Hanson I'm on both of these games and have them both ted into a few parlays.
My question is why is it that the jets are only favored by 3.5 now (got mine in early at -3).
I see this game as one sided and have a hard time understanding how others see the charges as holding up to the Jets. I already laid my largest money of the weekend on them. Do you see this as one sided as well or are you seeing this as a closer game?
My question is why is it that the jets are only favored by 3.5 now (got mine in early at -3).
I see this game as one sided and have a hard time understanding how others see the charges as holding up to the Jets. I already laid my largest money of the weekend on them. Do you see this as one sided as well or are you seeing this as a closer game?
island,
houston had a HORRIBLE defensive game plan vs the chargers last week, giving their off a breath of confidence. the texans were basically going to let tomlinson have his day, but keyed on stopping the pass
. STUPID! that will NOT happen this week -- herman edwards will not let tomlinson run, forcing an inept brees into forced errors. as soon as the air in the sd confidence ballon deflates the game will be a one-sided afair -- probably by mid 2nd quarter. from there on out i concur -- jets by 15 or more.
gl
houston had a HORRIBLE defensive game plan vs the chargers last week, giving their off a breath of confidence. the texans were basically going to let tomlinson have his day, but keyed on stopping the pass
gl
Well, in my thread I said Herm Edwards nut sack would be the tightest in a long time but after reading your thoughts Hansen I can feel mine tightening up rapidly
Best of luck on Sunday, with your record you can afford to let me have one.
Dolphin, As far as I gather, home advantage is generally 3pts.So they are saying NY Jets are a 3pt better team than SD. If they were playing at home, that would make them 6pt favs.
Best of luck on Sunday, with your record you can afford to let me have one.
Dolphin, As far as I gather, home advantage is generally 3pts.So they are saying NY Jets are a 3pt better team than SD. If they were playing at home, that would make them 6pt favs.
dolphin,
winbet is correct it is 3 points for the home team, thus jets would be a 6 pt fav at home in your theory.
however, none of that means a hill of beans to me -- this team is a completely different team under a healthy pennington, they will score against a weak sd d at will. and on the off side of the ball i think sd will lose their confidence quickly, and a nervous brees will be feeling rivers breath on the back of his neck. this game will be two td or more win for the jets.
gl
winbet is correct it is 3 points for the home team, thus jets would be a 6 pt fav at home in your theory.
however, none of that means a hill of beans to me -- this team is a completely different team under a healthy pennington, they will score against a weak sd d at will. and on the off side of the ball i think sd will lose their confidence quickly, and a nervous brees will be feeling rivers breath on the back of his neck. this game will be two td or more win for the jets.
gl
Hansen: I'm with you on the Jets and Denver. The only problem I have is that a good capper on another forum pointed out that both teams are bucking a system that is 26-0 since 1990.
Usually I ignore these system plays but this one is really strong. I didn't bet as much as I usually would have because of this. I guess time will tell.
ESQAJM
Usually I ignore these system plays but this one is really strong. I didn't bet as much as I usually would have because of this. I guess time will tell.
ESQAJM
ESQAJM, joking apart, these systems and trends drive me crazy. People will always find what they want in stats, 1 year, 5 years, 10 years etc, stop at a winner. Only a fool will disregard the present for the past and when betting 2 horse races as in NFL, it is the present that matters. Because its a 2 horse race trends can run up a sequence, if heads came up 26 times on a toss of a coin, what would the same peoples response be.
Hansen, I agree totally with your statement about Pennington. However, its Herm and the Defense that I think is the problem. The Defense has to prove to me it can stop someone and with Herms game-plans, when they get behind it takes him an age to adjust. Yes they could blow out San Diego but up to now Herm hasnt thought along those lines, hence the problem.
It still doesnt make my nuts feel any better with you on the other side.
Hansen, I agree totally with your statement about Pennington. However, its Herm and the Defense that I think is the problem. The Defense has to prove to me it can stop someone and with Herms game-plans, when they get behind it takes him an age to adjust. Yes they could blow out San Diego but up to now Herm hasnt thought along those lines, hence the problem.
It still doesnt make my nuts feel any better with you on the other side.
Guys, I know I'm beating a deadish horse, but what was said about the home edge in response to my comment...was incorrect. The "flop" from one site to the other in SIX points. Two evenly rated teams...either one would be a 3-point favorite on their home field, thus a "swing" of SIX points. Right? That is why I said the Jets would be favored by approximately NINE points in NY v. the Chargers, given that they are MINUS 3 at SD.
