At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey
The hype for American Pharoah seems to be growing, with an estimated 15,000 fans flocking to Saratoga on Friday morning just to watch the Triple Crown winner gallop.
That was a gallop, not even an official workout for the $1.6 million Travers (G1) where the Bob Baffert trainee was installed as the 1-5 betting favorite.
In the close to four decades I have been following horse racing I have not seen anything like this. Pictures were being sent out on social media on Friday night of fans lining up outside the gates at Saratoga so they could get in first thing in the morning and have first dibs on a good place to view the race.
The track is sold out on Saturday, as the New York Racing Association limited ticket sales to 50,000. Saratoga Springs is a buzz, and every bar and restaurant will be full of fans cheering on the colt as he goes for his ninth victory in a row.
NBC will cover the action in a two-hour telecast that gets underway at 5:00 ET. The Saratoga card gets started early at 11:45am ET and includes six Grade 1 races along with a Grade 2.
Four of the races are Breeders’ Cup Challenge ‘Win and You’re In” races, but they are no doubt being overshadowed by the appearance of the Triple Crown winner.
Earlier in the card, we get to see last year’s Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) winner Untapable take on Stopchargingmaria in the $750,000 Personal Ensign (G1).
The $500,000 Ballerina (G1) drew some very good fillies and mares including 14 for 20 La Verdad and Dame Dorothy, who has won seven of her nine career starts.
The $500,000 King’s Bishop (G1) features Amsterdam (G2) winner Holy Boss, Woody Stephens (G2) winner March, Ohio Derby victor Mr. Z and Pat Day Mile (G3) winner Competitive Edge.
The $700,000 Forego (G1) will match up The Big Beast and Private Zone with a berth to the Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) on the line.
Last year’s Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) runner up Flintshire comes across the pond for the $1 million Sword Dancer (G1). The five-year-old is going to head back home for the Arc d’ Triomphe and then if all goes well will return to the U.S. for the Turf at Keeneland.
While we may have trouble making money on the Travers, there are plenty of other good betting opportunities on the 13-race card.
Here is today’s opening race from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:
SAR Race 1 OClm $25,000N1X (11:45 ET)
8 Grey Wizard 7-2
1 Belisarius 2-1
5 Request 5-2
3 Good Response 7-2
Analysis: Grey Wizard was a good-looking maiden winner last out in his fourth career start, drawing away to win by 3 1/4 lengths at today's 1 3/8 mile distance. The colt was a good third two back off a three-month break and looks as if he still has plenty of upside. He has a nice pedigree, by Kitten's Joy out of a stakes placed Cozzene mare that has dropped two other winners including dirt stakes winner Street Storm ($101,232).
Belisarius was beaten just a head last out in a game effort and now has come up short at this condition eight times since landing in the U.S. last summer. The colt is usually in the mix, landing in the money in seven straight without a win. This is not a real tough spot facing just five foes after the scratches of the main track only runners. He broke his maiden on the fake stuff but does have three sibs that have won on grass. His mare Lasting Chance ($222,492) was a stakes winner on the main track.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,8 / 1,5,8
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:
SAR Race 10 The Sword Dancer G1 (5:04 ET)
2 Flintshire 8-5
4 Red Rifle 4-1
6 Messi 10-1
5 Twilight Eclipse 7-2
Analysis: Flintshire returns to the U.S. after running a good second to the highly regarded gal Treve, who won the last two Arcs. The Andre Fabre trainee made the trip to Santa Anita last year for the Breeders' Cup Turf (G1) and ran a game second to Main Sequence, beaten a half-length for the top spot. He came out of that race to win the Hong Kong Vase (G1) at Sha Tin in his following start. The well-traveled five-year-old should be able to handle these, and then the plan is to go to the Arc and return to Keeneland for the Turf.
Red Rifle earned a career top speed fig last out in the Blowing Green Handicap (G2) at 1 3/8 miles. He won the Yankee Affair last September at this distance and is at the top of his game. Jockey Javier Castellano's agent had a call on this guy and Twilight Express and tried to get off the latter to stick with this guy. The stewards got involved and he lost the mount on both.
Messi steps up off a pair of win against optional claimers in his first two starts after landing with the Motion barn. He only has one try in Group company and that was a Group 3 in Germany and it did not go well. Motion is not going to stick him in here unless he thinks he has a shot and this guy should be a decent price.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 2,4,5,6
TRI: 2,4 / 2,4,5,6 / 2,4,5,6,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Saratoga
R2: #6 Attraction 8-1
R5: #10 Alcazar de Maram 12-1
R5: #2 Ascend 8-1
R8: #10 March 10-1
R10: #6 Messi 10-1
R11: #7 Keen Ice 12-1
R13: #7 Oklahoma Den 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
The hype for American Pharoah seems to be growing, with an estimated 15,000 fans flocking to Saratoga on Friday morning just to watch the Triple Crown winner gallop.
That was a gallop, not even an official workout for the $1.6 million Travers (G1) where the Bob Baffert trainee was installed as the 1-5 betting favorite.
In the close to four decades I have been following horse racing I have not seen anything like this. Pictures were being sent out on social media on Friday night of fans lining up outside the gates at Saratoga so they could get in first thing in the morning and have first dibs on a good place to view the race.
The track is sold out on Saturday, as the New York Racing Association limited ticket sales to 50,000. Saratoga Springs is a buzz, and every bar and restaurant will be full of fans cheering on the colt as he goes for his ninth victory in a row.
NBC will cover the action in a two-hour telecast that gets underway at 5:00 ET. The Saratoga card gets started early at 11:45am ET and includes six Grade 1 races along with a Grade 2.
Four of the races are Breeders’ Cup Challenge ‘Win and You’re In” races, but they are no doubt being overshadowed by the appearance of the Triple Crown winner.
Earlier in the card, we get to see last year’s Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) winner Untapable take on Stopchargingmaria in the $750,000 Personal Ensign (G1).
The $500,000 Ballerina (G1) drew some very good fillies and mares including 14 for 20 La Verdad and Dame Dorothy, who has won seven of her nine career starts.
The $500,000 King’s Bishop (G1) features Amsterdam (G2) winner Holy Boss, Woody Stephens (G2) winner March, Ohio Derby victor Mr. Z and Pat Day Mile (G3) winner Competitive Edge.
The $700,000 Forego (G1) will match up The Big Beast and Private Zone with a berth to the Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) on the line.
Last year’s Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) runner up Flintshire comes across the pond for the $1 million Sword Dancer (G1). The five-year-old is going to head back home for the Arc d’ Triomphe and then if all goes well will return to the U.S. for the Turf at Keeneland.
While we may have trouble making money on the Travers, there are plenty of other good betting opportunities on the 13-race card.
Here is today’s opening race from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:
SAR Race 1 OClm $25,000N1X (11:45 ET)
8 Grey Wizard 7-2
1 Belisarius 2-1
5 Request 5-2
3 Good Response 7-2
Analysis: Grey Wizard was a good-looking maiden winner last out in his fourth career start, drawing away to win by 3 1/4 lengths at today's 1 3/8 mile distance. The colt was a good third two back off a three-month break and looks as if he still has plenty of upside. He has a nice pedigree, by Kitten's Joy out of a stakes placed Cozzene mare that has dropped two other winners including dirt stakes winner Street Storm ($101,232).
Belisarius was beaten just a head last out in a game effort and now has come up short at this condition eight times since landing in the U.S. last summer. The colt is usually in the mix, landing in the money in seven straight without a win. This is not a real tough spot facing just five foes after the scratches of the main track only runners. He broke his maiden on the fake stuff but does have three sibs that have won on grass. His mare Lasting Chance ($222,492) was a stakes winner on the main track.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,8 / 1,5,8
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:
SAR Race 10 The Sword Dancer G1 (5:04 ET)
2 Flintshire 8-5
4 Red Rifle 4-1
6 Messi 10-1
5 Twilight Eclipse 7-2
Analysis: Flintshire returns to the U.S. after running a good second to the highly regarded gal Treve, who won the last two Arcs. The Andre Fabre trainee made the trip to Santa Anita last year for the Breeders' Cup Turf (G1) and ran a game second to Main Sequence, beaten a half-length for the top spot. He came out of that race to win the Hong Kong Vase (G1) at Sha Tin in his following start. The well-traveled five-year-old should be able to handle these, and then the plan is to go to the Arc and return to Keeneland for the Turf.
Red Rifle earned a career top speed fig last out in the Blowing Green Handicap (G2) at 1 3/8 miles. He won the Yankee Affair last September at this distance and is at the top of his game. Jockey Javier Castellano's agent had a call on this guy and Twilight Express and tried to get off the latter to stick with this guy. The stewards got involved and he lost the mount on both.
Messi steps up off a pair of win against optional claimers in his first two starts after landing with the Motion barn. He only has one try in Group company and that was a Group 3 in Germany and it did not go well. Motion is not going to stick him in here unless he thinks he has a shot and this guy should be a decent price.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 2,4,5,6
TRI: 2,4 / 2,4,5,6 / 2,4,5,6,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Saratoga
R2: #6 Attraction 8-1
R5: #10 Alcazar de Maram 12-1
R5: #2 Ascend 8-1
R8: #10 March 10-1
R10: #6 Messi 10-1
R11: #7 Keen Ice 12-1
R13: #7 Oklahoma Den 8-1
Good luck today!