Saturday 12/27/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. Vegas

Saturday Free Bowl pick 12/27:

Miami vs. South Carolina. A pair of strong offenses with good QB play meet -- and suspect defenses. Miami is 7-3 over the total in the Hurricanes last 10 games following a ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in USC Gamecocks last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Play Miami/South Carolina over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Comp Pick for Saturday, December 27, 2014: 10:05 PM EST NBA

(517) NEW YORK KNICKS VS (518) SACRAMENTO KINGS

Take: (518) SACRAMENTO KINGS.

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, December 27, 2014 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the New York Knicks and Sacramento Kings. Sacramento is home and recently got star center DeMarcus Cousins back. He's averaged 25 in four games since missing 10 with viral meningitis. The Kings rank 8th in the NBA in rebounds with a good offense and face a NY Knicks team that isn't doing anything right, 27th in scoring, 29th in rebounds and 17th in points allowed. They have dropped six straight and 16 of 17. The Knicks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing record. Play the Kings!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports

North Carolina-Wilmington vs. Minnesota

Free pick on UNCW +19.5

Minnesota is 10-2 and 8-0 at home but has played a weak schedule and will be looking ahead to playing some Big Ten (Purdue) teams later in the week. The Gophers do have some solid scorers as they have five players between 10 ppg and 14 ppg. Furman was able to stay within 10 points in Minnesota's last home game.

UNCW started the year losing by 20 at ODU but only lost by 11 at Louisville in a recent loss. That game was alos a Bonus Play for us at Red Dog Sports. The Seahawks are led by Freddy Jackson at 16 ppg, Ponder 11.7, Spruill 11 and Williams 8 ppg. Look for the visitors to stay within 18 and cover.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony George

Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati

Military Bowl – BOWL Bonus Play Virginia Tech

Well you have one thing going for you if you are backing VT in this game, Bud Fosters defense. The mystic has worn off of Hokies as both father time has caught up with Frank Beamer and the offense is outdated and depleted in talent for VT versus past years editions. They had to win their last game of the season to become bowl eligible and their only 2 wins this season that mattered in terms of national attention was an early season win at Ohio State and a 1 point win at Duke late in the season. What sticks out is a 6-3 loss at Wake Forest, just inexcusable for a program like VT. How things have changed in Blacksburg.

The Bearcats roll in here with huge momentum with 7 straight wins (6-0-1 ATS) to end the season, a co-conference title, and an offense led by Notre Dame transfer Gunner Kiel who is a dual threat and makes Cincy go. Momentum HOWEVER IS NOT ON THE SIDE OF ANY BOWL TEAM. Too much time has passed. The easy route to lay the measly 3 points with a high octane offense and go against an average VT team here which EXACTLY Why I am taking VT in this game. Frank Beamer and Bud Foster have 4 weeks to prepare basically for a team who played in a very weak conference and the wins over bowl bound Duke, and Final 4 contender Ohio State tells me VT can win this game and Beamer can still get his boys up for a big game. Cincy has not seen a defense like this one gents, that is the difference.

Free Pro Pick on Virginia Tech

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ari Atari

Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati Military Bowl

Bonus Play Cincinnati

have been high on Cincinnati all year and have no reason not to take them today. Virginia Tech is a very young talented team, but they won't be able to handle one of the hottest teams in the country. It's best to buy down Cincy to -2.5 just in case Vtech's extra time off to get their defensive scheme ready keeps it close, but even if they keep it close Cincy will cover with a field goal at the end.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Xander Locke

Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati

MILITARY BOWL BIG$ HIGH% XANDER LOCKE WINNER

Virginia Tech is just flat out the better team here. Virginia Tech has a pair of impressive road wins which includes a 35-21 win over then #8 Ohio State on Sept. 6 and 17-16 over then #19 Duke on Nov. 15. Plus, the Hokies allow a mere average of 20.4 points per game. They're ranked 18th in NCAAF in points allowed. Virginia Tech will win this one, but getting +3 points makes this one TOO EASY.

TAKE VIRGINIA TECH

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Miami FL at South Carolina 3:30PM

Prediction: South Carolina

Edges - Gamecocks: 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS versus ACC opponents; and SEC bowl dogs off a double-digit spread loss are 16-6 ATS.? Hurricanes: 1-5 SUATS last six bowl games.? With the Gamecocks a Top 10 ranked team in the preseason polls, and an 11-win team each of the previous three seasons, the points become the play here today.? We recommend a 1-unit play on South Carolina in the Independence Bowl.? Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

Nebraska at USC 8:00PM

Free Pick USC

Anytime a team loses their head coach prior to their bowl game, they typically don't play up to their potential. We saw this already this year, with Colorado State getting clobbered 45-10 by Utah after Jim McElwain jumped ship to take over at Florida. The big key here is that even had Bo Pelini not been fired, I wouldn't give Nebraska much of a chance to keep this game within a touchdown.

This USC team was a couple of fluke plays away from going 10-2, which would have had them win the Pac-12 South and take on Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship Game. The Trojans lost on a last second Hail Mary in a 34-38 home defeat to Arizona State and Utah scored the game-winning touchdown with just 8 seconds left to play in a 21-24 loss to the Utes.

I look for USC to take out their frustrations and make a statement here against the Cornhuskers. Nebraska relies almost exclusively on their running game offensively and that plays right into the strength of the Trojans defense, which finished the year 27th in the country against the run (132.5 ypg).

While USC figures to keep the Cornhuskers offense in check, they should have a field day offensively against this poor excuse of a Nebraska defense. The fact that Cornhuskers finished the year 47th in total defense is a complete joke, as it was largely due to an easy schedule.

The key thing to keep in mind is that they allowed 471.7 ypg over their last 3 games, including that awful showing against Wisconsin where they let Melvin Gordon set the single-game record for rushing yards (Badgers as a team rushed for 581 yards). While USC's offense has had more success through the air than on the ground, they certainly have the talent at running back to have their way on the ground (rushed for 200+ yards 6 times).

USC is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against the Big Ten and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games, while Nebraska is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus the Pac-12. These trends combine to form a 85% (22-4) system in favor of the Trojans. Take USC!