Saturday 4/4/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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Jeff Benton

For Saturday we’ll back the Magic as a small road favorite at Atlanta.

Both teams are coming off games last night, but this is actually a tougher travel spot for the Hawks, who return home after playing in Boston on Friday, than Orlando, which made the short jaunt to Atlanta after destroying LeBron James and Cleveland at home.

The Magic come into this game the hotter team, having won seven of their last eight, 10 of their last 12 and 14 of their last 17. That includes a 6-2 SU and ATS mark on the road, which is hardly surprising given the fact Orlando has been a money-making machine on the road the last two-plus years (58-28-3 ATS).

Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost five of its last seven games, including two of three at home to playoff-caliber foes San Antonio (102-92) and Boston (99-93). Yes, the Hawks did take down the Lakers in their last home game Sunday 86-76, but they were catching Kobe and Company in the midst of a tough seven-game road trip.

Finally, since getting tripped up by Atlanta in the season-opener 99-85 at home, the Magic have come back to take the last two against the Hawks, winning 106-102 in Georgia and 121-87 at home, covering the number in both of those contests. You throw in Orlando’s sterling ATS runs of 8-3 when playing on back-to-back nights, 21-8 against teams with a winning record, 41-19-1 when playing on Saturday, 10-3-1 when favored by less than five points and 4-0 against Southeast Division rivals – in addition to that incredible ATS mark on the road – and I’ll lay this small price with Dwight Howard and Eastern Conference’s second-best team.

3♦ ORLANDO MAGIC
 
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on New York Knicks -2.5

New York returns home after a tough three-game road trip and I expect it to get back on track with a win against a Raptors team that is just 12-25 on the road this season. It's clear that Toronto has a tough time matching tempo with the Knicks and lost 97-127 last time it visited the Big Apple. NY is 13-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog this season and 19-4 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season. NY is 12-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season and this will be the key as the Raptors won't force enough turnovers to get the job done against New York's run and gun offense. We'll lay the points.
 
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Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

I missed a day yesterday to tend to some personal business, but I’m back. The last time out we missed out on the Baylor-Penn State total as the teams don’t do enough as the Under comes in.

That’s fine because we’re still 8-2 our last 10 Comp Plays and are 16-6 our last 22 freebies.

And tonight we’re coming through again with another Comp Play winner as we’re taking the Over on the Villanova-North Carolina matchup in The Tournament.

The number for this game is set at around 159 points or 159 and the hook, depending on where you play this, but it won’t matter as these teams fly past that Total.

Coming into this game the Heels have seen the Over go 19-15 this season, while Villanova has seen the Over go 12-9 on the road this year.

For the Wildcats, they’ve also seen the Over go 3-1 their last four games and 5-2 their last 7 games, while the Heels have seen the Over come through in 11 of their last 18 games, averaging 161.5 points per.

Keep in mind also that the Over has come in each of Carolina’s last 5 games against the Big East, while the Over has come in 10 of Villanova’s last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage of above .600. It has also come in 5 of the Wildcats’ last 7 games played at neutral sites.

And tonight, the Over will come through once again.

3♦ VILLANOVA-NORTH CAROLINA OVER
 
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Matt Rivers

For Saturday take the points with the Nets.

It has become pretty clear that New Jersey isn't going anywhere in terms of the postseason unlike Chicago who is right now in the eighth spot but I just do not trust these Bulls overall and certainly not right now in this spot.

I was very high on Chicago earlier in the season after drafting Derrick Rose but came to the realization midway through the season that this team is still not all that good. The campaign has been extremely mediocre at the very best and even after a solid month of March the Bulls appear to once again be fading away. They blew a late lead in losing in overtime to Toronto and then somehow blew the late eight point lead in Indiana last time out.

With Charlotte nipping on their heels I can totally see da Bulls lose this game and choke in the end. Sure they are playing a little better, save the last two games, as the trades have helped them but New Jersey is still a dangerous team with a blossoming stud in Devin Harris and a still capable semi star in Vince Carter.

I also don't mind how lot of the Chicago players are banged up coming into this thing. I do expect all to play but Rose, John Salmons, Tyrus Thomas and Kirk Hinrich are not 100% and in the end the boys from the Windy City are not worth of laying thus type of a price to even the 31-44 Nets.

Do not be surprised at all to see an outright here so grabbing the points is certainly in my opinion the right side!
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Michigan State vs. CONNECTICUT -4 - at Detroit, MI

Comp Winner # 5 in a row on the Celtics last night.

First game on the ticket in Detroit tonight, as we are taking Michigan State-Connecticut UNDER the posted total.

Both teams stress defense first, and their numbers on the season back that fact up, as the Spartans have gone LOW in 20 of their 33 lined games this year, while the Huskies have played UNDER in 17 of their 29 lined games this season.

Of late, the Spartans are on an 11-4 UNDER tear, and they have stayed LOW in 7 of their last 10 against non-conference foes.

Connecticut is on a 4-1 OVER run dating back to the Big East tournament, but our feeling is if the Spartans are to compete in this game, they are going to have to keep the Huskies from forcing the tempo.

Michigan State was able to hold the high-octane Louisville Cardinals to just 52-points, and we feel they can keep UConn in check in this game as well.

Play on the UNDER in this Spartans-Huskies showdown.

4♦ UNDER
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Orlando -2 at ATLANTA

Hit our third straight FREE winner on Friday as the Magic made it look easy against the Cavaliers. So for tonight we're sticking with Orlando and playing them on the road in Atlanta.

The Magic are making a strong case in the Eastern Conference that they might be the team to survive the playoffs and represent in the NBA Finals. This team is damn good and well-coached and they put it all together on Friday night, crushing the Eastern Conference leading Cavaliers.

Orlando got a 116-87 blowout win over the Cavs on Friday, easily cashing as a 3 1/2-point home favorite. The Magic have won seven of eight overall and they haven't allowed a team to reach the 100-point mark in five straight games.

You've got to believe Friday night was a statement game as the Magic really turned it on and smoked the Cavs. Now they turn around 24 hours later and get to face a Hawks' squad that was in Boston Friday night, losing 104-92 as 4 1/2-point underdogs.

Orlando has won two of three against Atlanta this season and got a 106-102 win in Atlanta on Jan. 7 as a two-point road underdog. The Magic are on ATS streaks of 58-28-3 on the road, 21-8 against teams with winning records, 41-19-1 on Saturdays and 8-3 when playing the second night of a back-to-back.

This game has Orlando written all over it. Play the Magic.

4♦ ORLANDO
 
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VEGAS EXPERTS

Orlando Magic at Atlanta Hawks

All the key factors point to the Hawks here. Orlando is off a huge home win over Cleveland last night, meaning they are in letdown mode. Atlanta has revenge for a 34-point road loss in Orlando three months ago when the teams last met. They are 14-5 ATS when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss. Furthermore, Atlanta, who is 29-9 SU at home this season, is also a perfect 5 for 5 at the betting window as a home underdog.

Play on: Atlanta
 
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Drew Gordon

Orlando -2 at ATLANTA

The Hawks may have a sparkling 29-9 SU & 22-15-1 ATS record in Atlanta, but those records aren't indicative of how poorly this team is playing of late. losers of 5 of their last 7 games (2-4-1 ATS over that span), the Hawks have hit a bit of a slide. Playing against one of the East's Elite won't help their cause much either tonight, as Orlando is not only a tough match up, but playing great ball of late.

How good is Orlando playing? Well, after getting embarassed by the lowly Raptors in their 99-95 home loss Wednesday, the Magic had one of those "team meetings" you always hear about, and the result was, well, magical. Orlando throttled mighty Cleveland in their last one, beating them 116-87 and sending them home with their tail tucked between their legs! Its that kind of effort I expect to see here once again tonight, and that's BAD news for the Hawks.

Hawks also have some fundamental match up problems, as there's no way Horford is going to man-up Howard. Also the absence of F Marvin Williams leaves a hole at the forward spot, leaving journeyman Maurice Evans to guard either Lewis or Turkoglu on the wings. Evans also does little on the offensive end, so his man can sag and help on defense (not the case with Williams in the lineup). In the backcourt, while I give a slight edge to Bibby, Alston has gelled nicely with his new teammates, and it'll show tonight.

Bottom line, the re-energized Magic are one of the "beasts" of the East, and are finally starting to play like it again! Atlanta is a good team, but their a rung below the Magic on the Eastern Conference ladder, and that'll be crystal clear when this one is over. In the end, too many weapons and too much firepower for the Hawks to contend with, especially the way they're playing of late.

Take Orlando over Atlanta in this NBA match up.

2♦ ORLANDO
 

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ok guys, if you want to make money today then play both dogs as I am playing both favorites. if history has taught me anything, these plays have no shot at winning and both games will be close because i think they'll be blowouts.. got that? good..
:103631605
 

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Joe Wiz pay after you win (lost Thurs & Fri)

Orlando

Guaranteed 3-0 and lost New Orleans last night. 1 week free for me.

Joe Wiz premium package - Toronto - Orlando

American Sports Consultants lifetime membership
+$400
$1,000 Toronto
$1,000 Milwaukee
$500 UNC


HOW is WIZ doing CPW :)<<@):) Like the Raptors ?
 

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ASA / Lee Kostroski

9* NCAA Final Four TOP PLAY- EPIC 45-19 run - Apr 04/09

WIN...WIN...WIN...! That's it. That's what my college plays have been doing ALL SEASON LONG. After a HUGE 9* win in the NIT on Tuesday, my run now stands at an EPIC 45-19 in college hoops. Now comes my HIGHEST RATED PLAY in the Final Four on Saturday! We're almost done with college so don't let another profitable day pass you by!
 

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