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Scott Spreitzer

Michigan vs Nebraska

Bonus Play Michigan

I'm recommending a play on Michigan on Saturday afternoon. Nebraska has won four straight conference games, including a 72-71 win in East Lansing last time out. The Huskers caught the Spartans at the right time. Michigan State was coming off a one-point loss to Wisconsin where they were called for 28 personal fouls. Tom Izzo reportedly told his players to stay away from potential ticky-tack fouls against Nebraska and they obviously took the instructions to heart, playing very little defense. Nebraska, (Shavon Shields in particular), attacked the basket all night long and pulled the upset as a double-digit underdog. Having said that, if Michigan State had a better night at the foul line, (made just 12 of 21), they likely win that game. The Huskers also beat three Big-10 bottom-feeders during the winning streak, including Rutgers, Minnesota, and Illinois. We went against Michigan last time out and cashed with 16-point underdog Minnesota. The Wolverines won, but failed to cover. We felt they were in a tough spot coming off of games against Purdue, Maryland, and Iowa. Michigan has had no trouble with the Huskers, winning five straight meetings by an average margin of 15 ppg. I don't believe they'll win by that many points, the Huskers are getting better, but Nebraska is still a very young basketball team and they still might be in a celebratory mood. Michigan is one of the top shooting teams in CBB, ranked 17th in FG percentage (49%) and 8th from behind the arc (41.3%). We note this because Tim Miles' Husker teams have covered just four of 17 against teams that shoot at least 48%. They've also covered just 10 of their last 32 against teams playing better than .600 basketball. I'm recommending a play on Michigan on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
 

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