Saturday 6/20/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Saturday 6/20 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 9 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (24 - 38 / $89.60): RYLEIGH’S LILLY (3rd)

Spot Play: COLE HEAT (12th)


Race 1

(8) MAJOR ED well bred pacer will be used aggressively and looks to be getting better with every start. (4) FAAVAAS gelding makes his third start back off a layoff and should be primed for a good effort. (7) ENGINE ONE O ONE has tons of ability but does have breaking issues.

Race 2

(3) MY MAN RED made a break last out early in the mile but finished strong; big chance. (8) ROYALE ROSE will look to make it two straight to kick off his career. (1) SAGEBRUSH SID gets the best post coming off a decent qualifier kicking home nicely.

Race 3

(8) RYLEIGH'S LILLY has been super sharp in her last two; short price. (6) JUST BY DESIGN is racing better than her lines indicate and will be firing early. (7) FOX VALLEY AUBRY went from super sharp to just racing evenly. The pacing filly is capable of turning it around.

Race 4

(7) BS TYRRIFIC looks to be loaded with talent showing big last quarters in two straight qualifiers. (4) SAGEBRUSH SAM should show improvement for proven connections second start out. (2) RED RED REDNECK put in a good last half in the qualifier.

Race 5

(7) DELIGHT FASHION was the driver's choice of four and has room to improve. (10) SIR ARTHUR D has made breaks in two straight. If the pacer can mind his manners he's capable of pacing a big mile. (2) C NOTE has a nice pedigree but is coming along slowly; use underneath.

Race 6

(6) HERE'S JOHNNY impeccably bred stallion takes a significant drop in class and should be considered the horse to beat. (3) MASTER OF EXCUSES mare also drops down to a level she can compete at. (2) REPEAT YOUR ABC'S has a good history against this type of competition; threat.

Race 7

(8) REX PASSUS just needs a good setup for a chance to sweep past late. (2) GALACTIC STAR could be the sleeper in the race dropping in for a tag. (9) SVAYA KNOWS gets sent out for capable connections; threat.

Race 8

(2) BIG BRAD rarely wins but will offer a huge price and has been right there at the wire with this group. (4) FORT SILKY has been the runner up in half his starts this year and has done his best work when not on the lead. (6) ROCKIN THE HOUSE with some racing luck could have a shot late.

Race 9

(3) EXTRAVAGANT ART is one of few in the race that's been consistently competitive at this level. (5) ENDEAVORS KING pacer has been facing stiff competition and has shown good ability. (6) JACKSON BERLOW doesn't win often but makes his third start back off a layoff; threat.

Race 10

In a wide open and evenly matched race (4) TOO TALL TAMARAC gets sent out second start for new connections and could be sitting on a big mile. (8) LITTLE HANK is inconsistent from week to week but is capable of a good effort. (7) DOC'S DEAL has been racing gamely but needs more; command a price.

Race 11

(9) NITTY GRITTY set a lifetime mark last out and is a threat with a similar effort. (7) ROCKNROLL CRYSTAL was used hard last out before fading late. The filly pacer will look to rebound with a smooth trip. (1) FOX VALLEY PIPA lagged the gate last out badly but raced well closing nicely; threat.

Race 12

(3) COLE HEAT picks up the top driver off a big effort just missing against better. (6) DINKY DUNE sophomore pacer has a tough job in front of him facing older but could be up to the task; fires early. (1) GOLD STAR IMAGE gets the best post and has been improving with every start.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Saturday 6/20 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $100,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


EARLY $1 PICK 4 (Race 4):

4,5/3,5/6,8/4,5,7,9 = $32

ALL-STAKES $1 PICK 4 (Race 9) :

3,5/3,4,5,6,8,10/3,5/2,3,5 = $72

MEET STATS: 122 - 388 / $714.70 BEST BETS: 16 - 34 / $54.80

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 32 / $45.60

Best Bet: THUNDER STEELER (2nd)

Spot Play: BETTOR’S EDGE (10th)


Race 1

(1) I GOT TO BOOGIE left hard and was overtaken in a quick half then tried to rally up the rail and fell just short in a good effort. She is sharp and should be a decent price here. Top call in the opener of an excellent card. (4) HOPE FOR PADDY gets to face easier here and should be prominent but may also be overbet. (2) SHADYS M THREE unsuccessfully reversed tactics last time. Look for her to be closing off a helmet late here.

Race 2

(6) THUNDER STEELER is super sharp right now and gets top billing in a Preferred that came up a bit light due to the Gold Cup being contested later in the card. (2) CAMAES FELLOW reached up late at big odds and could get a similar cozy following trip here. (4) PISTON BROKE continues to fire home late passing horses after the winner has been decided; minor share is likely again.

Race 3 – Goodtimes Final

(4) CANEPA HANOVER won so effortlessly in a track record performance last week that it's hard to see him getting beat here. Price will be prohibitive, however. (3) FRENCH LAUNDRY, who chased the choice in vain two back, likely completes the smallest exacta of the night - if not the meet. (6) RUBBER DUCK has improved dramatically with Filion at the lines and could complete the tri.

Race 4

(5) PIERCE HANOVER missed valuable racing action due to a vet scratch but still wasn't beaten that far in his North America Cup elimination. He should be better tonight and most of these are easier company. (4) SPLIT THE HOUSE led early, was shuffled a bit then forced first-over and still only tired late. That was an excellent mile and he will likely be a big favorite here. (9) GO DADDY GO cut the mile and tired late. That may not be his best style and he could rebound here in a big way.

Race 5 – Armbro Flight Final

(5) BEE A MAGICIAN set a Canadian record last week while drawing away down the lane. She gets a slight edge in this heavyweight tilt with (3) SHAKE IT CERRY, who also was an easy winner of her elim and should not be sold short. (2) CLASSIC MARTINE couldn't keep pace with the choice last week but should be tighter this week and more competitive as a result.

Race 6

(6) ELLIS PARK tried to chase a leader that wasn't slowing down and the first-over trip took its toll on him last week. He figures to get a covered trip here and can convert vs. this group. (8) PUSH BACK picks up Gingras and likely a big speed try as a result of the driver switch. Keep on pick 4 tickets. (4) APPRENTICE HANOVER continues to fall short late but grab checks. Expect more of the same here.

Race 7

(7) SOUTHWIND AMAZON has raced super in both starts for Adams and likely can go even faster which will likely be required here. (4) TRACK MASTER D takes a big drop, but will also take big action and is worth trying to beat at a short price. (9) SING FOR ME GEORGE showed some life last time now gets more class relief. He will be mowing them down late of the first half is contested.

Race 8

(9) THINKOFAGAMEPLAN raced much better last time showing big speed both early and late. Expect a big mile here. (3) STAR COVER has raced well in both starts since returning to Mohawk and will be prominent throughout here. (5) SPORTSMANSHIP ran trying to keep up to an accelerating Go Daddy Go at London. He has missed time which is a concern but could grab a share.

Race 9 – Roses Are Red Final

(5) YAGONNAKISSMEORNOT really motored down the lane last week to fall just short. From closer range she would be hard to hold off. (3) LADY SHADOW took a new life's mark when repelling the choice and is strictly the one to beat considering her current sharpness. (2) COLORS A VIRGIN was promoted to the win via disqualification but is always a threat with her aggressive style of racing.

Race 10 – Mohawk Gold Cup

(5) BETTOR'S EDGE produced by far his best mile of the year last out following a break. He took his life's mark over this track last year and trainer Burke may have him at the top of his game at the right time to take this edition of The Mohawk Gold Cup. (6) VEGAS VACATION has fired identical 26 flat kickers in his last two and figures to get a good trip on cover here starting from the middle of the gate. This 4th start off a long layoff may see him at or close to his best. (8) STATE TREASURER's chances in the Battle of Lake Erie were compromised by post position. He has an upset chance here. (4) SHAMBALLA is consistently one of the best closers in North America but has never beaten a field of this quality before.

Race 11 – Fan Hanover Final

(3) SASSA HANOVER last week became the first of this group to take a mark under 1:50. She is peaking and likely to go off second choice again so she gets our nod. (5) JK SHE'SALADY tasted defeat for the first time to the choice last week. Something may have been amiss or perhaps some of these are catching up to the 2015 Horse of the Year now. We'll try to beat her as a likely big chalk. (2) MOONLIT DANCE has been razor-sharp all year and will be coming late as always. Minor share predicted this time, however.

Race 12 – North America Cup Final

(2) WAKIZASHI HANOVER is our call to take this renewal of the North America Cup. The Dragons Again colt unleashed an impressive kick around the final turn last week to win going away, has a top driver and a good post from which to carve out a good trip on cover. Best of all he is sure to be 2nd or 3rd choice in the wagering. (3) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT has been getting all the press this week following a blowout win in his elim that ran his record to a perfect 11 for 11. While he certainly will take some beating, on paper, the choice's chart line is every bit as good and this one is guaranteed to be overbet. He's on our pick 4 tickets but will offer no value in the win pool. (5) IN THE ARSENAL has been perfect this year and is now flying under the radar of the top two. He has shown grit and that he can take a lot of air and keep coming. Don't dismiss him lightly. (10) ARTSPEAK could not go with the choice around the final turn and now draws the worst post. It's hard to see him winning from out there when he may be going in the wrong direction. (1) GOOD FRIDAY THREE was flying when free late and is a good one for the bottom of vertical wagers here at a price.

Race 13

(8) BEACH GAL gets top call to take this F & M Preferred that is a little light due to the Roses Are Red going earlier in the card. Expect Jamieson to move this one much earlier than usual and break the goose egg in this year's win column. (9) AMERICAN IN PARIS looks like the main threat to the choice as she is also exiting the Roses Are Red eliminations. (6) KISS ME OR NOT has been racing very well and could crack the exacta at a big price here.

Race 14

(6) MIRAMONTMAN and Filion have produced some major upsets over this oval in the past and this dash looks like the kind of race where an outsider rolls by late; upset special. (4) SUNNY BEACH DAY was rolling well late in his mile last week but was too far back. He too has an upset chance but is more likely for a minor award. (1) THE REV gets major post relief and will take plenty of wagering action but is terribly win-shy and unbettable at a short price in the win pool.

Race 15

(5) BUCKEROO raced well off the layoff last week but was on too much cover to threaten the top two. A second-over trip could get him there tonight. (6) BIG MOMENT was a comfortable winner in the same dash and is the one to beat here. (4) COMPANY MAN raced okay on the top class at Northfield following a break. He has shown in the past that he can compete with these and will be a good price. (9) AMORA BEACH takes a major class drop here and won't go off anywhere near his 12/1 morning line quote. (3) MAJOR HOMER has been racing well enough to grab minor shares and should get one here too.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Saturday 6/20 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 52 - 177 / $258.70 BEST BETS: 6 - 13 / $18.10

Best Bet: MARTINI HANOVER (5th)

Spot Play: INSANE IN SPAIN (10th)


Race 1

(5) HELIOS tends to get brave when he drops to this level. I’ll take a shot. (6) DREAM ROCKER & (7) EXQUISITE GLIDE are both capable of darting out to the early lead and taking this mostly dull group down the road. (4) ASHES CASH was a killer here in early May.

Race 2

(7) BLOOD BROTHER has been tackling some salty competition in those PASS races. He is far from a lock but deserves the top call. (5) MY NAME IS SAM is capable of putting up a big quarter or two. If the trip is reasonable, he’ll be a factor. (4) BADIOU HANOVER has come to life in Pennsylvania and now ships back to the Meadowlands.

Race 3

In a field where it is hard to have a strong opinion on any horse, (1) BETTER BELIEVE IT gets the inside post advantage for a decent barn and could be firing from the onset. (3) UP UP AND OUT raced well against cheaper last time. Maybe that gets his juices flowing. (6) COLOSSAL just missed to a horse that would be the heavy chalk in this race.

Race 4

(1) RUFO is another horse coming out of some tough PA Sire Stakes events. I’ll give him the slot nod over a decent field of NW2. (4) DREAMS BEACHBOY came right off the bench with a sharp effort against a weaker group. (6) WISHING YOU WELL tried his luck at Yonkers with some success and now moves to the big track; gets tested. (7) PAPARAZZI HANOVER has been stuck in outside posts against PASS company; wakeup possible.

Race 5

(3) MARTINI HANOVER was a solid second on Tuesday at Pocono, so he should be plenty sharp. This guy missed the final but may have lucked-out into an easier spot for only a slightly lower purse. (9) MAXI BON has been stuck in some bad spots on the track of late and only needs smoother sailing to make noise. (4) NORTHERN PRIZE draws inside this week and has shown he can step up from time to time.

Race 6

(6) ODDS ON EQUULEUS is back at a level where he can do some damage. I believe he can loom on the rim and grind down this field. (8) MISTER VIRGIN is the top threat by far. He has high speed and should be controlling the action. (3) MISTER TRUTH looks to be getting class relief, but check those conditions again. These are the same foes that have been beating him in recent weeks, but he may elect to show early speed from this post and stay in striking position.

Race 7

(1) ACCOUNT ROLLOVER looks for the series sweep and while this field has plenty of sharp foes, he has to be considered a legitimate favorite to succeed. (6) DRAGON LORE scored in round one and was a solid second last week. He is the fastest in this group and I wouldn’t be shocked if he won. (7) FREDDY DAY HANOVER has high early speed to make some noise; worth using. (3) STONEHOUSE ADAM comes off a win for trainer Ron Burke. I’m not sure I love his chances, but he could win.

Race 8

(6) HURRIKANE JON PAUL finds an abysmal group of $10k claimers and has a great chance of going down the road. (3) ESPRIT DE KAYJAY A faded to ninth last time but only lost by a couple of lengths; new driver could help. (9) GREAT SOUL drops down and has gone fast enough in the past to win this race.

Race 9

(2) WOODMERE ULTIMATE came up short following a four month layoff. I’ll take a shot that he is sharper this week. (8) BEGINNER’S LUCK ships in for a barn that usually sends them ready. (1) CONNORS CONCORD is certainly facing a duller group this week and does draw well.

Race 10

(4) INSANE IN SPAIN scored for this barn last week despite taking plenty of air on the rim; again. (2) STORMIN RUSTLER comes off a three length victory in the elimination leg of this mini-series and looms as the horse to beat. (3) UNTOUCHABLE ONE moves into a new barn and automatically is eligible to improve.

Race 11

(3) WINDSONG GORGEOUS was a good second last week behind a horse starting in the Graduate on Friday. Despite the fact that this barn has slowed down dramatically in recent weeks, he should go down the road. (4) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE closed well for second at this level two starts back and is always dangerous if kept in striking range. (8) YOU BET YOUR GLASS has plenty of form and seems likely to be forwardly placed. (5) CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR improved after the barn change with Lasix added.

Race 12

(7) DULL ROAR couldn’t gain any ground in a pretty fast mile last time. I’m giving him one more shot. (1) BOLDER hasn’t won much this year, but finds a spot where he should be very aggressive from the get-go. (4) BETTOR NOT MISS is another from the Derue barn; capable.

Race 13

(4) SAWBUCK was the victim of a bad trip a week ago and should have clear sailing to the top this time around. (1) LADY’S BIG MAN can stay close from the pocket and be in with a shot late. (8) ELECTRIFY moves into a new barn and could awaken. (3) ASTREOS FLASH has won two of his last three starts at this level; must use.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 6/20 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 176 - 549 / $953.60 BEST BETS: 25 - 44 / $87.90

Best Bet: UNCLE GOODFELLOW (3rd)

Spot Play: KINDOFABIGDEAL (4th)


Race 1

(3) SUMMER SMACKDOWN drops in class and should be showing speed but I'm not exactly thrilled with his chances. (5) FREESPIN N raced well in his U.S. debut for Bamond and I suspect he'll be overbet tonight. (1) HYPNOTIST draws best and was an upset winner when last at this level.

Race 2

(1) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE seems to make all the sense in the world here. He drops in class, moves all the way in off no-chance efforts in three of his last four, and he's had wicked final quarters in those races. (2) BEST SAID also gets class relief and he went wire-to-wire with these three back. (4) BULLVILLEY KYLE is not a likely win candidate but he's been racing well and should be used underneath.

Race 3

(3) UNCLE GOODFELLOW paced evenly behind two good rivals in his local return for Allard and I suspect he'll be more aggressively handled tonight. (2) ALBERTO CONTADOR N gets much-needed post relief. (5) SANTANNA ONE is still winless on the season but is usually involved in the outcome; use underneath.

Race 4

(1) KINDOFABIGDEAL paced a very nice back half and was third best while chasing a rated lineup number; Lachance trainee will be good to go from this spot. (4) ONE THROUGH TEN returns locally now in the DiDomenico barn and he should be firing from the gate. (6) DAVID THE SAINT lacks the class of others but he raced well in his debut for new connections and he can be used at a big price.

Race 5

(4) SOMEBODY AS was much-improved last week and held for a board spot after a wide trip; gelding had a big season here last year and looks to be rounding into form. (8) LUMINOSITY gave way late after going the added distance from a second-tier start; prior to that he had taken three straight. (2) E R ELLIE hasn't put in a bad effort since arriving locally and she did have some traffic issues last ot.

Race 6

(5) MCERLEAN has been razor-sharp in all recent, including last week where he actually showed some speed off the gate; this may be a perfect spot for the Cassar trainee to get the job done. (6) DOMETHATAGAIN returns to Yonkers and reunites with Dube. They teamed up to take the Levy final not too long ago. (3) LIFE UP FRONT has been a model of consistency recently, including second place finishes in his last two Open tries.

Race 7

(3) SOMEWHERE FANCY may be a bit of a reach versus these but he had absolutely no chance last out from the eight hole in a bulky field and his prior start was a gutsy victory at The Meadowlands. (8) FORT KNOX is the one to beat despite the eight hole assignment and Bartlett will be firing hard from the gate. (6) FORTY FIVE RED had no chance and wasn't involved last week; maybe he can show more tonight.

Race 8

(1) TEXICAN N returns to Yonkers off a solid second-place finish to a tough rival at Pocono; Tritton trainee has to be on the lead or in the pocket from this spot. (2) MC DYNAMITE lands another favorable post and he's always capable of firing home. (3) BET THE MOON didn't have the easiest of trips chasing a rated pace last week and he should be in line for a smoother journey tonight.

Race 9

(1) DREAM OUT LOUD N has steadily been getting better and the veteran returns off a sharp uncovered score at Philly. (3) STEVENSVILLE looks like he's transitioned to a solid overnight horse for the Schnittker barn. (4) FRANKIES DRAGON was a game winner last week where he wore down the classy Machs Beach Boy.

Race 10

(5) CROMBIE A has taken two straight in impressive fashion since arriving from Australia. Allard trainee faces tougher tonight but he may be this good. (3) COWBOY TERRIER finished with pace last week after having no chance; he looks like he will be firing early from this spot. (4) LAWGIVER HANOVER steps up a notch but he's been very sharp.

Race 11

(8) DEWYCOLORINTHELINE broke my heart last week when he flew home making up a ton of ground but missed by an inch; he may have another tough go of it tonight from this poor post but I have to stay on board. (5) FORT VALLEY AS gets some class relief and this looks like a spot where he should be leaving the gate. (2) SUPER MANNING returns off a brief freshening and he's a tough one when he's on his game.

Race 12

(3) BETTOR REASON N looks to have been a touch outclassed in his last few so this type may be a better fit for him. (2) JD'S CALEB MAN was going nowhere last week from the eight hole; clearly this reformed claimer will be more involved tonight. (4) MEETBEHINDTHEBARN gets Bartlett in the bike tonight for the live Banca barn.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Running Aces

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 6:22 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$5500 - MINNESOTA-SIRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 QUEEN OF DENIAL 1/1


# 3 MOONSHINENMONKEYS 3/1


# 6 SMOKIN HOT COCO 4/1

QUEEN OF DENIAL quite possibly looks to be the contender to beat in this one. This filly getting the victory wouldn't be impossible, a chance. This contender looks strong. Check out the 72 avg TrackMaster Speed Rating. This horse looks tough considering the high class stats. Not a good idea to throw out of any exotics. MOONSHINENMONKEYS - Can't forget based on speed ratings which have been great (66 avg) of late. Should be given a look based on the formidable speed rating recorded in the most recent gathering. SMOKIN HOT COCO - This fine animal will be greatly helped with Bowman guiding. 23 percent winners the last 30 days. Could best this field, just look at the speed rating - 68 - from her most recent effort.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 8:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 96 - Purse:$25000 - NON-WINNERS OF $25,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 ONE THROUGH TEN 7/2


# 5 HEEZ ORL BLACK N 8/1


# 1 KINDOFABIGDEAL 4/1

ONE THROUGH TEN looks formidable to best this group. Could very well provide us a top prize based on nice recent speed figures - earning an average of 97. Been running with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 96). Many smart handicappers favor this horse on the driver/handler stats alone. HEEZ ORL BLACK N - This race could be controlled by this gelding. A single look at the avgerage speed rating will prove that. Enters this race with great TrackMaster class ratings in relationship to the field - could be worth a shot. KINDOFABIGDEAL - This standardbred achieved a formidable speed rating last out. Looks fit to come right back. Don't let a fine animal with such a very promising winning percent like this be ignored.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 82

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 LANE 2. (IF THE MANAGEMENT CONSIDERS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 VETER (FR) 7/2


# 9 CLEVER YANK 4/1


# 7 HOTTER N BLAZES 5/2


VETER (FR) has a formidable shot to take this race. He should be given a chance given the competitive speed numbers. With a nice class rating average of 92, has one of the most favorable class advantages in this group. Recent numbers for the jock - 23 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group of horses in this race. CLEVER YANK - He has been running admirably lately while recording strong speed figures. Has strong early speed and will almost certainly fare solidly against this group of horses in this race. HOTTER N BLAZES - Ranked high in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. This horse obviously likes the distance, going 1 out of 2 in his races recently.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 111

DONALD LEVINE MEMORIAL H. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATIONS CLOSE JUNE 6, 2015, $200 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX, $300 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED. THE WINNER TO RECEIVE $60,000 WITH $20,000 TO SECOND, $11,000 TO THIRD, $6,000 TO FOURTH AND $3,000 TO FIFTH. WEIGHTS, SATURDAY, JUNE 13, 2015. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 9 A. P. INDIAN 7/2


# 1 STALLWALKIN' DUDE 2/1


# 2 SERVICE FOR TEN 5/1


A. P. INDIAN is my choice. He has posted formidable figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this field. Has been running soundly lately and will almost certainly be up on the front end early on. Ran a strong last race. STALLWALKIN' DUDE - Ran a solid last race. Has a strong shot for this event if you like back class. SERVICE FOR TEN - The average Equibase class figure alone makes this horse a key contender. Pimentel has one of the most competitive jock ROI's on the grounds, returning to investors +73 percent.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream - Race #10 - Post: 5:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 DICHOSA (ML=5/1)


DICHOSA - Just look at her recent speed figure, 67. That one fits well in this group. Ranked the highest in earnings per start. Another indicator that this horse has the class to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 GOOD ACTION (ML=5/2), #2 PLEASANTLY MIRANDA (ML=4/1), #11 CAME UP ROSIE (ML=8/1),

GOOD ACTION - Not a perfect 'situation' in this race. PLEASANTLY MIRANDA - In any affair of 6 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been sharp in short distance events of late. CAME UP ROSIE - This filly hasn't had any recent success in short distance events. Tough to bet on her in this race. 8/1 is just not enough of a reward to take on most any animal that has run poorly in back to back outings. This horse ran a quite unimpressive speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't run much better and will likely lose in today's event running that number.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 DICHOSA to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #2 - Post: 3:42pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 TRUKARMA (ML=6/1)


TRUKARMA - Atop this racer on May 21st and Batista is right back in the irons today. Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter distance should be favorable. Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a solid outing on May 21st. Past performance data show this thoroughbred with three improving Equibase speed figs. Batista should be on a horse ready to go in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BROTHER POPS (ML=3/2), #4 MYSTERIOUS PROMISE (ML=5/2), #6 ELLA'S TOP CAT (ML=5/1),

BROTHER POPS - This favorite ran on May 27th and hasn't had a work since then. MYSTERIOUS PROMISE - The result of third in the last event shows me that this horse may be going off form. ELLA'S TOP CAT - Today's race is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance race in the last two months. Not the best of omens.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #7 TRUKARMA to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:57 PM EASTERN POST

The Bed o' Roses Handicap

7.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#4 DAME DOROTHY
#3 ROOM FOR ME
#6 LA VERDAD
#8 STREET STORY

For you folks who enjoy a little Thoroughbred Racing History to accompany your handicapping efforts this afternoon ... The Bed o' Roses Handicap was named after Alfred G. Vanderbilt's champion juvenile filly of 1949 and handicap mare champion in 1952. She was named to Thoroughbred Racing's Hall of Fame in Saratoga in 1976. As a 2-year-old, she won seven stakes, en route to her championship, and at the age of three, she defeated colts in the Lawrence Realization. During her 4-year-old campaign, she chalked up two stakes scores and finished in the money in five other stakes. She started only three times at age five, but won the Santa Margarita under 129 pounds. Here in the 59th renewal of this graded stakes test, #4 DAME DOROTHY, the pace profile leader in this field, is a perfect three-for-three into "The Circle" in her career to date sprinting at, or about, today's "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in five straight starts, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Javier Castellano and Trainer Todd Pletcher send her "postward" today ... they've "whacked the tote board" with 61% of more than 175 entries saddled as a team to date. #3 ROOM FOR ME, a 4-1 shot, has also hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in five straight, which include a quartet of "POWER RUN WINS" added to her resume in this time period!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (5th) Clever Yank, 4-1
(8th) Friendly Ghost, 8-1

Belmont Park (2nd) Bella Joy, 3-1
(9th) Chief of State, 5-1


Belterra Park (2nd) Star of Aspen, 3-1
(5th) Skye Tale, 7-2


Canterbury Park (8th) Wild Luna, 10-1
(9th) Gentle as a Breeze, 9-2


Charles Town (4th) Miss Speak, 10-1
(6th) Sing the Dream, 10-1


Churchill Downs (3rd) Fast Cast, 3-1
(8th) Sky Flight, 7-2


Delaware Park (1st) My Sweet Calendra, 8-1
(2nd) Duke of Perth, 9-2


Emerald Downs (3rd) Nosetodagrindstone, 3-1
(4th) Charming Budha, 4-1


Evangeline Downs (5th) Idealites, 6-1
(6th) Cavalero, 4-1


Finger Lakes (3rd) Majestic Desert, 5-1
(6th) Tricoastal, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (4th) Song Memory, 4-1
(5th) Rose Graciela, 3-1


Hastings Park (1st) Charming Silver, 3-1
(6th) Delta Beauty, 5-1


Indiana Grand (4th) Spur Strap, 4-1
(7th) Pure Lady Like, 4-1


Lone Star Park (3rd) Dulce de Batata, 3-1
(4th) Lovely Jandenise, 10-1


Louisiana Downs (3rd) Special Collection, 3-1
(4th) Mrs. Asher, 4-1


Monmouth Park (2nd) Gypsy Baron, 4-1
(10th) Midnight Beauty, 3-1


Mountaineer (1st) My Sky, 5-1
(5th) Bobbys Dream, 3-1

Oak Tree @ Pleasanton (3rd) Dizzy Tizzy, 7-2
(7th) Grand Sunset, 7-1


Parx Racing (1st) Bellaridge, 8-1
(4th) Ice Wagon, 3-1


Penn National (6th) Goodnight Angel, 5-1
(8th) Portada, 10-1

Prairie Meadows (5th) Xavier Davey, 3-1
(6th) Misty Journey, 3-1


Santa Anita (4th) Gutsy Ruler, 10-1
(7th) Royal Albert Hall, 4-1


Thistledown (2nd) Copa Del Rey, 4-1
(5th) King's Deputy, 6-1


Woodbine (2nd) Thunder Point, 6-1
(4th) Forest Love, 3-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday

TIGERS (Simon) @ YANKEES (Eovaldi) 7:15 PM

Take: YANKEES -115

Nathan Eovaldi needs to be in redemption mode tonight as the Yankees again play host to the Tigers. Eovaldi is off a disastrous outing against the Marlins in which he couldn’t even get out of the first inning. That’s the diciest part of this equation as we’re not talking about an ace off a bad game. Top of the line pitchers are often great plays in rebound scenarios. Eovaldi certainly does not qualify on that count, but I’m going to give him a roll tonight regardless.

Alfredo Simon counters for the Tigers and he continues to outperform his metrics. Based on the fact he’s been doing this for some time now, I think it’s fair to say that Simon might just be one of those guys who’s better than he appears to be. But it should be noted there’s a fairly substantial split in play here. Simon has been considerably more effective at home than on the road and he could be susceptible here against a Yankees array that has been doing some damage to righties at home.

It’s really the team elements that grabbed me here. The Tigers have been struggling against opposing righties. They finally have Victor Martinez back from the DL, but VMart was struggling prior to his latest stint on the shelf and there’s no guarantee he’a about t o get back to his norm. Contrast the Tiger datas against righties with what the Yankees have done and there’s no question that the hosts have the advantage as far as tonight’s projected offense goes.

I’m really not much of a history buff as it’s mostly small sample and I don’t find it especially reliable. But it’s at least worth noting that Yankee Stadium has been kind of a house of horrors for the Tigers in recent years. I wouldn’t call that a determining factor here, but it also doesn’t hurt.

There might not be the same sense of excitement in the air as ARod now his his 3000th hit and this is just a normal everyday game. But the numbers suggest to me that this line is a little on the short side and I’m going to take my chances with Eovaldi. This game is already on my Saturday personal card and I’m buying the Yankees.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Saad of Las Vegas Sports Services

6/20/2015: Saturday MLB Bonus Play:

The Mariners are on a 6-13 run, 4-10 against a team with a winning record. Seattle goes with 22-year old Taijuan Walker (4-6, 5.00 ERA). Houston is in town with an offense ranked third in runs scored and tops in homers. The Astros are 24-9 in their last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter. Houston has ace lefty Dallas Keuchel (8-2, 2.04 ERA) going and the Astros are 16-5 in his last 21 starts. The Astros are 17-4 when Keuchel faces the AL West.

Play Houston!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play Sat : Blue Jays - 115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals

Bonus Play Kansas City Royals

I'm recommending a play on the KC Royals on Saturday night. The Red Sox caught a break last night, facing Yohan Pino. The break ends here. KC sends dependable Edinson Volquez to the mound. The Royals' righty has a sizzling, .217 BAA in 2015 and will face one of MLB's weaker road lineups. The Sox enter 22nd in road team batting average and 28th in OBP. And if and when Volquez comes out, he's backed by the stingiest bullpen in MLB (1.95 ERA). Boston's pen is not good and Rick Porcello has struggled of late. The Sox are 0-5 in his last five starts, outscored 29-13, and he's posted a 5.29 ERA, allowing 24 earned runs in 31 IP. Alex Gordon, Eric Hosmer, and Omar Infante are hitting a combined .342 against Porcello with four home runs and 10 RBI. And while Alex Rios hasn't been as successful with hits against the Boston righty, he does have three homers and seven RBI against Porcello. KC rolls in on an 8-1 run as a favorite and they're 6-0 when Volquez throws on four days rest. I'm recommending a play on the KC Royals on Saturday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees 7:15PM

Play - Detroit Tigers w/Simon

Edges - Tigers: Alfredo Simon 8-1 career team starts during June, including 5-0 away. Yankees: Nathan Eovaldi 6-11 last seventeen home team starts. With Eovaldi sporting a 7.67 ERA in his last four overall starts, look for the Tigers to improve to 8-4 in games behind Simon here this evening. We recommend a 1* play on Detroit. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'Jays flying high'

After last night's series opening victory the Blue Jays have managed to pick up seven wins this season in their ten games against division rival Baltimore Orioles. Veteran Mark Buehrle carrying a 7-4 record, 4.01 ERA toes the rubber for John Gibbons' troops this afternoon. The left-hander despite recording just one win his last three has been sharp tossing 22 innings of 4 run-ball posting a 1.23 ERA. Orioles are expected to trot out Kevin Gausman, who has a 1-0 record, 4.50 ERA over eight relief appearance. The right-hander coming of DL gets his first starting assignment of the season. Not the best news for Baltimore as Orioles are 1-6 in his last seven in the roll. Another trend that doesn't support a play on Baltimore is their record north of the border. Orioles have lost all four at this venue this season, six of the past seven and 48 of 68 at the Rogers Center. Additionally, the fact that Buehrle is a portsider is also bad news for the Orioles. The last nine times Baltimore has gone up against a left-hander on the road they've gone 2-7. With Blue Jays enjoying an 12-1 streak as home favorite, 4-1 stretch at home w/Buehrle the numbers illustrate Toronto is the right choice.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals June 20, 4:04 EST

Pittsburgh could be in mounds of trouble when they send southpaw Francisco Liriano the the hill to face Washington. Pirates are just 4-9 in his starts this season, 2-5 in his last seven road starts, 1-6 in his last seven day road games.

Nationals handing Pittsburgh a fourth consecutive loss in Washington last night is another obstacle for Pirates. The Pirates are 0-4 handing the ball to Liriano following a team loss the previous effort. Additionally, Nationals have feasted on left-handed starters recently. In the past twelve games vs a portsider the Nationals have won nine.

The Pirate are +$1.10 to +$1.20 road underdogs Saturday, while the Nationals, who are expected to counter with Max Scherzer on the bump are favorite of -$1.30 to -$1.40 depending on locale.