Saturday Service Play Thread 10/23/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[ciuki85]

Stephen Nover
3* Total
Kent State over 66.5

 

[ciuki85]

Greg Shaker
3* Game of the Month
LSU +11.5 good until down to +8

 

[BuzzKill]

Dave Cokin

Syracuse +3.5
Oregon State +3
San Diego State +4
Toledo +2.5

 

[BobbyBingo]

PAUL STONE

A*La Tech
A*Notre Dame Over
A*TCU Over
A*Penn State Under

 

[BuzzKill]

"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=356&p=13622257&viewfull=1#post13622257

 

[dough]

Essler C* TOY

Clem/Pitt Over 47.5

 

[Zano]

Northcoast Newsletter Keys:

D+ - UAB, Texas AM
D - Penn State, Pittsburgh, Miami Fl, Oklahoma, TCU
C - UCF, Toledo, Colorado, Alabama, Notre Dame
B - Colorado State, Georgia State, Wake Forest, ECU

Big Dogs (I purchased yesterday):
Akron, ECU, Colorado, LSU, New Mexico State

 

[BuzzKill]

Marc Lawrence

Preferred Picks
College Football Crush Play......Army

 

[BuzzKill]

Adam Trigger

USC +7

 

[BuzzKill]

MARCO D'ANGELO

E% CFB MAJOR WAGER 9-2 in 2021
Game: (383) Oklahoma State at (384) Iowa State
Date/Time: Oct 23 2021 3:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Iowa State -7.0 (-110)

E% IOWA ST -7

 

[BuzzKill]

R & R TOTAL

Game: (393) Wisconsin at (394) Purdue
Date/Time: Oct 23 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: E units
Play: Total Under 40.0 (-110)

Game: (665) B.C. Lions at (666) Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Date/Time: Oct 23 2021 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: Total Under 42.5 (-110)

 

[tak]

Anyone have Las Vegas Cris C% MMA play?

 

[ryangenero]

FOOTBALL JESUS early pick under NW/MICH total

 

[LouZaar]

If someone can get Tony G's GOY please post it otherwise I'll purchase it on Sat morning.

 

[BuzzKill]

Keep in mind the early start time for this UFC event 1ET/10 Pacific

Kyle Anthony (WagerTalk)

Game: (24201) Paulo Costa at (24202) Marvin Vettori
Date/Time: Oct 23 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C%
Play: Marvin Vettori -150

In the main event of UFC Fight Night, Marvin Vettori faces Paulo Costa…
Breakdown of this fight will be discussed on Prediction Show posted on below platforms.
YouTube: Kyle Anthony's UFC Betting Show
Twitter: @KyleAnthonyUFC

Play: Marvin Vettori (-150)
Game: (24217) Joselyne Edwards at (24218) Jessica-Rose Clark
Date/Time: Oct 23 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C%
Play: Jessica-Rose Clark -140

In a main card bout Jessica-Rose Clark faces Joselyne Edwards…
I'm getting right to the point on this one.
It's a spot I believe Clark should be a much bigger favorite which provides plenty of value wagering. Over the last few years JRC has faced tougher opponents and appears to elevate each fight, which was on display in her most recent TKO win over Sarah Alpar. Edwards will have the reach advantage and can be highly active on the feet, but I believe Clark has the crisper striking and the over aggressive striking will provide openings for Clark to level change. A big vulnerability for Edwards has been her inability defending takedowns. Currently she's got a 37% takedown defend rate which Clark can expose. Not only that but JRC has been training with Daniel Cormier which is a massive telling sign she's going to push grappling. The smaller Apex cage should assist in closing the distance cutting angles to level change. No doubt she's going to utilize what DC's taught her and push the pace. Add in the fact that not only is Edwards vulnerable to takedowns, but once she's down been easy keeping her there.
At only -140, I like this price on JRC getting the job done Saturday night!

Play: Jessica-Rose Clark (-140)
Game: (24209) Randa Markos at (24210) Livinha Souza
Date/Time: Oct 23 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C%
Play: Livinha Souza -120

In a preliminary bout, Livinha Souza faces Randa Markos…
Right away this fight stood out to me. Anytime you're getting even odds against Randa Markos and her overall shitty MMA career… it's always worth deeper research.
To start, Randa has a limited skill set all around. Hard to actually say this and surprised I am… but Souza is better everywhere. She's no world beater, but she's got Markos covered in all areas. The slow plotting movement of Randa will allow Livinha to dictate the pace of the fight. Although in spots she's looked flat offensively Markos doesn't have the tools to counter attack. On the ground Souza is a legit black belt with solid grappling and ability to pressure forward with up against the fence clinching. We've seen time and time again not only does Randa look lost when grappling but she makes horrendously bad mistakes in those situations. Add in the fact she's 36 years old and displays a lack in fight IQ as well as motivation …I don't understand how these odds are at pick'em. Currently she's 0-4 in last 4 UFC appearances and 2-7 in last 9 fights. Of course record isn't a full on indication of where to place my money but in her last 6 bouts she's only won TWO ROUNDS over that span. She's not just losing, she's getting dominated. That's overly bad for a fighter heading towards retirement and could be there for a paycheck.

Play: Livinha Souza (-120)
Game: (24241) Francisco Trinaldo at (24242) Dwight Grant
Date/Time: Oct 23 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D%
Play: Francisco Trinaldo -115

In a main card bout Francisco Trinaldo faces Dwight Grant…
Normally I'm not one running to the window betting 40 year olds…. well, maybe I am as last weekends Best Bet was Andrei Arlovski (-115) winner. But anyways, we're back at it again wagering a 40 plus fighter. This Saturday night the old man gets the job done again.
First red flag for Dwight Grant was his most recent win against Stefan Sekulic. Grant was coming off a knocked out round one loss one fight prior to Daniel Rodriguez, so it was a solid bounce back spot for him. Sekulic hadn't fought since 2018, with three years out of the cage Grant ended up defeating Sekulic's return bout. My issue on his win..?? He didn't come close to deserving it. No way. MMA judging is well… MMA judging and somehow Grant got the decision win. Grant was losing the standing exchanges, up against the fence positioning and allow Stefan to take him down multiple times. It appeared an easy 2-1 or even 3-0 rounds for Sekulic whom even dropped and almost submitted Grant end of round 3. It goes as a decision win, but overall the performance wasn't impressive.
His wild combinations should allow Francisco Trinaldo openings to land and technically speaking throws crisper strikes then Dwight as well. The cardio backed by Trinaldo's ability taking the fight to the mat should provide opportunities to counter and push the pace. Dwight off his back is iffy at best and Trinaldo's top control and grappling should help win rounds. Dwight has show power, but over Francisco's long MMA career he's never been knocked out. With basically a KO Grant's only path to victory it limits any betting value on him. The wild striking also should present those windows to level change or smother Grant up against the fence. At a pick'em price tag, I'm loving this spot and provides enough value for a D% wager.

D% Play: Francisco Trinaldo (-115

 

[BuzzKill]

Nick Borrman

E% top play - Everton ML

 

[BuzzKill]

WUnderdog

CFB
Syracuse Orange +3.5 @virgina tech hokies

 

[JayGrace]

Jeff Ma

notre dame

 

[Koy_Detmer]

Clay Travis- brutal last Saturday. Overall 44-37 on the season, a 54% winning rate.


Coastal Carolina -5 at Appalachian State and the over 61
Northwestern +23.5 at Michigan
Cincinnati at Navy +28
Wisconsin at Purdue, the over 39.5
Oklahoma State +7 at Iowa State
BYU -3.5 at Washington State
Oregon at UCLA -1
Clemson at Pittsburgh -3
Mississippi State at Vanderbilt +21
LSU +9.5 at Ole Miss
Tennessee +25.5 at Alabama
South Carolina +21 at Texas A&M and the under 45