Serie A - (25-Feb-2007)

[themadactuarian]

Greetings,

Empoli at FIORENTINA
Empoli +0.5 and +1 +116 (6 units)
(very decent play)

Inter Milan at CATANIA
Catania +1 and +1.5 -125 (5.5 units)
(see above)

Ascoli at LIVORNO
LIVORNO -0.5 and -1 -112 (6 units)
LIVORNO OVER 2 and 2.5 -108 (7.5 units)
(I see Livorno winning by two, plain and simple)

Reggina at AS ROMA
AS Roma -1 and -1.5 +107 (4 units)

Parma at UDINESE
UDINESE OVER 2 and 2.5 -104 (9 units)
(strictly for mad actuarians schooled in the black arts of Seria A...if this scares you, I understand. You may want to consider Livorno and the over)

Sampdoria at AC MILAN
Sampdoria +1 and +1.5 -130 (4 units)

Siena at MESSINA
Messina pk -130 (2.5 units)

Lazio at CAGLIARI
Cagliari pk and +0.5 -128 (2.5 units)

Serie A resumes on Wednesday, so make your adjustments, as I have made mine. Careful, Serie B was quite surprising, expect same today.As I said earlier in the week, good chance to properly fade the madman...

Take care, and good luck.

MA

 

[chriscol]

thx for picks...i had the livorno over also marked on my card.

Regarding Roma..not sure how the champ.league fight will influence. Do you think the side is a better play than the over?

i also like Messina over (any input on that)

i can see wher you are coming from with the udinese over...for what reason ever there are a lot of goals in last 3 udinese games...but is it really your strongest play (according to units)??? anything special you see? i am not scared, just need some kind of good idea to play it

 

[rhinooooo]

With both you guys on the Livorno over. Also taking a punt on Empoli. Good luck today.

 

[themadactuarian]

thx for picks...i had the livorno over also marked on my card.

Regarding Roma..not sure how the champ.league fight will influence. Do you think the side is a better play than the over? (Roma -1 is the better choice...should avenge week 6 1-0 loss....Totti absent, but Pizarro can
pic-up the role)

i also like Messina over (any input on that) (I don't trust Siena, play good defense....not for me. If this one goes over, it will have to come from Messina's contribution)

i can see wher you are coming from with the udinese over...for what reason ever there are a lot of goals in last 3 udinese games...but is it really your strongest play (according to units)??? anything special you see? i am not scared, just need some kind of good idea to play it

by the half I'll probably know if this is a loser. There are no in betweens here.
Either this game ends 0-0, or 2-2. I have chosen to go over. If stadium were not an issue, or the short week with the Wednesday games, my 9 units would be on Empoli.
I am of the opinion that it will be Udinese that will produce the over.
Parma upcoming schedule is a factor, short week, recent efforts good but poor luck. Udinese matches well against Parma. Size and speed msmatch.
Can't see it any different than week 6, with Udinese winning 3-0.
Like I said, weird Serie A this week, you could see some surprises, much like Mantova loss to Crotone. I am stcking with my feel on this game.

Careful, and good luck.

MA

 

[chriscol]

thx, MA

 

[themadactuarian]

Best bet of the Udinese over, is in. (68th min. UDINESE 2 Parma 1)

Besides that....losing day. Livorno was the key. Don't need to follow the rest.

see you next week.

MA

 

[themadactuarian]

Greetings,

Empoli at FIORENTINA
Empoli +0.5 and +1 +116 (6 units)
(very decent play)
FIORENTINA 2 Empoli 0

Inter Milan at CATANIA
Catania +1 and +1.5 -125 (5.5 units)
(see above)
INTER MILAN 5 Catania 2

Ascoli at LIVORNO
LIVORNO -0.5 and -1 -112 (6 units)
LIVORNO OVER 2 and 2.5 -108 (7.5 units)
(I see Livorno winning by two, plain and simple)
Ascoli 0 LIVORNO 0

Reggina at AS ROMA
AS Roma -1 and -1.5 +107 (4 units)
AS ROMA 3 Reggina 0

Parma at UDINESE
UDINESE OVER 2 and 2.5 -104 (9 units)
(strictly for mad actuarians schooled in the black arts of Seria A...if this scares you, I understand. You may want to consider Livorno and the over)
UDINESE 3 Parma 3

Sampdoria at AC MILAN
Sampdoria +1 and +1.5 -130 (4 units)
AC MILAN 1 Sampdoria 0

Siena at MESSINA
Messina pk -130 (2.5 units)
MESSINA 1 Siena 0

Lazio at CAGLIARI
Cagliari pk and +0.5 -128 (2.5 units)
LAZIO 2 Cagliari 0

Serie A resumes on Wednesday, so make your adjustments, as I have made mine. Careful, Serie B was quite surprising, expect same today.As I said earlier in the week, good chance to properly fade the madman...

Take care, and good luck.

MA

Serie A Sunday: 4W-5L-1T (-13.115 units)

Week totals: 19-Feb to 25-Feb
12W-19L-7T (-30.04 units)

YTD Totals:
62W-62L-23T (+10.025 units)

Breakdown
Serie B: 26W-22L-11T (+23.78)
Serie A: 25W-25L-10T (-0.42)
Coppa Italia: 7W-4L-1T (+5.48)
Eufa Cup: 2W-6L-1T (-13.51)
Champions League: 2W-5L-0T (-5.305)

Best of luck to all,

MA