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Can'tPickaWinner2

Can'tPickaWinner2

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Saturday’s six-pack

— Pair of sunglasses in a shop in the Aria casino cost $2,700. Seriously.

— Thunder 117, Celtics 112— Westbrook had 45 points, 11 boards, 11 assists- they should give him the MVP trophy right now. Great player.

— Lane Kiffin hired Kendal Briles as his new OC; FAU is going to have a really good offense.

— Eastern Michigan’s kicker wears number 65; it just looks weird.

— Braves signed CF Ender Inciarte to a 5-year, $30.5M contract extension.

— Guy in charge of the replay monitor at the Wyoming-USC game*last night had a great t-shirt on; an old Pittsburgh Condors’ ABA t-shirt, with a Pirates’ cap. Tremendous t-shirt.
 
Can'tPickaWinner2

Can'tPickaWinner2

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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday

Merry Christmas to all, and here’s my Saturday Bonus Play (analysis will return on Tuesday).

111 VIKINGS at 112 PACKERS 1:00 PM

Take: PACKERS -6.5
 
Can'tPickaWinner2

Can'tPickaWinner2

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Jimmy Boyd

Dolphins vs Bills

Free Pick on Bills -

I think the Bills are one of the more underrated teams in the league right now. Buffalo’s only loss against a team that’s currently not in the playoffs, was a Week 2 defeat to the Jets. Four have come against division leaders in New England, Seattle, Oakland and Pittsburgh. The other a 25-28 loss at Miami.

At the same time, I think Miami is overvalued right now. The Dolphins are 8-1 in their last 9 and fresh off a 21-point win at New York. The blowout win over the Jets has covered up the loss of Tannehill. The thing you have to keep in mind, is New York threw the towel in on this season weeks ago. No disrespect to Moore, but this is not the same team without Tannehill under center.

The big key here is that Buffalo still believes they are in the playoff mix. Even though their chances are slim, NFL teams aren’t going to give up until they are officially out. On top of that, they are to be out for revenge here from that earlier loss to the Dolphins. Keep in mind the the Bills have won 4 straight at home over Miami. Each of the last 3 coming by at least 16 points.

I expect a huge effort here from the Buffalo defense, who was embarrassed in that first meeting. The Bills allowed Jay Ajayi to rush for 214 yards and gave up 454 total yards to the Dolphins. Plus, Miami’s ground game has fallen off quite a bit since the last time they played. The Dolphins have failed to rush for more than 83 yards in each of their last 3 and failed to eclipse 100 in 5 straight.

I believe it will be Buffalo’s ground game that ends up being the story here. The Bills own the league’s top ranked rushing attack at 163.6 ypg. They will be facing a Miami defense that ranks 30th against the run, giving up 132.5 ypg.

Dolphins are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 division road games, losing on average by 11.8 ppg. Miami is also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games played in the month of December. Take Buffalo!
 
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