Jack Jones
Kentucky vs Georgia Tech
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Kentucky/Georgia Tech OVER 62
Two of the top rushing offenses in the country will be on display when Georgia Tech takes on Kentucky in the TaxSlayer Bowl. The Yellow Jackets sit 10th nationally with an average of 257.4 yards per game on the ground. The Wildcats rank third in the SEC and 16th in the country with 241.3 yards per game themselves.
This Georgia Tech offense is led by senior Justin Thomas, who passed for 1,454 yards while also rushing for 562 yards this season. He led game-winning drives through the air against both Boston College and Georgia to close out the season. Freshman Dedrick Mills has rushed for 602 yards and 11 touchdowns in only eight games and should be primed for a huge day on the ground.
Kentucky features a pair of 1,000-yard rushers in Stanley Williams (1,135 yards, 7 TD, 7.1/carry) and freshman sensation Benny Snell (1,057 yards, 13 TD, 5.9/carry). Stephen Johnson was a steady hand at the quarterback position with 1,862 passing yards, 12 touchdowns and only six interceptions while averaging 8.1 yards per attempt this season. He did a remarkable job after taking over for Drew Barker.
Kentucky averaged 42.0 points per game in its final three contests. It scored 36 points and racked up 635 total yards in a 36-49 loss to Tennessee. The Wildcats also beat Louisville 41-38 in the season finale while gaining 581 total yards against a very good Cardinals defense.
Since both teams prefer to run the ball, the reason I like the OVER here is that both defenses struggle to stop the run. Kentucky allows 225 rushing yards per game and 5.1 per carry on the season, while Georgia Tech gives up 174 rushing yards per game and 4.8 per carry. Kentucky’s opponents only average 190 rushing yards per game and 4.7 per carry on the season, so it is giving up 35 yards and 0.4 per carry more than they average. Georgia Tech’s opponents average 164 yards per game and 4.3 per carry, so it is giving up 10 yards and 0.5 per carry more.
Kentucky is 7-0 to the OVER in non-conference games over the last two seasons. The Wildcats are also 7-0 to the OVER off an upset win as an underdog. The OVER is 12-4-1 in Yellow Jackets' last 17 non-conference games. The OVER is 4-1 in Wildcats last five vs. ACC opponents. Look for plenty of offensive fireworks in this game Saturday. Bet the OVER in the TaxSlayer Bowl.