Saturday 3/21/09 service plays chatter / requests & gm strategy...

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Im chasing a pregressive parlay but can never hit I need like a 10-12 team which is imposible but I can still dream what teams are you leaning on today Mcfly?
 
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Dennis Hill

LSU vs. North Carolina
Play: Under 157.5

Look for both team to turn up the defense in this match-up. North Carolina will try to up tempo this game, while LSU will look to slow it down to a crawl stay in this game. That means a total that will fall around 148. My advice play the UNDER 157.5 which is slightly inflated.
 
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Great Lakes Sports

Maryland vs Memphis
Play: Memphis Tigers

The Memphis Tigers are on a roll going 13-5 ATS in their last eighteen games, and the Tigers are a very solid 21-12 ATS overall this year. The Memphis Tigers is also a very solid 10-5 ATS vs non-conference opponents, and they are a respectable 4-2 ATS when playing in the month of March this year. We look for the Memphis Tigers to put the hammer down, and roll over the Maryland Terrapins for the NCAA Tournament Win & Cover today.
 
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Jeff Benton

For Saturday’s freebie in the Big Dance, we’ll take Maryland plus the points against Memphis.

I couldn’t have been less impressed with the second-seeded Tigers in the opening round when they struggled all day against No. 15 seed Cal-State Northridge. At the same time, I couldn’t have been more impressed with Maryland’s 84-71 trouncing of California. Granted, the Golden Bears out of the Pac-10 definitely struggled over the final month of the season. However, Cal has a lot of talent and it had the added bonus of playing close to home in its own time zone, while Maryland had to travel west.

Yet the Terps were absolutely the fresher team in the second half, as they broke open a three-point game by outscoring Cal 50-40 over the final 20 minutes, and Gary Williams’ team got it done on both ends of the floor. With that victory, Maryland has now won three of four, going 4-0 ATS, with the only loss being a six-point setback to Duke in the ACC tournament semifinals.

Speaking of the ACC, there’s no denying the fact that the Terps are much more battle-tested than Memphis. Maryland played in one of the two best leagues in the nation, while the Tigers once again, cruised through weak Conference USA. In fact, while Maryland has faced the likes of Duke (three times), North Carolina (twice) and Wake Forest (twice) over the last 2½ months, Memphis hasn’t faced a team from a power conference since barely beating Tennessee 54-52 back on Jan. 24 (and Tennessee went one-and-done in the Big Dance). What’s more, Memphis’ three losses this year came against Syracuse (Big East), Georgetown (Big East) and Xavier (a top-25 team all year from the Atlantic 10).

You throw in the fact that Memphis reverted to its god-awful foul-shooting ways against Northridge on Thursday – the Tigers went 12-for-21 from the charity stripe – and I can’t pass up taking this many points with a quality ACC team and a rock-solid coach who owns a national championship ring.

4♦ MARYLAND
 
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Jimmy The Moose

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens
Prediction: over

Toronto has played the over in 2 of their last 3 games. The over is a profitable 23-11 in their last 34 road games. The Maple Leafs have been a very good team this season playing on Saturday night's. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 saturday games. The over is 11-3-4 in Montreal's last 18 games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 15-6-3 in their last 24 games vs. an Eastern Conference opponent. The over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is a money making 21-7-4 in the last 32 meetings between the clubs. Play the over.
 
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Vernon Croy

UCLA vs. Villanova
Play: Villanova -1.5

Take Villanova ATS, Villanova is the better overall team on the court here Saturday and the Bruins are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record over .600. Villanova is 13-1 SU in their last 14 non-conference games. UCLA depends on their 3 point shot but Villanova's perimeter defense has been solid this season while UCLA's perimeter defense has been anything but solid with opponents shooting 40.1% against them from beyond the arc. I have Villanova winning this game by 6-8 points Saturday so take them as your NCAA Bonus Play and make sure you get on my NCAA Hardcore Hoops Smash that cashes hands down Saturday afternoon.
 

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coco i was like nova but like someone said above there are a ton of touts on them i dont know what to think. Ive had my balloon knot push in yesterday so i have no confidence.

Im hoping to see craig davis and anthony redd's plays posted
 
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Craig Trapp

Maryland vs. Memphis U
Play: Maryland +9

Maryland is one of those teams that can not only cover ATS but also upset Memphis and become a great Cinderella story. Lets look at trends and records for these two teams!

Team records:

Maryland: 21-13 SU, 16-10-2 ATS

Memphis: 32-3 SU, 20-12-2 ATS

Trends:

Terrapins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Terrapins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Tigers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.

Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.

Maryland has went from a bubble team to a possible Sweet 16 Cinderella team. This will be a classic defense vs offense match up. Memphis has the best man to man defense in the country while Maryland is a very good offensive team. Greivis Vasquez picked up 27 points on Thursday afternoon as No. 10 Maryland rolled to an 84-71 win over No. 7 California in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Vasquez has been almost unstoppable in the last 5 games and Memphis even though very solid on defense will still struggle to stop him. Don't buy into the hype of Memphis they have not beat anybody for the last two months playing in a very weak Conference USA. Memphis was upset about a #2 seed but after this loss on Saturday will have nothing to cry about. Enjoy the big upset here. SCORE MARY 70 - MEM 68
 
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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Washington Wizards

The Wizards take on the Suns in Phoenix tonight off last night's loss at Denver with revenge on their minds. Washington checks in of last night's loss with revenge while the Suns enter off a double-digit revenge win with a revenger up next against Denver. With phoenix just 1-7 ATS in this series when the Wizards are unrested, we'll grab the bundle of points against the disinterested Suns tonight.
 
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Matt Rivers

For Saturday take Purdue at this near-pick.

There are certainly some positives here in this one for the Washington Huskies but I just believe that Matt Painter's Boilermakers are too solid overall to fail in this spot.

Lorenzo Romar's Huskies are very good and winning the regular season Pac 10 title proves just that. Jon Brockman and the fellas are also playing almost at home here as they are all the way out west at the Rose Garden in Portland. No doubt that is a big factor but the Huskies still do not play the defense that the Boilers do and in the end that will be their downfall.

The second half was not exactly a clinic on Thursday for Purdue as they won but did not cover against Northern Iowa after building the big early lead. To be honest that does not scare me all that much as the boys from West Lafayette jumped out early and won in the end which good teams seem to do.

With a healthy Robbie Hummel helping out very quality players in JaJuan Johnson, E'Twaun Grant and Keaton Grant I do not see Painter's crew coming up short. Sure they are up against a powerful offense that can score in bunches but today is going to be about defense and it's going to be the Boilers who survive and advance!
 
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Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

Missouri takes care of business and comes through easily for us as we nail yet another Comp Play winner. That puts us at 7-2 our last 9 Comp Plays, including 4 straight winners in this spot.

We’re nailing another today as we’re taking Memphis over Maryland in this second round matchup in The Tournament.

Memphis comes into this game installed as about a 9-point favorite and the Tigers will blow right past that against the Terrapins.

You might be scared off by that performance by Memphis in The Tournament’s opening round against Cal State Northridge, where the Tigers were installed as a 20-point favorite, but only won 81-70 and had to play catchup after falling into a 62-56 hole.

However, consider that down the stretch Memphis outscored the Matadors 25-8 to run away with the game.

Still, even with that non-cover, the Tigers are 4-2 ATS their last six games and have won 26 consecutive games SU.

Consider, also, Memphis has covered in 14 of their last 19 games and is 12-5 ATS its last 17 games when installed as a favorite. The Tigers have also covered in 4 of their last 5 games when installed as a favorite of between 7 and 12 1/2 points.

Keep in mind, too, that for the season Memphis has outscored its opponents, on average, 74.3-57.3 overall and 70.7-57.6 at neutral sites.

The Tigers will destroy Maryland and cruise to an easy victory in this one. Take Memphis easily in this one.

3♦ MEMPHIS
 
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Bobby Maxwell

L.A. Lakers -4 at CHICAGO

We've got a winner for you today on the pro hardwood as we play the Lakers in Chicago to take on the Bulls.

I know the Lakers haven't been much at the betting window lately, but they love these scenarios when they go into an opponents house and can end a streak. They went to Boston and got a win this season, went to Cleveland and ended their home streak and they'll end Chicago's little streak today.

The Bulls have won seven straight at home (SU and ATS) and against some of the tougher competition in the NBA, including Boston, New Orleans, Houston and Orlando. So the Lakers know they'll have another streak-breaking win on their resume with a victory tonight.

Chicago has covered seven of their last eight games while the Lakers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10. But the problem comes in that the Bulls haven't been able to contain the Lakers in their last three meetings. Los Angeles has won three straight and five of the last six in this series (5-1 ATS). The Lakers got a 116-109 home win back in November but came up short as a 13-point favorite. Prior to that they had covered in five straight.

Kobe and the Lakers come out focused in this one as they begin a seven-game road trip against Eastern Conference teams. It isn't the greuling Eastern swing through Orlando, Boston and Cleveland, but this one will tell us a lot about the Lakers. Honestly, the Lakers focus better on the road and they'll come out and get this one by 8 tonight.

3♦ L.A. LAKERS


Michigan vs. Oklahoma -6', at Kansas City, Mo.

Today we've got you another one as we go with Oklahoma to get the win and cover against Michigan.

The Sooners are one of the top 5 teams in the country and Blake Griffin is by far the most talented player in college basketball. Today, they'll get the job done against Michigan and advance to the Sweet 16.

Oklahoma scored an 82-54 win over Morgan State on Thursday and covered as a 15-point favorite, ending their three-game ATS rut. Griffin had 28 points and 13 rebounds and led the Sooners to 60.4 percent shooting and they held the Bears to 28.6 percent from the floor.

Michigan upset Clemson in the opener 62-59 as a 4 1/2-point underdog. The Wolverines got outrebounded by 12 and allowed 20 offensive rebounds. If they do the same tonight, Oklahoma is going to end up blowoing out the Wolverines.

Neither of these teams has been much ATS but what you've got to look at is the competition level and we like what the Sooners did in the Big 12.

Oklahoma has the best player in the country and he'll will them to this win and cover. Play the Sooners.

4♦ OKLAHOMA
 

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mcfly, I didnt see it posted here so I posted it! I didnt get it from CoCo I got it from a different board that was posted at 2 am! But whatever
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline

UCLA vs. VILLANOVA -2 - at Philadelphia, PA

For Saturday in the college ranks, we will back Villanova as the small favorite over UCLA.

Both teams survived Thursday night scares, as 'Nova trailed by as many as 14 against American before rallying, and nearly covering their 15-point impost. Meanwhile, UCLA allowed VCU to come from 12 down to nearly nip them outright at the buzzer.

Our feeling is Villanova has received its wake up call, and will come out strong in this one. The fact the Wildcats play a handful of their regular season home games on this court also should help matters at this near pick price.

It looks to us like the linesmakers have pegged the price on this game about right, but we feel the "home court" advantage Villanova enjoys will be enough to send them on to the Sweet 16.

Play on the 'Cats minus the small impost.

3♦ VILLANOVA
 

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im sure every pick you post here you buy yourself though, so I guess I'll just leave and not participate.
 
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DUNKEL

LA Lakers at Chicago
The high-scoring Lakers (108.1 ppg) face a Chicago team that is 9-2 ATS against good offensive teams (99+ ppg) in the second half of the season. The Bulls are the underdog pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Los Angeles favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4 1/2).

Game 501-502: Atlanta at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 121.127; Cleveland 126.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+8 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Indiana at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 113.359; Charlotte 122.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 9; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: New York at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.488; Orlando 126.816
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 12; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+12); Under

Game 507-508: Boston at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.008; Memphis 114.210
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 193 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: LA Lakers at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.138; Chicago 120.503
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Portland at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 119.606; Milwaukee 116.900
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 185 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Washington at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.327; Phoenix 122.901
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 13 1/2; 231
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


NCAAB

Texas vs. Duke
The Blue Devils are coming off an 86-62 win over Binghamton and look to build on their 9-3 ATS record after scoring 80 point or more in their previous game. Duke is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6 1/2).

Game 515-516: LSU vs. North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 64.690; North Carolina 77.502
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 13
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 11
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-11)

Game 517-518: Texas vs. Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 65.160; Duke 73.855
Dunkel Line: Duke by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6 1/2)

Game 519-520: Texas A&M vs. Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 66.587; Connecticut 76.078
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+10)

Game 521-522: UCLA vs. Villanova
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 71.127; Villanova 71.566
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Villanova by 2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2)

Game 523-524: Maryland vs. Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 65.640; Memphis 75.730
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 10
Vegas Line: Memphis by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8 1/2)

Game 525-526: Michigan vs. Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 66.717; Oklahoma 71.384
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+7)

Game 527-528: Purdue vs. Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 68.654; Washington 73.058
Dunkel Line: Washington by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 1
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-1)

Game 529-530: Western Kentucky vs. Gonzaga
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 61.984; Gonzaga 71.097
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 9
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 11
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+11)

Game 531-532: Baylor vs. Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 65.408; Virginia Tech 72.403
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 7
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-3 1/2)


NHL

Buffalo at NY Rangers
The Sabres dropped their third straight last night against Philadelphia and run into a New York team that is 5-2 in March. The Rangers are the pick (-175) according to Dunkel, which has New York favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-175).

Game 1-2: Dallas at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.796; San Jose 11.168
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-250); Under

Game 3-4: Toronto at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.621; Montreal 11.113
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-230); 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-230); Over

Game 5-6: NY Islanders at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.592; Ottawa 11.463
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+200); Over

Game 7-8: Columbus at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.007; Florida 10.969
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+110); Under

Game 9-10: Buffalo at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.080; NY Rangers 13.070
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-175); Under

Game 11-12: Washington at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.260; Carolina 12.057
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Over

Game 13-14: Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.489; Tampa Bay 10.730
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-105); Over

Game 15-16: Vancouver at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.128; Phoenix 10.615
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-170); Under
 

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me too g-man is up and down but the forty dimers bet the house I like nova cause I"m bias but ucla may just pull off the spead
 
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Jack Jones

Texas A&M +10.5 over UConn

Thanks to the Huskies dominating win over an under-talented Chattanooga game this spread got stretched a little bit and shows a little value by taking the Aggies. I've been impressed with how A&M has been playing. They easily took care of BYU in the first round which was a surprise after losing to Texas Tech in the Big 12 tournament, but prior to that had won six straight including wins over Missouri and Texas. The Aggies do a decent job of shooting the three, and the Huskies perimeter defense hasn't been the same since the loss of Dyson. Take the points.
 

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