Serie B - (29-jan-2207)

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Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
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Greetings,

My crappy year to date totals:
W28-L26-T9 (+2.625 units)

Breakdown:
Useless Coppa Italia: W4-L4-T1 (-6.52 units)
SERIE B: W12-L11-T5 (+4.565 units)
SERIE A: W12-L11-T3 (+4.580 units)

Genoa at NAPOLI - Following the Juventus meltdown at Spezia, conditions were set for all other contenders to make
up some ground (a rare opportunity). Some simple facts to consider: Napoli unbeaten at home (6W-4D-0L 14GF and 6GA). Genoa has been decent on the road with 4W-2D-4L, 14GF, and 15GA. With one point separating these two, you can expect a decent clash (with Napoli games, red cards are
always in the picture, and as such, your play is always in geopardy). It goes without saying that they play tough defense at home, and playing the "over" is radically insane.
Yet, I am attracted by Genoa's totals produced on the road:
9 out of 10 game have produced at least two goals).
A very logical play would be "Napoli" and the "Under". Radically, I will play somewhat different, as these two will go at it from the start.
The play:
Napoli OVER 2 and 2.5 +113 (3.5 units)
Napoli pk and -0.5 -108 (4.0 units)

MA says: Don't play and watch me suffer. Out of 20 games played, Napoli has managed to score more than 1 goal only
twice (Both at home: Treviso 4, Brescia 3, both teams with suspect defenses, much like Genoa.)
I'm hoping for a 2-1 victory from the home side

Cheers, and good luck.

MA




 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
Messages
1,383
Tokens
the mad actuarian said:
Greetings,

My crappy year to date totals:
W28-L26-T9 (+2.625 units)

Breakdown:
Useless Coppa Italia: W4-L4-T1 (-6.52 units)
SERIE B: W12-L11-T5 (+4.565 units)
SERIE A: W12-L11-T3 (+4.580 units)

Genoa at NAPOLI - Following the Juventus meltdown at Spezia, conditions were set for all other contenders to make
up some ground (a rare opportunity). Some simple facts to consider: Napoli unbeaten at home (6W-4D-0L 14GF and 6GA). Genoa has been decent on the road with 4W-2D-4L, 14GF, and 15GA. With one point separating these two, you can expect a decent clash (with Napoli games, red cards are
always in the picture, and as such, your play is always in geopardy). It goes without saying that they play tough defense at home, and playing the "over" is radically insane.
Yet, I am attracted by Genoa's totals produced on the road:
9 out of 10 game have produced at least two goals).
A very logical play would be "Napoli" and the "Under". Radically, I will play somewhat different, as these two will go at it from the start.
The play:
Napoli OVER 2 and 2.5 +113 (3.5 units)
Napoli pk and -0.5 -108 (4.0 units)

MA says: Don't play and watch me suffer. Out of 20 games played, Napoli has managed to score more than 1 goal only
twice (Both at home: Treviso 4, Brescia 3, both teams with suspect defenses, much like Genoa.)
I'm hoping for a 2-1 victory from the home side

Cheers, and good luck.

MA

NAPOLI 1 Genoa 1
W0-L2-T2 (-3.91 units)

With Napoli scoring at the 38th minute of the second half, thought I was just about to steal the 0.5 unit profit.
That feeling lasted only five minutes, as Genoa evened the score at the 43rd minute with a phenomenal effort.

Luck to all,

MA
 

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