Maybe I am jumping into a trap to which I am ignorant because I just don't see the size of this spread. First of all, I think this is going to be a low scoring affair with two teams that would prefer to run the ball if possible and two defenses that will encourage them to do so. I also think weather conditions across the north this weekend will dictate running. The total at 43.5 speaks to that as well. 10 in that situation seems like a big ask from a 3-6 team under any circumstances.
I'd never say an academy is playing out the string. That's not in their makeup. However, this UConn is flying high after becoming bowl eligible for the first time in a while. Mora has done a coach of the year level of a job this year for them. So, while they have already made a bowl, I still think they are playing hard.
Army's 2nd ranked run O will get their yards on the ground against a 74th ranked UConn run D. But we are getting 10 here so the question is can Uconn keep it close? They have the 35th ranked run O themselves, and they will be battling against the 118 run defense of Army! So yes, I think Uconn can both keep it close, but win in a low scoring affair.
Let me know if I'm missing something here, brothers in prognostication, because the line seems ridiculous. This is especially so given their records of 6-5 v. 3-6. Not only that, Army's three wins are against Villanova, Colgate and Louisiana Monroe.