Serie B - (23-Feb-2007)

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Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Sep 26, 2006
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<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> at <st1:City><st1:place>LECCE</st1:place></st1:City> – Home and road stats are in effect for this match, as stadium as been approved for “abbonati” (season ticket holders). In 11 home games this year, <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> has produced 5W-2D-4L, 18 goals scored and 15 against. <st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> on the road, 3W-4D-5L, with 14GS and 18GA. Note also the following, 10 of 11 home matches for <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> have produced at least 2 goals, while 9 of the 12 road games for <st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> have also produced at least 2 goals. If you omit the statistical data, you must consider <st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> playing form. Arguably the best Serie B team in the last 7 games (5 wins and 2 draws), having conceded 2 goals, while scoring 12. <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> not showing any signs of consistency; the 4 goals allowed against Mantova last week is no coincidence, as defense has the habit of sudden collapse, and can concede goals in a hurry. This game is very important to both, but has more value for Treviso; with 32 points, a victory here will go a long way as they will return home (fans admission approved) to face lowly Crotone. <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> has an ardent fan base, and plays tough at home. Nonetheless, see no reason but to side with the visitor, who will probably make a strong statement in the second half (this is where <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> has a tendency to self destruct), and could come away with the road victory.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
The play:<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> pk and +0.5 -108 (5.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> over 2 -125 (3.5 units)

Best of luck,

MA
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
Messages
1,383
Tokens
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> at <st1:City><st1:place>LECCE</st1:place></st1:City> – Home and road stats are in effect for this match, as stadium as been approved for “abbonati” (season ticket holders). In 11 home games this year, <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> has produced 5W-2D-4L, 18 goals scored and 15 against. <st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> on the road, 3W-4D-5L, with 14GS and 18GA. Note also the following, 10 of 11 home matches for <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> have produced at least 2 goals, while 9 of the 12 road games for <st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> have also produced at least 2 goals. If you omit the statistical data, you must consider <st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> playing form. Arguably the best Serie B team in the last 7 games (5 wins and 2 draws), having conceded 2 goals, while scoring 12. <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> not showing any signs of consistency; the 4 goals allowed against Mantova last week is no coincidence, as defense has the habit of sudden collapse, and can concede goals in a hurry. This game is very important to both, but has more value for Treviso; with 32 points, a victory here will go a long way as they will return home (fans admission approved) to face lowly Crotone. <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> has an ardent fan base, and plays tough at home. Nonetheless, see no reason but to side with the visitor, who will probably make a strong statement in the second half (this is where <st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> has a tendency to self destruct), and could come away with the road victory.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
The play:<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> pk and +0.5 -108 (5.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> over 2 -125 (3.5 units)

Best of luck,

MA

Treviso 1 LECCE 1
1W-0L-1T (+2.75 units)

Red card to Treviso at the 40th minute changed the flow and complexity of the game.

MA
 

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Nice work MA. I tailed you on these picks and made a few bucks. Thanks.

Who do you like in Serie A this weekend?
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
Messages
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Tokens
Nice work MA. I tailed you on these picks and made a few bucks. Thanks.

Who do you like in Serie A this weekend?

be careful this wekend, play resumes on wednesday, the 28th. Line-up juggling in full effect as teams will play Sunday and Wednesday. Effect of this will be felt next week as teams without depth will be exposed...
For this weekend Serie A:
Empoli (draw, and maybe more)
Catania (at +1.5, decent dog...stadium closed till June 30th - will play on neutral ground. Must adapt to ruling
and accept consequences. Hatred between North and South of Italian soccer is embodied in this match. More injuries to Inter, and failure to produce at home against Valencia could create the necessary uncertainty for Catania to surprise. Inter no fade team - as I said before - but all teams, including Inter, must and will traverse low periods.
Livorno could surprise you, and could go over the total by themselves. Side and total could produce one winner by the half.
AS ROMA will build on Champs effort and could dictate pace from first minute. This one could get ugly.

I expect 28 goals in Serie A this week, so choose you overs carefully.

Short week in Serie A is never a good thing, reduce units
and wait for next week.

Good luck,

MA
 

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