Greetings Gents,
Arezzo at NAPOLI – Stadium closed for this match (a negative). Should receive approval for next home match (a plus). First encounter between these two, ended 0-0. Back then, Arezzo had started off with two impressive draws against Mantova and Frosinone, while Napoli was coming off their heart-breaking loss to Piacenza. Much has changed since then. Host’s dominant defense has held team in matches, and remains Serie B’s purest 4-4-2 defensive minded unit. For a decent stretch (last 10 games), Arezzo has made an honest effort in reversing the early season blunders, losing only two in the last 9. Napoli’s cleared a major hurdle last week by beating Piacenza 1-0, and must take full opportunity with Arezzo. Believe this match will be a lot different than week 3, as Napoli’s sub performing offense could be allowed to press to establish early lead. Arezzo, not suited for playing from behind, as offense lacks transition skills, and is prone to defensive miscues as game wears on. Nothing less than a victory will satisfy Napoli, who will want to regain the first place tie with Juventus. Second half is where the host will be given ample opportunity to pull away. The play:
NAPOLI –1 +105 (8 units)
NAPOLI over 2 and 2.5 +116 (4 units)
Napoli has won by a two goal margin only twice this season. Yet, with no fans in the stands, they are favoured by a goal!. Books are no dummy, and lay their "dog" traps accordingly…
Chievo at PALERMO – Stadium reopening could not come at a better time as Palermo will look to regain form. Don’t need to document host prowess on home turf, instead one has to look at Chievo’s atrocious road performance. In ten games, 1W-3D-6L, and 19 goals allowed. Pull out the calculator, as this one should be a lot different than week 3, when Palermo won 1-0. The play:
PALERMO –1 +105 (4 units)
PALERMO over 2.5 –116 (5 units)
Careful here, don’t assume that side and total are automatic, host are due, but this is Serie A, and anything can happen.
Atalanta at REGGINA – Visitor in good form, but host may be Serie A’s best kept secret as they are surging to avoid relegation. Current form (2 wins,1 tie, 1 GA) may signal the winning streak allarm bells. Reggina has an excellent opportunity to win this game, as visitor has been know to melt down defensively on road games.
REGGINA pk and -0.5 –107 (5 units)
Sampdoria at PARMA – Stadium open (a plus). Defensively, both teams struggle (another plus). Parma coming off a heartbreaking UEFA Cup loss to Braga, and could be caught flat-footed. Both Sampdoria and Parma will find the net at least once, and over has unexpectedly good value.
The play:
Parma over 2 and 2.5 –104 (6.5 units)
MA says: Not big on huge favourites. I am making an insane exception for Napoli, as they are primed for a decent effort. Other than that, the Palermo and Parma totals have a good chance to come through.
Good luck,
MA
Arezzo at NAPOLI – Stadium closed for this match (a negative). Should receive approval for next home match (a plus). First encounter between these two, ended 0-0. Back then, Arezzo had started off with two impressive draws against Mantova and Frosinone, while Napoli was coming off their heart-breaking loss to Piacenza. Much has changed since then. Host’s dominant defense has held team in matches, and remains Serie B’s purest 4-4-2 defensive minded unit. For a decent stretch (last 10 games), Arezzo has made an honest effort in reversing the early season blunders, losing only two in the last 9. Napoli’s cleared a major hurdle last week by beating Piacenza 1-0, and must take full opportunity with Arezzo. Believe this match will be a lot different than week 3, as Napoli’s sub performing offense could be allowed to press to establish early lead. Arezzo, not suited for playing from behind, as offense lacks transition skills, and is prone to defensive miscues as game wears on. Nothing less than a victory will satisfy Napoli, who will want to regain the first place tie with Juventus. Second half is where the host will be given ample opportunity to pull away. The play:
NAPOLI –1 +105 (8 units)
NAPOLI over 2 and 2.5 +116 (4 units)
Napoli has won by a two goal margin only twice this season. Yet, with no fans in the stands, they are favoured by a goal!. Books are no dummy, and lay their "dog" traps accordingly…
Chievo at PALERMO – Stadium reopening could not come at a better time as Palermo will look to regain form. Don’t need to document host prowess on home turf, instead one has to look at Chievo’s atrocious road performance. In ten games, 1W-3D-6L, and 19 goals allowed. Pull out the calculator, as this one should be a lot different than week 3, when Palermo won 1-0. The play:
PALERMO –1 +105 (4 units)
PALERMO over 2.5 –116 (5 units)
Careful here, don’t assume that side and total are automatic, host are due, but this is Serie A, and anything can happen.
Atalanta at REGGINA – Visitor in good form, but host may be Serie A’s best kept secret as they are surging to avoid relegation. Current form (2 wins,1 tie, 1 GA) may signal the winning streak allarm bells. Reggina has an excellent opportunity to win this game, as visitor has been know to melt down defensively on road games.
REGGINA pk and -0.5 –107 (5 units)
Sampdoria at PARMA – Stadium open (a plus). Defensively, both teams struggle (another plus). Parma coming off a heartbreaking UEFA Cup loss to Braga, and could be caught flat-footed. Both Sampdoria and Parma will find the net at least once, and over has unexpectedly good value.
The play:
Parma over 2 and 2.5 –104 (6.5 units)
MA says: Not big on huge favourites. I am making an insane exception for Napoli, as they are primed for a decent effort. Other than that, the Palermo and Parma totals have a good chance to come through.
Good luck,
MA
