Saturday 10/24/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
By David Schwab

Week 17 of the CFL regular season is in the books and in an amazing turnaround from a two-win season as a new expansion team, the Ottawa RedBlacks became the third team to clinch a playoff spot with Friday’s 27-24 victory against Winnipeg; however they could not cover as four-point home favorites.

Saturday’s CFL double-header started with Calgary hammering Toronto 27-15 as a one-point road underdog followed by Edmonton’s 26-23 victory against British Columbia as an 8 ½- point favorite at home. These wins kept the two front-runners in the West tied at the top the standings.

Hamilton closed things out on Sunday with a 23-11 victory against Montreal as a three-point road favorite and in the process the Tiger-Cats also clinched a playoff spot.

Saturday, Oct. 24

Ottawa RedBlacks (9-6 SU, 9-6 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-11 SU, 8-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -1
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

Ottawa still has serious designs on a worst to first finish in the East with a SU 5-2 run in its last seven games. It has now failed to cover in three of its last four contests with the total staying OVER in four of its last five games. The dramatic turnaround from being the most anemic offense in the league last season can be heavily attributed to the inspired play of veteran quarterback Henry Burris, who leads the CFL with 4,735 passing yards.

The Blue Bombers are the third team still in contention for one last postseason berth, but much like the other two contenders (BC and Montreal) they appear to be backing into a spot with one SU win in their last five games. Winnipeg has been able to cover in four-straight outings and the total has gone OVER in four of its last five games.

Betting Trends

This is the back-end of a current home-and-home series between these inter-division foes. Last season, the series was split with each team winning both SU and ATS at home. The total went OVER in both games.

Edmonton Eskimos (12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-13 SU, 4-11 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -9
Total: 47

Game Overview

Edmonton has the best momentum of any CFL team heading into the final few weeks of the regular season. Last week’s win was its sixth-straight, but it has gone 3-3 ATS during this run. The total went OVER the 47 ½-point closing line against BC and it has now gone OVER in three of its last four games. The Eskimos still have the stingiest defense in the league with a points-allowed average of 18.4 a game.

The Roughriders are not officially eliminated from playoff contention at 2-13, but they have been riding out the string for quite some time now. Coming off of last week’s bye, they are 1-4 both SU and ATS in their last five games with the total going OVER in four of their last six contests. Saskatchewan has easily had the most porous defense this year with an average of 30.8 points allowed.

Betting Trends

Edmonton has covered in seven of its last 10 road games against Saskatchewan and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings here. The Eskimos won the first matchup this season 30-5 on July 31 as 9 ½-point home favorites.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL

Week 18 games

Ottawa (9-6) @ Winnipeg (5-11)-- RedBlacks (-4.5) edged Winnipeg 27-24 at home LW, after leading 16-0 at half; home side won all three series games. Ottawa (+4) lost 36-28 here LY. RedBlacks ae 5-2 in last seven games; they're 3-3 SU on road (4-2 vs spread)- this is their first road game since Sept 19, due to Blue Jays making baseball playoffs. Blue Bombers lost four of last five games but covered five of last six; they lost last two home games by total of three points. Over is 3-1-1 in Winnipeg's last five games, 8-3 in Ottawa's last eleven games.

Edmonton (12-4) @ Saskatchewan (2-13)-- Eskimos (-10) hammered Riders 30-5 in Week 6, fifth win for Edmonton in last six series games. Eskimos split last six visits here; they're 5-3 SU on road, 1-2 as road favorite- only one of their five road wins was by more than 7 points. Season is a disaster for the Roughriders, but they did win two of last three home games; they're 2-6 SU at home, but 2-0 as home underdog. Saskatchewan allowed 76 points in losing last two games; they're 2-5 vs spread in last seven games. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams.

Ottawa RedBlacks
Winnipeg Blue Bombers even, 50.5

Edmonton Eskimos 9, 47
Saskatchewan Roughriders

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 9:20 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 66 - Purse:$7000 - N/W $10000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 TYPHOON SEELSTER 7/2


# 3 ELEGANT HOLIDAY 2/1


# 5 MAJESTIC DIVA 8/5


After thorough analysis by the number crunching team, TYPHOON SEELSTER comes out as the top choice. Not many knocks against this horse, let's give him a shot. This horse earned a respectable speed rating last out. Looks fresh to come right back. ELEGANT HOLIDAY - She has been performing admirably and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the top in the race. Amazing in the money figure for Brewer and this entrant. A good probability to get the score. MAJESTIC DIVA - One of the top win figures with this driver/conditioner make this filly dangerous. Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this knowledge group. Pace ratings here point to a strong play.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at North Side Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Post: 3:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$1000 - NON WINNERS $951 L6 OR $595 L4 OR $125 PS IN 2014-15


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 PUTNAMS POWER 3/1


# 2 IM A SUMBUNNIE 9/2


# 6 STERLING SEELSTER 7/1


After thorough analysis by the wagering panel, PUTNAMS POWER comes out as the top pick. This gelding getting the victory wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Could very well provide us a win based on nice recent TrackMaster speed figs - earning an avg of 83. This race horse has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 81 avg class ranking. Should play well this time. IM A SUMBUNNIE - The 2 position is on fire here at North Side Downs. More wins than normal. Many selectors will recognize the exemplary TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last affair. Stacks up against any horse in this group of animals. STERLING SEELSTER - His 78 average has this gelding among the best TrackMaster Speed Ratings for this one. If performance in the last race is any indicator, this interesting entrant will have a very nice shot in this race. High last race TrackMaster speed fig.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Futurity - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $193500 Class Rating: 81

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, MISS ROXIE LITTLE FUTURITY - FOR REGISTERED QUARTER HORSES, TWO YEAR OLDS, INDIANA BRED. WEIGHT: 120 LBS. THE FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO TEN HORSES, ALL OF WHICH QUALIFIED BY HAVING ONE OF THE TEN FASTEST TIMES IN THE MISS ROXIE LITTLE FUTURITY TRIALS. ALL NOMINATION AND STARTING FEES TO BE ADDED TO THE FINAL PURSE PURSE TO BE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 BEACH BUM EDDIE 3/1


# 1 FANTASTIC SIX PACK 8/1


# 2 MEGATRON HARRY 3/1


BEACH BUM EDDIE is my choice. Is difficult not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been quite good - 74 avg - of late. This pick will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. Put up a solid speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. FANTASTIC SIX PACK - With a sound 77 average Equibase speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Esqueda in the saddle. MEGATRON HARRY - Garnered a very strong speed rating last time out. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $11400 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 BERNINFORYOU 5/1


# 6 DEMANDING DEEDEE 8/1


# 7 GOLDEN STEEL 9/2


I have to support BERNINFORYOU here. She has a respectable distance/surface win record - 1 / 5. Kreiser and Rodriguez have a good win percent together. DEMANDING DEEDEE - She has posted quite good numbers under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well against this group of animals. Has to be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 4:31pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 PHANTOM FLIGHT (ML=6/1)
#9 DILLY DEDALUS (ML=15/1)
#8 FLATTERING TALES (ML=5/1)


PHANTOM FLIGHT - Was in a $15,000 Maiden Claiming race at Parx Racing last time around the track. That event had a class figure of 72 and she is moving down in this race. A certain serious competitor. DILLY DEDALUS - I've always said that three or more morning works in two weeks equals a horse that's in good shape. So, I have to believe she'll be difficult to beat. Have to forget about that last turf race. This filly should do better hitting the dirt in this race. FLATTERING TALES - Don't often see a profitable return on investment like +51. This jock/trainer duo has done well together over the last twelve months. Have to give this filly a shot. Ran a strong outing in the last race within the last 30 days. Is ranked uppermost in earnings per race entered. A dominant try in this event can increase that total.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DIADEMA (ML=3/1), #5 ROYAL LADY (ML=4/1), #2 TALKIN' HAILEY JO (ML=5/1),

DIADEMA - 3/1 is just too low of a price to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back outings. This equine doesn't have a champion's spirit. Often finishes in the place and show spots. ROYAL LADY - Tough for anyone who saw this questionable contender in her last race to wager on her this time. TALKIN' HAILEY JO - Don't believe this racer will make an impact in today's race. That last rating was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class rating.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 PHANTOM FLIGHT to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [8,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,8,9] with [3,8,9] with [2,3,6,8,9] with [2,3,6,8,9] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Zia Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:35pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 105

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 HEAR THE GHOST (ML=7/2)
#2 RPRETTYBOYFLOYD (ML=15/1)


HEAR THE GHOST - You always have to be on the lookout for profit making rider/trainer combinations; we have it right here. This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. A repeat of that last race on September 4th where he registered a speed rating of 92 looks strong enough to triumph in this event. RPRETTYBOYFLOYD - When Enriquez and Martin work together on animals the ROI has been terrific at +46.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DONOHARM (ML=4/1), #9 I STAND ALONE (ML=9/2), #7 MAGICAL TWIST (ML=5/1),

DONOHARM - Unlikely that the speed figure he garnered on September 27th will hold up in this contest. I STAND ALONE - You always believe this animal has a shot to be victorious, but he fails often. MAGICAL TWIST - Run-of-the-mill speed rating last time around the track at Zia Park at 1 mile. Don't believe this horse will improve too much in today's event.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #8 HEAR THE GHOST on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
8 with 2 with [5,6,7] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #4 - BELMONT PARK - 2:01 PM EASTERN POST


The Iroquois Stakes

6½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#9 LA VERDAD
#7 HOT CITY GIRL
#8 TRICKY ZIPPY
#3 ISABELLE

For Your information folks ... The Iroquois is named for the confederacy of North America Indians which was founded in the 16th Century. The Iroquois resided in the region that is now included in central New York State. Here in the 38th running of this stakes event, #9 LA VERDAD has won an impressive 14 of 20 starts in her career to date sprinting at, or about, 6½ furlongs on the dirt, and not surprisingly, is the overall speed leader in this field. She's taking a slight class drop (-1), and has won each of her last five outings in "POWER RUN FASHION." Jockey Jose Ortiz has been in her irons on 19 previous occasions, hitting the board in 16 of those rides, winning 14 times, and is back this afternoon for his 20th ride. The 10-1 BOMB, #7 HOT CITY GIRL comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Saturday 10/24 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 9 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (46 - 72 / $161.00): MONTERO BLUE CHIP (9th)

Spot Play: CASEY AT BAT (11th)


Race 1

(10) MIDNIGHT DESTROYER needs to find a way into the race but finds a weak bunch. (3) CINNAMON SPIDER gets a big post edge on his main rival but just raced evenly last out. (5) DOC TELLADAY is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix.

Race 2

(6) MACHO BURBON pacer has ability but needs to mind his manners. (5) FOX VALLEYRICHROKR lightly raced pacer has room to improve in an inconsistent field. (1) FOX VALLEY ELI has yet to put it together but can pace a decent mile.

Race 3

(6) SOUTHERN SPECIAL will be tough to keep off the ticket if he stays trotting. (7) LIMA PIZZAZ has been off over a month but is one of the faster horses in the race. (9) COUGAR LADY filly comes off a nice victory but will need more from the far outside post.

Race 4

(3) COWGIRL CHIC burned cash last week off a perfect trip but finds a soft spot to do some damage. (7) GETOUTTHEWAYANMOVE despite being 0 for the year the pacer has a decent burst of speed when timed right. (8) FLUKY'S GIRL gets sent out for capable connections.

Race 5

(3) MAKE IT WORK gets sent out first start in a new barn that has good success with the pacer. (4) READY should offer a big price and has beaten better on the year. (1) LARRY'S PLACE rarely wins but gets the best post in a wide-open race.

Race 6

(4) BOYS ROUND HERE has yet to lose at this level; fires early. (7) THE BIG SLEAZY is one of few contenders in the race but needs a good setup. (9) SOUPBEANS ERNIE was tremendous off the layoff and has room to improve.

Race 7

(7) TIME TO ROLL comes into the race off a track record performance. (6) COLE HEAT should offer good value and is deceptively sharp. (5) SOUTHWIND SCORPION comes into the race in career form but still needs more; use underneath.

Race 8

(2) HUDSON JESSE has a ton of question marks coming off a break but if the trotting mare is ready she's the horse to beat. (4) KING MUFASA had way too much to do last week from the back. The trotter will be involved much earlier this week. (3) CELEBRITY HERCULES veteran trotter is not what he once ways and hasn't beaten a field like this in sometime; command a price.

Race 9

(7) MONTERO BLUE CHIP pacer put in a super effort last week at this level; big chance. (2) EXTRAVAGANT ART went a big three-quarters of a mile last out racing gamely. (4) JACKSON BERLOW should be in line for a much better trip this week; threat.

Race 10

(3) SUMMER SHANDY should offer better value and is very fast with a smooth trip. (2) DAKOTA ROADSTER circled the field last week at this level. (8) FLUKIE FLIGHT was also an easy winner last week against similar.

Race 11

(10) CASEY AT BAT pacer owns only one win on the year but has shown recent signs of a big turnaround. (6) PILLAGE AND BURN lightly raced pacer owns a big burst of speed; fires early. (7) MIGHTY HOT SHOT could be ready for a good effort against significantly weaker.

Race 12

In a tough race to gauge, (5) FEEL LIKE DANCING will offer value dropping in class. (9) FRISKIE FLICKER mare is capable of popping at a price. (1) JOYFUL GAME pacing mare might need another start but has been competitive against better on the year.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 10/24 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $100,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $100,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 13 - Mandatory Jackpot Hi-5 Payout ($557,274 C/O)

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,6,7/3/5/1,2/ALL = $12

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2/4,5,10/3,7/1,2,3 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 4,5/1,2,3,4,5,6,8,9/2,4,6/3 = $48

20-CENT Jackpot Hi-5 tickets:

2,4/2,4/1,3,5,6,11/1,3,5,6,11/ALL = $64

2,4/1,3,5,6,11/2,4/1,3,5,6,11/ALL = $64

MEET STATS: 37 - 121 / 181.80 BEST BETS: 5 - 10 / $15.20

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 11 / 30.30

Best Bet: ALWAYS B MIKI (12th)

Spot Play: SKIPPIN BY (10th)


Race 1

(6) D ONE has been sensational in every start in North America except one (and she broke on that occasion). Miller got to test drive her in a win at The Red Mile. She'll be tough to beat here if she stays flat. (3) CLASSIC MARTINE tuned up for this last week with a win in open company. The recency edge won't hurt and she seems better now than earlier in the season. (7) SHAKE IT CERRY hasn't been as good this year as last season when she won 15 of 17 and $1.25 million but she almost beat the boys last time in the Dayton Trotting Derby and is another that is improving at the right time. (4) CHARMED LIFE has 10 slices in 17 starts and is a good one for the bottom of exotic wagers.

Race 2

(3) PURE COUNTRY is yet to be beaten and her strong first-over win last week did nothing to suggest that streak will be broken tonight; top call. (1) DARLINONTHEBEACH rode the choice's cover to a 2nd-place finish and there's a good chance she'll complete the exacta again. (5) YANKEE MOONSHINE motored past her foes late but had a pretty easy trip. She could be overbet here and create value for those siding with the two above. (4) LYONS RIVER PRIDE set a strong pace vs. the choice and held on for 3rd. She could crash the tri or even exacta here with the right trip.

Race 3

(5) SOUTHWIND FRANK has won 10 of 11 and seems to be getting stronger and faster as the season progresses. He looks like a pick 5 single at a very low price. (6) LAGERFELD was 2nd to the choice at The Red Mile and has hit the exacta 8 of 9 times so far. He should be prominent throughout. (1) MUSCLES FOR LIFE is capable of better than he showed last week and the improved post gives him a chance to hit the ticket at a big price. (3) MARION MARAUDER has finished 2nd to the choice three times recently and could better this placing, obviously.

Race 4

(1) DIVINE CAROLINE rocketed off stalling cover last week and powered away from her foes with ease. She has hit her best form at the perfect time and will be tough to beat here. (2) BETTOR BE STEPPIN was too far back while a slow pace was being carved out last week. She should be closer here and could upset the choice; don't discount. (3) SOLAR SISTER was cleverly driven to victory by McNair last week. Her good tactical speed and ability to take air and keep advancing makes her a threat. (9) STACIA HANOVER is one to consider for the exotics that should be a big price. She will be passing horses late.

Race 5

(4) ALL THE TIME was an easy winner last week aided by a slow 2nd 1/4. She looks tough here but keep in mind there are unlikely to be any similar breathers here in the final. (10) CAPRICE HILL couldn't reach the winner or even get close but should be much more aggressively driven here and will now be a better price. (5) HAUGHTY rolled by late in a strange elim that featured several late breakers and a very slow final 1/4. Her unbeaten record is in peril here facing better. (7) KATHY PARKER has yet to miss the board and is a good one to toss on triactor bets at a big price.

Race 6

(7) MISSION BRIEF simply went out too fast early last time and was picked off late by the pocket-sitter in the Kentucky Filly Futurity. That mistake is unlikely to be repeated here but if it is, (3) WILD HONEY would again be the benefactor. The rest look like they are racing for 3rd and Buckette winner (4) SPEAK TO ME will probably complete the smallest triactor payoff of the night.

Race 7

(3) CONTROL THE MOMENT may not have been his sharpest last week but he showed some grit and got the job done. He has already shown he has sub-1:50 speed and driver Waples has been flawless in big races all summer and fall; top call. (1) RACING HILL is unbeaten in October and is the 'now' horse in the division. He is the main threat to the choice. (2) SPIDER MAN HANOVER threw down a 27 flat third 1/4 last week and felt the effects of that move down the lane. He could threaten here if given a more patient drive. (5) AMERICAN PASSPORT was a bit of a disappointment last week off a good following trip. He should make the Superfecta here nonetheless.

Race 8

(1) PINKMAN has won virtually every top race for 3YO's already this season comes into this final sharp, draws a good post and has one of the world's best drivers. That likely all adds up to a short-priced win. (6) FRENCH LAUNDRY was excellent winning the Buckette in track record time on Jug day and followed that up with a good effort vs. the choice. He appears to be in peak form and can complete the Takter exactor. (5) THE BANK set an insane pace in the Kentucky Futurity and paid the price late. He is another of Takter's four entries that all could figure in the outcome. (2) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE is a local entry that has raced great recently in all but the Canadian Trotting Classic (where he broke). He is a bomb to consider for the bottom of exotic wagers.

Race 9

(4) FREAKY FEET PETE was phenomenal last week going first up and coasting home while pacing his back 1/2 in 53 flat. He will be tough to beat here with any reasonable trip. (5) ARTSPEAK blasted home impressively to get up right on the line but the pace of his elimination was much slower than the choice's and he may not have the same zip late if forced to keep up to quicker fractions. (3) WAKIZASHI HANOVER - the North America Cup winner - was outsprinted last week after getting things all his own way early. He too will likely have trouble with the streaking choice who simply may just be too fast for these at the moment. (10) ARTISTIC MAJOR closed strongly behind the choice last week for 2nd but is obviously hurt by post position here. Still, in his current form, he could crash the exotics at a huge price.

Race 10

In what looks like the most wide-open race of the night, I'm going to swing for the fences with (3) SKIPPIN BY. This filly seems to be improving at the right time and could get a sweet following trip up near the front. Best of all, she'll be a huge price. (9) VENUS DELIGHT comes into this fresh after taking a break following her Milton Stakes win but she will need to work out a trip starting from out there. (4) ANDROVETTE has a history of coming up huge on the biggest stage and can't be dismissed. (1) COLORS A VIRGIN beat the choice last time and retains Miller. She's another contender in a race filled with mares that have a shot.

Race 11

(2) RESOLVE was forced to make a move around the far turn in the Maple Leaf Trot that benefitted winner Bee A Magician who rode his cover home. This improving trotter comes into this race fresh and will likely be third choice. He can make amends here. (4) BEE A MAGICIAN had no shot in the Yonkers International the way her trip played out and did well to only lose by 4 lengths considering how much ground she lost. She's the one to beat. (6) CREATINE did all the roadwork in the International Trot but fell prey to the pocket-sitter's passing lane attack late. He can win this. (5) INTIMIDATE is known for upsetting in races like these and can't be totally discounted.

Race 12

(3) ALWAYS BE MIKI was sensational last week winning under wraps while coming home in 53 2/5. Remarkably, he has returned from a second major injury in top form and is likely just too good for these. (8) J K ENDOFANERA motored home himself last week while finishing a strong second. So long as he isn't compromised by a bad trip, he should complete the exacta here. (2) MACH IT SO had trouble keeping up to the choice late last week but he could get a following trip here and make the ticket at a good price. (4) FOILED AGAIN won for only the second time this year with an impressive first-up move and it appears he is happy the weather is getting colder again. He could better this placing.

Race 13

(2) TOPCORNERTERROR won in a new life's mark two back then was claimed by Moreau. Back in 7 days he is a big threat to take this. (4) THE PANINSULAHOTEL drops in class and gets a positive driver switch. He should be prominent throughout. (3) HUNCH MAN was just behind a destructive duel last week which did him no favors when those horses tired. He should get a good share here. (1) CRAFTY MASTER improved in his second start back and he should get a better position early here which will help him grab a check. (5) ROCK ME AMASTREOS was nailed very late in the mile last week but has been racing well and can grab a minor share here even with the class rise.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 10/24 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 330 - 1000 / $1814.40 BEST BETS: 49 - 80 / $168.40

Best Bet: NATIONAL DEBT (4th)

Spot Play: YS LOTUS (7th)


Race 1

(4) SOMEWHERE FANCY hasn't fired with his best in a while but he gets some post relief and Stratton may get aggressive early with the 4-year-old. (6) FOOL ME ONCE is back up in class after a gutsy try in defeat and the Alagna trainee figures with these. (2) CYCLONE KIWI N added Lasix and dominated versus lesser just 5 days ago.

Race 2

(2) FORT KNOX was outfinished in the drive home last out but it wasn't a bad effort. This field didn't come up particularly strong and the Sabot trainee should take charge. (1) BETTORSLUCKYSTREAK will be firing hard from the rail to protect position. (6) GALACTIC GALLEON N kicked home nicely off cover for third last week and he rates as highly tonight.

Race 3

(5) PASS THEM BY N hasn't raced badly since the Lance Hudson claim and he's arguably facing a bit softer tonight; maybe. (4) ONE THROUGH TEN always shows speed, always gets a nice check but never seems to win; he'll be near the lead again. (2) MORTAL ZIN saved ground and shook free with pace last out; strategy should be the same here.

Race 4

(5) NATIONAL DEBT has been much better since the switch to the Alagna barn and he comes off two near-misses; he looks best here and should be driven accordingly. (1) ARTIST NIGHT shipped in last week for Burke, didn't take much money and was pretty flat; he really has no excuse not to be a part of this from the best post. (2) ELRAMA N is another Bamond overseas shipper who qualified effectively and could be ready for action.

Race 5

(5) ALBERTO CONTADOR N remains sharp despite last week's 3rd place finish, which wasn't all that bad considering the circumstances. Brennan may get more aggressive early from this spot. (1) CROMBIE A drops from the Open ranks, draws best and will be heard from. (6) THE REAL ONE was in a good spot to leave the gate and control the action last week, which is exactly what he did. He's capable of repeating, but it will be much tougher.

Race 6

(8) LUMINOSITY is the King of the Open until proven otherwise; eight hole shouldn't present a serious problem. (3) CRAZY ABOUT PAT lands in a better spot tonight and looks like the main threat. (7) ZOOMING is razor-sharp but will he be too far back early to be a serious threat?

Race 7

(3) YS LOTUS toured the track last out, but the Allard trainee is a proven commodity at this level and with the inside draw he should be firing early. (4) LORD OF MISRULE has raced well in his last few and he's definitely a player from this spot. (1) KEYSTONE HONOR has been a good money-earner for the Laterza barn and he can save ground from this spot and land a share.

Race 8

(3) BIG N BAD faltered on the front end last out after shocking the world the start prior; gelding gets a decent post assignment and will be forwardly placed again. (4) SAPPHIRE CITY gets needed post relief and this gutsy veteran should be more involved. (8) TAKE IT BACK TERRY has been super in all recent outings but he's assigned the eight hole yet again and he'll have to be both lucky and good to get it done.

Race 9

(1) E Z NOAH went a wicked and pressured pace last week and understandably gave way; with any sort of breathers on the front end he'll be tough to defeat tonight. (3) ASLAN is up in class off a easy score and the sharp gelding should be followed. (2) JOURNEYMAN went evenly upon arrival for Burke and he'll never be too far back from this spot.

Race 10

(1) KIWI IDEAL N gets that all-important post relief tonight and he can stalk (3) TWIN B HOLLISTER then roll by late. The latter has made a ton of money since the Banca claim and he's clearly the one to beat. (5) LONEWOLF CURRIER returns locally for Allard and he's picked up his game recently.

Race 11

(6) PICTURE THIS hasn't been bad since returning but hasn't been in winning spots; this is a suspect field and he seems to fit with these class-wise. (3) CASHONTHEROCS was outfinished for second last week by Zooming, and there's no disgrace in that; he was a front-end winner the start prior. (7) NOT AFRAID is best here but he hasn't been on his game recently, draws outside and loses regular pilot Dube.

Race 12

(4) GOBAN steps up in class to face much tougher but he's shown good speed and versatility recently; consider if the price is right. (1) CAPTIVE AUDIENCE returns locally with class and post relief; he's the one to beat. (2) CLASSIESISTAR N is also inside and will be prominent throughout.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Belmont Park (5th) Warrioroftheroses, 5-1
(9th) Melodic, 5-1


Charles Town (7th) Callmealion, 3-1
(8th) Frostys Whirl, 9-2


Delta Downs (2nd) Tragers Trigger, 9-2
(11th) Deeliteful Walk, 9-2


Finger Lakes (4th) Am Patriotic, 5-1
(8th) By All Means, 4-1


Golden Gate Fields (8th) Chronologic'sghost, 9-2
(9th) Gotham Sky, 3-1


Gulfstream Park West (3rd) Bwana Dance, 8-1
(9th) Mystic Blue, 8-1


Hastings Park (6th) Irish Romeo, 4-1
(9th) Goliath, 7-2


Hawthorne (7th) Tall Grass Cat, 3-1
(9th) Lazylovin, 9-2

Keeneland (4th) Bella Flor, 6-1
(10th) Trecastle, 3-1


Laurel Park (3rd) Trensita, 4-1
(12th) Thessa's Roar, 10-1


Meadowlands (2nd) Neidermeyer, 8-1
(5th) City Elitist, 6-1


Parx Racing (5th) Scattered Dreams, 4-1
(9th) Hear Me Purr, 10-1


Penn National (2nd) Lime Drop Kid, 4-1
(5th) Velvet Colors, 4-1


Remington Park (3rd) Jazzy Miss, 3-1
(8th) Majestic Thunder, 5-1


Santa Anita (5th) Golds Venice, 5-1
(6th) Iron Rob, 6-1


Thistledown (1st) Seas Courage, 3-1
(3rd) Markeska, 5-1


Turf Paradise (5th) My Cinderella, 3-1
(8th) Adriatic Moon, 5-1

Woodbine (2nd) Titan, 6-1
(7th) Kate's Whistle, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's six-pack

College football trends to ponder, with Week 7 here.......

-- Michigan State is 0-6 as a favorite this year; only one of its wins was by more than 14 points.

-- Northwestern was outscored 78-10 in last two games after a 5-0 start.

-- Penn State scored 14 or less points in its last six road games.

-- Southern Miss allowed 117 points in three road games; they're 5-1 vs spread this season, 2-0 when favored.

-- Mike Leach is 12-5 as a road underdog, 3-0 this season.

-- Old Dominion is 3-3 SU this year, but 0-5 against the spread.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play:SAT BOWLING Green -14