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Can'tPickaWinner2

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College Football: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Duke Blue Devils vs Arizona State Sun Devils December 27, 02:00 EST

Sun Bowl Stadium in El Paso has Duke Blue Devils trying to win a bowl game for the first time in five attempts while Arizona State Sun Devils aim for a second Bowl victory in it's past six Bowl appearances.

Duke's sturdy defense allowing 20.6 points/game will surely be tested in this contest by a potent Arizona State attack churning out 446.5 total yards, 37.0 points/game which is sparked by QB Taylor Kelly's 1874 PassY, 232 RusY, 23 TD's and Foster's 1002 RusY, 646 RecY 12 majors. ASU's high powered offense is being given the nod by oddsmakers as Sun Devils have been pegged 7.5 point favorites.

No likely upset but Todd Graham's troops are in dangerous betting territory. Sun Devils have not responded vs the betting line away from Temple posting a 5-7 ATS record, 3-6 ATS last nine away as chalks of seven or more points, 1-5 ATS last six at a neutral site and just 2-8 ATS scoring 30 or less points. On the other side, Blue Devils have been cash cows grabbing the loot in 14 of it's last 20 games including 8-3 ATS away from home.
 
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Can'tPickaWinner2

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NCAAF

Military Bowl, Annapolis, 12/27

Virginia Tech coach Beamer had throat surgery after regular season, will coach this game from press box; Hokies lost three of last four bowls, two of last three going to OT- they lost 27-24 to Cincinnati in regular season game two years ago. Bearscats are 2-3 in last five bowls, but Tuberville is 7-4 as bowl coach. Cincy won last seven games, all by 7+ points; they allowed 41+ points in all three losses this year. Tech needs win to avoid first losing season since '92; they're 3-5 vs spread in games with single digit spread; Cincy is 4-1-1. Hokies figure to have crowd edge with game in their region. Favorite won this game last five years, covering four, with four of five going over total.


Sun Bowl, El Paso 12/27

Duke lost its last four bowls, allowing 45.8 ppg; their last bowl win was in 1960. Blue Devils are 19-7 SU last two years, covering seven of last nine as an underdog. Arizona State lost four of last five bowls, allowing 42.8 ppg; Graham is 4-2 in bowls. This is third year in row ASU is 8+ point bowl favorite; they lost LY to Texas Tech in Holiday Bowl. Sun Devils are 3-4 in games with single digit spreads, Duke is 4-3. ASU gave up 31+ points in last four games. Dogs won this game three of last four years, covered four of last five, with four of five going over total. ACC teams are 1-3 in this game last four years.


Independence Bowl, Shreveport, 12/27

Miami lost its last four bowls, scoring 14.3 ppg; their last bowl win was eight years ago in Boise. South Carolina won last three bowls, scoring an average of 32.3 ppg; Spurrier is 10-10 overall in bowls. Miami lost last three games, allowing 31.7 ppg; they're 0-4 as underdogs this year, 2-5 in games with single digit spread. Gamecocks are 1-7 as a favorite this year, 2-4 in games with single digit spread. Over last three years, SEC teams are 18-8 in bowls, 13-9-1 vs spread as favorites; ACC teams are 10-13 in bowls, 6-9-1 as underdogs. Favorites won/covered this bowl four of last five years; over is 2-0-1 in this game last three years.


Pinstripe Bowl, Bronx 12/27

At one point, BC had won eight straight bowls, but they're 0-4 in bowls since then, scoring 14.8 ppg. Eagles are 4-1 on road this year, losing by a FG at Florida State; they're 4-4 in games with a single digit spread. Penn State lost six of their last eight games after 4-0 start; they're down to 41 scholarship players due to probation/injuries. PSU is 1-5 in games with single digit spread; they're in first bowl since '11, and lost three of last four bowls before that. Franklin was 2-1 in bowls at Vandy. Underdogs covered this bowl last three years, with all three staying under the total. Game is sold out with large alumni bases close by.


Holiday Bowl, San Diego 12/27

Over last three years, Big 14 teams are 7-15 in bowls, 5-10-1 vs spread when getting points. Nebraska upgraded by firing Pelini and hiring Riley from Oregon State; Riley isn't coaching this game, but his Beavers lost 35-10 to USC in late September- he probably helped some in game prep. Cornhuskers are 1-3 in last four bowls; since beginning of '12 season, they're -25 in turnovers, -2 this year. USC will have crowd edge being 120 miles away; this is first visit to this bowl for Trojans, who are 4-1 n last ive bowls. Sarkisian was 1-2 as bowl coach at Washington. Dogs won/covered last three Holiday Bowls; last five stayed under total.
 
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Can'tPickaWinner2

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VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 6) vs. CINCINNATI (9 - 3) - 12/27/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DUKE (9 - 3) vs. ARIZONA ST (9 - 3) - 12/27/2014, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MIAMI (6 - 6) vs. S CAROLINA (6 - 6) - 12/27/2014, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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PENN ST (6 - 6) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 5) - 12/27/2014, 4:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NEBRASKA (9 - 3) vs. USC (8 - 4) - 12/27/2014, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 
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NCAAF

Trends

DECEMBER 27, 1:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games
Virginia Tech is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

DECEMBER 27, 2:00 PM
DUKE vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke's last 8 games
Duke is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
Arizona State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

DECEMBER 27, 3:30 PM
MIAMI vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
South Carolina is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games

DECEMBER 27, 4:30 PM
PENN STATE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Penn State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Penn State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston College's last 8 games

DECEMBER 27, 8:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. SOUTHERN CAL
Nebraska is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Nebraska is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Southern Cal is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 5 games
 
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NCAAF

Military Bowl
Virginia Tech vs Cincinnati
Five of six Military Bowls played OVER the total
Cincinnati 3-8 ATS past 11 bowl games
Cincinnati ended year on seven-game win streak, 6-0-1 ATS

Sun Bowl
Duke vs Arizona State
OVER is 7-2 past nine Sun Bowls
Underdogs are 6-2 ATS past 8 Sun Bowls
Duke lost only two previous bowls, allowing 100 points total
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS past six bowl games

Independence Bowl
Miami vs South Carolina
Favorites are 9-2 ATS past 11 Independence Bowls
Miami lost five of past six bowls SU and ATS

Pinstripe Bowl
Boston College vs Penn State
Underdog covered past three Pinstripe Bowls (all UNDER plays)
BC is 1-7 ATS, 2-6 SU past eight bowl games
Penn State is 0-3-1 ATS past four bowl games

Holiday Bowl
Nebraska vs USC
The past six Holiday Bowls played UNDER the total
Big 12 teams won four of past five Holiday Bowls vs Pac-12
UNDER is 6-1 past seven Nebraska bowl games
USC is 8-2 SU and ATS past 10 bowl games
 
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NCAAF Tech Trends - Bowls
By Bruce Marshall

Saturday, December 27

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

VIRGINIA TECH vs. CINCINNATI (Military Bowl)...
Beamer's 22nd straight bowl for VPI, he's 9-11-1 vs. spread the previous 21 bowls since '93 season. But Hokies only 5-7 vs. line TY and 17-34-1 vs. number since late 2010. Tuberville 7-0 SU, 6-0-1 vs. line down stretch with Bearcats this season. Teams met in 2009 Orange Bowl (Beamer a 20-7 winner over Brian Kelly's Cincy).

Cincy, based on recent trends.


DUKE vs. ARIZONA STATE (Sun Bowl)...
Duke third straight bowl for first time. Todd Graham 4-1 SU and vs. lien in bowls, but ASU only 5-7 vs. line away from Tempe past two seasons. Blue Devils 18-7-1 vs. line since 2013, and 7-3 as dog over that span. David Cutcliffe also 5-1 vs. line in bowls with Ole Miss & Duke.

Duke, based on team trends.


MIAMI-FLA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA (Duck Commander Independence Bowl)...
Canes 1-5 vs. line last six bowls, and Miami no covers last three this season. Canes also 2-8 vs. number last 10 away from home, and 6-14 overall last 20 vs. spread since early 2013. Spurrier has won his last three bowls and is 9-5-1 vs. points last 15 vs. non-SEC foes and 15-8 last 23 as dog since 2009.

South Carolina, based on team trends.


PENN STATE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (Yankee Pinstripe Bowl)...
Penn State only 2-6 vs. spread down the stretch in 2014. Also 1-4 vs. spread away from home and 2-9 vs. number last 11 away from Happy Valley. BC covered 7 of last 10 this season and is 14-8 vs. number last 22 on board.

BC, based on team trends.


NEBRASKA vs. SOUTHERN CAL (Holiday Bowl)...
Interestingly, this is SC's first-ever appearance in the Holiday Bowl. Sarkisian 3-1 SU and vs. line in bowls with U-Dub. But Trojans only 2-4 vs. line away from home TY. Huskers 5-2 as dog since last season and 5-4 vs. line last nine bowls.

Slight to Nebraska, based on team trends.
 
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Can'tPickaWinner2

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Jeff Saad of Las Vegas Sports Services

12/27: Saturday CFB Free Pick: Nebraska/USC Under the total.

USC has a talented defense and Nebraska is 6-1 under the total in bowls, 20-7 under the total on natural grass. It is a run-oriented offense for the Huskers, but USC has a strong D-line. The under is 7-0-1 in the Trojans last 8 games in December, too.
 
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