Saturday 2/14/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Jim's NCAAB Bonus Play for Saturday, February 14, 2015: 6:00 PM

(587) DUKE VS (588) SYRACUSE

Take: over the total.

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, February 14, 2015 is in the ACC contest between the Duke Blue Devils and the Orangemen at Syracuse. Both teams have plenty of offensive punch inside and out. This is going to be a huge game for the home team. Syracuse has a self-imposed postseason ban pending the outcome of an investigation into violations that date back nearly a decade. Last week the school voluntarily pulled itself out of any tournament consideration -- the ACC tournament included -- while awaiting the results of an investigation by the NCAA Committee on Infractions on potential wrongdoing in the athletic department between 2007-12. Syracuse is on a 4-1-1 run over the total, the over is 3-0-1 in the Orangemen's last 4 home games and the over is 7-1-2 against a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Syracuse defense is a concern, losing at North Carolina (93-83) as +10 dog, and losing at Pitt (83-77). They face a Duke team that is 9th in the nation in scoring offense (80.4 ppg) and 6th in shooting 50% from the field. 6-6 freshman Justise Winslow (11.4 ppg, 5.3 rpg), 6-11 freshman Jahlil Okafor (18 ppg, 9.3 rpg), 6-2 senior Quinn Cook (14 ppg), 6-9 junior Amile Jefferson (8 ppg, 7 rpg) lead this attacking offense that is 9-3 over the total against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Duke failed to cover the last game and the over is 8-3 in the Blue Devils last 11 games following a spread loss. Play Duke/Syracuse Over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Florida vs. Texas A&M

Bonus Play Texas A&M

The marketplace continues to overrate Florida based on past success. Truth is these Gators aren't very good. That's evident by their 12-12 record. They are 2-6 SU and ATS in their last eight games, falling shy by an average of 7.8 points per game of market expectations during this span.
Florida is off home losses to Kentucky and Mississippi. The Gators fell to Mississippi this past Thursday as five-point favorites, losing by one point on a 3-pointer with 2.7 seconds left. The Gators went all out in that contest and have had only one day to prepare for their trip to College Station. They are 2-7 ATS in their last nine Saturday games.
Texas A&M is a bubble team at 16-7. The Aggies don't look at the Gators as merely a .500 club, but as a long-time power while recalling an embarrassing 33-point road loss to them last year. They won't lack motivation.
The Aggies are 10-2 at home. They catch Florida playing without its leading scorer, Michael Frazier II. He's by far the Gators' best long-range shooter. The Aggies also have covered the past five Saturdays.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports

Mansfield Town vs. Northampton Town

Free Small play on the draw at plus 230. I hop to see a 1-1 final.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Fargo

Villanova vs. Butler

Bonus Play Butler

The Big East is still a pretty wide open race with the top four teams within two and a half games of each other. Two of those teams square off Saturday as Villanova travels to Butler to face the Bulldogs. The Wildcats are in first place in the conference, a half-game ahead of Butler and they are on a roll with wins in five straight games as well as covering in all of those. They have been a covering machine for most of the season and the recent surge is again putting the public squarely behind them despite Butler not doing a bad job against the number themselves. Butler has also won five in a row and has been off since last Saturday. While that could normally trigger a loss of momentum from the winning streak, I think it actually benefits the Bulldogs as they have has extra time to prepare for a very tough opponent. Butler has already seen first hand how tough the Wildcats are as they opened the Big East season with an 11-point loss at Villanova. They have dropped only two games since then by a combined six points and revenge will be at the forefront on Saturday. Play (590) Butler Bulldogs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Jones

Pepperdine vs. Gonzaga

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Pepperdine +18.5

The Pepperdine Waves get another chance to upset the No. 3 Gonzaga Bulldogs on Saturday in this West Coast Conference showdown. The Waves have played the Bulldogs as tough as anyone has, and I look for them to be competitive in this one as well.

Indeed, Pepperdine only lost to Gonzaga 76-78 as 12-point home underdogs about exactly a month ago on January 15th. After only losing by two points in the first meeting, I have no doubt they can stay within this massive 18.5-point spread on the road in the rematch. After all, the Bulldogs haven't beaten them by more than 17 in any of the last three meetings.

Pepperdine is one of the most underrated teams in the country at 15-10 on the season. It proved that in the narrow defeat against Gonzaga, and it has been proving it for much of the year. That is evident by its 15-6-2 ATS mark up to this point. It actually comes into this game undervalued again due to back-to-back blowout losses to Portland and San Diego.

Let's take a look at a couple other impressive performances from the Waves this season to show that they are for real. They only lost by 11 at Iwwa as 16-point dogs, by 7 at Arizona State as 8-point dogs, and by 2 to Richmond as 5-point road dogs. They have upset BYU twice, winning by 6 as 15-point road dogs and by 6 as 2-point home dogs. They also won at St. Mary's by 5 as 8-point road dogs and by 12 at San Diego as 4-point road dogs.

The Bulldogs have really been overvalued for quite some time now due to their high national ranking and their 25-1 record. With that ranking and record come expectations from oddsmakers and the betting public that are very tough to live up to. They are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Six of their last nine wins have come by 18 points or less.

Pepperdine is 10-1 ATS versus good passing teams that average 16 or more assists over the last two seasons. The Waves are 9-1 ATS versus good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game over the last two years. Pepperdine is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last two seasons. Gonzaga is 1-9 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in two straight games over the last two years. Bet Pepperdine Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Diamond

Pepperdine vs. Gonzaga

Bonus Play: Gonzaga over Pepperdine

Last time vs. Peppy the Zags went soft winning just 78-76 laying doubles no less. Granted the visitor here has been hot on the Vegas sheets, but we doubt they will execute their normal floor games vs. a unit with an RPI of 0.6500, SOS #87. In the WCC the Zags are 13-0 SU, and are gunning for the FINAL FOUR. Peppy shows with a solid offensive approach, but will be disrupted by the "hands" of Gonzaga. Their RPI math is rated #142 with an SOS of #179...GONZAGA BY 20

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kyle Hunter

Oklahoma vs. Kansas State

*3 Star Free Pick* Oklahoma

The Oklahoma Sooners were upset by the Kansas State Wildcats in Norman earlier this year. Oklahoma has been playing tremendous basketball in recent weeks though, and I like their chances of returning the favor here. Kansas State gets back Marcus Foster for this one, but often it takes more than one game for a player to get back into the flow after being out for a long period of time. Oklahoma likes to play fast, but their defense has been shutting down the opposition in the Big 12. Kansas State is offensively challenged to begin with, and they are up against the best defense in the Big 12 here. Oklahoma will be highly motivated, and I think they get their revenge in a solid win. Take Oklahoma.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Seton Hall vs. Providence

Play - Seton Hall.

Edges - Pirates: 7-2 SUATS with revenge in this series. Friars: 1-5 SUATS before facing DePaul; and 5-9 ATS as favorites versus sub .666 opponents. With the Pirates looking to avenge a loss in last year’s Big East tourney to Providence, we recommend a 1-unit play on Seton Hall. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[sportslover1]

Bondi 5 Star college hops? TIA