I generally bet 2% of bankroll per game. I only vary from this becasue of perceived extra value in about 1 pick from 20, these have produced a higher edge than my standard edge over the long term.
Where I do vary quite a bit is the number of picks I make. In bad runs I "defend" - have only 2 or 3 bets open at any one time, these will be those where I think I can see the whites of the eyes.
In good runs I can have 15 or more open bets at once, it always amazes me just how long good luck can run for you in good patches. Some of the picks I take on in good runs I would leave alone - with regreats - in my bad runs.
Bad runs don't last so long when you adopt this approach to getting out of them.
Where I do vary quite a bit is the number of picks I make. In bad runs I "defend" - have only 2 or 3 bets open at any one time, these will be those where I think I can see the whites of the eyes.
In good runs I can have 15 or more open bets at once, it always amazes me just how long good luck can run for you in good patches. Some of the picks I take on in good runs I would leave alone - with regreats - in my bad runs.
Bad runs don't last so long when you adopt this approach to getting out of them.
A majority of games are determined by turnovers. One play or call can change the game. The ball is not round so funny bounces will cost you big money. You also have a small sample of games to deal with. Good luck beating the man. Tough game to beat no matter how much time you spend handicapping.
