?Saturday Jags @ Chiefs / Giants @ Eagles *PRE/IN-GAME ACTION THREAD*?️?

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hacheman@therx.com
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I see a lot of love for the Giants

Considering teasing Kansas City down to -2 and the Giants up to +14.5, but fear Philly has the capability to blow NY out


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Jacksonville at Kansas City (-9, 53): The Jaguars have won their past six games while going 5-1 against the spread. The Chiefs have gone 2-7 ATS in their past nine games at Arrowhead Stadium and are on a 2-6 spread slide overall. Kansas City is 2-3 ATS in the playoffs the past two seasons. Both Chiefs playoffs games went over last season. Edge: Jaguars and over.

New York Giants at Philadelphia (-7½, 48): These NFC East rivals have split four spread decisions since last season. The Giants have covered five straight and seven of their past eight this season and are 9-1 ATS away from home. New York is riding a 6-2-1 over run after an extended under run. The Eagles are on an 0-4 ATS skid. Philadelphia is on a 9-3 over uptick. Edge: Giants and over.
 
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I think Philadelphia beats them by 10 or more. Same thing with Kansas City.
 
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PLAYOFF RECORD 2-2-0 +.80

Saturday January 21st
NFL 01/21 4:35 PM
(301) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. (302) Kansas City Chiefs +52.5 ov -110

NFL 01/21 8:15 PM
(303) New York Giants +7.5 (-110)

Sunday January 22nd
NFL 01/22 3:00 PM
(315) Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 (-110)

NFL 01/22 6:30 PM
(317) Dallas Cowboys vs. (318) San Francisco 49ers +46.5 un -110

GOOD LUCK & WIN A LOT OF ZITI
 

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Kansas City -9.5
Giants +8
 

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Jacksonville +9
GL
 

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Are we going to expect the Chiefs crowd to get too loud tonight? I remember when the ref threatened to penalize the Chiefs if fans didn’t get quiet in that Broncos game with Elway years ago.
 
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Wk 1 /// 6-4 +191
Wk 2 /// 9-3 +599
Wk 3 /// 5-6 -141
Wk 4 /// 5-6 -129
Wk 5 /// 5-9 -422
Wk 6 /// 5-8 -315
Wk 7 /// 9-3 +584
Wk 8 /// 8-3 +516
Wk 9 /// 5-3-1 +200
Wk 10 /// 6-4 +199
Wk 11 /// 8-4 +393
Wk 12 /// 7-6 +78
Wk 13 /// 6-6 -18
Wk 14 /// 7-5 +173
Wk 15 /// 4-5-1 -116
Wk 16 /// 6-8 -217
Wk 17 /// 6-4-2 +192
Wk 18 /// 6-6-1 -20

Regular season finishing record:

113-93 +1747

///

Wild Card /// 2-3 -100

///

Divisional Round:

Putting everything up now. Gonna be busy.

I'm using a turnover ratio thingy I studied for past playoffs a few years ago. I haven't updated it recently but it was solid the years I studied it so I'm going with it.

I'm going back six games for each team in order to get a reasonable sample within the framework of recency. The numbers I post are simply the net turnover numbers for each team for their last six games.

Jax -1
KCy +2

NYG +/- 0
Phi -1 (for Philly I used the last six games that Jalen Hurts played in)

Cincy +6
Buff -2

Dal +2
San Fran +11

You may have also noticed that Daniel Jones has engraved his name on the wall of NFL running QBs. When he runs at least 10 times in a game the Giant results in that game are nothing short of spectacular.

1/15 @ Minny +2' W 31-24
1/1 vs Ind -5' W 38-10
12/18 @ Wash +4 W 20-12
12/4 vs Wash +2' W 20-20
10/23 @ Jax +3 W 23-17
10/9 @ GBy +9 W 27-22
9/11 @ Tenny +5' W 21-20

That's 6-0-1 SU and 7-0 ATS when Daniel Jones runs at least 10 times!!!

Applying the same 10 carry litmus test to Jalen Hurts we get 7-0 SU but only 3-4 ATS.

My plays:

Kansas City -10 +108 (vs Jax)
NY Giants +7' -101 (@ Phi)
Cincinnati +6 -110 (@ Buf)
San Fran -4 -103 (vs Dal)
 

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Boston Scott anytime TD +360
Boston Scott 2+ TDs +4500

Sunday
Deebo over 17 rush yards -110
Elliott over 5' receiving yds -110
Ferguson over 4' receiving yds -110

good luck to all today and always
pizza
 

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Divisional Round
NYG +8 1u
DAL +4 1u
DAL +175 1u
2-team teaser NYG +14/DAL +10 3.5u
 

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Giants +8
Giants 1H under 23.5
Giants under 48
Jags +10

Good luck to all. Bet responsibly
 

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