Serena vs. Justine-Henin on 4/13

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sunday is the finals of the family circle cup tourney for the babes (10A - PDT - on espn).

serena (-1000) vs. justine-henin (+600)

i am gonna take a shot here with henin. this will be the 3rd match between these 2 played on clay - and they have split the previous 2. after serena won her match saturday they interviewed her. she said she plays better on red clay than green - and this tourney is on green clay.

as we know, matches on clay usually give american players a tough time (see french open for proof) and i think serena might have a really tough time here. i do think this match goes 3 sets and i will take my chances with the dog here.

at the family cup site - they ran a poll BEFORE the tourney started asking people who they thought would win the tourney. the breakdown was 76% to 16% to 5% for the top 3 vote getters who were, in reverse order, lindsey davenport, serena and justine-henin. by almost a 5-1 ratio the fans gave nod to justine over serena. i know that many times the masses is asses but i will take my chances here they get it right.

i know serena wants to go unbeaten for the year - but that ain't gonna happen. she WILL lose sometime - so why not here - in a lesser tourney when she might not be as focused as a grand slam event.

Justine-Henin +600 is something i will take a shot at. NO WAY should the number be this high. serena might win it - but at this price - only ONE WAY i am playing this one

Justine Henin +600 is DEFINITELY worth a shot (@ olympic)
 
for the 14 people who saw this BEFORE the match was played - i hope you played JHH - for this +600 dog came barking home - beating serena 6-3, 6-4!
 

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