Seems like the books are still giving about the same value to home teams that they have in the past despite little or no fans in the stands

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Handicapper
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Couple of examples .

Atlanta -3.5 vs Chicago at home .

If this game were in Chicago there is no way Atlanta would be favored by 3.5


Saints -3 at home vs GB.

If that game was in GB the packers would be at least -3

Jville is a small fav at home against Miami .
If that game was in Miami the dolphins would be the fav .


I could go down the list on every game on the board and you can see that the sports books are still giving value to home field .

Almost as much value as they do any other season
 

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Couple of examples .

Atlanta -3.5 vs Chicago at home .

If this game were in Chicago there is no way Atlanta would be favored by 3.5


Saints -3 at home vs GB.

If that game was in GB the packers would be at least -3

Jville is a small fav at home against Miami .
If that game was in Miami the dolphins would be the fav .


I could go down the list on every game on the board and you can see that the sports books are still giving value to home field .

Almost as much value as they do any other season
glad you started this thread. I think it is very important to consider. Do you think there is a marked lessor advantage?
 

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I think there is still some value in not having to travel and sleeping in your own bed with the same daily routine
 
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Here ya go , boys.

Each NFL team has now had one Home game and one Road game.

These are the results for the Home teams:

Home Favs:

-6' WW
-7 WW
-7 WW
-6 WW
-6' WL
-3' WW
-7 WL
-9' WW
-3 WL
-1' LL
-4' WL
-2' LL
-7 WW
-1' LL
-1 LL
-4 WW
-7' WW
-7 WW
-7 LL
-4' WW

Home Dogs

+5' LW
+7 LL
+3 LP
+7' LL
+7 WW
+# LW
+9 LW
+4 WW
+6 LL
+5' WW
+3 LL
+1 WW
 

Life is Good
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It is interesting.

HF so far 11-10
HD so far 6-5

Last week was the strangest week I have seen - 7 teams as home favorites of 5 or more, with only 3 of them covering. 2 of the 3 were no doubters (GB, ARIZ), but Carolina should have covered against TB but didn't due to big run by Fournette closing out the game. But all 7 of these big HF win the game. Based on that, it looks like the home team is getting an extra point or two added to the line that they shouldn't be getting.
 

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OP wrong as usual (at this point it's just embarrassing)

the 20 year home average line is -2.5 with no season less than -2.0 and none higher than -3.0

2020 = -1.4, more than a full point less for every home team on the schedule.

So yes books have knocked off a full point from HFA no matter what clownish anecdotal evidence factless boy is tossing out today. That's why the morbidly stupid remain dumb as rocks...they lack the ability to verify their claims so walk around with complete bullshit rolling around in their heads

(and before he says road teams are covering at an astronomic rate the drop in home fav line has resulted in the highest % of home covers this century)

gamesATS
W - L- P (marg, %win)
Avg LineOU
W - L- P (marg, %over)
Avg TotalSU
W - L- P (marg, %win)
SDQL
3216-14-2 (1.34, 53.3%)-1.418-12-2 (4.25, 60.0%)46.119-13-0 (2.78, 59.4%)season = 2020
261109-144-8 (-1.93, 43.1%)-2.0126-128-7 (0.43, 49.6%)45.3136-124-1 (0.09, 52.3%)season = 2019
263122-130-11 (-0.17, 48.4%)-2.5122-135-6 (0.11, 47.5%)46.7157-104-2 (2.32, 60.2%)season = 2018
261128-120-13 (0.37, 51.6%)-2.3116-137-8 (-0.57, 45.8%)44.2150-111-0 (2.64, 57.5%)season = 2017
262128-127-7 (0.76, 50.2%)-2.3135-123-4 (-0.03, 52.3%)45.7153-108-1 (3.06, 58.6%)season = 2016
263121-135-7 (-0.67, 47.3%)-2.1119-134-10 (0.30, 47.0%)45.1142-121-0 (1.48, 54.0%)season = 2015
263125-137-1 (0.23, 47.7%)-2.6120-138-5 (-0.94, 46.5%)46.2153-109-1 (2.85, 58.4%)season = 2014
264136-120-8 (0.58, 53.1%)-2.6133-126-5 (1.09, 51.4%)45.7158-105-1 (3.17, 60.1%)season = 2013
264123-136-5 (0.34, 47.5%)-2.4127-131-6 (0.71, 49.2%)44.9152-111-1 (2.75, 57.8%)season = 2012
265130-126-9 (0.89, 50.8%)-2.6130-130-5 (0.82, 50.0%)43.7153-112-0 (3.54, 57.7%)season = 2011
263127-132-4 (-0.72, 49.0%)-2.5146-112-5 (1.63, 56.6%)42.7146-117-0 (1.73, 55.5%)season = 2010
264124-137-3 (-0.13, 47.5%)-2.7127-135-2 (0.36, 48.5%)42.8153-111-0 (2.61, 58.0%)season = 2009
264120-141-3 (-0.22, 46.0%)-2.6126-130-8 (1.57, 49.2%)42.4150-113-1 (2.41, 57.0%)season = 2008
265129-125-11 (0.33, 50.8%)-2.6140-121-4 (1.75, 53.6%)41.8152-113-0 (2.97, 57.4%)season = 2007
266125-135-6 (-1.93, 48.1%)-3.0130-128-8 (0.87, 50.4%)40.6144-122-0 (1.05, 54.1%)season = 2006
265127-128-10 (0.88, 49.8%)-2.7125-135-5 (0.18, 48.1%)40.9155-110-0 (3.58, 58.5%)season = 2005
266120-139-7 (0.04, 46.3%)-2.6132-132-2 (1.23, 50.0%)41.9151-115-0 (2.67, 56.8%)season = 2004
265132-126-7 (1.03, 51.2%)-2.6124-136-5 (0.70, 47.7%)41.0163-102-0 (3.66, 61.5%)season = 2003
266132-130-4 (0.12, 50.4%)-2.4132-130-4 (2.02, 50.4%)41.5156-109-1 (2.49, 58.9%)season = 2002
258127-123-8 (-0.23, 50.8%)-2.4120-131-7 (0.68, 47.8%)39.9143-115-0 (2.17, 55.4%)season = 2001
248115-130-3 (0.20, 46.9%)-2.6120-127-1 (-0.01, 48.6%)41.4138-110-0 (2.82, 55.6%)season = 2000

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OP wrong as usual (at this point it's just embarrassing)

the 20 year home average line is -2.5 with no season less than -2.0 and none higher than -3.0

2020 = -1.4, more than a full point less for every home team on the schedule.

So yes books have knocked off a full point from HFA no matter what clownish anecdotal evidence factless boy is tossing out today. That's why the morbidly stupid remain dumb as rocks...they lack the ability to verify their claims so walk around with complete bullshit rolling around in their heads

(and before he says road teams are covering at an astronomic rate the drop in home fav line has resulted in the highest % of home covers this century)

gamesATS
W - L- P (marg, %win)
Avg LineOU
W - L- P (marg, %over)
Avg TotalSU
W - L- P (marg, %win)
SDQL
3216-14-2 (1.34, 53.3%)-1.418-12-2 (4.25, 60.0%)46.119-13-0 (2.78, 59.4%)season = 2020
261109-144-8 (-1.93, 43.1%)-2.0126-128-7 (0.43, 49.6%)45.3136-124-1 (0.09, 52.3%)season = 2019
263122-130-11 (-0.17, 48.4%)-2.5122-135-6 (0.11, 47.5%)46.7157-104-2 (2.32, 60.2%)season = 2018
261128-120-13 (0.37, 51.6%)-2.3116-137-8 (-0.57, 45.8%)44.2150-111-0 (2.64, 57.5%)season = 2017
262128-127-7 (0.76, 50.2%)-2.3135-123-4 (-0.03, 52.3%)45.7153-108-1 (3.06, 58.6%)season = 2016
263121-135-7 (-0.67, 47.3%)-2.1119-134-10 (0.30, 47.0%)45.1142-121-0 (1.48, 54.0%)season = 2015
263125-137-1 (0.23, 47.7%)-2.6120-138-5 (-0.94, 46.5%)46.2153-109-1 (2.85, 58.4%)season = 2014
264136-120-8 (0.58, 53.1%)-2.6133-126-5 (1.09, 51.4%)45.7158-105-1 (3.17, 60.1%)season = 2013
264123-136-5 (0.34, 47.5%)-2.4127-131-6 (0.71, 49.2%)44.9152-111-1 (2.75, 57.8%)season = 2012
265130-126-9 (0.89, 50.8%)-2.6130-130-5 (0.82, 50.0%)43.7153-112-0 (3.54, 57.7%)season = 2011
263127-132-4 (-0.72, 49.0%)-2.5146-112-5 (1.63, 56.6%)42.7146-117-0 (1.73, 55.5%)season = 2010
264124-137-3 (-0.13, 47.5%)-2.7127-135-2 (0.36, 48.5%)42.8153-111-0 (2.61, 58.0%)season = 2009
264120-141-3 (-0.22, 46.0%)-2.6126-130-8 (1.57, 49.2%)42.4150-113-1 (2.41, 57.0%)season = 2008
265129-125-11 (0.33, 50.8%)-2.6140-121-4 (1.75, 53.6%)41.8152-113-0 (2.97, 57.4%)season = 2007
266125-135-6 (-1.93, 48.1%)-3.0130-128-8 (0.87, 50.4%)40.6144-122-0 (1.05, 54.1%)season = 2006
265127-128-10 (0.88, 49.8%)-2.7125-135-5 (0.18, 48.1%)40.9155-110-0 (3.58, 58.5%)season = 2005
266120-139-7 (0.04, 46.3%)-2.6132-132-2 (1.23, 50.0%)41.9151-115-0 (2.67, 56.8%)season = 2004
265132-126-7 (1.03, 51.2%)-2.6124-136-5 (0.70, 47.7%)41.0163-102-0 (3.66, 61.5%)season = 2003
266132-130-4 (0.12, 50.4%)-2.4132-130-4 (2.02, 50.4%)41.5156-109-1 (2.49, 58.9%)season = 2002
258127-123-8 (-0.23, 50.8%)-2.4120-131-7 (0.68, 47.8%)39.9143-115-0 (2.17, 55.4%)season = 2001
248115-130-3 (0.20, 46.9%)-2.6120-127-1 (-0.01, 48.6%)41.4138-110-0 (2.82, 55.6%)season = 2000

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Showing 1 to 21 of 21 entries



I need to report an online murder

:)
 

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