Service Plays Friday 07/31/09

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Jake Timlin
Friday's Action
400♦ New York Mets

List both Hernandez & Davis as starting pitchers or this play is void

Back by 4 PM eastern with analysis.


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY MARFA,IRONHORSE AND ME----------------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Top Rank Sports

Florida -105 over Chicago Cubs

St. Louis -145 over Houston

Cleveland +120 over Detroit
 

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Power Play Wins

Boston Red Sox -114

Chicago Cubs -118

New York Mets -110

Detroit Tigers -139

New York Yankees -114

Milwaukee Brewers -107
 

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Free Silver Key Pick for Friday ML Baseball


TEXAS PADILLA -R -165 Over Seattle (8:05 et)
 

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SmartMoney

Smart Money MLB Wiseguys just hit #973 Seattle OVER
 

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Ferringo

2.5-Unit Play. Take #972 Tampa Bay (-1.5) over Kansas City (7:30 p.m., Friday, July 31)

2-Unit Play. Take #965 Philadelphia over San Francisco (10 p.m., Friday, July 31)

1-Unit Play. Take #965 Philadelphia (-1.5) over San Francisco (10 p.m., Friday, July 31)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #967 Boston over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #953 Colorado over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #958 N.Y. Mets over Arizona (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #977 N.Y. Yankees over Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Friday, July 31)


1-Unit Play. Take #951 Washington over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)


Today’s Totals

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.5 Seattle at Texas (8 p.m., Friday, July 31)

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Arizona at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)
 

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Wunderdog

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates +115

It's hard to even consider backing the Nationals on the road as a favorite, under any circumstances. They have their best pitcher in John Lannon on the hill, but it begins and ends there. The Nats, even with Lannon on the mound are still just 3-6 in his nine starts on the road. The Nats have been the worst road team against righthand pitching, perhaps of all time. They come into this one with an 11-51 mark in their last 62 games - not numbers that exude confidence with a favorite. Russ Olendorf has been steadily improving for the Pirates as they have now won five straight home starts with him as a home dog. It looks like a live dog here, so I'll go with the Pirates here
 

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sportsbetsnow


St Louis ML 1 unit (-176)
Tampa Bay RL 1 unit -1.5 (-113)
 

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Wunderdog 2009/07/31

Game: Arizona at New York Mets (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on New York Mets -1.5 runs +180 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3.6)

Game: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Cleveland +130 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.6)

Game: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Pittsburgh +110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.3)

Game: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Tampa Bay -210 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1.9)

Game: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tampa Bay -1.5 runs -110 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Game: Seattle at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Texas -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)
 

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Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play.

Take the Over 158.5 between the Minnesota Lynx @ Detroit Shock (Friday @ 7:30pm est).

It's Friday night WNBA action, and there is just one game on tap. You've heard me write and say that whenever there is just one game on tap, the dog usually does well. Vegas has put a small line on Minneosta at Detroit today for several reasons. For starters, Minnesota comes off a loss to the Sparks at home, this is the same team that went to San Antonio coming off a loss and won Outright by 7 points, so Vegas looks for them to bounce-back as well. Having said that, Detroit has been sound lately winning 3 of their last 5 with four of those six games going into overtime. Detroit has been much better on the offensive end, but more importantly, I beleive they will be taken to the limit today. So, in short, it is the active dog/over theory that I advocate. Plus, as this is the only game on tap in Vegas today, I expect the public to have a trap set for them so to speak as well. The Over is 8-1 for the Lynx when playing on 2 days rest, the over is 7-0 in the last two meetings between these two teams and the Over is 5-1 for the Shock following a loss.

4 Unit Play.

Take Under 10.5 between the Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers (Friday @ 8pm est).

Padilla has been one of the best bounce-backs in the majors for some time and this year is no different. In fact, Vincente has pitched in 7 straight Unders and 8 of 10 Unders. The total has still yet to adjust to him as he continues to pitch in many unders as his era does not indicate his bounce-back capabilities. Vincente gave up 5 runs against the Twins in his last start and picked up a loss and I expect him to pitch well today as he bounces back and helps his squad continue to roll in the playoff chase. Vargas, an alum of Long Beach State, got ripped by Cleveland in his last start giving up 6 runs in 4 innings against the Indians. The young man was coming off 3 hits adn 5 scoreless innings against Baltimore prior to getting shelled in his last start. I feel that although he is likely to get hit by the Rangers lineup a bit, he will still pitch to the under as well as he bounces back from that terrible start. Keep in mind Seattle has many young hurlers that can take the place of this young man, so he needs a quality start today. The Under is 4-0 when Vargas pitches with 4 days of rest and the Under is 5-0 when Padilla starts with a total in this range. The Under is also 5-1in the last meetings head to head.

4 Unit Play.

Take Under 8 between the Toronto Bluejays @ Oakland A's (Friday @ 10pm est).

Scott Richmond comes off a solid outing, yet he still picked up the loss as he gave up 3 runs in 7 innings in his last start. He has pitched back to back quality starts and comes off 3 of 4 quailty starts. I expect him to pitch well today as he looks to bounce-back and albeit from a quality start, a loss nonetheless. Tack that on with the fact Braden comes off a loss at new Yankee Stadium giving up 7 runs in 5 innings, I expect him to bounce-back well today. Mind you, this is a similar situation when Braden gave up 6 runs in 5 innings against the Angels on 7/16 and came back the following start on 7/21 by giving up 2 runs in 7 innings to Minnesota. This is a similar situation and I expect him as well as Richmond to pitch quality starts today. The Under is 8-2 for the Bluejays following a loss and the Under is 10-2 when Braden starts as a favorite by this margin.

Good luck,
IC
 

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PlatinumPlays Win

Over 9 Reds
AZ +105
Over 9 Houston
Boston -125
Angels +140
Under 10.5 NY
 

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Adam Meyer

[ Friday, July 31 2009 at 07:05:pM ]
Boston Red Sox
vs. Baltimore Orioles

Don’t expect much from either starting pitcher tonight. Boston’s John Smoltz is 1-4 with a 7.04 ERA since joining the Red Sox and was lit up by the Orioles in his last start for six runs and nine hits over five innings. On the other side, Baltimore’s starter Jeremy Guthrie has a 7.94 ERA in two starts against the Red Sox. But you can count on Boston’s two, six and number eight hitters. The trio of Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia and Kevin Youkilis have combined for a .378 batting average with 27 RBI’s verses the Orioles. Put your money on the Red Sox -125 to win the series opener tonight.

PLAY: Boston Red Sox / -125 / 5 Units



Adam Meyer
[ Friday, July 31 2009 at 08:11:pM ]
New York Yankees
vs. Chicago White Sox

Riding last night’s ninth inning win the Chicago White Sox keep it rolling at home tonight against New York and Yankee starting pitcher Sergio Mitre who returns to the rotation for his second start since being called up from Triple-A. Mitre in for an injured Chien-Ming Wang, is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two career starts versus the White Sox. Chicago counters with starter Clayton Richard who is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his last two starts. Put your money on the White Sox +110.

PLAY: Chicago White Sox / +110 / 2 Units



Adam Meyer
[ Friday, July 31 2009 at 10:05:pM ]
Milwaukee Brewers
vs. San Diego Padres

Well out of playoff contention, San Diego’s first three-game winning streak in more than two months is enough for me to pick the Padres in a series opening win against the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. The “brew crew” just wrapped up a series with the Reds and had to scramble to avoid losing three of four to the only team in the NL worse than the Padres! The Reds can’t patch it together and the Padres keep it going. The pick tonight is San Diego +105.


PLAY: San Diego Padres / +105 / 3 Units
 

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RatedPicks

MLB: Todays card is stacked with winners. We go 5-0 today and end July with a bang.

Det Tigers RunLine -1.5 +110 3units
Chi Cubs -120 3units
Col Rockies -140 5units
Tor Blue Jays +115 2units
LA Dodgers +150 2units
 

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Tony Salinas Baseball

Friday, July 31, 2009


25* Nationals {J.Lannan} (-115) over Pirates {R.Ohlendorf}
7:05 PM -- PNC Park
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.


24* Rockies {A.Cook} (-155) over Reds {J.Lehr}
7:10 PM -- Great American Ball Park
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.


23* Chicago Cubs {R.Harden} (-125) over Marlins {C.Volstad}
7:10 PM -- Dolphin Stadium
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 85.
 

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Gold Key Pick:

TAMPA BAY PRICE -L -1.5 Runs, -110 Over Kansas City (MLB, 7:35 et)
 

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