera (5-17, .294 AVG, 2 HR's) Granderson (12-27, .444 AVG, 3 2B's, 2 3B's, HR) Guillen (5-17, .294 AVG, HR) Inge (5-18, .278 AVG, 2 2B's) Santiago (3-11, .273 AVG) Thames is just (0-12) and Polanco is (3-13 2B)-



-Cleveland players career #'s vs Jackson: Cabrera (1-10, .100 AVG) Sizemore (3-17, .176 AVG, 2B) Victor Martinez (3-14, .214) Peralta (3-11, .273 AVG, HR) Shoppach (1-10, .100 AVG) Choo (3-2, .429 AVG, 2B) Haffner (3-7, .429 AVG, HR)-




GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/31/09 - 7:10 PM ';
dime bet ml955 CHC (-120) SportBet vs 956 FLA
Analysis:

-Harden and Volstad both must start or no action-



-Cubs a RED HOT 6-1 their L/7 games & they have been smashing the baseball over that span-



-Harden L/3 starts= 2-0, 19 IP, 2 ER, 8 hits, 2 BB, 21 K's, 0.95 ERA & a WHIP of 0.526!!-



-Harden's last start on Sunday vs the Reds= 6 IP, 1 hit, 1 run, 0 BB, 8 K's-



-Harden on the road this season= 7 starts, 4-1 record, 2.03 ERA & a WHIP of 1.105-



-Volstad at home this season= 10 starts, 3-6 record, 5.24 ERA & a WHIP of 1.271-



-Volstad's last start on Sunday at Dodgers= 5 1/3 IP, 4 runs, 8 hits, 4 BB, 2 K's-



-Volstad L/3 starts= 18 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 19 hits, 9 BB, 9 K's, 4.42 ERA & a WHIP of 1.528-



-Cubs added 2 lefties to their bullpen recently from Pittsburgh, and they have a fairly rested bullpen due to blowing out the Astros a couple of games this week & I definitely see a bullpen edge for the Cubs tonight-

 

[cork999]

Craig Davis
Friday's Lineup
25 DIME ---- CARDINALS (with Boggs) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over ASTROS (with Moehler)

Today is one of those strange days in Major League Baseball because the trade deadline is here. It's the day teams jockey for certain players in an attempt to either make themselves stronger for a playoff run or prepare for the future by acquiring prospects. The Cardinals have already made a big splash when they acquired OF Matt Holliday last weekend while the Astros (at the time of this writing) have yet to make a big move. To be honest, I don't think it's really going to matter because St. Louis simply doesn't lose to Houston at home. They've won the last five meetings with the Astros at home and seven of the last eight, winning with better starting pitching and better offense.

Tonight's starter, Mitchell Boggs, is a virtual unknown outside of the fantasy baseball world, but his work hasn't gone unnoticed. Boggs has four starts for the Cardinals this year, and although he's only 1-0 the team has won all four of his starts. He was sent back down to Triple-A Memphis back in May when the rotation became full again, but with Todd Wellemeyer on the disabled list, Boggs was called back up to make a crucial division start. Boggs is 3-0 in his last three starts at Class AAA Memphis. In 21 innings, he's allowed one run on 15 hits, with eight walks and 19 strikeouts.

Houston counters with Brian Moehler and his 5.26 ERA. Moehler's last start was at home vs. the Mets in which he lasted 4.1 innings, allowing eight hits and five earned runs in an 8-3 loss. Though he's won two of his last three starts, his 7-6 record just reiterates how average he really is. Average pitchers don't beat St. Louis at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals realize the importance of beating division rivals at home, especially when they're chasing the Chicago Cubs for the division lead. This one could get ugly... Cardinals in a rout.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY MARFA,IRONHORSE AND ME-----------------GL GUYS

 

[Pepi]

Deano

His undergound system..... GL @)



HRC UNDERGOUND PRESTIGE-July 31st

Thank You for your Purchase!

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

*******************************
Method: -=A.P. SYSTEM=-
ML-(FAV) RL-(DOG)
Figure In Juice*
*******************************
CHART:
[P1]-1 WINS
[P2]-0 WINS
[P3]-0 WINS

*******************************
Today's Play: Boston Redsox [P1]
Today's Play: Chicago Cubs [P1]
*******************************
09' Record: 35-0
Current Record: 1-0

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kelso 15 units

Rockies -155 v. Reds
Play the Rockies

 

[PokerFace]

Prime Time Sports.

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="80%" align=center><TBODY><TR align=middle><TD>

</TD></TR><TR class=templatebg2><TD class=heading align=middle>Detroit Tigers-Jackson -134 vs Cleveland Indians-Carmona Hide --</TD></TR><TR><TD>Detroit Tigers-Jackson -134</TD></TR><TR><TD>Cleveland Indians-Carmona </TD></TR><TR><TD>Over/Under: </TD></TR><TR><TD>Event Date: 07/31/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD>Event Time: 07:05 PM EST</TD></TR><TR><TD>Play: Detroit Tigers-Jackson -134</TD></TR><TR><TD>Score: </TD></TR><TR><TD>Comments: Risking 1.50 to win 1.12</TD></TR><TR><TD>Result: Pending
<HR width="90%" SIZE=2>

</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD>

</TD></TR><TR class=templatebg2><TD class=heading align=middle>Toronto Blue Jays-Richmond +122 vs Oakland As -129 Hide --</TD></TR><TR><TD>Toronto Blue Jays-Richmond +122</TD></TR><TR><TD>Oakland As -129</TD></TR><TR><TD>Over/Under: </TD></TR><TR><TD>Event Date: 07/31/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD>Event Time: 10:05 PM EST</TD></TR><TR><TD>Play: Toronto Blue Jays-Richmond +122</TD></TR><TR><TD>Score: </TD></TR><TR><TD>Comments: Risking 1.50 to win 1.83</TD></TR><TR><TD>Result: Pending</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Freddy Wills has just posted a guaranteed pick that you have a subscription to on sportsbetcapping

The pick is:

62.2% RUN 33-10 L53 3Dime plays! Steam Chalk Play $8!

Match Up Starts (7:10 pm et)
3-DIME PLAY STEAM CHALK PLAY (62.2% RUN ON 3-DIME PLAYS 33-20 L53!)

The Bottom Line:
Take Rockies -155 3-DIME Steam Chalk Play
Rockies ran into a hot Mets team that got solid pitching. They were able to break out of their 25 inning scoreless streak and I think they will carry that into Cincinatti where former major leaguer (2006) relief pitcher Justin Lehr will take the mound. The 31 year old has a 3.37ERA with a 13-3 record in AAA and the way the Reds pitching has been of late it really can't hurt. Unfortunately for the Reds they will have to face Aaron Cook who has been briliant on the road this year with a 3.41 ERA, but in his last 5 road starts he has a 1.29 ERA.

Cook has a career ERA of 3.13 against the Reds, but they are struggling pretty bad as of late and I feel confidently that Cook will throw another gem on the road. After all the Reds are hitting just .250 and scoring 3.95 runs per 9 innings at home against RHP. The Reds are 8-21 in their last 29 games as under dog and 1-8 in their last 9 vs. RH starter. Like I said they have struggled big time particularly against RHP.

Rockies are 14-3 in their last 17 vs. RH starter and I do not think they'll need much here off Lehr


Freddy Wills has just posted a guaranteed pick that you have a subscription to on sportsbetcapping

The pick is:

4-Dime POD & **Bonus! (74-31 This Year!) $15 Guaranteed!

MATCH UP STARTS 7:10pm et
4-DIME MLB POD & 2-DIME BONUS
MLB Play of the Days (POD's):
74-31 (70.5%) +119.09 units of profit! (+$119,095)

The Bottom Line:
Take Cubs -126 4-DIME POD (1-5scale)
Harden vs. Volstad here a pair of pitchers moving in opposite directions. Volstad 2-1 with a 4.42ERA in his last three and Harden 2-0 with a .53Whip and .95 ERA. If you know anything about Harden it is that when he gets hot he is one of the best RH pitchers in the game. Right now he is hot and it's because he has found his control. Just 2BB over his last 3 starts. He pitched at home where he has struggled all year against the Marlins and went just 3.2 IP gave up 6H and 4BB and 5ER. By the way the Cubs still won that game despite walking 9 batters that day.

More on Harden here because I absolutely find value on him here today. He does have a 2.03ERA on the road and a 2.23 ERA at night this year. In his last 3 road starts he has a .90ERA over 20IP. I expect a dominant performance here on Friday as he had a 1.76ERA against the Marlins prior to his poor performance in May. The Marlins have not been killing the ball either vs. RHP they have a .255 avg over their last 5 games with a BP ERA of 5.51. I'm pretty sure they are going to need the bullpen against a Cubs offense that is just on fire averaging 8 runs a game over their last 5 games with their own BP of 3.18. Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 as a road favorite and 14-3 overall the last 17 as a favorite -110 to -150. They are 6-1 in Hardens last 7 starts of Game 1's getting the Cubs off to a nice start.

Marlins Volstad has pitched decently but at home over his last 4 starts he has given up 17 ER in 20.2 now facing arguably one of the hottest hitting teams I'm taking my money and putting it on the Cubs with the better offense and better pitcher here tonight with some good value to boot. Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and they are 4-13 in their last 17 as a home dog.

2-Dime Bonus play Take Cubs -1.5 +135
Again whenever you have a hot pitcher and a hot offense vs. a cold pitcher and a just okay offense right now it's wise to take the run line as a small backup. I like it mainly because the Cubs have won 76% of their road wins by more than 1 run while the Marlins have lost 80% of their home losses by more than 1 run. It is a recipe for success here today.​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Covers

Tigers/Indians under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. A's

Friday, July 31st, 2009, 7:10 PM EST.
Chicago Cubs (54-46) at Florida Marlins (52-49)
(R) Rich Harden (7-6) vs. (R) Chris Volstad (8-9)
Oddsmakers: Chicago as a -120 road favorite with the total listed at 8½ 'over'.

Chicago Cubs -120

Friday, July 31st, 2009, 7:35 PM EST.
Kansas City Royals (40-61) at Tampa Bay Rays (55-47)
(R) Sidney Ponson (1-6) vs. (L) David Price (3-4)
Oddsmakers: Tampa Bay as a -220 home favorite with the total listed at 10 'over'.

Tampa Bay Rays -220

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gina

Friday, July 31st, 2009 7:10 p.m. est.

Colorado Rockies (55-47) at Cincinnati Reds (45-56)
(R) Aaron Cook (10-3) vs. (R) Justin Lehr (0-0)

Colorado Rockies have won seven of their last eight games against the struggling Cincinnati Reds and five of the last six meetings at Great American Ball Park. The Rockies' send right-hander Aaron Cook to the hill, who is 2-0 with a 2.86 ERA in four career outings, including three starts versus Cincinnati. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has dropped nine of their last 10 games, just 2-4 in its last 6 at home. The Reds' counter with Justin Lehr. The right-hander makes his first major league start tonight since 2006. Go with Colorado with Aaron Cook (10-3, 3.87 ERA) at the helm. The Rockies have won eight of Cook's last ten starts and his last 5 on the road.

Colorado Rockies -150

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

Colorado Rockies -150
Texas Rangers -170 *** (best bet)
St. Louis Cardinals -175

 

[getmeresults]

Krunchtime has a 1000 dimer tonight on Pittsburgh under 8 1/2.
Steve Jabby's pick.

 

[getmeresults]

Vegas Runner
2*BAL

 

[getmeresults]

Vegas Runner-added
3*MINN

 

[savannahslim]

2009 Major League " Under" of the Year!!!!!
Washington/Pittsburgh under 8 1/2

Bases Best Bets
Arizona/NY Mets under 9
Boston/Baltimore over 10
LA Angels/Minnesota under 10
Toronto/Oakland under 8

Friday's free selection: Milwaukee/San Diego over 7 1/2

anybody know who this is?

 

[golfball]

Vegas Runner-added
3*MINN

That is a triple dime play (that is what he calls it) BUT it's a 4 unit play.

 

[Ol-G-Parker]

That is a triple dime play (that is what he calls it) BUT it's a 4 unit play.

His plays are all STARS, that is a 3* play obviously. 4* play is still out there

 

[getmeresults]

That is a triple dime play (that is what he calls it) BUT it's a 4 unit play.

vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/31/09 - 8:10 PM
triple-dime bet ml976 MIN (-155) Bodog vs 975 ANA
Analysis:
**** MLB 4* AL GAME of the MONTH ****

Looks like it says "triple dime bet" to me!


You're welcome!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Billy Coleman

4 Units METS
4 Units COLORADO R/L
4 Units DETROIT

 

[bsebal7]

Jefferson?

 

[golfball]

His plays are all STARS, that is a 3* play obviously. 4* play is still out there

You are wrong. I'm a long time client and this is his 4* or 4 unit play for today.


vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/31/09 - 8:10 PM

triple-dime bet ml976 MIN (-155) Bodog vs 975 ANA
Analysis:
**** MLB 4* AL GAME of the MONTH ****



BLACKBURN over Santana