STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
Monday, APRIL 7th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 4/7/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Monday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Milwaukee-Philly game has been postponed until Tuesday.
-- Wacha is 5-1, 1.76 in his last seven starts. Cingrani is 2-3, 2.48 in his last six.
-- Jimenez is 4-1, 1.90 in his last seven starts.
-- Cosart is 1-1, 2.37 in his last ten starts.
-- Kazmir is 3-0, 0.44 in his last three starts.
-- Lackey is 3-1, 2.10 in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 1-1, 2.01 in his last three starts.
-- Erlin is 2-1, 1.97 in his last five starts.
-- Paulino is 2-0, 1.72 in his last six starts.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Kuroda is 0-4, 5.70 in his last four starts.
-- Wilson is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 0-3, 4.20 in his last five starts.
-- Scheppers allowed seven runs in four IP in his first MLB start.
-- Moore is 1-2, 11.74 in his last three starts.
-- Kluber is 1-1, 11.42 in his last couple starts.
-- Lyles is 1-2, 15.88 in his last three starts.
•Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Wacha's last seven starts.
-- Seven of last nine Jimenez starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Wilson's last six starts.
-- Last three Kazmir starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Lackey starts.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Royal games; three of last four Tampa Bay games went over.
-- Last five Erlin starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Paulino starts stayed under; eight of last nine Lyles starts went over the total.
•Hot Teams
-- Yankees won three of its last four games.
-- Twins won three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.
•Cold Teams
-- Reds lost three of their last four games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox lost their last three games.
-- San Diego lost four of its last five games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
Diamond Trends - Monday
•ST LOUIS is 17-1 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 6.4, OPPONENT 2.2.
•BOSTON is 12-2 OVER (+10.1 Units) in home games against American League West opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 6.9, OPPONENT 4.6.
•CHI WHITE SOX are 23-5 (+16.7 Units) against the run line in road games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 3.9, OPPONENT 3.8.
•JOHN LACKEY is 21-2 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams outscored by opponent by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was LACKEY 4.6, OPPONENT 2.6.
•C.J. WILSON is 13-1 OVER (+12.1 Units) on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WILSON 6.4, OPPONENT 4.6.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (CINCINNATI) - poor National League offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA>=4.50), after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games.
(56-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.6%, +40.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (41-26 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -144
The average score in these games was: Team 4.7, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 41 (61.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-9, +16.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (140-60, +48.6 units).
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