Mr. Vegas
Mr. Vegas Free Saturday NBA pick 12/13: 10:05 PM ET
(515) DETROIT PISTONS VS (516) SACRAMENTO KINGS
Take: (516) SACRAMENTO KINGS
The Detroit Pistons are making a great case for being the worst team in the NBA this season as they sit at 3-19 overall and 1-8 on the road. They haven't been much better for the bettors either with a 6-16 ATS mark and 3-6 road record. Not only are the Pistons a slow team (90.8 pace, league avg is 92.7), but their offensive efficiency is just 100.8, well below the league avg of 107. The Kings haven't played poorly as they sit at 11-12 overall and 6-6 at home. The Kings are coming off a tough OT home loss to the Rockets, 113-109. At least the Kings are much more efficient on offense then the Pistons, with a 107.9 rating, just above the league avg. This game should be rather low scoring, but considering that the Pistons have covered just once in their last seven games I don't see them getting in under the 4 1/2 or 5 line tonight. Take the Kings.
Mr. Vegas Free Saturday NBA pick 12/13: 10:05 PM ET
(515) DETROIT PISTONS VS (516) SACRAMENTO KINGS
Take: (516) SACRAMENTO KINGS
The Detroit Pistons are making a great case for being the worst team in the NBA this season as they sit at 3-19 overall and 1-8 on the road. They haven't been much better for the bettors either with a 6-16 ATS mark and 3-6 road record. Not only are the Pistons a slow team (90.8 pace, league avg is 92.7), but their offensive efficiency is just 100.8, well below the league avg of 107. The Kings haven't played poorly as they sit at 11-12 overall and 6-6 at home. The Kings are coming off a tough OT home loss to the Rockets, 113-109. At least the Kings are much more efficient on offense then the Pistons, with a 107.9 rating, just above the league avg. This game should be rather low scoring, but considering that the Pistons have covered just once in their last seven games I don't see them getting in under the 4 1/2 or 5 line tonight. Take the Kings.
Dave Cokin Bonus Play Saturday 10:00 PM NCAAB (579) GONZAGA at (580) UCLA This will be what amounts to the final opportunity in the regular season for Gonzaga to make a national statement. Almost all of the schools vying for a high seed come NCAA Tournament time have a chance to build their credentials with wins in major conference play. Gonzaga doesn’t have that opportunity. Their only remaining non-WCC games besides this one are with Texas Southern, Cal Poly plus a late January date with a disappointing Memphis squad. That makes winning tonight’s game at UCLA more than just mildly desirable for Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have some okay wins under their belts to start the season, but the only real signature game was last weekend at Arizona, and Gonzaga let that one get away in overtime. A loss here and regardless of how easily the Zags dominate the WCC, their seed for the Big Dance will be negatively impacted off the non-conference results. That translates into what could be a tough evening for UCLA. The Bruins have a wealth of impressive talent, but their inexperience has shown in their two toughest games. UCLA fell apart down the stretch against Oklahoma and they were completely blown out by North Carolina. It’s also worth noting the Bruins struggled in their two most recent wins, against an okay but not great San Diego entry and a fairly mediocre UC-Riverside squad. UCLA will also be the shorter team tonight, which is very unusual for them, and I’ll be eager to see how they handle the Gonzaga length. Right at the present time, I believe a great argument can be made that Gonzaga is a legit Top 10 team. The Bruins could be down the road, but right now they’re nowhere near that level. Theres’s no bargain to be had here. Everything I’ve pointed out is known to the guys who put together the numbers, and they’ve priced Gonzaga accordingly. So this would clearly not fall under the heading of a value play. But if Gonzaga is on its game tonight, UCLA will likely have to play at a significantly higher level than they’ve displayed thus far, and I’m willing to be the Bruins can’t. So even with a less than perfect betting line, the call here is on Gonzaga minus the points.
Jim Feist
Comp NBA Pick for Saturday, December 13, 2014: 7:05 PM EST
(507) BROOKLYN NETS VS (508) CHARLOTTE HORNETS
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, December 13, 2014 is in the NBA as the Nets head to Charlotte. This will not be an offensive show, as both teams struggle to shoot and scored. Brooklyn is 22nd in the NBA in scoring and shooting. Brooklyn is on an 8-1 run under the total and the under is 7-0 in the Nets last 7 road games. They had a loss at Chicago scoring 80 points this week and are in the second of a back to back spot, so there's no need to run. The under is 5-2 when the Nets are playing on no days rest. Charlotte is worse on offense, 25th in scoring while shooting .429% as a team (26th). Charlotte also played last night and the under is 6-2-1 in the Hornets last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Play Brooklyn/Charlotte under the total.
Comp NBA Pick for Saturday, December 13, 2014: 7:05 PM EST
(507) BROOKLYN NETS VS (508) CHARLOTTE HORNETS
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, December 13, 2014 is in the NBA as the Nets head to Charlotte. This will not be an offensive show, as both teams struggle to shoot and scored. Brooklyn is 22nd in the NBA in scoring and shooting. Brooklyn is on an 8-1 run under the total and the under is 7-0 in the Nets last 7 road games. They had a loss at Chicago scoring 80 points this week and are in the second of a back to back spot, so there's no need to run. The under is 5-2 when the Nets are playing on no days rest. Charlotte is worse on offense, 25th in scoring while shooting .429% as a team (26th). Charlotte also played last night and the under is 6-2-1 in the Hornets last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Play Brooklyn/Charlotte under the total.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cal-Expo
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Post: 6:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$3000 - NW $15,000 LT
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 4 KING OF THE CROP 3/1
# 5 NATIVE COUNTRY 4/1
# 1 RIKYBRNTHEGARAGDWN 5/2
Really keen on the chance of KING OF THE CROP taking down the winner's share in here. Has very good speed ratings and unquestionably has to be considered for a play in this one. This contender has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 84 avg class figure. Should play well for this race. If effort in the last competition is any indicator, this harness racer will have a very very nice shot in this event. High last race speed rating. NATIVE COUNTRY - Horse looks well spotted here, and Maier has a nice return on investment when his charges go up in class. Drawing the 5 hole at this track has lead to a better than expected win rate. RIKYBRNTHEGARAGDWN - Overall figures appear competitive. Can't throw out at this point. Has really good TrackMaster speed figs and definitely has to be considered for a bet in this one.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Post: 6:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$3000 - NW $15,000 LT
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 4 KING OF THE CROP 3/1
# 5 NATIVE COUNTRY 4/1
# 1 RIKYBRNTHEGARAGDWN 5/2
Really keen on the chance of KING OF THE CROP taking down the winner's share in here. Has very good speed ratings and unquestionably has to be considered for a play in this one. This contender has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 84 avg class figure. Should play well for this race. If effort in the last competition is any indicator, this harness racer will have a very very nice shot in this event. High last race speed rating. NATIVE COUNTRY - Horse looks well spotted here, and Maier has a nice return on investment when his charges go up in class. Drawing the 5 hole at this track has lead to a better than expected win rate. RIKYBRNTHEGARAGDWN - Overall figures appear competitive. Can't throw out at this point. Has really good TrackMaster speed figs and definitely has to be considered for a bet in this one.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Post: 6:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$8800 - N/W $50000.
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 1 LILY PAD HANOVER 6/5
# 4 COCO BINO 5/2
# 3 HITCHIN A RIDE 20/1
LILY PAD HANOVER clearly looks the nice horse to beat in here. Overall numbers look respectable. Can't throw her out of the picture. Overall stats look nice. Can't throw her out of the picture. Feel the need for speed, this fine animal has been turning in some amazing speed figs averaging around 85. COCO BINO - Many harness players will recognize the top notch speed figure in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this group of horses. The brain trust has McClure on its list of drivers who are en fuego lately. Last 30 days win pct is outstanding. HITCHIN A RIDE - Been racing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 80).
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Post: 6:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$8800 - N/W $50000.
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 1 LILY PAD HANOVER 6/5
# 4 COCO BINO 5/2
# 3 HITCHIN A RIDE 20/1
LILY PAD HANOVER clearly looks the nice horse to beat in here. Overall numbers look respectable. Can't throw her out of the picture. Overall stats look nice. Can't throw her out of the picture. Feel the need for speed, this fine animal has been turning in some amazing speed figs averaging around 85. COCO BINO - Many harness players will recognize the top notch speed figure in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this group of horses. The brain trust has McClure on its list of drivers who are en fuego lately. Last 30 days win pct is outstanding. HITCHIN A RIDE - Been racing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 80).
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20900 Class Rating: 57
FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $13,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 MAJESTIC ISLE 3/1
# 1 ALAINA'S HOPE 9/2
# 2 FARWELLS RUNNIN 5/2
I have to support MAJESTIC ISLE here. Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 56 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the best in this group of horses. Must be considered for this event if only for the strong speed rating posted in the last outing. Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a solid choice. ALAINA'S HOPE - The price could be just right on this one. Will make a strong performance versus this lot. FARWELLS RUNNIN - The drastic drop in company can only aid this one this time out. This horse is ranked high in this group of horses in this race in earnings per start at the distance/surface.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20900 Class Rating: 57
FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $13,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 MAJESTIC ISLE 3/1
# 1 ALAINA'S HOPE 9/2
# 2 FARWELLS RUNNIN 5/2
I have to support MAJESTIC ISLE here. Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 56 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the best in this group of horses. Must be considered for this event if only for the strong speed rating posted in the last outing. Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a solid choice. ALAINA'S HOPE - The price could be just right on this one. Will make a strong performance versus this lot. FARWELLS RUNNIN - The drastic drop in company can only aid this one this time out. This horse is ranked high in this group of horses in this race in earnings per start at the distance/surface.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 83
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE DECEMBER 13. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 10 CONCHO HALO 7/2
# 9 WILD FOR GLORY 10/1
# 1 PRIMED AND READY 4/1
CONCHO HALO looks to be a solid contender. Has been consistently racing well recently. Is a strong contender based on numbers posted lately under today's conditions. Had one of the most favorable speed figures of this field in his last contest. WILD FOR GLORY - Has formidable early lick and will probably fare admirably against this group. With a solid 76 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's competition. PRIMED AND READY - Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent speed figures with an average of 75. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Meyers have shown strong results recently.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 83
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE DECEMBER 13. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 10 CONCHO HALO 7/2
# 9 WILD FOR GLORY 10/1
# 1 PRIMED AND READY 4/1
CONCHO HALO looks to be a solid contender. Has been consistently racing well recently. Is a strong contender based on numbers posted lately under today's conditions. Had one of the most favorable speed figures of this field in his last contest. WILD FOR GLORY - Has formidable early lick and will probably fare admirably against this group. With a solid 76 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's competition. PRIMED AND READY - Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent speed figures with an average of 75. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Meyers have shown strong results recently.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Hawthorne - Race #6 - Post: 3:25pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 79
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#2 MIRACLEINOURMIDST (ML=8/1)
#5 SUPERSAMBDANCING (ML=6/1)
#8 GULF BLVD (ML=8/1)
MIRACLEINOURMIDST - This filly won at this distance on Aug 1st and was at a higher class than today. That last contest must not have been too hard on this filly for her to be able to race again so quickly. Filly has shown some early speed. This shorter distance should be better for her. SUPERSAMBDANCING - Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. I really like sprinters that make a quick turnaround. I like this filly. Has the uppermost EPS (earnings per start) in this one. GULF BLVD - Coming off a fifth place finish at Hawthorne, some may pass this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent M/L odds today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LOTTA DISTINCTION (ML=5/2), #1 STEPHEN'S TRUTH (ML=9/2), #3 LA ENFERMERA ROJA (ML=5/1),
LOTTA DISTINCTION - This mare finished outside the top 3 on May 15th and wasn't even close last time around the track either. No picnic to play this mount this time out. Make her show you something in a sprint event before you wager on her in a race of 6 furlongs. STEPHEN'S TRUTH - When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to register a much better speed figure than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint. LA ENFERMERA ROJA - Hard to put any money on this filly on the win end. Likes to end up on the board though. Will be hard for this horse to beat this group off of that last fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underlays list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 MIRACLEINOURMIDST to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Bar
Hawthorne - Race #6 - Post: 3:25pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 79
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#2 MIRACLEINOURMIDST (ML=8/1)
#5 SUPERSAMBDANCING (ML=6/1)
#8 GULF BLVD (ML=8/1)
MIRACLEINOURMIDST - This filly won at this distance on Aug 1st and was at a higher class than today. That last contest must not have been too hard on this filly for her to be able to race again so quickly. Filly has shown some early speed. This shorter distance should be better for her. SUPERSAMBDANCING - Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. I really like sprinters that make a quick turnaround. I like this filly. Has the uppermost EPS (earnings per start) in this one. GULF BLVD - Coming off a fifth place finish at Hawthorne, some may pass this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent M/L odds today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LOTTA DISTINCTION (ML=5/2), #1 STEPHEN'S TRUTH (ML=9/2), #3 LA ENFERMERA ROJA (ML=5/1),
LOTTA DISTINCTION - This mare finished outside the top 3 on May 15th and wasn't even close last time around the track either. No picnic to play this mount this time out. Make her show you something in a sprint event before you wager on her in a race of 6 furlongs. STEPHEN'S TRUTH - When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to register a much better speed figure than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint. LA ENFERMERA ROJA - Hard to put any money on this filly on the win end. Likes to end up on the board though. Will be hard for this horse to beat this group off of that last fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underlays list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 MIRACLEINOURMIDST to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Laurel Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:59pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 75
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#6 I'M MR. BLUE (ML=4/1)
#3 BACK SCATTER (ML=7/2)
I'M MR. BLUE - McCarthy's agent must like anytime Magee gives them a mount; winning percentage together is terrific. BACK SCATTER - This mount ran out of the money at Laurel Park last time around the track in the mud. He should improve right here on a fast track. The outside post position didn't help this horse's chances last out at Laurel Park. Today's inside post position should be just fine.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 ROYAL L. S. (ML=8/5), #5 CITIZEN BULL (ML=9/2), #4 THINKS HE'S A BIRD (ML=8/1),
ROYAL L. S. - Should be difficult for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list. CITIZEN BULL - Unlikely that this animal will finish better than he did last time when placing seventh. THINKS HE'S A BIRD - Finished second in his most recent race with a mediocre speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #6 I'M MR. BLUE on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Bar
Laurel Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:59pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 75
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#6 I'M MR. BLUE (ML=4/1)
#3 BACK SCATTER (ML=7/2)
I'M MR. BLUE - McCarthy's agent must like anytime Magee gives them a mount; winning percentage together is terrific. BACK SCATTER - This mount ran out of the money at Laurel Park last time around the track in the mud. He should improve right here on a fast track. The outside post position didn't help this horse's chances last out at Laurel Park. Today's inside post position should be just fine.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 ROYAL L. S. (ML=8/5), #5 CITIZEN BULL (ML=9/2), #4 THINKS HE'S A BIRD (ML=8/1),
ROYAL L. S. - Should be difficult for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list. CITIZEN BULL - Unlikely that this animal will finish better than he did last time when placing seventh. THINKS HE'S A BIRD - Finished second in his most recent race with a mediocre speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #6 I'M MR. BLUE on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:43 PM EASTERN POST
The Queens County Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#6 STORMIN MONARCHO
#9 WEALTH TO ME
#5 VYJACK
#1 MISCONNECT / #1A MICROMANAGE
For you folks who are unfamiliar with New York City "geography" ... this race, as is the case with several other stake races listed by the NYRA, is named for a district in the area, with Queens County being the political subdivision in which Aqueduct Racetrack and part of Belmont Park is located. Queens County was named in honor of Catherine of Braganza, the wife of King Charles II of England. Queens is the largest of the five boroughs of New York City by area. In addition to being the site of the 1964 World's Fair, it is currently the site of John F. Kennedy International Airport, LaGuardia Airport, Citi Field (home of the New York Mets), Queens College, and the main campus of St. John's University. Here in the 109th renewal of this stakes test ... #6 STORMIN MONARCHO is the overall pace profile leader in this field racing at 9.0 furlongs on the dirt, ands comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two starts. Jockey Jevian Toledo was in his irons for those two wins, which came at Laurel Park, and Penn National, en route to a +195% return on investment in the process, And Toledo is here this afternoon in the "Major Leagues" of Thoroughbred Racing for his 3rd ride ... gunning for a "Hat Trick Win!" #9 WEALTH TO ME, a 15-1 BOMB, has hit the board in 5 straight, with four of those efforts, including a pair of wins, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS!"
RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:43 PM EASTERN POST
The Queens County Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#6 STORMIN MONARCHO
#9 WEALTH TO ME
#5 VYJACK
#1 MISCONNECT / #1A MICROMANAGE
For you folks who are unfamiliar with New York City "geography" ... this race, as is the case with several other stake races listed by the NYRA, is named for a district in the area, with Queens County being the political subdivision in which Aqueduct Racetrack and part of Belmont Park is located. Queens County was named in honor of Catherine of Braganza, the wife of King Charles II of England. Queens is the largest of the five boroughs of New York City by area. In addition to being the site of the 1964 World's Fair, it is currently the site of John F. Kennedy International Airport, LaGuardia Airport, Citi Field (home of the New York Mets), Queens College, and the main campus of St. John's University. Here in the 109th renewal of this stakes test ... #6 STORMIN MONARCHO is the overall pace profile leader in this field racing at 9.0 furlongs on the dirt, ands comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two starts. Jockey Jevian Toledo was in his irons for those two wins, which came at Laurel Park, and Penn National, en route to a +195% return on investment in the process, And Toledo is here this afternoon in the "Major Leagues" of Thoroughbred Racing for his 3rd ride ... gunning for a "Hat Trick Win!" #9 WEALTH TO ME, a 15-1 BOMB, has hit the board in 5 straight, with four of those efforts, including a pair of wins, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS!"
Balmoral: Saturday 12/13 Analysis
By Jeremey Day
DRF HARNESS
Race 5 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($5,026 C/O)
Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: ALWYSBREAKINHEARTS (2nd)
Spot Play: LONG TERM (4th)
Race 1
(4) TOUCH THE SKY three-year-old had tons of pace late last race and should only improve in his third career start. (3) DALI SPECIAL got shuffled back last out before finishing with a flurry; threat. (2) PHANTASM will offer a big price and could hit the ticket underneath.
Race 2
(5) ALWAYSBREAKINHEARTS has been facing much tougher; fires early. (1) FOX VALLEY CUPID rarely wins but does have ability; vulnerable late. (4) HAKUNA MATATA paced a big mile after losing a lot of ground off an early miscue last start.
Race 3
(1) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY four-year-old is tough to pick against because she's so much more talented than the field. The pacing mare looked beat last out but dug in gamely late. (4) DP ANGEL just missed to the top choice last start; threat. (7) PARTY HANGOVER will probably be flying out of the gate looking to secure a trip up close; use underneath.
Race 4
(6) LONG TERM gelding needed his last start off a layoff and picks up a big driver change. (2) BET ON HIM comes into the race off a break but is facing much weaker than his recent starts. (1) MAJOR MALE six-year-old stallion takes a significant drop in class and should be in the mix with a good effor
Race 5
(4) HOT STREAK HANOVER has been improving with every start on the year and just missed to this same group last out. (2) RUSSELL L lacked his usual late pop in his last start after setting a career mark the start prior. (3) JO JO SPUR gelding scored an impressive victory last out with a provisional pilot. The pacer will be tough to beat with a similar effort.
Race 6
(5) JUSTICE JET looked to be home free before being picked off last week. The gelding is a smooth trip away from having a big chance late. (3) REPEAT YOUR ABC'S owns a big burst of speed with the right setup and will offer a big price. (6) FOX VALLEY VETO gelding has had amazing year and will look to make it three straight at this level.
Race 7
In a wide open and evenly matched race (7) STATE STREET LIZ was brutalized last out but should find this field a bit easier with a better trip. (4) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH loses the top driver but is capable with a good setup. (1) LOVE THIS PLACE has shown signs of turning it around after being dull for a few months. (5) HELLO MY DREAM filly looks to have tailed off late in the year; command a price.
Race 8
(1) RICKY BOBBIE had no business winning last week closing into a slow middle half. The pacer should be closer turning for home and will be right on the finish line with a similar effort. (7) WILDCAT BOBBY takes a big drop in competition and shows some efforts on paper that would be good enough to get the job done. (4) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR has been sharp in his last three; threat.
Race 9
(3) TINK AND TIGER gelding is a huge threat at this level; versatile. (7) SCOTTY MACH N is sharp and looks to just now be back in racing shape after a layoff. (1) BIG BRAD gets the best post and is capable of pacing a big mile but has really been off his game as of late; use caution.
Race 10
In a tough race to gauge (1) RHOMBUS owns big-time ability and could be ready for a good effort off a short layoff for proven connections. (6) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE has been overdriven in his last few and could use a smooth trip for his best chance. (3) BRING IT ON KAAJAY might need a start off a long layoff but the qualifier was good.
Race 11
(8) BEST MAN HANOVER was on fire late last out just needing another few feet to sweep past for the win. The pacer is versatile and looks to be sitting on a big effort. (5) FORT SILKY will look to make it three straight wins; threat. (2) KANARIS has been sharp and is probably better suited for the big track.
Race 12
(9) SCHMATIE mare is one of few horses in the race that have been competitive at this level. (2) GENTLE JANET mare drops in class and owns a win at this level on the year. (3) TOSHIE SPECIAL mare raced gamely down in class last out getting her first victory of the year. The pacer has shown much better and could have gained some confidence.
Race 13
In a really tough race to gauge (8) ON THE RADAR gets sent out third start for hot connections dropping in class. (9) MONOPOLY MAN drops back in for a tag off a big effort up in class. (6) BELL VALLEY BILL was a game winner at this level two starts prior. (4) CAMWISER never had a shot last race but should be closer turning for home; threat.
By Jeremey Day
DRF HARNESS
Race 5 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($5,026 C/O)
Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: ALWYSBREAKINHEARTS (2nd)
Spot Play: LONG TERM (4th)
Race 1
(4) TOUCH THE SKY three-year-old had tons of pace late last race and should only improve in his third career start. (3) DALI SPECIAL got shuffled back last out before finishing with a flurry; threat. (2) PHANTASM will offer a big price and could hit the ticket underneath.
Race 2
(5) ALWAYSBREAKINHEARTS has been facing much tougher; fires early. (1) FOX VALLEY CUPID rarely wins but does have ability; vulnerable late. (4) HAKUNA MATATA paced a big mile after losing a lot of ground off an early miscue last start.
Race 3
(1) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY four-year-old is tough to pick against because she's so much more talented than the field. The pacing mare looked beat last out but dug in gamely late. (4) DP ANGEL just missed to the top choice last start; threat. (7) PARTY HANGOVER will probably be flying out of the gate looking to secure a trip up close; use underneath.
Race 4
(6) LONG TERM gelding needed his last start off a layoff and picks up a big driver change. (2) BET ON HIM comes into the race off a break but is facing much weaker than his recent starts. (1) MAJOR MALE six-year-old stallion takes a significant drop in class and should be in the mix with a good effor
Race 5
(4) HOT STREAK HANOVER has been improving with every start on the year and just missed to this same group last out. (2) RUSSELL L lacked his usual late pop in his last start after setting a career mark the start prior. (3) JO JO SPUR gelding scored an impressive victory last out with a provisional pilot. The pacer will be tough to beat with a similar effort.
Race 6
(5) JUSTICE JET looked to be home free before being picked off last week. The gelding is a smooth trip away from having a big chance late. (3) REPEAT YOUR ABC'S owns a big burst of speed with the right setup and will offer a big price. (6) FOX VALLEY VETO gelding has had amazing year and will look to make it three straight at this level.
Race 7
In a wide open and evenly matched race (7) STATE STREET LIZ was brutalized last out but should find this field a bit easier with a better trip. (4) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH loses the top driver but is capable with a good setup. (1) LOVE THIS PLACE has shown signs of turning it around after being dull for a few months. (5) HELLO MY DREAM filly looks to have tailed off late in the year; command a price.
Race 8
(1) RICKY BOBBIE had no business winning last week closing into a slow middle half. The pacer should be closer turning for home and will be right on the finish line with a similar effort. (7) WILDCAT BOBBY takes a big drop in competition and shows some efforts on paper that would be good enough to get the job done. (4) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR has been sharp in his last three; threat.
Race 9
(3) TINK AND TIGER gelding is a huge threat at this level; versatile. (7) SCOTTY MACH N is sharp and looks to just now be back in racing shape after a layoff. (1) BIG BRAD gets the best post and is capable of pacing a big mile but has really been off his game as of late; use caution.
Race 10
In a tough race to gauge (1) RHOMBUS owns big-time ability and could be ready for a good effort off a short layoff for proven connections. (6) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE has been overdriven in his last few and could use a smooth trip for his best chance. (3) BRING IT ON KAAJAY might need a start off a long layoff but the qualifier was good.
Race 11
(8) BEST MAN HANOVER was on fire late last out just needing another few feet to sweep past for the win. The pacer is versatile and looks to be sitting on a big effort. (5) FORT SILKY will look to make it three straight wins; threat. (2) KANARIS has been sharp and is probably better suited for the big track.
Race 12
(9) SCHMATIE mare is one of few horses in the race that have been competitive at this level. (2) GENTLE JANET mare drops in class and owns a win at this level on the year. (3) TOSHIE SPECIAL mare raced gamely down in class last out getting her first victory of the year. The pacer has shown much better and could have gained some confidence.
Race 13
In a really tough race to gauge (8) ON THE RADAR gets sent out third start for hot connections dropping in class. (9) MONOPOLY MAN drops back in for a tag off a big effort up in class. (6) BELL VALLEY BILL was a game winner at this level two starts prior. (4) CAMWISER never had a shot last race but should be closer turning for home; threat.
Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/13 analysis
By Greg Gangle
DRF HARNESS
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: CHARMED LIFE (2nd)
Spot Play: BULLET POINT (5th)
Race 1
(8) MEA LILLEY MARK drops into this level and adds lasix. She has a solid overall record this season and will offer a short price. (5) J HIGH has been a main threat at this level for many weeks and has hit the board in three of her last four. (1) REGAL LUCK was an upset winner last week in this class and will begin from the rail once again.
Race 2
(4) CHARMED LIFE returned to this circuit last week and exploded off a helmet en route to victory. She's the horse to beat in here. (3) DAYLON MAGICIAN is a logical option for the exactor based on his recent efforts at this Preferred level. (6) SAMIRA HANOVER went a big mile last week to win by open lengths. Her class will be tested in here as she rises to this Preferred level for the first time in her career.
Race 3
(7) THUNDER STEELER went a tough trip last week on the front end through quick fractions. He remains at the same level, but picks up Henry in the bike and is worth considering again. (5) MACHAL JORDAN has hit the board in four of his last five and generally offers a price. (2) ALEXIE MATTOSIE has all kinds of back class to offer and draws inside.
Race 4
(5) ABC MUSCLES BOY is carrying a five race win streak and remains the horse to beat. (4) RAISE THE CURTAIN comes from the Jones barn and posted a sharp qualifier in his latest. (2) DREAMFAIR BOGART draws inside and just missed last week in a quick time. He continues to show the speed and may offer a price in here.
Race 5
(6) BULLET POINT did all the work last week on the front en route to victory. She remains at this level and will get more respect this week. (3) WILDCAT BEAUTY is a must use for the exactor with her recent performances as of late. (2) D GS PESQUERO was an open length winner two starts back and finished a game third last week in this class. She has the back class and comes from Moreau's barn.
Race 6
(8) BUGGER BRUISER was a winner last week in this class and has been much better in each of his last four starts. (9) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL has been very consistent as of late and closed very well last week from an outside post. He has the speed and shouldn't get overlooked. (3) SI SEMALU got the job done last week and will face a tougher bunch in here.
Race 7
(5) GRIN FOR MONEY has put together a pair of sharp qualifiers and appears ready for his return. He has earnings nearing $500K and has a solid late kick. (3) SEA DONKEY draws inside, comes from the Ainsworth barn and is fresh off a four length win. (2) MONTE CRISTO draws inside and will look for a rebound effort. Expect a price on him this week.
Race 8
(3) INTENSE AMERICA was a winner in her latest and is capable of doubling up again this week. (4) BURNIN MONEY has hit the board in each of his last three starts and comes from the Auciello barn. (9) WHITE BECOMES HER was an impressive winner in her latest, comes from the Baillargeon barn and has put together a solid campaign this season.
Race 9
(1) SOMEWHERE FANCY draws the rail and has won two of his last three starts in this class. (6) VIP BAYAMA has been racing very well as of late and offers a lot of versatility. (8) REGAL BABE finished third in the debut for trainer Lindsey last start. He's back on a seven-day rotation and again is a main threat.
Race 10
(6) NICKLE BAG has been the picture of consistency as of late and draws much better in here. (3) CAMAES FELLOW has won two of his last three starts and will gain a lot of attention. (8) AVATARTIST will be making his fourth start off the shelf and is capable of another strong effort. He comes from the O'Sullivan barn and is capable of overcoming the outside post eight.
Race 11
(7) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE drops in class after finishing fourth at a higher level last week. (6) CHEYENNE REIDER will make his debut for trainer Gallucci tonight and that will influence his price. The horse has the speed and may offer a fair price. (10) IN COMMANDO has some back class to offer, comes from the Lindsey barn and drops in class this week.
By Greg Gangle
DRF HARNESS
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: CHARMED LIFE (2nd)
Spot Play: BULLET POINT (5th)
Race 1
(8) MEA LILLEY MARK drops into this level and adds lasix. She has a solid overall record this season and will offer a short price. (5) J HIGH has been a main threat at this level for many weeks and has hit the board in three of her last four. (1) REGAL LUCK was an upset winner last week in this class and will begin from the rail once again.
Race 2
(4) CHARMED LIFE returned to this circuit last week and exploded off a helmet en route to victory. She's the horse to beat in here. (3) DAYLON MAGICIAN is a logical option for the exactor based on his recent efforts at this Preferred level. (6) SAMIRA HANOVER went a big mile last week to win by open lengths. Her class will be tested in here as she rises to this Preferred level for the first time in her career.
Race 3
(7) THUNDER STEELER went a tough trip last week on the front end through quick fractions. He remains at the same level, but picks up Henry in the bike and is worth considering again. (5) MACHAL JORDAN has hit the board in four of his last five and generally offers a price. (2) ALEXIE MATTOSIE has all kinds of back class to offer and draws inside.
Race 4
(5) ABC MUSCLES BOY is carrying a five race win streak and remains the horse to beat. (4) RAISE THE CURTAIN comes from the Jones barn and posted a sharp qualifier in his latest. (2) DREAMFAIR BOGART draws inside and just missed last week in a quick time. He continues to show the speed and may offer a price in here.
Race 5
(6) BULLET POINT did all the work last week on the front en route to victory. She remains at this level and will get more respect this week. (3) WILDCAT BEAUTY is a must use for the exactor with her recent performances as of late. (2) D GS PESQUERO was an open length winner two starts back and finished a game third last week in this class. She has the back class and comes from Moreau's barn.
Race 6
(8) BUGGER BRUISER was a winner last week in this class and has been much better in each of his last four starts. (9) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL has been very consistent as of late and closed very well last week from an outside post. He has the speed and shouldn't get overlooked. (3) SI SEMALU got the job done last week and will face a tougher bunch in here.
Race 7
(5) GRIN FOR MONEY has put together a pair of sharp qualifiers and appears ready for his return. He has earnings nearing $500K and has a solid late kick. (3) SEA DONKEY draws inside, comes from the Ainsworth barn and is fresh off a four length win. (2) MONTE CRISTO draws inside and will look for a rebound effort. Expect a price on him this week.
Race 8
(3) INTENSE AMERICA was a winner in her latest and is capable of doubling up again this week. (4) BURNIN MONEY has hit the board in each of his last three starts and comes from the Auciello barn. (9) WHITE BECOMES HER was an impressive winner in her latest, comes from the Baillargeon barn and has put together a solid campaign this season.
Race 9
(1) SOMEWHERE FANCY draws the rail and has won two of his last three starts in this class. (6) VIP BAYAMA has been racing very well as of late and offers a lot of versatility. (8) REGAL BABE finished third in the debut for trainer Lindsey last start. He's back on a seven-day rotation and again is a main threat.
Race 10
(6) NICKLE BAG has been the picture of consistency as of late and draws much better in here. (3) CAMAES FELLOW has won two of his last three starts and will gain a lot of attention. (8) AVATARTIST will be making his fourth start off the shelf and is capable of another strong effort. He comes from the O'Sullivan barn and is capable of overcoming the outside post eight.
Race 11
(7) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE drops in class after finishing fourth at a higher level last week. (6) CHEYENNE REIDER will make his debut for trainer Gallucci tonight and that will influence his price. The horse has the speed and may offer a fair price. (10) IN COMMANDO has some back class to offer, comes from the Lindsey barn and drops in class this week.
Meadowlands: Saturday 12/13 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF HARNESS
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 22 - 104 / $107.90 BEST BETS: 4 - 6 / $14.80
Best Bet: ALEX BULLVILLE (12th)
Spot Play: ROYAL KEE WEE N (6th)
Race 1
I passed over (6) ROYAL KEE WEE N quickly when first looking at this race but made a last second decision to move him up to my top pick. While he tired badly last time, he did race uncovered, was coming off a scratched-sick line, and also had an off track as an excuse. His prior form ranks him as one of the fastest in the field. (5) BRICK BAZOOKA ships east with a perfect record in three starts. (4) PRINCE PALISADE is another newcomer without a loss. He won easily to start his career at Monticello.
Race 2
(4) SPARKY MARK was used hard two starts back and rallied nicely with no chance last time. He gets the perfect post to make his presence felt and the price should be right. (8) AL’S HAMMERED gets some clear class relief but hasn’t shown much early speed; mixed feelings. (3) LONEWOLF CURRIER finally woke up as expected. Speedy 4-year-old is capable of another improved effort.
Race 3
(5) STALLONE BLUE CHIP is hard to get excited about, but this field is awful; no excuses. (7) JACK ATTACK went too fast on the lead in the slop last time; another shot. (3) MACHIN MONEY has been closing pretty well; chance with a trip.
Race 4
(8) MIGHTY YOUNG JOE seems to be ready for a big effort. He was shuffled back last time after leaving for position. (3) SIR CARY’S Z TAM qualified back nicely with a strong final quarter kicker. (9) JK PATRIOT comes off a nice win and doesn’t face the sharpest C-1 field.
Race 5
(7) LET’S FOAL AROUND never got involved last time in his first start since August. This guy is as fast as any signed on to this NW3 race and can surprise with an aggressive steer. (1) KINGS BARNS has the ability to win if he is ready off the layoff. (9) ACE OF SHARKS made a strong move but was rebuffed most recently; post hurts. (3) ART DEGREE, (4) STEADY WARRIOR & (2) CARRACCI HANOVER all look like legitimate contenders in a wide open race.
Race 6
(3) THE LUNCH PAIL lacked any stretch pop last week, but maybe he didn’t like the off track. He gets a new driver this week and sometimes that makes a huge difference; fresh Lasix, too. (2) CAPOZZO comes off a good effort; must use. (4) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST was super versus a weaker group. (9) NEXT THING SMOKE’N moves into a new barn; hmmm.
Race 7
(3) SUMMER SMACKDOWN has been closing pretty well with no shot from outside posts. Don’t be shocked if he pulls off the upset. (6) LINDWOOD PLAYER steps up slightly off a good win. (4) BETTORS GLASS is better than his recent outing on the sloppy track. (7) DEDI’S DRAGON will leave and get a big piece.
Race 8
(8) DRAGON LORE fought gamely to come back and just miss last time. Four-year-old is clearly sharp and should be forwardly placed. (5) LAST DRAGON made a valiant attempt before tiring last time; needs better trip. (9) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE is always a threat but the ouside post will hurt his chances. (7) FIVEKNUCKLESHUFFLE drops down a notch.
Race 9
(6) UP UP AND OUT took a stroll around the track last time from post 10. Now he drops in class and draws better. (4) MAJOR BOMBAY has plenty of class but needs a wake-up call. Gingras can provide that. (3) JINS DRAGON was okay in his first start since August; more now?
Race 10
(6) SECRETSOFTHENIGHT ships down from Canada after a workmanlike year where he competed in low to mid level conditioned races. I give him a decent chance in this close-knit race. (5) BLATANTLY BEST burned plenty of money when he broke last week. Remmen trainee is dangerous with a clean trip. (1) PANPERPO FIRPO comes off a dominating score at Saratoga. That angle has worked well at the Meadowlands this year.
Race 11
(5) DOCTOR BUTCH was overbet last week because he was locked in with pace in the prior start. Of course he finished fifth while failing to get a clean trip once again. This looks like a better spot for him and I expect that we’ll see early speed. (7) SPEED AGAIN is sharp and has plenty of early speed. (1) SHOOTER’S DREAM has finished second or higher in each of his last four starts. (6) WAKE UP PETER is dangerous but may have to close from last.
Race 12
(4) ALEX BULLVILLE did a good job to get third in a bulky 12-horse field last time. Veteran finds a great spot this week and should be put into play. (6) MISTER VIRGIN makes his first start for a new barn and gets the top driver. (3) BELIEVEINTHESPIRIT succumbed to a tough trip most recently.
Race 13
(5) JETTY finished a good second at Monticello in his first start since June. Eight-year-old was racing well when last seen here. (3) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE could be tighter in his second start back from the layoff. (8) WHITE SPORTSCOAT looks okay if you excuse the recent break. (6) FASHION SHARK is as good as any of the others in this tough to decipher race.
By Derick Giwner
DRF HARNESS
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 22 - 104 / $107.90 BEST BETS: 4 - 6 / $14.80
Best Bet: ALEX BULLVILLE (12th)
Spot Play: ROYAL KEE WEE N (6th)
Race 1
I passed over (6) ROYAL KEE WEE N quickly when first looking at this race but made a last second decision to move him up to my top pick. While he tired badly last time, he did race uncovered, was coming off a scratched-sick line, and also had an off track as an excuse. His prior form ranks him as one of the fastest in the field. (5) BRICK BAZOOKA ships east with a perfect record in three starts. (4) PRINCE PALISADE is another newcomer without a loss. He won easily to start his career at Monticello.
Race 2
(4) SPARKY MARK was used hard two starts back and rallied nicely with no chance last time. He gets the perfect post to make his presence felt and the price should be right. (8) AL’S HAMMERED gets some clear class relief but hasn’t shown much early speed; mixed feelings. (3) LONEWOLF CURRIER finally woke up as expected. Speedy 4-year-old is capable of another improved effort.
Race 3
(5) STALLONE BLUE CHIP is hard to get excited about, but this field is awful; no excuses. (7) JACK ATTACK went too fast on the lead in the slop last time; another shot. (3) MACHIN MONEY has been closing pretty well; chance with a trip.
Race 4
(8) MIGHTY YOUNG JOE seems to be ready for a big effort. He was shuffled back last time after leaving for position. (3) SIR CARY’S Z TAM qualified back nicely with a strong final quarter kicker. (9) JK PATRIOT comes off a nice win and doesn’t face the sharpest C-1 field.
Race 5
(7) LET’S FOAL AROUND never got involved last time in his first start since August. This guy is as fast as any signed on to this NW3 race and can surprise with an aggressive steer. (1) KINGS BARNS has the ability to win if he is ready off the layoff. (9) ACE OF SHARKS made a strong move but was rebuffed most recently; post hurts. (3) ART DEGREE, (4) STEADY WARRIOR & (2) CARRACCI HANOVER all look like legitimate contenders in a wide open race.
Race 6
(3) THE LUNCH PAIL lacked any stretch pop last week, but maybe he didn’t like the off track. He gets a new driver this week and sometimes that makes a huge difference; fresh Lasix, too. (2) CAPOZZO comes off a good effort; must use. (4) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST was super versus a weaker group. (9) NEXT THING SMOKE’N moves into a new barn; hmmm.
Race 7
(3) SUMMER SMACKDOWN has been closing pretty well with no shot from outside posts. Don’t be shocked if he pulls off the upset. (6) LINDWOOD PLAYER steps up slightly off a good win. (4) BETTORS GLASS is better than his recent outing on the sloppy track. (7) DEDI’S DRAGON will leave and get a big piece.
Race 8
(8) DRAGON LORE fought gamely to come back and just miss last time. Four-year-old is clearly sharp and should be forwardly placed. (5) LAST DRAGON made a valiant attempt before tiring last time; needs better trip. (9) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE is always a threat but the ouside post will hurt his chances. (7) FIVEKNUCKLESHUFFLE drops down a notch.
Race 9
(6) UP UP AND OUT took a stroll around the track last time from post 10. Now he drops in class and draws better. (4) MAJOR BOMBAY has plenty of class but needs a wake-up call. Gingras can provide that. (3) JINS DRAGON was okay in his first start since August; more now?
Race 10
(6) SECRETSOFTHENIGHT ships down from Canada after a workmanlike year where he competed in low to mid level conditioned races. I give him a decent chance in this close-knit race. (5) BLATANTLY BEST burned plenty of money when he broke last week. Remmen trainee is dangerous with a clean trip. (1) PANPERPO FIRPO comes off a dominating score at Saratoga. That angle has worked well at the Meadowlands this year.
Race 11
(5) DOCTOR BUTCH was overbet last week because he was locked in with pace in the prior start. Of course he finished fifth while failing to get a clean trip once again. This looks like a better spot for him and I expect that we’ll see early speed. (7) SPEED AGAIN is sharp and has plenty of early speed. (1) SHOOTER’S DREAM has finished second or higher in each of his last four starts. (6) WAKE UP PETER is dangerous but may have to close from last.
Race 12
(4) ALEX BULLVILLE did a good job to get third in a bulky 12-horse field last time. Veteran finds a great spot this week and should be put into play. (6) MISTER VIRGIN makes his first start for a new barn and gets the top driver. (3) BELIEVEINTHESPIRIT succumbed to a tough trip most recently.
Race 13
(5) JETTY finished a good second at Monticello in his first start since June. Eight-year-old was racing well when last seen here. (3) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE could be tighter in his second start back from the layoff. (8) WHITE SPORTSCOAT looks okay if you excuse the recent break. (6) FASHION SHARK is as good as any of the others in this tough to decipher race.
Yonkers: Saturday 12/13 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF HARNESS
MEET STATS: 369 - 1070 / $1947.50 BEST BETS: 57 - 87 / $185.20
Best Bet: A COOL CARD (12th)
Spot Play: MOVEOUTOFMYWAY (9th)
Race 1
(1) P L FIGHTER seems to have tailed off in his last couple of races but he does drop in class and draws best for connections that are tough to ignore. (3) GRAND MASTER moves inside and should be more involved. (5) ART OF ILLUSION has been solid since the claim by Adamczyk.
Race 2
(2) JOHN'S POLYVIEW has just missed in his two races for Brainard; he was Bartlett's choice over the Fraley trainee. (1) DUKE DID IT drops, draws best and appears to be a player from this spot, despite what his 15/1 morning line says. (5) MAY DAY has good speed, stamina is the question.
Race 3
(2) LIFE UP FRONT has bounced back nicely in his last two efforts after a couple of dull tries; veteran can get it done from this inside post. (4) WARRAWEE NEEDY blasted down the road to beat lesser last week; obviously he's got the class to handle these. (1) GRAB YOUR KEYS may have been a bit overmatched in his last few.
Race 4
(3) STONEHOUSE ADAM was in a bit too tough in his last two out of town; Burke trainee seems to fit well at this level. (4) DIAMOND COWBOY drops in class for the `Allard' stable off a couple of flat efforts. (2) GOOD DAY MATE only missed a head last week but had no real excuse.
Race 5
(1) HERE WE GO AGAIN moves all the way inside while remaining at a winning level and I guess it's time for me to play him on top again. (2) JUSTIFIED may be cutting the mile in what looks like a two-horse affair. (4) VILLAGE BEAT was uninvolved last week, may be the same tonight, but he can save ground and hit the ticket.
Race 6
(3) BEACH MEMORIES was used hard early and gave way in the late stages last week; could be smoother sailing tonight from this spot. (4) MCERLEAN was uninvolved last week; prior form is excellent. (2) BJ'S GUY steps up to the Open ranks off two solid wins.
Race 7
(5) HANG TEN flew home from nowhere last week to surprisingly narrow the gap late; he can return to the winner's circle in this weak field. (1) EIGHTEEN gets post relief in his second start back from the brief vacation. (4) HYPNOTIST gets some needed class relief and he does move in a couple of notches.
Race 8
(1) MICKEY HANOVER and (2) ORILLIA JOE both drop out of the Open into this softer spot, they draw the best two posts and one of them should get the job done. (3) MR HASANI N fits well here but he may have to do it from off the pace.
Race 9
(1) MOVEOUTOFMYWAY finally gets that post relief he needs and he can finally show what he's got tonight. (6) IRA CHIEF toured the track from an impossible spot last week but he drops and could be more involved tonight. (2) MCRUSTY draws back inside and could complete the bottom of the ticket.
Race 10
(1) KIWI IDEAL N took all the money last week but didn't fire; I'll give him another chance here with the possibility of tripping out from the rail. (3) FAT MANS ALLEY gets another inside draw but I thought he should have won last week. (5) SOURCE OF PRIDE looks for two straight tonight.
Race 11
(3) MONTREAL PHIL is up a notch in class tonight but he does get needed post relief and he has the class to compete here. (5) DAVID'S DREAM rallied from a tough spot last week and he'll be closer tonight. (4) STOLEN CAR doesn't like to win but he'll be right there late.
Race 12
(6) A COOL CARD was a solid winner last week, beating Fat Mans Alley in the process, and he gets a free ride at this level. (4) TYE SEELSTER debuts for new connections and he's been razor-sharp. (2) TALKING BLUES moves up off a loss but he lands inside again and could land a small share.
By Matt Rose
DRF HARNESS
MEET STATS: 369 - 1070 / $1947.50 BEST BETS: 57 - 87 / $185.20
Best Bet: A COOL CARD (12th)
Spot Play: MOVEOUTOFMYWAY (9th)
Race 1
(1) P L FIGHTER seems to have tailed off in his last couple of races but he does drop in class and draws best for connections that are tough to ignore. (3) GRAND MASTER moves inside and should be more involved. (5) ART OF ILLUSION has been solid since the claim by Adamczyk.
Race 2
(2) JOHN'S POLYVIEW has just missed in his two races for Brainard; he was Bartlett's choice over the Fraley trainee. (1) DUKE DID IT drops, draws best and appears to be a player from this spot, despite what his 15/1 morning line says. (5) MAY DAY has good speed, stamina is the question.
Race 3
(2) LIFE UP FRONT has bounced back nicely in his last two efforts after a couple of dull tries; veteran can get it done from this inside post. (4) WARRAWEE NEEDY blasted down the road to beat lesser last week; obviously he's got the class to handle these. (1) GRAB YOUR KEYS may have been a bit overmatched in his last few.
Race 4
(3) STONEHOUSE ADAM was in a bit too tough in his last two out of town; Burke trainee seems to fit well at this level. (4) DIAMOND COWBOY drops in class for the `Allard' stable off a couple of flat efforts. (2) GOOD DAY MATE only missed a head last week but had no real excuse.
Race 5
(1) HERE WE GO AGAIN moves all the way inside while remaining at a winning level and I guess it's time for me to play him on top again. (2) JUSTIFIED may be cutting the mile in what looks like a two-horse affair. (4) VILLAGE BEAT was uninvolved last week, may be the same tonight, but he can save ground and hit the ticket.
Race 6
(3) BEACH MEMORIES was used hard early and gave way in the late stages last week; could be smoother sailing tonight from this spot. (4) MCERLEAN was uninvolved last week; prior form is excellent. (2) BJ'S GUY steps up to the Open ranks off two solid wins.
Race 7
(5) HANG TEN flew home from nowhere last week to surprisingly narrow the gap late; he can return to the winner's circle in this weak field. (1) EIGHTEEN gets post relief in his second start back from the brief vacation. (4) HYPNOTIST gets some needed class relief and he does move in a couple of notches.
Race 8
(1) MICKEY HANOVER and (2) ORILLIA JOE both drop out of the Open into this softer spot, they draw the best two posts and one of them should get the job done. (3) MR HASANI N fits well here but he may have to do it from off the pace.
Race 9
(1) MOVEOUTOFMYWAY finally gets that post relief he needs and he can finally show what he's got tonight. (6) IRA CHIEF toured the track from an impossible spot last week but he drops and could be more involved tonight. (2) MCRUSTY draws back inside and could complete the bottom of the ticket.
Race 10
(1) KIWI IDEAL N took all the money last week but didn't fire; I'll give him another chance here with the possibility of tripping out from the rail. (3) FAT MANS ALLEY gets another inside draw but I thought he should have won last week. (5) SOURCE OF PRIDE looks for two straight tonight.
Race 11
(3) MONTREAL PHIL is up a notch in class tonight but he does get needed post relief and he has the class to compete here. (5) DAVID'S DREAM rallied from a tough spot last week and he'll be closer tonight. (4) STOLEN CAR doesn't like to win but he'll be right there late.
Race 12
(6) A COOL CARD was a solid winner last week, beating Fat Mans Alley in the process, and he gets a free ride at this level. (4) TYE SEELSTER debuts for new connections and he's been razor-sharp. (2) TALKING BLUES moves up off a loss but he lands inside again and could land a small share.
SPOT PLAYS
For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (5th) Southern Proper, 4-1
(9th) Warm Heart, 4-1
Charles Town (5th) Alligator Pie, 4-1
(6th) Little Big Sime, 7-2
Delta Downs (7th) Shezoutonbail, 7-2
(9th) Rodeo Storm, 4-1
Fair Grounds (5th) The Louisiana Kid, 3-1
(7th) Too Dim, 7-2
Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Hunted Guy, 9-2
(6th) Magico, 9-2
Gulfstream Park (5th) Hoon, 7-2
(9th) Liam's Map, 7-2
Hawthorne (5th) Costilla Range, 7-2
(7th) Beach Master, 3-1
Laurel Park (1st) Saratoga Valley, 3-1
(9th) Madonna's Conquest, 7-2
Los Alamitos (2nd) Clem Juice, 3-1
(3rd) Qatar's Pearl, 3-1
Mahoning Valley (5th) Lastofthe Moniqns, 6-1
(7th) Primed and Ready, 4-1
Parx Racing (5th) Sweet on Smokey, 7-2
(8th) Kiss Me Forever, 4-1
Penn National (3rd) Itzhoweeroll, 7-2
(8th) Little Stevie Girl, 7-2
Remington Park (2nd) Dee Day, 7-2
(3rd) Maggies Halo, 4-1
Tampa Bay Downs (5th) Sumo, 7-2
(6th) Froggyville, 7-2
Turfway Park (5th) Include Indycat, 3-1
(7th) English Kiss, 4-1
For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (5th) Southern Proper, 4-1
(9th) Warm Heart, 4-1
Charles Town (5th) Alligator Pie, 4-1
(6th) Little Big Sime, 7-2
Delta Downs (7th) Shezoutonbail, 7-2
(9th) Rodeo Storm, 4-1
Fair Grounds (5th) The Louisiana Kid, 3-1
(7th) Too Dim, 7-2
Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Hunted Guy, 9-2
(6th) Magico, 9-2
Gulfstream Park (5th) Hoon, 7-2
(9th) Liam's Map, 7-2
Hawthorne (5th) Costilla Range, 7-2
(7th) Beach Master, 3-1
Laurel Park (1st) Saratoga Valley, 3-1
(9th) Madonna's Conquest, 7-2
Los Alamitos (2nd) Clem Juice, 3-1
(3rd) Qatar's Pearl, 3-1
Mahoning Valley (5th) Lastofthe Moniqns, 6-1
(7th) Primed and Ready, 4-1
Parx Racing (5th) Sweet on Smokey, 7-2
(8th) Kiss Me Forever, 4-1
Penn National (3rd) Itzhoweeroll, 7-2
(8th) Little Stevie Girl, 7-2
Remington Park (2nd) Dee Day, 7-2
(3rd) Maggies Halo, 4-1
Tampa Bay Downs (5th) Sumo, 7-2
(6th) Froggyville, 7-2
Turfway Park (5th) Include Indycat, 3-1
(7th) English Kiss, 4-1
